Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

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Brent Graham
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3 years 3 minutes ago #1 by Brent Graham

Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April was created by Brent Graham

It was one of those weekends where I just couldn't get going and eventually finished marginally up. This weeks newsletter best bet was a cricket one (a loser) but we did catch a nice 11.5/1 acca at Playbets

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I never got too involved and it could be the calm before the storm with Rainbow Cup starting this weekend alongside Super Rugby and GPR. There is also Varsity Cup resuming on Thursday.

Here are my Super Rugby handicap projections (I am not going to attempt the Rainbow Cup yet)

Chiefs -6.5 v Hurricanes
Force +9.5 (not sure how Reds will approach this as guaranteed top spot)
Waratahs +0.5 v Rebels
Crusaders -6.5 v Blues

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Have a good week everyone

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southpaw
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2 years 11 months ago #2 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Strong on Crusaders minus this weekend, looking around there is some -5 available.

Expecting a big improvement and focus on possession this week with a few guys returning and desire to secure top spot in table.

Blues just too unreliable at moment and expecting a win margin in double digits for Saders.

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #3 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

My caps v opening caps to the right in brackets

Chiefs -6.5 v Hurricanes (-4.5)
Force +9.5 v Reds (+9.5)
Waratahs +0.5 v Rebels (+8.5)
Crusaders -6.5 v Blues (-6.5)

Waratahs +8.5 an early interest for me

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son_of_a_punt
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2 years 11 months ago #4 by son_of_a_punt

Replied by son_of_a_punt on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Early Prem pick from us:

Quins -5.5 vs London irish @ evens.

Midday kick off. Perfect forecast. Quins with a 2 week break after this gameweek. Can honestly see it being quins by 30+

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money

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southpaw
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2 years 11 months ago #5 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Stormers v Sharks - taken Sharks +4 @ evens.

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Kirky
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2 years 11 months ago #6 by Kirky

Replied by Kirky on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Stoked up my Sunbet acct again - too many juicy offerings this weekend, and time for me to claw-back some losses. Taken:
Exeter -1.5
Harlequins -6.5
Northampton +2.5
Leinster -6.5
But I've taken a big juicy 48.64 acca (9) with those four h/caps, and five straight winners, being:
Sale. Glasgow. Gloucester. Bulls. Ospreys.

Then the question popped into my head: I wonder if any NZ Aotearoa games are happening ?
Then I thought, I don't really care

Bite the bookies boys

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Kendolph
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2 years 11 months ago #7 by Kendolph

Replied by Kendolph on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Hard to fully trust the Chiefs but I trust the Canes even less and their bench doesn't look up to much in the back particularly.

Fair go on the -5

Agree on the Crusaders sentiments and happy to take -6

Reds clearly taking the game seriously, full strength near enough so adding -9 to see off the Force

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Kirky
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2 years 11 months ago #8 by Kirky

Replied by Kirky on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Does anybody know why bookies are not pricing the Ulster vs Connacht game on Friday ?

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ThoughtsOnSports
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2 years 11 months ago #9 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Big strike on Waratahs +9.5 at 8/10

Also take Waratahs board at 2.8/1 and Tahs 1-12 at 3.5/1

Tahs over 19.5 at 9/10

Bullish on the men from Sydney this weekend.

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mackem
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2 years 11 months ago #10 by mackem

Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Couch Critic's preview of Round 10 in Australia

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...w-and-best-bets.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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Willho2
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2 years 11 months ago #11 by Willho2

Replied by Willho2 on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Cos.....99% of the world knows/assumes Ulster will play reserves.

And another main reason is that Paddy Power hasnt priced this up, so no one else has the bollocks or robots to track their prices.

If PP dont go up, normally no one else goes up in rugby world.

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #12 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Small interest Wits to beat CUT at 4/1

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mackem
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2 years 11 months ago #13 by mackem

Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Couch's preview and plays for Round 9 in New Zealand

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...-plus-best-bets.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #14 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Chiefs v Hurricanes Betting Preview

I expect a tight one and going either team by 7 or less at 29/10

Force v Reds betting preview

Reckon Force get points and taking o18.5

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ThoughtsOnSports
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2 years 11 months ago #15 by ThoughtsOnSports

Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Wits +16.5

Fire.

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #16 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Nice one on Wits TOS, I got a bit greedy with the board bet but couldn't watch and didn't want to get to involved

Mitch from Brisbane joins The Conductor and myself on tonights edition of THE HANDICAP live at 21h00

Click here to watch on You Tube

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #17 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Great having Mitch and the Conductor on and always enjoy when one on one with the latter to disrupt his drinking

Here is the Podcast Version

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #18 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Waratahs v Rebels Betting Preview

Following TOS on this one and preference for Waratahs overs (19.5 at 8/10)

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coil
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2 years 11 months ago - 2 years 11 months ago #19 by coil

Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Great show lads last night . I'm not an after result merchant but pleased I followed the unders at 50.5 as my only bet and there was definitely some squeaky bum time at the end .
I'm on Tah's plus and outright tomorra .
Can't back the Force on the plus but feel the cap is well set , instead sticking with unders 49.5 and hoping the Force can hog the ball for some time without troubling the scorers .

Last edit: 2 years 11 months ago by coil.

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bradie82
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2 years 11 months ago #20 by bradie82

Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Ulster over 3.5 tries at 2.10

J. Gray anytime at 8

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Bookie Basher
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2 years 11 months ago #21 by Bookie Basher

Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

coil wrote: Great show lads last night . I'm not an after result merchant but pleased I followed the unders at 50.5 as my only bet and there was definitely some squeaky bum time at the end .
I'm on Tah's plus and outright in the next .

Tahs only playing tomorrow, aren't they?

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coil
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2 years 11 months ago #22 by coil

Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Typo

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Bookie Basher
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2 years 11 months ago #23 by Bookie Basher

Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

coil wrote: Typo

You had me scrambling and checking my bet selections lol.

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Brad Breath
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2 years 11 months ago #24 by Brad Breath

Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Rebels out of finals race, so have taken Tahs +8 @ 1.91

Don't enjoy betting against teams I support (Cardiff) but Ospreys lineup is much superior
Ospreys -4 @ 1.91

On Crusaders -5 @ 1.91 from earlier in the week

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coil
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2 years 11 months ago #25 by coil

Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Back to the square on the day after unders doesn't arrive in Perth. Could only find plus 6.5 the Tahs and some 22/10 outright .

Tonight I'm all over Bristol and think they have a great chance of winning as well .
In Belfast on the minus 8.5 Ulster for smaller

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #26 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Nice start to the weekend with the 2 preview picks landing

Double for me tonight

Ulster o28.5
Exeter o27.5

23/10 Sunnies

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Darren
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2 years 11 months ago #27 by Darren

Replied by Darren on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Both over 20.5 and Tahs win 11/4. Rebels win 9/5. Surely worth a couple of points

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Chiefie
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2 years 11 months ago - 2 years 11 months ago #28 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Chiefie is back, back again.

Irish v Quins at 12:30.
Awesome weather and two teams scoring points.
Flying in to over 58.5 points @5/6
Both teams to score 20+ points and Quins to win @6/4 (skybet).

Also being shown on channel 5 in the UK, where I used to head up the sports marketing, so that’s a good omen.

Expecting a 45-30 scoreline.

Coil, this ones for you brother

Last edit: 2 years 11 months ago by Chiefie.

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #29 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Annoyed at giving Force and Canes profits back on Exeter (pressed points at the break)

Crusaders v Blues Betting Preview

Will look at points lines but for now hoovering up the last of the -6.5 - Harry Plummer at 10 the swinger

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2 years 11 months ago #30 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Quinn's over 32.5

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Chiefie
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2 years 11 months ago #31 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Brent Graham wrote: Quinn's over 32.5

Matthew Carley - over 50 penalties at 5/6 in play - get on it!

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Chiefie
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2 years 11 months ago #32 by Chiefie

Replied by Chiefie on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Chiefie wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Quinn's over 32.5

Matthew Carley - over 50 penalties at 5/6 in play - get on it!

Forgotten why I hate Matthew Carley so much. What a prick. Reffed the Bordeaux v Racing semi, worst game of rugby, now this. Should be reffing schoolboy level.

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Experienced Novice
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2 years 11 months ago #33 by Experienced Novice

Replied by Experienced Novice on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

From a Leinster perspective, focus and preperation for next week's massive fixture vs La Rochelle or a measly Rainbow Cup opener against Munster?

Munster winning margin by 1 - 12 @ 2/1

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2 years 11 months ago #34 by Kirky

Replied by Kirky on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Experienced Novice wrote: From a Leinster perspective, focus and preperation for next week's massive fixture vs La Rochelle or a measly Rainbow Cup opener against Munster?

Munster winning margin by 1 - 12 @ 2/1

Gave that a lotta thought before putting my loot onto Leinster: I think they're bigger than that, have the depth to hurt Munster (yet again), and be ready to beat La Roch next week too.
May the best... etc.

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #35 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Great weekend on Super Rugby hitting all 3 ganes but have given all and a bit more back in Europe - hoping this double at 24/10 puts me nicely in front

Munster o20.5
Crusaders o30.5

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southpaw
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2 years 11 months ago #36 by southpaw

Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

southpaw wrote: Strong on Crusaders minus this weekend, looking around there is some -5 available.

Expecting a big improvement and focus on possession this week with a few guys returning and desire to secure top spot in table.

Blues just too unreliable at moment and expecting a win margin in double digits for Saders.

Added:
HT/FT Saders/Saders @ 8/11
Saders over 30.5 pts @ 9/10

Kept my powder dry this weekend for this game, now quite involved. Hay fever has me awake so will be watching.

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Quill
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2 years 11 months ago #37 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Dragons vs Scarlets

It's a lovely day in Newport, if a little windy, and that wind could make life difficult for kickers. Therefore I will go for the tries instead of total points.

The Dragons' coach wants to test seven or eight of their youngsters to give them good competitive experiences over the coming months.
The Scarlets have had a lot of internationals away for a long time, and now they will have them back in the shirt.

Bet 1: Scarlets -4.5 @1.84
Bet 2: Scarlets over 3.5 tries @1.90

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2 years 11 months ago #38 by Quill

Replied by Quill on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Saracens vs Ealing

Bet 1: HT Saracens -7.5 @1.90
Bet 2: FT Saracens -16.5 @1.97

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Brent Graham
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2 years 11 months ago #39 by Brent Graham

Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby AU & AO, Rainbow Cup, GPR, Varsity Cup 22-25 April

Jeez that Saders not reaching 31 points broke me, had a big double from Munster overs and despite nailing the newsletter best bet and 3 of the 4 previews I found a way to lose this weekend.

Loads of rugby ahead though and fortunatly no real damage done

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