2024 NFL Season - Week 6

NFL Week 6 Schedule (SA time in brackets)

Bye Week: Chiefs, Rams, Dolphins, Vikings

Thursday Night Football (Friday 02:15am)
49ers @ Seahawks

Sunday Games (15:30 kick off - International Game played in London)
Bears vs Jaguars

Sunday Games (7pm kick offs)
Commanders @ Ravens
Cardinals @ Packers
Texans @ Patriots
Bucs @ Saints
Browns @ Eagles
Colts @ Titans

Sunday Games (10pm kick offs)
Chargers @ Broncos
Steelers @ Raiders
Falcons @ Panthers
Lions @ Cowboys

Sunday Night Football (Monday 02:20am)
Bengals @ Giants

Monday Night Football (Tuesday 02:15am)
Bills @ Jets

College Football is also on this weekend, and all tips are welcomed. Good luck if betting and following the topic this week.

Thursday Night Football (Friday 02:15am)
49ers @ Seahawks

Jordan Mason (49ers) over 83.5 rushing yards @1.88
This is one prop I was keen on. Expecting 49ers to keep this game primarly on the ground and run alot. I definitely see this line moving come game time.

doubler wrote: Thursday Night Football (Friday 02:15am)
49ers @ Seahawks

Jordan Mason (49ers) over 83.5 rushing yards @1.88
This is one prop I was keen on. Expecting 49ers to keep this game primarly on the ground and run alot. I definitely see this line moving come game time.

Thanks Doubler for this and I am also going early on TNF game. Similar to your thinking but I am going after a bigger price. Seahawks rush defense is terrible and Mason can go really big in prime time.

Also, 49ers are struggling containing big plays through the air. 4/5 games have seen 35+ long receptions against the 49ers this season (36, 97,50,50 and last game just missed at 34). Geno Smith has plenty of weapons to find a big play, and despite being 2/5 on his long completion line, the game script and the weapons at his disposal, means a 40+ yard play is easily achievable.

Jordan Mason (49ers) 100+ Rushing Yards @ 2/1 (Sportingbet)
Geno Smith (Seahawks) over 35.5 Longest Completion @ 0.87/1 (Sportingbet)

CFB Saturday/Sunday

Ryan Williams (Alabama) over 29.5 longest reception @1.86 on bet365 2u
Williams is the FBS leader yard per reception and has gone over this number in all four games. Alabama is not a typical red zone team,the yards for receivers come in big chunks, catch and run. that's a copy and paste from last week where Williams finished with 58 as his longest reception .Back to this game, South Carolina gave up over 29.5 yard completions 3 times last week, and have given over this number in all games played this year. Come SEC powerhouse in Alabama, with a projected 1st round NFL draft pick, I feel like this number is low and would take this up to 34.5. Williams has gone over this number in all games this season.

Pittsburgh -3.5 over California @1.95 on bet365
Definitely a tough ask for Cal to fly across country after blowing a 25 point lead to Miami on Sunday. Pittsburgh is way better than projected, sitting at 5-0. Eli Holstein and the re-worked offense could have some similar success moving the ball down the field through the air or through their running back Rodney Harrison.

Penn State -4.5 over USC @1.85 on Sportsbet
Penn State has a major advantage along the lines of scrimmage that will make it extremely difficult for USC to hang over the course of four quarters. Abdul Carter and the rest of the team front should be in Miller Moss' face all day and even if Penn State's offense is slow to get going the ground game should be effective.

Clemson -10.5 1st half over Wake Forest @1.86 on 365
Case of a fast starting team vs a slow starting team, Clemson time of possession in the first half against opponents is also a huge difference here.

Sunday 15:30 London game
Bears vs Jaguars

DJ Moore (Bears) over 62.5 receiving yards @1.88 on Ladbrokes
I personally don't mind the 63.5 on bet 365 @1.86 either
DJ Moore and Caleb Williams are coming off their best games of the season and I like their chances of keeping momentum rolling in what is a good matchup on paper. Now they get to face a terrible secondary here that also doesn't generate a ton of pass rush. Keenan Allen is still trying to find his way, and downfield receivers have given the Jags fits. Jags have second worst pass rating allowed on targets to WRs in the NFL. Top guys go off on them and they're 28th in yards/attempt. They've given up the fourth-most completions of 25+ to WRs in the NFL. Moore could have back-to-back 100 yards games here.

doubler wrote: Sunday 15:30 London game
Bears vs Jaguars

DJ Moore (Bears) over 62.5 receiving yards @1.88 on Ladbrokes
I personally don't mind the 63.5 on bet 365 @1.86 either
DJ Moore and Caleb Williams are coming off their best games of the season and I like their chances of keeping momentum rolling in what is a good matchup on paper. Now they get to face a terrible secondary here that also doesn't generate a ton of pass rush. Keenan Allen is still trying to find his way, and downfield receivers have given the Jags fits. Jags have second worst pass rating allowed on targets to WRs in the NFL. Top guys go off on them and they're 28th in yards/attempt. They've given up the fourth-most completions of 25+ to WRs in the NFL. Moore could have back-to-back 100 yards games here.

Doubler has done a brilliant job with this write up. Thanks mate, and I want to add on a little for my bet.

Jags have been terrible since last season stopping opposing RBs from receptions and receiving yards. D'Andre Swift has become a pivotal duel threat for the Bears this season and his lining up at times as a receiver.

Jags are playing Cover defense alot and that means Swift will be open as a receiver imo. He has covered this line in each of his last four games this season and should comfortably beat it once again.

D'Andre Swift (Bears) over 17.5 Receiving Yards @ 0.87/1 (Sunbet)

doubler wrote: Thursday Night Football (Friday 02:15am)
49ers @ Seahawks

Jordan Mason (49ers) over 83.5 rushing yards @1.88
This is one prop I was keen on. Expecting 49ers to keep this game primarly on the ground and run alot. I definitely see this line moving come game time.

Mason had 65 rushing yards with 9 mins left in the 1st half on the way to a possible 150yard game, then got tackled and lands on his shoulder. They put him in for one snap in the second but couldn't continue, ends with 73 yards. As Naidoo always says injuries in this game are a prop bet enemy.

Saturday parlay for the 3 CFB games @6.65 on 365 1u

Billy Edwards (Maryland) 250+ passing yards/

UNLV -6.5 1st half + Spencer Petras (Utah State) 250+ passing yards/

Micah Bernard (Utah) 75+ rushing yards

doubler wrote: Saturday parlay for the 3 CFB games @6.65 on 365 1u

Billy Edwards (Maryland) 250+ passing yards/

UNLV -6.5 1st half + Spencer Petras (Utah State) 250+ passing yards/

Micah Bernard (Utah) 75+ rushing yards

Good to start the weekend with a no sweat bet. Back later with more bets

CFB Saturday early games 3 bets

Parlay with alt lines @3.08 1.5u
Wisconsin +5.5 against Rutgers
Army -22 against UAB/
Arizona +7.5 against BYU/

Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) anytime touchdown @1.83

Ja'Corey Brooks (Louisville) over 77.5 receiving yards @1.86

Hey Doubler, just wanted to say thanks for all these College bets every week. I don't follow College Football so, can't really contribute my own bets but your bets and insights are really appreciated mate.

No worries Naidoo, team work makes the dream work.

NFL Sunday Bets
Will edit this post tomorrow with any additional bets. Goodluck gents.

Sunday 3pm Game
D'Andre Swift (Bears) over 17.5 Receiving Yards @ 0.87/1 (Sunbet)

Sunday 7pm Games
Bucs Win & Chris Godwin (Bucs) 50+ Receiving Yards @ 13/10 (Sportingbet)
Derrick Henry (Ravens) over 17.5 Yards Longest Rush @ 0.78/1 (Sportingbet)
Austin Ekeler (Commanders) over 20.5 Receiving Yards @ 8/10 (Sportingbet)

Sunday 10pm Game
Cedee Lamb (Cowboys) over 25.5 Longest Reception @ 0.91/1 (Sportingbet)
Jameson Williams (Lions) over 21.5 Longest Reception @ 0.91/1 (Sportingbet)

NFL Sunday bets

3pm
Bears vs Jaguars
1st drive outcome both teams no score @2.45 on bet365
Market is under same game multi,then 1st drive outcome, then change it to 2-way not 4-way

7pm
Saquon Barkley (Eagles) over 85.5 rushing yards @1.9 widely available
SGP: Derrick Henry (Eagles) 70+ rushing yards and Ravens ML @1.91 on Ladbrokes

10pm
SGP: Darnell Mooney (Falcons) 50+ receiving yards /Kirk Cousins (Falcons) over 1.5 passing touchdowns @2.75 on 365

Naidoo wrote: NFL Sunday Bets
Will edit this post tomorrow with any additional bets. Goodluck gents.

Sunday 3pm Game
D'Andre Swift (Bears) over 17.5 Receiving Yards @ 0.87/1 (Sunbet)

Sunday 7pm Games
Bucs Win & Chris Godwin (Bucs) 50+ Receiving Yards @ 13/10 (Sportingbet)
Derrick Henry (Ravens) over 17.5 Yards Longest Rush @ 0.78/1 (Sportingbet)
Austin Ekeler (Commanders) over 20.5 Receiving Yards @ 8/10 (Sportingbet)

Sunday 10pm Game

Cedee Lamb (Cowboys) over 25.5 Longest Reception @ 0.91/1 (Sportingbet)
Jameson Williams (Lions) over 21.5 Longest Reception @ 0.91/1 (Sportingbet)

Was this a full house? :

dholliday wrote:

Naidoo wrote: NFL Sunday Bets
Will edit this post tomorrow with any additional bets. Goodluck gents.

Sunday 3pm Game
D'Andre Swift (Bears) over 17.5 Receiving Yards @ 0.87/1 (Sunbet)

Sunday 7pm Games
Bucs Win & Chris Godwin (Bucs) 50+ Receiving Yards @ 13/10 (Sportingbet)
Derrick Henry (Ravens) over 17.5 Yards Longest Rush @ 0.78/1 (Sportingbet)
Austin Ekeler (Commanders) over 20.5 Receiving Yards @ 8/10 (Sportingbet)

Sunday 10pm Game

Cedee Lamb (Cowboys) over 25.5 Longest Reception @ 0.91/1 (Sportingbet)
Jameson Williams (Lions) over 21.5 Longest Reception @ 0.91/1 (Sportingbet)

Was this a full house? :

Yes, thanks, managed to finish 6-0 on yesterday slate. NFL betting has been really good this season, with special thanks to Doubler who is providing valuable insight and bets every week.

Thanks Naidoo, I finished abit iffy on my bets but yours definitely helped line up the coffers again. Will try and keep the volume low for this week.

CFB Indiana has been an autobet for me this season and they have covered the spread in all games. Looking at the -6.5 on Sportsbet / -7 on other books against Nebraska and I might get to the window with that one early.

Wow - did not follow this week as was busy but some great tipping Naidoo!

Let’s keep it going