Rugby Championship Round 4, Currie Cup Week 10, NPC + other rugby 2-8 September

Jeez I will miss this Currie Cup!

This week the WP team news is crucial. I was expecting a bit more fire power to be announced from Province last week but thankfully they still got the job done. I'm hoping they ease another URC player or two into the mix this week but the Kwaste have looked good of late and if they use the same team this week it could prove to be a long old afternoon in Kimberley. I don't see the bookies giving us a WP plus here.

The Lions have been my darlings and the sky is the limit when they face the Griffons. Resting players for the knockouts shouldn't be much of a thing here as the likes of Morne vd Berg, Marius Louw, Nohamba, Ntlabakanye, Ruan Venter, etc are just likely to get more game time. But I don't like big handicaps like these so nothing major to look our for except perhaps Renzo to score five tries! Hahaha (He is a hooker at heart Brent, I just know it!).

Pumas and Cheetahs should be tight as. How the "mighty" have fallen from last season... The Cheetahs have lost the plot completely and at home Jimmy's crew will be desperate. But again nothing major stands out on the cap.

The Sharks will blow the Bulls out the water. Under 7.5 handicap is a steal here. Sharks might add another URC player or two whilst it now seems unlikely that the Bulls are going to use the CC as a practice run.

Have taken o57.5 in the waikato v northland game. Weather looks like it will be dry. I would have expected this game to end up over 60

Sharkster wrote: Have taken o57.5 in the waikato v northland game. Weather looks like it will be dry. I would have expected this game to end up over 60

Strongly agree on this, o56.5 @1.84 2u.

Both teams rotate heavily but plenty of firepower, plus Waikato keep Roe and Sullivan for the fireworks in the second half.

Incredible second half ...

Pablo wrote: Incredible second half ...

Would be great if we could get some scores. First half teed up the overs nicely

Standard NPC game. High scoring first half, low scoring second half

Pablo wrote: Incredible second half ...

Was on Waikato over 4.5 tries, they score 3 in 21 mins in the first, chalked that as a W in my head and almost took a live 5.5 tries but held back. Absolute poverty!

Annoying start to the betting week.

For more pain I have taken o 61.5 in the bop v manawatu. I also have some manawatu +22. I am always iffy about turbos on the plus as they are the kind of team that can score 25 and still lose by 30

I have Otago +5 and North harbour + 7 also.

Sharkster wrote: Annoying start to the betting week.

For more pain I have taken o 61.5 in the bop v manawatu. I also have some manawatu +22. I am always iffy about turbos on the plus as they are the kind of team that can score 25 and still lose by 30

I have Otago +5 and North harbour + 7 also.

Agreed on Manawatu, Otago and North Harbour spreads @Sharkster and have gone with North Harbour over 26.5 points for 2u on @1.8 . Need to do do more deep diving but I'll be moving in on Southland over 17.5 points as well @1.92

Hawkes Bay over 25.5 points @1.82 and Northland o 3.5 tries @1.6 are leans as well. All on Ladbrokes

doubler wrote:

Sharkster wrote: Annoying start to the betting week.

For more pain I have taken o 61.5 in the bop v manawatu. I also have some manawatu +22. I am always iffy about turbos on the plus as they are the kind of team that can score 25 and still lose by 30

I have Otago +5 and North harbour + 7 also.

Agreed on Manawatu, Otago and North Harbour spreads @Sharkster and have gone with North Harbour over 26.5 points for 2u on @1.8 . Need to do do more deep diving but I'll be moving in on Southland over 17.5 points as well @1.92

Hawkes Bay over 25.5 points @1.82 and Northland o 3.5 tries @1.6 are leans as well. All on Ladbrokes

I can't find any points lines on Ladbrokes in Ireland? We generally seem to get points lines late enough

Sharkster wrote:

doubler wrote:

Sharkster wrote: Annoying start to the betting week.

For more pain I have taken o 61.5 in the bop v manawatu. I also have some manawatu +22. I am always iffy about turbos on the plus as they are the kind of team that can score 25 and still lose by 30

I have Otago +5 and North harbour + 7 also.

Agreed on Manawatu, Otago and North Harbour spreads @Sharkster and have gone with North Harbour over 26.5 points for 2u on @1.8 . Need to do do more deep diving but I'll be moving in on Southland over 17.5 points as well @1.92

Hawkes Bay over 25.5 points @1.82 and Northland o 3.5 tries @1.6 are leans as well. All on Ladbrokes

I can't find any points lines on Ladbrokes in Ireland? We generally seem to get points lines late enough

Ladbrokes in Australia, Bet365 and Sportsbet don't have them yet. Same thing for us with Currie Cup, no markets yet, but that's what I've grabbed so far.

Points lines for NPC games:

Auckland 33.5/ North Harbour 26.5- Total 60.5
Wellington 38.5/ Southland 17.5- Total 55.5
Canterbury 29.5/ Otago 24.5- Total 54.5
Tasman 29.5/ Hawkes Bay 25.5- Total 55.5
Taranaki 34.5/ Waikato 20.5- Total 55.5
Northland 30.5/ Counties 27.5- Total 58.5

Hope this helps

Brent Graham wrote: Bok and AB teams announced

Been some money for the All Blacks, handicap now generally -4.5 SA

The AB's without Clarke and Blackadder who for me were two of their strongest last week

Pollard in at 10 for the Boks and Le Roux at 15, Kolisi fit

Razor put Barrett and Perenara on the bench because he wants them to come in and win the game for the All Blacks.

doubler wrote: Points lines for NPC games:

Auckland 33.5/ North Harbour 26.5- Total 60.5
Wellington 38.5/ Southland 17.5- Total 55.5
Canterbury 29.5/ Otago 24.5- Total 54.5
Tasman 29.5/ Hawkes Bay 25.5- Total 55.5
Taranaki 34.5/ Waikato 20.5- Total 55.5
Northland 30.5/ Counties 27.5- Total 58.5

Hope this helps

Cheers. Some points lines out now over here

WP Now -14 against the griquas. Also have another one from the English rugby league. Hull kr are playing Wigan tomorrow night and are getting a 6 point start. I’ll be taking this as they are the best side in the league at the minute. I had this as down as a close game with KR as slight favs. Wigan are a top side but not on the same level as previous years. Can see points in this one

Griquas over 26.5 pts @ 5/6

Feel this is within range, as Brent says playing some good rugby towards end of season. A scorcher in Kimberley tomorrow.

In sadder news the Currie cup overs goldmine in recent weeks has landed me with a stakes limit with one UK bookie. Will have to hunt around more, such bollocks. If the UK bookies want to cover these games expect those more familiar with Currie Cup to take them on.

Manawatu +24.5 , on the basis that they have been competitive in their last two losses......

You would think BoP would get fed up of scoring and take a rest .....

Manawatu can consider themselves lucky not to get nilled today.

I'm on a loss hattrick ! Griqua are +12 I see .......

Bad read by me on the turbos plus, points sail in however. Sometimes you know that a bet comes with a big risk but you place it anyway. That's a leak I need to plug

Colomiers -12.5 ha @1.90 2u

In the always interesting Pro D2 I go with this line today. Before lineups I'd put this around 15 points difference, and Aurillac without Delarue, Rodgers, Nioradze, Manufetoa and Coertzen. Plus they lost a lot in the off season (Plantier, Palmier, Aucagne and Powell)

Colomiers full strength so going confident here. For me expected result should be around 33-15 so value in the home side.

Renzo hattrick @8

Dweba ATS @1.72

Lions vs Griffons - First 10 minutes over 7.5 points @2

Lions over 9.5 tries @1.72

NRL bet:

2 time defending champions Penrith Panthers need some points and some to get back to top spot in the league coming towards the end of the season as they will get more rest and favourable match ups in the playoffs. Going against the Titans who have nothing to play apart from not getting the wooden spoon.

Best bet for 2u:
Panthers over 6.5 tries @2.05 on bet365

Griquas pts line out from 26.5 to 28.5 so hoping that's a positive and need a fast start from the home side.

These line outs by Western Province are terrible!

doubler wrote: These line outs by Western Province are terrible!

Not really, that's the standard when Dweba plays lol, guy cant do the basics, yet he is still employed to play Rugby....

Naidoo wrote:

doubler wrote: These line outs by Western Province are terrible!

Not really, that's the standard when Dweba plays lol, guy cant do the basics, yet he is still employed to play Rugby....

Aimee Barrett Theron. What a pleasure.

Penalty machine.

Chiefie wrote:

Naidoo wrote:

doubler wrote: These line outs by Western Province are terrible!

Not really, that's the standard when Dweba plays lol, guy cant do the basics, yet he is still employed to play Rugby....

Aimee Barrett Theron. What a pleasure.

Penalty machine.

This one scrum has taken 4 minutes

Sharks have put out a decent side. Bulls have done an about turn and put out a virtual URC side. Just the messenger here! Actually watching WP play it looks like their URC guys need a run under their belt after such a long break.

GeeGee wrote: Sharks have put out a decent side. Bulls have done an about turn and put out a virtual URC side. Just the messenger here!

10 points in 2 minutes to save my bet.

Good lord how.

Nice one - sadly I got robbed on the overs thanks to that disallowed try in the last 10. You will never convince me otherwise that the final pass was flat out of the hand.

Thats my hattrick!

No better feeling than the Currie cup delivering Friday afternoon week after week. Griquas on their day can take any side this competition.

southpaw wrote: No better feeling than the Currie cup delivering Friday afternoon week after week. Griquas on their day can take any side this competition.

Got myself sucked in here, went over 77.5 points in this lions game.

What a dumbass I am.

Like, who does that?! Lol

Chiefie wrote:

southpaw wrote: No better feeling than the Currie cup delivering Friday afternoon week after week. Griquas on their day can take any side this competition.

Got myself sucked in here, went over 77.5 points in this lions game.

What a dumbass I am.

Like, who does that?! Lol

You are not the only one in the o79.5 enjoying this show ...

Talking about Top14 that starts tomorrow I went:

U49.5 montpellier-lyon @1.87 2u

Looks like weather will be awful and line is high for me in this conditions. I had a 46-47 points match with mean conditions so around 40-41 if forecast is correct

Pro d2

Grenoble -2,5 @ 1,65

Pablo wrote: Colomiers -12.5 ha @1.90 2u

In the always interesting Pro D2 I go with this line today. Before lineups I'd put this around 15 points difference, and Aurillac without Delarue, Rodgers, Nioradze, Manufetoa and Coertzen. Plus they lost a lot in the off season (Plantier, Palmier, Aucagne and Powell)

Colomiers full strength so going confident here. For me expected result should be around 33-15 so value in the home side.

Not even close ...

Still mulling over bok game points.

However pumas aus later Saturday I feel the line is too low. Perfect conditions, day kick off, pitch looks supreme, I see points in this one and a line a couple under bok nz game doesn’t make sense.

Arg v aus over 48.5 pts @ 10/11

Hull KR +6 lands, hope a few of you got on. The overs goes in too. Had it in a double with the lions minus

southpaw wrote: Still mulling over bok game points.

However pumas aus later Saturday I feel the line is too low. Perfect conditions, day kick off, pitch looks supreme, I see points in this one and a line a couple under bok nz game doesn’t make sense.

Arg v aus over 48.5 pts @ 10/11

POINTS! POINTS! POINTS! That's what my models are telling me for tomorrow's 2 Rugby Champ games. Will jump on both matches in singles with the overs. Can see all 4 teams scoring around the 30 points mark.

See both games being close at full time for the winner's market, with home teams just getting it. So no value for me tomorrow playing either handicap/winners market.

Love the Carreras match up tomorrow and confident in him dotting down.

Try scorer Nibbles:

Cortez Ratima (NZ) @ 4.5
Mateo Carreras (ARG) @ 2.75

Cheeky double paying 11.70