Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Brent Graham
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3 years 5 months ago #1 by Brent Graham

Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov was created by Brent Graham

A good weekend with the Newsletter bet Bulls -10.5 ht cap arriving and we finally hit an acca as well. Overall profitable although I did give back on a few games and left the weekend feeling I should have finished further ahead.

I didn't realise the Currie Cup starts straight away but it does and here are my Handicap predictions

Sharks -24.5 v Pumas
Griquas +15,5 v Lions
WP -3.5 v Bulls

I have not seen a line for Argentina v New Zealand yet but suspecting it may open around -12.5 and end up around -16.5

There are also Mitre 10 Cup finals, Autumn Nations Cup, Premiership and Pro 14 matches - Glasgow +4.5 v Munster on Monday night

Look forward to your contributions in our never ending battle against the books

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CLrugby
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3 years 5 months ago - 3 years 5 months ago #2 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Decent week end for me with another touch of luck to stay in the +. Sharing with you the fresh handicap from our local bookies

HB -16.5 Northland
Auckland -4.5 Tasman

NZ -16.5 Argentina

Wales +13.5 England
France -13.5 Italy

@Chris_Lacharge

Last edit: 3 years 5 months ago by CLrugby.

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Dizzle
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3 years 5 months ago #3 by Dizzle

Replied by Dizzle on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Taken some Argentina + 18 @ 1.91 with Betfair this morning

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CLrugby
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3 years 5 months ago - 3 years 5 months ago #4 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Gentlemen, I am a bit lost with this new format but can someone give some explanation about the Currie Cup starting this week? I remember Oracle mentioning the teams will keep their Super Rugby points but what about squads? Looks like same competition with a diff name to me. Thank you

@Chris_Lacharge

Last edit: 3 years 5 months ago by CLrugby.

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ThoughtsOnSports
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3 years 5 months ago #5 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Conductor is usually the most well versed on the tournament mechanics but I'll chip in with my understanding:

- Points carry over from SR Unlocked
-Semi final and final

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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landrews77
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3 years 5 months ago #6 by landrews77

Replied by landrews77 on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Wow ! That is the weekend that I am waiting for. AB vs ARGIES. The Argies looks tired, Three intensive games in a row will be too many too much. The AB's will be fresh,rectify their mistakes ,bring a high intensity to Saturday's game.The ARGIES will be humiliated this coming weekend. The AB's will win with more than a 20 point margin.
The AB's -18,5 is gold. Sanches has a niggle, another minus for the Argies.I like what IAN FOSTER said"We don't like having another team play at a higher intensity than us so we've got to go and figure out how to respond," he said.

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Dizzle
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3 years 5 months ago #7 by Dizzle

Replied by Dizzle on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

I disagree - Argentina have just as much motivation for this if not more. Playing to win the Tri Nations for the first time in their history. They aren't just going to roll over

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CLrugby
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3 years 5 months ago #8 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Dizzle wrote: I disagree - Argentina have just as much motivation for this if not more. Playing to win the Tri Nations for the first time in their history. They aren't just going to roll over

Hard one to call really, Argentina have also lost Cubelli and Imhoff and Australia should have won by 10+ with a proper hooker that can throw the ball and a more clinical finished. I would be tempted by the ABs H but I had enough of this competition and will rather enjoy the show with a cold beer !

@Chris_Lacharge

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son_of_a_punt
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3 years 5 months ago #9 by son_of_a_punt

Replied by son_of_a_punt on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Lots of rain for Glasgow tonight.

Managed to get 47.5 yesterday but best currently available is 44.5 at sporting bet at 17/20

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money

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ThoughtsOnSports
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3 years 5 months ago #10 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

That's a cracker SOAP - nice spot.

All over that unders.

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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Brent Graham
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3 years 5 months ago #11 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Opening caps out on Currie Cup - comparing to WSB in brackets to the right

Sharks -24.5 v Pumas (-20.5)
Griquas +15,5 v Lions (+13.5)
WP -3.5 v Bulls (9/10 the pair)

Argentina +17.5 v NZL which is where I was hoping it would end up

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ThoughtsOnSports
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3 years 5 months ago #12 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Taken Bulls +3.5. Should have been choice in my opinion

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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CLrugby
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3 years 5 months ago #13 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Premiership R2 is out, give you what I was predicting + Bookmakers Handicaps on right side.

Falcons (+10.5) Sharks —> +8.5
Saints (-2.5) Quins —> -2.5
Glou (+3.5) Wasps —> +4.5
Bears (-11.5) Warriors —> -10.5
Exeter (-12.5) Bath —> -16.5
Irish (+2.5) Tigers —> + 2.5

Relatively close to my predictions except on the Chiefs one but hard to go against them

@Chris_Lacharge

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Brent Graham
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3 years 5 months ago #14 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Taken Bulls +3.5. Should have been choice in my opinion

I was very close to making this a choice game and then decided WP should be slight favs

Which bookie had/s the +3.5? I only checked WSB who were choice

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Kirky
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3 years 5 months ago #15 by Kirky

Replied by Kirky on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

son_of_a_punt wrote: Lots of rain for Glasgow tonight.

Managed to get 47.5 yesterday but best currently available is 44.5 at sporting bet at 17/20

Weather's gonna be filthy. Got the 44.5 earlier today - moved to 38.5 now.
I also took 'no team to reach 20 points @ 5.10 (Sunbet) Now moved to 3.00

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Quill
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3 years 5 months ago #16 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

I took Match & Total Points Double - Munster & Under (45.5) Points @2.40, sportsbet

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Laraxwell
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3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #17 by Laraxwell

Replied by Laraxwell on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Glasgow v Munster
Under 45pts looks great
38pts is line on Bet365. Munster know their way around wet tracks so staying away from total pts
I'll try Kevin O Byrne to scire a try and smalls on James Cronin @ 3/1 and 6/1
Some Monday night cheer would be welcome
Good luck all!

Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by Laraxwell. Reason: Spelling

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Brent Graham
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3 years 4 months ago #18 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Feel Munster are raking control 15/20 -6.5 at HT

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Chiefie
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3 years 4 months ago #19 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

13-27 FT.
Under 37.5 - fail.

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CLrugby
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3 years 4 months ago #20 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Great one guys on Munster - Well played you got it right!

@Chris_Lacharge

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son_of_a_punt
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3 years 4 months ago #21 by son_of_a_punt

Replied by son_of_a_punt on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Another strong unders fancy for me here.

Hawke’s v northland:

Under 59.5 @8/10

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money

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ThoughtsOnSports
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3 years 4 months ago #22 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

SOAP on fire! Flown into that unders.

Also taken under 53.5 at 16/10 and Northland under 21.5 at 8/10

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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ThoughtsOnSports
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3 years 4 months ago #23 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Call me crazy but I fancy Wales to cover the +14.5.

England haven't beaten Wales by more than 14 points in their last 22 fixtures and you have to go back to 2006 to find the last result where England won 47-13.

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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CLrugby
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3 years 4 months ago #24 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Call me crazy but I fancy Wales to cover the +14.5.

England haven't beaten Wales by more than 14 points in their last 22 fixtures and you have to go back to 2006 to find the last result where England won 47-13.

It’s not crazy, it’s a 3 scores handicap and the past 2-3 y a Wales - England was almost a choice type of bet. Yes no crowd and yes both teams are on a different form level but does that justify 14.5?

@Chris_Lacharge

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CLrugby
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3 years 4 months ago #25 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

WP is @2 here, I find it high as their squad should be very different than the one that got a hiding few weeks ago. Is it going to be the full Stormers squad?

@Chris_Lacharge

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mackem
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3 years 4 months ago #26 by mackem

Replied by mackem on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Wales v England, Autumn Nations Cup

goodforthegame.co.za/Int-Rugby/wales-v-e...betting-preview.html

I like Wales +14.5 for 2.5 of 5 units

twitter: @goodforthegame

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mackem
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3 years 4 months ago #27 by mackem

Replied by mackem on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Argentina v New Zealand Tri Nations preview from Brent

goodforthegame.co.za/Int-Rugby/argentina...betting-preview.html

3.5 of 5 units New Zealand minus 17.5 points 9/10 WSB, Spotrtingbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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mackem
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3 years 4 months ago #28 by mackem

Replied by mackem on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Western Province v Blue Bulls Currie Cup from Brent

goodforthegame.co.za/South-Africa-Rugby/...betting-preview.html

BG happy to make an early call on WP to win, 21/20 at Betway and Playabets for 2 of 5 units

twitter: @goodforthegame

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CLrugby
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3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #29 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Sharks – 15 Manie Libbok, 14 Yaw Penxe, 13 Jeremy Ward (c), 12 Marius Louw, 11 Madosh Tambwe, 10 Curwin Bosch, 9 Sanele Nohamba, 8 Thembelani Bholi, 7 JJ van der Mescht, 6 Dylan Richardson, 5 Hyron Andrews, 4 Ruben van Heerden, 3 Thomas du Toit, 2 Kerron van Vuuren, 1 Ox Nche.

Subs: 16 Dan Jooste, 17 Khwezi Mona, 18 Hanru Jacobs, 19 Zain Davids, 20 Sikhumbuzo Notshe, 21 Cameron Wright, 22 Werner Kok, 23 Sbu Nkosi.

Stronger than expected we have H-17.5 here

@Chris_Lacharge

Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by CLrugby.

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ThoughtsOnSports
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3 years 4 months ago #30 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Premiership games:

Warriors +11.5 at 9/10 vs Bristol

This is a big cap and Bristol still missing players.

Gloucester +3.5 at 8/10

Leicester to beat London Irish at 1/1

Sale -7.5 at 15/20

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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Experienced Novice
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3 years 4 months ago #31 by Experienced Novice

Replied by Experienced Novice on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

My early treble for the weekend:

Newcastle Falcons +9.5: I always back a "newly" promoted team as they are always highly motivated against the "superior" teams plus a good away win versus Bath over the past weekend. They will want a good start on their home pitch.
Benetton -6.5: Almost had a good win vs Ospreys, i think they will relish the opportunity to play at home vs a Dragon's side who rarely travels well.
Scarlets +15.5: This cap just seems too high, even though Leinster are in ruthless form. Scarlets have not lost a home game by more than this handicap for almost two years and seem to have turned a corner.

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Kirky
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3 years 4 months ago #32 by Kirky

Replied by Kirky on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

After a run of 3 (big) loss-making weekends, it's time for my rebound - and it starts now. So, with a shake'y confidence in my ability to cherry-pick rugby winners, and in the absence of the Stigmeister's tips, I thought I'd put my li'l peanuts on the table, and make my predicts public (gulp). So here's my picks:

Gallagher Premiership - good weather conditions all round:
1. Newcastle Falcons (vs Sale) +7.5 (1 of 5 units) and maybe a 1-12 tickle on Newcastle
2. Exeter Chiefs (vs Bath) -18.5 (2/5 units)
3. Wasps (vs Gloucester) -2.5 (2/5 units)

Pro 14 - fair/good weather:
1. Connacht (vs Ospreys) -11.5 (1/5 units)
2. Leinster (vs Scarlets) -13.5 (2/5 units)
3. Benetton (vs Dragons) -7.5 (1/5 units)

For Monday Pro 14 I will take:
1. Munster (vs Zebre) -31.5 (2/5 units)
2. Ulster (vs Edinburgh) -5.5 (2/5 units) this will depend whether Edinburgh's internationals will be playing or not...

For a bit of spice in the NZ/Argy game, as I have no feel for it, I've taken 3 x (beer money) HT draw combinations at large odds.
No more accas or Mitre 10 for me, and I've no feel for our Carling Cup or the Autumn Nations either - at this time

So up to now this weekend, I'm in for almost 14 units - let's see what my return is ?
May the Punter-Gods smile down on us, guys.

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Laraxwell
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3 years 4 months ago #33 by Laraxwell

Replied by Laraxwell on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Big play on Argentina +18.5pts this weekend
They will play with big hearts and huge emotion as their country grieves
Small play on the board also at 13/2

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Laraxwell
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3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #34 by Laraxwell

Replied by Laraxwell on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Other fancies:
Treviso on the minus and a ML multi in Pro14

Too early for me to get heavily involved in Gallagher Premiership (no formlines to read)
Wasps were heavily fancied to thump Bristol last weekend. Yes, Bristol have many players out but Pat Lam has built a deep squad.
Anyhow - no play

Autumn Cup Thingy
Can't be touching Wales on the plus - ~~Navidi~~ is back but they have no form. Italy have proven a sticky side for France but still have to play the minus handicap so will try a Eng-14.5 and ~~Fra-16.5~~ double

Good luck all

Edit: In light of Bradie's post am removing Fra minus
Edit 2: Navidi not back

Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by Laraxwell. Reason: Missing info

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bradie82
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3 years 4 months ago - 3 years 4 months ago #35 by bradie82

Replied by bradie82 on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

FYI - This should be the French squad for Saturday night game vs Italy :

Neti, Mauvaka, Aldegheri - Geraci, Pesenti - Woki, Jelonch, Macalou -Serin, Jalibert - Villière, Danty, Barraque, Thomas - Dulin.

5 players who never played at international level, a lack of automatism and experience, some weak players (will not give any names) - on the bight side, the first row is used to play together (100% Toulouse), Macalou has been on fire, Serin & Jalibert used to play together and last but not least, SOAP's favourite 7s players on the field.

I am struggling to see that team smash Italy, or even to win the game so Italy +16.5 seems like a good move

Last edit: 3 years 4 months ago by bradie82.

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landrews77
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3 years 4 months ago #36 by landrews77

Replied by landrews77 on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Laraxwell , how does Argentinia team looks like ? Is the team out?

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Experienced Novice
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3 years 4 months ago #37 by Experienced Novice

Replied by Experienced Novice on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

All Blacks to cover the second half handicap of -9.5 with ease. I do not like the look of the Argentinian bench, whilst the ABs will bring on the likess of Perenara, Sotutu, Rieko Ioane and Will Jordan.

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Laraxwell
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3 years 4 months ago #38 by Laraxwell

Replied by Laraxwell on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Argentina: 15 Emiliano Boffelli, 14 Ramiro Moyano, 13 Juan Cruz Mallia, 12 Jeronimo de la Fuente, 11 Santiago Cordero, 10 Nicolas Sanchez, 9 Felipe Ezcurra, 1 Mayco Vivas, 2 Julian Montoya, 3 Santiago Medrano, 4 Guido Petti, 5 Lucas Paulos, 6 Pablo Matera (c), 7 Marcos Kremer, 8 Facundo Isa

Replacements: 16 Santiago Socino, 17 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro, 18 Lucio Sordoni, 19 Matías Alemanno, 20 Santiago Grondona, 21 Gonzalo Bertranou, 22 Santiago Carreras, 23 Lucas Mensa

Only 5 of the team retained. Still going big in the + Handicap though.
No science or mathematics in this -just a bet forged in emotion.

I get that there will be physical and emotional exhaustion in the Argentinian side, but I am thinking that the loss of Diego will light a fire and pull out a big performance.
There hasn't been 3 days mourning in Argentina since the passing of Eva Péron

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landrews77
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3 years 4 months ago #39 by landrews77

Replied by landrews77 on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Italy first Half on the plus.Italy play normally good rugby in the first half.

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CLrugby
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3 years 4 months ago #40 by CLrugby

Replied by CLrugby on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Going for Wales +21.5 x Italy +22.5 as a parlay to double money. Looks decent to me

@Chris_Lacharge

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landrews77
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3 years 4 months ago #41 by landrews77

Replied by landrews77 on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Thanx Laraxwell for the Argintine line up. May be I am gonna burn my fingers because I still like All Blacks -18,5.They are highly motivated and want to silence their critics. 4 plus tries for the AB;s also a nice bet.
The Championship title is in their radar.

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Brad Breath
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3 years 4 months ago #42 by Brad Breath

Replied by Brad Breath on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Don't enjoy betting against teams im a supporter of, but looking at the teams I just cant see how Wales will keep this close.

They may've had a small hope at full strength, but without Owens, Navidi, Tipuric & Liam Williams, they'll have next to no chance in my view.

Ireland completely out played them 2 weeks ago, then Ireland got totally smashed themselves last week by the English.
The gulf in class is enormous here.

Have taken England -13.5 @ 1.80

Awaiting tries/points lines, hoping for decent price on Wales under 1.5 tries

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ThoughtsOnSports
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3 years 4 months ago #43 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Sharks - Pumas under 50.5 at 17/20

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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Brent Graham
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3 years 4 months ago #44 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Get TOS views on the weekends action together with Hanrick Swart who returns from a layoff live at 21h00 on THE HANDICAP

Click Here to watch on You Tube

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

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Brent Graham
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3 years 4 months ago #45 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Some nice confidence from the lads - here is The Handicap as a Podcast

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

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shark prince
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3 years 4 months ago #46 by shark prince

Replied by shark prince on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Following this call from the fellas on the show this morning, great show as always - northland 20 points or less @1.87 on pointsbet seems like a gift. I took u57.5 when it came out initially and think this play will complement that nicely, I'm nervous about caps when it comes to playoffs but might go smalls on HB -24.5ish as I see value on the odds of them blowing it out

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Brent Graham
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3 years 4 months ago #47 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

Sharks v Pumas preview - did someone say Unders??

Made Northland u18.5 the newsletter bet and that's where my money is in the 1st game of the weekend

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Quill
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3 years 4 months ago #48 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic Currie Cup, Mitre 10, Autumn Nations, Tri Nations +Euro rugby 23-29 Nov

17-17 after 32 minutes, so I took Under 68.5 @1.89.

I don't think thy'll continue at the same pace into the second half, so trying to minimize the losses for now, as I'm Northland under 19.5 and total under 53.5.

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