Super Rugby AU Week 1 , Pro 14, Premiership, early 6 Nations 19-21 Feb

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3 years 2 months ago #1 by Brent Graham
My worst weekend in ages and ended up tilting and giving most of January profits back

Started well with Italy o7.5 trotting up but then lost on England overs in running, Scotland minus, in running Wasps overs and finally France minus and overs

The Newsletter double Scotland onto France outright lost (damn that red card) but the weekly double figure acca was back and it landed at Playabets to ensure profits (not enough to pull me out of trouble though) - details on how to get onto our mailing list below

The 6 Nations takes a 1 week break but here are the prices for next week and we can discuss in this thread if there is any value

Italy +19.5 v Ireland
Wales +6.5 v England '
France -11.5 v Scotland

Super Rugby AU starts this weekend and I know the lads are excited - here are the current lines

Reds -8.5 v Waratahs
Force +7.5 v Brumbies - on last weeks thread CL Rugby tipped the +9.5 if I am not mistaken and on last weeks You Tube show both Jordan and TOS made the Force good things

There is also Pro 14 and Premiership action

Don’t miss our live rugby betting show THE HANDICAP “Rugby chat that matters” on Thursday night 21h00 SA time – Here is the link to view and subscribe to the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos

Chat rugby betting with us - Create a forum account www.goodforthegame.co.za/Create-an-account.html - any problems with registration e-mail This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. and This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

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Play well and I look forward to your thoughts

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3 years 2 months ago - 3 years 2 months ago #2 by son_of_a_punt
An early play from us (somewhat speculative):

Worcester warriors to beat Falcons at 2.20

Falcons had covid cases last weekend so didn't play. 4 of these cases were in the tight 5, so we are hoping some of their regulars may be missing this weekend.

Regardless, warriors at Sixways are tough to beat

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
Last edit: 3 years 2 months ago by son_of_a_punt.
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3 years 2 months ago #3 by Brent Graham
No real betting change in the Reds game but Force are now +5.5

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3 years 2 months ago #4 by Joeywallace
Waratahs plus 9.5 for me this Friday.

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3 years 2 months ago #5 by Willho2
I thought Reds were a bet at -8. Stronger everywhere bar the front 5. Tahs team look v green to me and I dont think they will do much this year with Penny in charge. Having said I dont rate Brad Thorn but he has a lot better raw materials to play with.

Others matches quite hard to call without teams.

But one price sticks out like a sore thumb ....Ospreys -11....v Zebre reserves, why only -11 should be around -22 imo.

Fancy Tigers to beat Wasps as well and Pau should do Toulon well this weekend unless Duncan Paiauuau is back. The lack of a 10 was v evident for them last wkend.

Quite like the plus on Irish as well v Bristol. Lets see the teams!
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3 years 2 months ago #6 by mackem
Big thanks to Couch Critic for this preview with the outright plays for Super Rugby AU,

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...right-best-bets.html

Top try scorer by team and some other long term plays, a good read

twitter: @goodforthegame
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3 years 2 months ago #7 by mackem

twitter: @goodforthegame

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3 years 2 months ago #8 by The Vann

mackem wrote: Big thanks to Couch Critic for this preview with the outright plays for Super Rugby AU,

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...right-best-bets.html

Top try scorer by team and some other long term plays, a good read

Thanks
Joining on O"Connor but could only find 11/2 and adding
To Win
Reds @ 9/4

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3 years 1 month ago #9 by Brent Graham
Force v Brumbies Betting Preview

The line has moved alot and I am not as confident at +5.5 levels but will have a small interest

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3 years 1 month ago #10 by Brent Graham
Reds v Waratahs Betting Preview

No strong feel for this one and the home team by under 12.5 is the call

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3 years 1 month ago #11 by Brent Graham
We are live with THE HANDICAP at 21h00 and tomights sees the return of a hooker loving old favourite and a 1st time guest dragging himself out of bed for a 5qm start in his time zone

Click Here to watch on You Tube


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3 years 1 month ago #12 by Brent Graham
I think we had some audio wobbles but great having Mitch on from Brisbane and we look forward to those weather forecasts

Couch magic to have you on again and Neal always top class jumping in to cover Euro

Here is the Podcast version

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3 years 1 month ago #13 by southpaw
Gone over 46.5 pts @ 9/10 in Perth at Sunbet

Dry perfect evening conditions by looks of things. Pitch looks firm and fast.

Line moved out a bit in last 20min with some bookies so firing now.

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3 years 1 month ago - 3 years 1 month ago #14 by Chiefie
Morning All, a few speculator tryscorers for today’s games:

Reds v Tahs
First Tryscorer: Harry Wilson 15-1
First TS: Tate McDermott 10.25-1
Last tryscorer: Tupou @41-1

Force v Brumbies
First TS: Fainga 6.25-1
Last TS: McInerney 14-1

Bath v Gloucester
Anytime TS: Dunn 3.15-1
Anytime TS: Ben Spencer 3-1

My big double:
Last TS Tupou (41) and McInerney (14) = 574-1

Worth a few Randelas for sure.
Last edit: 3 years 1 month ago by Chiefie.

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3 years 1 month ago #15 by hanrick
Unders on total points in both Aussie games for me. Looking forward to nice old Aussie shit fests. Hopefully lots of knock ons and collapsed scrums

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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3 years 1 month ago #16 by Bookie Basher

hanrick wrote: Unders on total points in both Aussie games for me. Looking forward to nice old Aussie shit fests. Hopefully lots of knock ons and collapsed scrums

Hehe the world may have changed but Hanrick certainly has not! Nice to see some consistency again! :)

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3 years 1 month ago #17 by Shazzadude
I’m on overs in the Reds-Tahs game, there have been patches of rain here in SE Queensland, but I don’t think it will matter much. Reds probably cover too.

I took Force +8.5 and ML a week ago, I’m also having a cheeky nibble on Richard Kahui LTS at $26

Kiwi living in Australia

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3 years 1 month ago - 3 years 1 month ago #18 by Shazzadude
.

Kiwi living in Australia
Last edit: 3 years 1 month ago by Shazzadude. Reason: Double post

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3 years 1 month ago - 3 years 1 month ago #19 by Laraxwell
TMO is on dope
2 tries should have been struck off with obvious forward passes.

They could do with an overhead camera
Last edit: 3 years 1 month ago by Laraxwell. Reason: Missing info

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3 years 1 month ago #20 by Bookie Basher

Laraxwell wrote: TMO is on dope
2 tries should have been struck off with obvious forward passes.

They could do with an overhead camera



I would have liked another angle for that disallowed Tahs try.

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3 years 1 month ago #21 by Chiefie
Doesn’t look like they’re televising either super rugby tournament in the UK.

Honestly. This fkn country.

Maybe they thought everyone had been killed off thanks to the governments inability to manage a pandemic.

Fuck Boris. The useless fat twat.

Does anyone have a “legal” stream?
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3 years 1 month ago #22 by coil
Under 48.5 in Perth

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3 years 1 month ago #23 by takethegap

son_of_a_punt wrote: An early play from us (somewhat speculative):

Worcester warriors to beat Falcons at 2.20

Falcons had covid cases last weekend so didn't play. 4 of these cases were in the tight 5, so we are hoping some of their regulars may be missing this weekend.

Regardless, warriors at Sixways are tough to beat


Game is cancelled

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3 years 1 month ago #24 by Chiefie
I can now see why sky sports haven’t bought the rights to Super Rugby AU.

This game is le Garbage.

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3 years 1 month ago #25 by Chiefie
Not once in the last 5 years has a force v brumbies game topped 45 points.

So yes, me backing over 46.5 points seems sensible.

Wtf.

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3 years 1 month ago #26 by coil
Watching the Leicester match , two reds cards . The order of the day atm .

Have gone under in Brive match at 50.5.

Weather for the pro 14 not as bad as the quotes , which i hate as an unders punter . No rain although has been forecast .

Thinking of Edinburgh unders though and possibly in Ospreys in running unders , hoping for that fast start in the latter one .

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3 years 1 month ago - 3 years 1 month ago #27 by Chiefie
Christophe Ridley is a disgrace of a referee.

Fire that little fuck. Joe Simmonds has just been the victim of a war crime.

Saffas Abroad Rugby ??? (@SaffasRugby) Tweeted: What’s just happened? ? SCENES

Simmonds moved? Yes or No?

#EXEvNOR
#GallagherPrem t.co/RNrb8lWOTx
Last edit: 3 years 1 month ago by Chiefie.

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3 years 1 month ago - 3 years 1 month ago #28 by coil
Brive snuck in and ospreys unders was a gem .
That ass Mike Adamson the ref in Edinburgh , he's an overs dictator , however it's drizzling there at the moment and going to pull the trigger under 38.5 and will look to press in running .
In Galway the weather is fine , quote 41.5 which should be covered, as long as it's a reasonable start I'll be on the unders there in the mid to late 40's if it gets there , Andrew Brace the ref ...generally an unders merchant.
Last edit: 3 years 1 month ago by coil.

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3 years 1 month ago #29 by coil
Half Time play Connacht match under 49.5 .

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3 years 1 month ago #30 by Laraxwell
43.5pts line feels a bit low for today's London Irish v Bristol match. Weather forecast is good for Reading today. Sure - Bristol haven't been knocking out the lights recently- this pts line has only arrived in 2 of their last 5 outings.
But London Irish matches tend to be high scoring - apart from last match at stingy Exeter- their 3 previous outings yielded 58pts, 53pts and 54pts

Over 43.5pts LI v Bristol

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3 years 1 month ago #31 by Experienced Novice
Bristol winning margin: 1 - 12

London Irish ain't no pushovers at home, quality of Bears should see them through. Reckon this might be a tussle.

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3 years 1 month ago - 3 years 1 month ago #32 by coil
Beautiful day in the UK , that line does look very low and once again the play might be in running and hope for a reasonable start and look for a late unders 40's quote . Laraxwell London Irish now playing in Brentford , their days of Reading are over but weather just the same .
Last edit: 3 years 1 month ago by coil.

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3 years 1 month ago #33 by Laraxwell
Just read up on the Brentford move now, coil.
Something that got lost in Covid

Luatua and Sheedy back for Bristol
Might help them recover their rhythm
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3 years 1 month ago #34 by Brad Breath
Bristol -6.5 @ 1.91 for me

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3 years 1 month ago #35 by Brad Breath

Brad Breath wrote: Bristol -6.5 @ 1.91 for me


Took half stake over 61.5 in play which offset this loss somewhat, but how it lost from 31-3 up, feck me.
Pat Lam will be absolutely FURIOUS!!

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