Super Rugby Unlocked, Mitre 10, Tri Nations, Autumn Nations + other 16-23 Nov

More
3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #1 by Brent Graham
A strange week for me, after a disaster Friday (sorry to those who helped shorten the price of the newsletter selection) I eventually got slightly ahead thanks to backing Arg +6.5 at the break but ended slightly behind overall

Loads of rugby this week again

Here are my Super Rugby Unlocked handicap projections

Bulls -24.5 v Pumas
Cheetahs -21.5 v Griquas
Sharks -0.5 v Stormers

Handicaps are out for TN and ANC

Argentina +5.5 v Aus

Eng -10.5 v Ire
Wal -27.5 v Georgia
Scotland +6.5 v France

The English Premiership also gets going with some televised matches

Chat rugby betting with us - Create a forum account www.goodforthegame.co.za/Create-an-account.html

Here is the link to subscribe to the free weekly Goodforthegame betting mailer bit.ly/bettingmail

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by Brent Graham.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #2 by ThoughtsOnSports
Cracking weekend. Couple of early shouts for me:

Bristol Bears to finish top 4 at 15/20.

Australia -4.5 at 8/10

Very excited for the return of the premiership: I'll post my handicap predictions as follows:

Quins +4.5 vs Chiefs
Sale -8.5 vs Saints
Bath -13.5 vs Newcastle
Warriors - 5.5 vs London Irish
Leicester +3.5 vs Gloucester
Wasps -3.5 vs Bristol

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports
The following user(s) said Thank You: Stoossy

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #3 by CLrugby
Happy Monday gentlemen, solid week end for me thanks to MITRE but also a very lucking one with Wellington, BOP and Canterbury that were all 3 lost at 90% at some point... anyway a bit of luck is also welcome from time to time. Here we go again, handicap for semis are out:

Otago (-10.5) - Northland
Auckland (-8.5) Waikato
HB (-8,5) Taranaki
Tasman (-11.5) BOP

Handicaps relatively well set and as we are dealing with PO matches I will probably parlay some ML instead. Will see with cold head.

@Chris_Lacharge
The following user(s) said Thank You: Brad Breath, Kirky, TheBettingStig, Muller

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #4 by bradie82
The Gallagher is back and I cannot wait to punt as this has been my favourite tournament for ages now.
I made a list of all international players and the know injured ones to get us a taste of the team selection coming in case odds are coming out early.
I am not sure yet if some international, especially English, could be released to play with their club this week-end but will try to get the info
If I missed any players, please feel to add it to the list
Have a good week lads!

Bath : Cokanasiga, Watson, Joseph, Dunn, Obano, Ewels, Stuart, Underhill, Faletau.
Bristol : Malins, Sinckler, Earl, Radradra, Sheedy, Lloyd.
Exeter : Salde, Hill, Williams, Gray, SHC, Skinner, Hogg, Francis - Luke Cowan-Dickie and Jack Nowell unavailable due to injury.
Gloucester : Polledri, Varney, May, Thorley, Singleton, Harris, Alemanno, Rees-Zammit - Willi Heinz and Jack Singleton unavailable due to injury.
Harlequins : Marchant, Marler, Lang.
Leicester : Youngs, Ford, Genge, Murimurivalu, Nadolo, Lavanini.
London Irish : Cowan, Tuisue.
Northampton : Furbank, Ludlam, Ribbans, Mitchell, Matevasi, Biggar - Courtney Lawes, Rory Hutchinson, Teimana Harrison, Harry Mallinder and Mikey Haywood are recovering from injuries.
Newcastle : Orlando - Mark Wilson unavailable due to injury.
Sale : Curry - Manu Tuilagi unavailable due to injury.
Wasps : Robson, Umaga, Launchbury, Willis, Rowlands
Worcester : Hill, Lawrence, Du Preez, Weir.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Brent Graham, Brad Breath, Shazzadude, CLrugby, shark prince, Kirky, TheBettingStig, Chris Rowe

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #5 by bradie82
Info on the Scotland vs France game - Ntamack ruled out and replaced by Carbonnel in the squad

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #6 by CLrugby

bradie82 wrote: Info on the Scotland vs France game - Ntamack ruled out and replaced by Carbonnel in the squad


Not sure if that’s a good news for the Scots, Jalibert-Dupont is probably the most offensive 9-10 pairing you can find in Europe at the moment. I saw that Sexton and Henshaw are also ruled out for Ireland

@Chris_Lacharge
The following user(s) said Thank You: Stoossy

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #7 by southpaw
1st punt down for Premiership season -

Bristol +7 @ evens.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #8 by Laraxwell
Zebre v Ulster in play
U 58.5pts
Zebre will go after tries now and expect Ulster to take off big players in 2nd half

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #9 by The Vann
Buggerall to watch so going with
Zebre over 2.5 tries @ 1000/600

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #10 by CLrugby

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Cracking weekend. Couple of early shouts for me:

Bristol Bears to finish top 4 at 15/20.

Australia -4.5 at 8/10

Very excited for the return of the premiership: I'll post my handicap predictions as follows:

Quins +4.5 vs Chiefs (+4.5)
Sale -8.5 vs Saints (+11.5)
Bath -13.5 vs Newcastle (-11.5)
Warriors - 5.5 vs London Irish (+0.5)
Leicester +3.5 vs Gloucester (-1.5)
Wasps -3.5 vs Bristol (-7.5)



Adding at the end what bookies have just released in Central Europe.

I am probably going with the Warriors ML but I need to study it further, I think Sale will hammer the Saints by double digits as well. I am tempted by Leicester ML, they got a far better squad this year, I guess Henry will get a nod at 10.

@Chris_Lacharge
Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by CLrugby.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #11 by ThoughtsOnSports
Grim weather in Cardiff: Under 40.5 at 15/20

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #12 by ThoughtsOnSports
Worcester Warriors board at 19/20

-5.5 at 19/10

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #13 by Laraxwell

Laraxwell wrote: Zebre v Ulster in play
U 58.5pts
Zebre will go after tries now and expect Ulster to take off big players in 2nd half


Well now Laraxwell - you ain't called that too well

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #14 by Laraxwell
Will try one more in play bet tonight
Cardiff v Treviso Under 1.5 tries First half @6/4 bet 365
Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by Laraxwell. Reason: Missing info

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #15 by Shazzadude

CLrugby wrote: Happy Monday gentlemen, solid week end for me thanks to MITRE but also a very lucking one with Wellington, BOP and Canterbury that were all 3 lost at 90% at some point... anyway a bit of luck is also welcome from time to time. Here we go again, handicap for semis are out:

Otago (-10.5) - Northland
Auckland (-8.5) Waikato
HB (-8,5) Taranaki
Tasman (-11.5) BOP

Handicaps relatively well set and as we are dealing with PO matches I will probably parlay some ML instead. Will see with cold head.


Hawke’s Bay -8.5 is a standout for me.

Kiwi living in Australia

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #16 by CLrugby

Shazzadude wrote:

CLrugby wrote: Happy Monday gentlemen, solid week end for me thanks to MITRE but also a very lucking one with Wellington, BOP and Canterbury that were all 3 lost at 90% at some point... anyway a bit of luck is also welcome from time to time. Here we go again, handicap for semis are out:

Otago (-10.5) - Northland
Auckland (-8.5) Waikato
HB (-8,5) Taranaki
Tasman (-11.5) BOP

Handicaps relatively well set and as we are dealing with PO matches I will probably parlay some ML instead. Will see with cold head.


Hawke’s Bay -8.5 is a standout for me.


I agree, I was looking at 10+ the only thing I don’t like is rematch + Handicap on a PO match, I will probably cut Stake in half and play the other one in parlay, the ML @1.31 is a strong support. Also they will play with full crowd as free entry announced by their board

@Chris_Lacharge

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #17 by Brad Breath
Wales v Georgia
Paddy Power had total points up earlier at 54.5, I had a decent go at the under.
Just can't see where points will come from here - Welsh attack is as blunt as a spoon.
Pivac has openly said he'll be making changes to give the whole squad a run out, so it will be a weakened side on this basis.
Weather forecast for Llanelli is wind and rain.
Also like the Georgia +28

On a seperate note its hard to see any of the home favourites failing in the Mitre 10 semis, so I've put all 4 in an acca at 2.84

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #18 by bradie82
Warriors on the board @ 2

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #19 by CLrugby
Australia to win the Rugby Championship @2.20 is a decent odd. They need to win twice at home against the Pumas with a week of rest before both matches

@Chris_Lacharge

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #20 by CLrugby
Any reason why Cheetahs H is at 18.5? I was expecting 25-30 so am I missing something here?

@Chris_Lacharge

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #21 by The Vann

CLrugby wrote: Any reason why Cheetahs H is at 18.5? I was expecting 25-30 so am I missing something here?


Where is this CL?

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #22 by CLrugby

The Vann wrote:

CLrugby wrote: Any reason why Cheetahs H is at 18.5? I was expecting 25-30 so am I missing something here?


Where is this CL?


In my local bookies in Central Europe but this is not answering my question :lol:

@Chris_Lacharge

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #23 by The Vann

CLrugby wrote:

The Vann wrote:

CLrugby wrote: Any reason why Cheetahs H is at 18.5? I was expecting 25-30 so am I missing something here?


Where is this CL?


In my local bookies in Central Europe but this is not answering my question :lol:


Thanks. Weather forecast is thunder storms and wind but this does not normally affect the points that drastically in Bloem. I don't know of any other reasons.
The following user(s) said Thank You: CLrugby

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #24 by ThoughtsOnSports
Harlequins board at 16/10
Harlequins 5.5 at 8/10

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #25 by Kirky
If the Argies can retain their intensity, I fancy they can see off the Ozzers on Saturday :whistle:

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #26 by Chris Rowe
I also liked this straight away I saw it.
I would still like to see the teams but as much I am not a fan of Quins team right now, they ended the season well. Given first game of the season (big enough break between matches) this could be a tight game.
I understand Exete's second team are decent but Quins will see this opportunity to get one over them before Exeter get into their stride.

@thecrowetips

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #27 by Chris Rowe
I also liked this straight away I saw it.
I would still like to see the teams but as much I am not a fan of Quins team right now, they ended the season well. Given first game of the season (big enough break between matches) this could be a tight game.
I understand Exete's second team are decent but Quins will see this opportunity to get one over them before Exeter get into their stride.

@thecrowetips

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #28 by Shazzadude
Sale -11.5 looks good, a shame about the weather though.

Kiwi living in Australia

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #29 by bradie82
The following user(s) said Thank You: southpaw, RuggaBugga, The Vann, Brad Breath, Kirky

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #30 by ThoughtsOnSports
Wasps minus a cracker! Superb work from Bradie there.

Bears without Sinckler, Thacker, Attwood, Lahiff, Earl, Hughes, Luatua, Sheedy, Radradra, Morahan, Malins, Lloyd, Uren, Piutau.

Bears B side got smashed 59-35 by Wasps and 40-7 by Sale

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #31 by son_of_a_punt
Following TOS and Bradie; Wasps -6.5 at 9/10 @ WSB

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #32 by The Vann

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Wasps minus a cracker! Superb work from Bradie there.

Bears without Sinckler, Thacker, Attwood, Lahiff, Earl, Hughes, Luatua, Sheedy, Radradra, Morahan, Malins, Lloyd, Uren, Piutau.

Bears B side got smashed 59-35 by Wasps and 40-7 by Sale


Thanks B and TOS. Managed to get -7.5 @ evens and jumped on it.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #33 by RuggaBugga
Lovely spot!
Bradie you are GOLDEN!!!

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
The following user(s) said Thank You: bradie82, Kirky, son_of_a_punt

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #34 by southpaw
wow good spot lads managed to cancel out my early bet on Bristol on Wasps -7. Smallish bet but good to get out off that news.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #35 by CLrugby
Wales - Georgia Under 54.5 for me, game is played at Parc y Scarlets in the lovely city of Llanelli early evening. It is pouring down like hell there with a lot of wind and knowing the pitch it can quickly turn into a water party. With rotated Welsh squad expected and a Georgian team that struggle to score more than 10 points, I don't expect more points than during England Georgia. I was expecting 42.5 max with the weather conditions.

@Chris_Lacharge
Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by CLrugby.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Kirky, son_of_a_punt

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #36 by CLrugby
Injury / Squad update on Worcester Warriors

Lawrence, Du Preez, Weir on International duty, Hill may be released by Jones from England.

Kitchener, Holsey, Moulds, Cox Williams out

Sammy Lewis (dead leg on last friendly), Conor Carey, Tommy Howe, Perry Humphreys (all three back on training) 90% out

Butler and Beck available and clear from injury

@Chris_Lacharge
Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by CLrugby.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #37 by bradie82

CLrugby wrote: Wales - Georgia Under 54.5 for me, game is played at Parc y Scarlets in the lovely city of Llanelli early evening. It is pouring down like hell there with a lot of wind and knowing the pitch it can quickly turn into a water party. With rotated Welsh squad expected and a Georgian team that struggle to score more than 10 points, I don't expect more points than during England Georgia. I was expecting 42.5 max with the weather conditions.


Chris which European bookie offers the under please?

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #38 by CLrugby

bradie82 wrote:

CLrugby wrote: Wales - Georgia Under 54.5 for me, game is played at Parc y Scarlets in the lovely city of Llanelli early evening. It is pouring down like hell there with a lot of wind and knowing the pitch it can quickly turn into a water party. With rotated Welsh squad expected and a Georgian team that struggle to score more than 10 points, I don't expect more points than during England Georgia. I was expecting 42.5 max with the weather conditions.


Chris which European bookie offers the under please?


Nike.sk (Slovakia) and Synottip.cz (Czech Rep) both with relatively high limits and playable at kiosk as well but you need a local to play them.

@Chris_Lacharge
The following user(s) said Thank You: bradie82

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #39 by Brazil
New kid on the block MGSportsbetting are offering a whole range of total points markets for Saffas(I don't work for them)
but it good to have these lines .Maybe another book will improve on their U54,5@ 1.84 odds for the Wales game though?

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #40 by son_of_a_punt
Under 54.5 in Wales vs Georgia at 9/10

Game in Llanellli and weather looking rainy and windy. Wales also playing their B team.

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #41 by Kirky

Brazil wrote: New kid on the block MGSportsbetting are offering a whole range of total points markets for Saffas(I don't work for them)
but it good to have these lines .Maybe another book will improve on their U54,5@ 1.84 odds for the Wales game though?

I've just had a look, and there are no points lines on offer on their site.
None of the others in SA that I've looked at either.
Sunbet and Sportingbet usually only put points lines a few hours before the game.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #42 by Brazil
"I've just had a look, and there are no points lines on offer on their site.
None of the others in SA that I've looked at either.
Sunbet and Sportingbet usually only put points lines a few hours before the game. "



mgsportsbetting.co.za/#/prematch/9501/ev...ac-918c-8eb1c7474b1b
also see it on Playabets......better price too!Thing though Playabets might reject your bet because they always go upstairs.

The other plus about MG besides their bonuses is their 10% return on losses.Put that on a roughie like and you're back in business.
Playabets have something similar but becoming very frustrating betting with then esp if it';s live and they send it upstairs.
Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by Brazil.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #43 by Laraxwell
U54.5 pts would be lovely if available here. Bet365 and other giants are too savvy to go early on pts
Wales are currently -24.5pts so a 54.5pt line does not stack up
Georgia scored Zip v England

Maybe it's time to move to the Czech Republic!

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #44 by CLrugby

Laraxwell wrote: U54.5 pts would be lovely if available here. Bet365 and other giants are too savvy to go early on pts
Wales are currently -24.5pts so a 54.5pt line does not stack up
Georgia scored Zip v England

Maybe it's time to move to the Czech Republic!


Don't get too excited, bookies in CZ and SK have taken it out this morning (but bets are valid). BTW I can tell you that there are other much more interesting reasons to move to Czech Republic than betting ... Just saying :)

@Chris_Lacharge

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #45 by CLrugby
Teams are out

Harlequins Starting XV:
1. Santiago Garcia Botta (22)
2. Scott Baldwin (18)
3. Wilco Louw (4)
4. Matt Symons (45)
5. Stephan Lewies (20) - Captain
6. Tom Lawday (18)
7. Will Evans (21)
8. Alex Dombrandt (52)
9. Danny Care (283)
10. Marcus Smith (86)
11. Cadan Murley (34)
12. Andre Esterhuizen (6)
13. Luke Northmore (8)
14. Nathan Earle (30)
15. Mike Brown (334)

Impact Players:
16. Jack Musk (12)
17. Jordan Els (2)
18. Simon Kerrod (28)
19. Glen Young (20)
20. Archie White (30)
21. Jack Stafford (0)
22. Ben Tapuai (29)
23. Tyrone Green (0)

Exeter

15 Facundo Cordero
14 Tom O’Flaherty
13 Ian Whitten
12 Ollie Devoto
11 Olly Woodburn
10 Joe Simmonds
9 Jack Maunder
1 Alec Hepburn
2 Jack Yeandle (capt)
3 Harry Williams
4 Will Witty
5 Don Armand
6 Dave Ewers
7 Jannes Kirsten
8 Sam Simmonds

16 Luke Cowan-Dickie
17 Ben Moon
18 Marcus Street
19 Tom Price
20 Richard Capstick
21 Stu Townsend
22 Harvey Skinner
23 Tom Hendrickson

I was eyeing at Quins +4.5 but a bit less confidence now seeing Chiefs pack and bench stronger than the Quins on rainy conditions.

@Chris_Lacharge
Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by CLrugby.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #46 by mackem
Couch's plays for Tri Nations and Nations Cup

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...o-22nd-november.html

twitter: @goodforthegame
The following user(s) said Thank You: CLrugby

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #47 by stokes1982
Betway ( UK site ) had under 54.5 at the beginning of the week, but it has since been removed. I also think they were the first to put up a Cheetahs cap. It's strange, they usually leave it late for rugby stuff.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #48 by Brent Graham
Don't miss tonights THE HANDICAP live at 21h00 - tonights guests - Oracle, Conductor and CLRugby

Click here to watch on You Tube


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #49 by ThoughtsOnSports
Exeter Chiefs under 28.5 at 8/10

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
3 years 4 months ago #50 by Brent Graham
A marathon show tonight and never even realised there was Pro 14

Click Here for the Podcast version

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

Powered by Kunena Forum