Super Rugby Week 5, 6 Nations Week 5 + other rugby

Enjoying this play from the bulls a lot, just really good to watch

Chiefs V Bulls 10 point rule in play

I can't fathom that this is the same team I watched play the Reds last week

Chiefs -1 in play @2.00

On Bulls +17.5 at evens, taking smalls to hedge due to the #10PointHomeRule

Chiefs +4.5 the call
Can Bulls keep this up for another 40?

Taylor wrote: I can't fathom that this is the same team I watched play the Reds last week

Chiefs -1 in play @2.00

The Reds are starting to look very good for their +7.5 v jaguares

RuggaBugga wrote: On Bulls +17.5 at evens, taking smalls to hedge due to the #10PointHomeRule

Chiefs +4.5 the call
Can Bulls keep this up for another 40?

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
(B) (B) (B)

Bulls really impressive 1st half but no composure 2nd, however that disallowed try was a poor call and they can feel a bit unlucky on that.

Enjoyable game to watch.

southpaw wrote: Bulls really impressive 1st half but no composure 2nd, however that disallowed try was a poor call and they can feel a bit unlucky on that.

Enjoyable game to watch.

Have to disagree there, the Bulls player knew what he was doing and even waved him through the gap he was creating

Taylor wrote:

southpaw wrote: Bulls really impressive 1st half but no composure 2nd, however that disallowed try was a poor call and they can feel a bit unlucky on that.

Enjoyable game to watch.

Have to disagree there, the Bulls player knew what he was doing and even waved him through the gap he was creating

disagree, Retallick was never going to get to Gellant, no chance. Watch it again. But another example of referees reffing what's on paper and not in front of them. Same as card at end - should have been red, but rulebook says to allow for mitigation like slipping/player already going to ground. So ref follows that, whereas ever person could see that was a swinging arm, late to the head with intent, should have been red.

For the Landers vs Saders game tomorrow, cut are out and I finf them a bit low so going with few:

Over 6.5 tries @ 1.95
Over 52.5 @ 1.90
Over 2.5 tries HT @1.60
Over 1.5 tries Landers HT @1.95
Over 1.5 tries Saders HT @ 2.25

Great day's rugby tomorrow, have taken following, mix of early week punts and today:

Sharks win 10/11
Blues win 10/11
Highlanders win @ 10/11

also added above at shorter odds with Jaguares win - acca @ 6/1

Looking at fixed odds points when more markets open up.

Happy enough with 2 tries for Rossouw though would have preferred them to come after the break rather than before! Have had a look at tonight's Superleague games and arrived at the following bets.

Leeds +10.5 at 5/6 with Spreadex. I agree with Racing Post preview that Leeds should be capable of staying within a double digit start.

Buy Hull hotshots at 48 with Spreadex (Shaul, Tuimavave, Talanoa, Connor). SPIN are 53 for the same quartet and I feel there's value in paying less than 2 tries for those 4 players against a Salford team they should beat fairly comfortably.

In the same game, Evalds to score a try at 9/4 with Skybet and (with any spare change) to score the 1st try at 18/1. I'm inclined to agree with the rest of the market that he's no more than a 2/1 shot to score a try. 1st price may be pushed out a bit far as well.

Only 4 EPL matches so fooling around loading Super Rugby odds and dropped a case of beer on this when it popped up
All to win
Saders/Brumbies/Stormers/Reds/Rebels @ 77/1

Taking the Cardiff Blues -11.5 vs Benetton. Haven't been impressed with Benetton and Cardiff get some players back from injury.

Backing Cardiff -10 in their Pro 14 game tonight vs Benetton.

I like the team they have picked which includes the returning Halaholo and no less than 6 internationals on the bench.

Might also have a small play on overs, the line being 42.5.
The last 3 times these teams have played there's been in excess of 60 points.

Weather here in Cardiff has been fine and dry all day but I see there are light showers forecast. (Although it's a 4G pitch so only somewhat relevant)

The Missing Link wrote: Taking the Cardiff Blues -11.5 vs Benetton. Haven't been impressed with Benetton and Cardiff get some players back from injury.

Just seen your post now TML. Glad we're on the same page

southpaw wrote: Great day's rugby tomorrow, have taken following, mix of early week punts and today:

Sharks win 10/11
Blues win 10/11
Highlanders win @ 10/11

also added above at shorter odds with Jaguares win - acca @ 6/1

Looking at fixed odds points when more markets open up.

Naholo has looked strong of late and 9/1 1st try worth a small nibble tomorrow am.

Two charge down tries for Benetton, very annoying to watch.

The Missing Link wrote: Two charge down tries for Benetton, very annoying to watch.

Now Cardiff have their 8th man filling in at scrumhalf. If this handicap gets over the line I will go to church on Sunday

If you ever needed an illustration of just how important your scrum half is, particularly in an attacking sense - Cardiff in the 2nd half gave a perfect example.

Pretty frustrating game although points bolted in.

Onwards and upwards.

Pretty happy with the Highlanders win @ 2.2 and also +2 placed earlier this week, particularly as Whitelock now out for Crusaders.

Ploughed through three NRL games and thought it was going to be a "no bet" scenario but found one.

Storm v Tigers: Croft to score a try at 4 on BF

Was going to take the 12/5 or 9/4 on offer with a few firms so surprised to get that much more on the exchange. Unless someone knows something I don't, that's a decent value bet.

One bet in the (for me) early Super Rugby games.

Brumbies v Sharks: Mapimpi to score a try at 2/1 with 365

Either side of evens with other firms, definitely too big for me at 7/4 or better.

Highlanders 1-12 and Sharks 1-12 on top of the Landers +1.5 and Sharks outright taken earlier, low units for all though.

Taken Crusaders 1-12 as my main bet and 1-7 either way as a cover bet (small units mind you).
Yeah they are down on troops but the Crusaders still have plenty of fire power and i very much doubt they will get sucked into wide running game like last week...they should play a forwards game and try and control the tempo - line out maul and scrum type game...they seldom play two bad games in a row and will be filthy with themselves after last week. To be fair it could go either way.
I like the Sharks 1-12, Blues head 2 head, Lions on the minus, Reds and Rebels head to head.
Good luck people!!

Super Rugby Punts:

Landers 1-12
Lions for a smaller win margin onto Rebels for a +7.5 plus
Lions game - anytime tryscorer Kwagga @ 13/10

Staying clear of Sharks and Stormers games this weekend as really feel they can go either way

Sharks over 11.5 first half points at WSB.

And half a unit on:
Stormers/Blues Halftime/Fulltime.

Highlanders -1.5 for me, just too many injuries for Saders

Also a go on Highest scoring half - 1st half @ 2.00, have noticed a trend of a lot of high scoring first halves so far this season, worth a go here

Crusaders to win and over 50.5 match points at 28/10 for me

Adding the over as well, over 52.5

Saders +3.5 @ 1.93

Brumbies v Sharks
Buy total points @ 49

With this wet weather in Jozi today, shouldn't we be expecting a much lower scoring game in the lions sunwolves game, than the points bloodbath we initially predicted earlier in the week?

Sharks to win @ 1.85

Taylor wrote: Sharks to win @ 1.85

Also, Brumbies time of first penalty - before 39mins 15 secs @ 1.86 at B365. Don't understand this massive time period for this, seems too good to be true

nice start to day, need Sharks now to keep it going.

Adding another big priced acca:

Sharks
Blues
Scotland Over 4.5 tries
England Over 18.5 pts
France Over 17.5 pts
Rebels Over 24.5 pts
Jaguares -6.5

53/1

sebokeng wrote: With this wet weather in Jozi today, shouldn't we be expecting a much lower scoring game in the lions sunwolves game, than the points bloodbath we initially predicted earlier in the week?

How bad is the wet weather. Was lining up an unders play on Wolves points, but after getting burned last week in Durban I'm weary.

Taylor wrote:

Taylor wrote: Sharks to win @ 1.85

Also, Brumbies time of first penalty - before 39mins 15 secs @ 1.86 at B365. Don't understand this massive time period for this, seems too good to be true

And it only took 7mins, bizarre from the bookie but I'm not complaining

heads up for tomorrow, will be a daytime kickoff in Sydney, very warm, expecting this to be good for some running rugby. Last year same game also a daytime ko produced over 70pts.

Taken over 51.5 pts @ 5/6.

Agree Brent. I have over estimated the Sharks badly this year. They are a terrible side and should be opposed from now on.

The Vann wrote: Brumbies v Sharks
Buy total points @ 49

Its White - Its Oval and you are supposed to catch it you dorks

The Vann wrote:

The Vann wrote: Brumbies v Sharks
Buy total points @ 49

Its White - Its Oval and you are supposed to catch it you dorks

It's an absolute shocker of a game....

That was awful rugby but I don't think the Sharks can play worse and the Brumbies looked horrific on attack. I like a couple of the guys on the Sharks bench especially seeing Jean Luc back and think he'll be introduced very early if not at halftime. Sharks +6.5 for me and a little bit on Sharks win and under 34.5 points @7.25/1. Just think that's value as oppose to the Sharks win @2/1, there's no ways the Sharks can win this if the Brumbies score more than 17 points in my opinion. Already kicking myself for not going unders, it has been the bet every time two bad teams play

as a Sharks fan it pains me to watch this but have to agree with hanrick, i too have badly over-estimated them this season and they have zero gameplan right now. Missing du Preez twins badly and need to get ball to Esterhuizen this 2nd half, hardly been mentioned and was strong last few games.

After watching this I'm taking the Lions -35.5. This Sharks team is awful. Can't think of another game I've seen so many penalties