Cape Met and all racing tips, w/c 25th January
- mackem
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Monday Fairview
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All this week's racing tips are most welcome here
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I shall be following South with his first 2 picks.
All MET tips are most welcome
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- southpaw
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As usual there’s a cracking undercard on the day and i'm moving early in hope of getting the value on some of these -
K1
Not my sort of field with a boat-race between top 2 in betting. I’ll take a small interest on 1st time from Marshall yard who has a William Longsword making debut, could become a top sire and he did train WL. Speculative but no harm @ 16/1 ew. SAFE RETURN.
K2
Starboard been knocking loudly on door but skinny price. Prefer MADELINE 16/1 ew. Bred for more ground, got going late both outings over sprint, should be more at home this trip.
K3
SUPERIOR LEADER around 5/1 ew. Winner in last outing looks a good sort so no disgrace in 3rd, back over mile should suit. As a roughie ALINGALONGA 20/1 could surprise, 2nd run after gelding with more experienced jock aboard, did catch eye with improvement last time out.
K4
Try not to fall over when u read this, but DOUBLEMINT 25/1 ew. This field is loaded with front-runners / those who like race handy, so I’m looking for them to run each other ragged and a staying type like DM to mow them down. Given an easy ride when back on track last time out, just looks a race for an upset.
K5
Still mulling over this field, will add later.
Okay so HIGH HOSANA beautifully bred, short price filly taking on boys. Big money come for Marshall debutant as well. Not very confident this race but SHELDON 12/1 ew. Formlines franked x4 from debut win, moves to DK yard and clearly an early progressive 2yr old given pace around the tight Greyville bend in that win.
K6
Hard to look past KOMMETDIEDING but @ evens is he worth a punt? Prefer CRIMSON KING 16/1 ew weighted to places, mainly on excellent run to Sentbydestiny at Greyville in GR1, ran on strongly that day. Will forgive last outing after break and down in Cape for first time and gelding. Looks a lurker.
K7
CELTIC SEA 3/1 for me looks the right one, but this is her toughest test, the fastest horses on the continent as Justin Snaith says. Erik The Red obvious danger and well in at weights, if looking for a roughie I think TEMPTING FATE 22/1 ew could pop up (fellow punter KT mentioned this one when I asked him for a view on this race last week, and I tend to agree with him). TF back to the sprints, nicely weighted and Drier not running him in this for nothing. Is a tough race and even ELUSIVE TRADER 40/1 could be one for an even bigger upset if coming at them from the back.
K8
CAPTAINS RAMSOM all the rage and nearly shortest price on card around evens. Too skinny for me, can anything beat her? Clouds Unfold obvious one but had a few tough races of late. I’m going PRETTY YOUNG THING 16/1 ew on that 3rd in Garden Provence GR1 when right on top of Celtic Sea. Should be fitter after last outing and Cheyne knows her very well.
K9
See preview.
K10
KAMPALA CAMPARI 16/ew. Extended trip and a first time so far for a number of fancied runners here. KC gets treated better at weights for most of field on last outing and has won over c/d, with Lerena keeping the ride an interesting one. If at peak fitness I think he could run into the money.
K11
No bet yet, still mulling.
K12
Big money coming for Tarantino, I had REAL GONE KID as probably best bet on card, but big respect for TARANTINO who after reviewing his last run did flash home powerfully. Would go boxed exacta the pair, cannot see anything else landing a blow.
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- mackem
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Friday at Fairview
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- mackem
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Winning Form Met Day, Saturday
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- coil
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Here are mine
Race 1
Seeking Peace my first choice, weighted on places heavily.7/1 and 7/10
Race 2
Zeta Jones was 10/1 but now 11/2 , still worth a play .
Race 3
Grand Escape at 4/1 , drawn wide but finished really well on debut .
Race 4
Hudoo Magic hopefully has settled back into the Cape, distance will suit at 5/1.
Adding Capo de Cruz at 13/1
Race 5.
High Hosanna 14/10 a little skinny , but still a confident first choice.
More to come
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- coil
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Race 6
Red Lark 25/1 my roughie but preference for this new sensation Kommitjieding at 12/10.
Race 7
Russet Air I think primed for this , 7/1.
Race 8
Chat Ching to possibly upset the top 2 , 8/1.
Race 9
What a super Met, going for Golden Ducat, thnk the prep was perfect 7/1.
Race 10
With South, Kampala ...weighted heavily places 16/1 and 28/10
Race 11
MY BEST BET .. Viridian Light ... love this filly today and hope the dirty ho delivers 4/1.
Race 12
Double Rainbow my big roughie in the last , light weight 20/1 .
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- kt6747
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Race 1 - Seeking Peace @ 7/1
I am with Coil here, if you ignore last run where was backed and never pitched, if you use the Kwinta Light as the line horse, should finish ahead of Fav.
Race 3 - Dirty Martini @ 25/1
Drawn 1 and gets Champion Jock up. If you use 2nd last run behind Warrior should finish ahead of all fav's finishing only 2l behind Warrior. Last run drawn wide so hoping for a run for my money.
Race 5 - Kwinta's Light @ 8/1
Been fav last 2 runs and run second. On a line through Winter Mosaic holds the favorite. Hoping will get out better and will use light mass to its advantage. Concern about Jock as always struggle to catch him right but worth ago at that price.
Race 6 - Northern Song @ 40/1
Won course and distance, if either top 2 in betting fluff their lines, maybe can surprise. Like Coil I am hoping Kommetideng can pull it off.
Race 7 - Tempting Fate
Tempting fate as mentioned previously by South, got on earlier in the week.
My 2nd choice is the old top sprinter, Kasimir. Yes 1000m maybe a bit short but last time up showed well against Rio and Russet Air, and is getting weight due to conditions
Race 9 - Golden Ducat
Race 10 - Kampala Campari @ 16/1
With South and Coil on this one
Race 11 - Qaarat @ 10/1
Race 12 - Ticket to Ride @ 10/1
Hope you all enjoy the racing and hope one of us get a piece of the big Pick 6
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- VanDamme
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R2 Starboard
R4 Hurricane Harry
R5 Barzalona
R6 My Bestie
R7 Celtic Sea
R8 Sing Out Loud
R9 Cirillo
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- VanDamme
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1 Warrioir Captain
2 Ra'ed ( my grandson's name ) ran on well last start and with BF's pace should win
4
5 Nussply stable hit a flat spot? Goivernor;s Glory good thing
7 Green Haze
9 Electric Boots
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- landrews77
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R7- Celtic Sea (class will prevail)
R9- Queen Supreme ( in South camp)
R10 - Attie (Ziets want to win this race)
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- kt6747
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Race 2 - Enrico Chechetti @ 40/1 & Military Quest @ 25/1
EC - 1st time having a go at distance and had some semi decent runs, stable in fair form.
MQ - Following Jock and has not the worst record at course. Fav looks hard to beat but taken weighted to places
Race 3 - Petunia @ 40/1
1st run was not that bad, drops back down and the Jock who beat the horse in 1st time up jumps up. Worth ago at those odds.
Will post anything else that jumps out later
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- kt6747
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- Experienced Novice
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Great call.
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- southpaw
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- kt6747
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In Sprint including Russet Air, drifted to 14/1 which I just think is way to big
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- southpaw
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added R11 CHILLY WINTER 16/1 ew as had left that race out.
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- coil
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Still got my Snaith in the 9th but worried the wedding is over .
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- Experienced Novice
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Golden Ducat remains an enigma to me.
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- VanDamme
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Capulet's Heart ew
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- kt6747
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Race 1 - Rock on Philly @ 12/1 & Sierra Del Torro @ 33/1
Both are very nicely bread and weighted for places.
Rock on Philly - Dam was very progressive as a young filly and Sire has produced some decent sprinters. Concern is stable normally brings them needing first time up.
Sierra Del Torro - Siblings have all bee very progressive and won early in career. Whilst doesn't look like stable elect, horses don't always know this
Race 2 - Namaqua Dove @ 16/1 & Ruby Sky @ 40/1
Namaqua Dove is extremely well bred. Concern is no money but hoping can surprise
Ruby Sky - Currently my favorite Sire in Act of War and Dam has produced some decent sprinters. Cartel Captain showed yesterday above average and on debut was some money and Dillon stays on it.
Race 3 - Izietsha @ 16/1
Top 2 look hard to oppose but on breeding been by Black Minnanloushe should enjoy step up in distance.
Enjoy the racing
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- Laraxwell
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Fine start to a Sunday!
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- coil
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