We take a look at 3 of the English Premier League matches taking place this weekend including of course the big Manchester Derby and we suggest a bet in each of the games.
Just a reminder that there is Long Term Betting continuously updated and the Outright Betting has tightened up a bit in recent weeks and Liverpool have made a run to challenge City. City are currently 1/4 favourites and you can get 11/4 Liverpool.
Click here for all the long term markets
SATURDAY
LEICESTER v LEEDS
Leicester are currently 12th on the table and got a much needed 3 points when they beat Burnley 2-0 on the road last time out. Overall at home they have won 5 and drawn 3 of their 12 matches and a closer look at their goal scoring record in front of their own fans shows that Leicester games averaged 3.3 goals each with just over 50% of them reaching the 3 goal mark.
Leeds is languishing down at 16th on the table and are without a win in their last 6 games losing their last 4. They were hammered 4-0 at home by Tottenham last time out and prior to that lost 6-0 on the road to Liverpool. Leeds have only won twice in 13 attempts on the road and while those games have been high scoring averaging 3.8 goals each only 14 have been scored by Leeds while conceding 35 to the opposition.
BETTING – Click here to bet
Leicester 8/10
Draw 11/4
Leeds 29/10
Suggested Bet: Leicester win at 8/10
I was tempted by the over 2.5 goals, but at 8/15 it is a bit short for my liking and will go with Leicester to beat a Leeds side that is really struggling on the road.
LIVERPOOL v WEST HAM
Liverpool are 2nd on the log and are unbeaten in their last 7 and have won 6 in a row most recently hammering Leeds 6-0 at home. Liverpool have yet to taste defeat at home this season, winning 10 and drawing 3 and their home games have averaged 3.3 goals each with Liverpool scoring 36 and conceding just 7.
West Ham are currently 5th on the log with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 4 starts. Their last game was a 1-0 win at home to Wolves and their last away game was a 2-2 draw at Leicester. West Ham away matches have averaged 2.8 goals each with just over 50% hit rate for those backing over 2.5 goals.
West Ham won the reverse fixture 3-2 at home earlier in the season and that broke a run of 4 successive Liverpool victories in the League.
BETTING – Click here to bet
Liverpool 3/10
Draw 9/2
West Ham 8/1
Suggested Bet: Over 3.5 goals at 5/4
These sides have tended to produce some classics and this bet would have arrived in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches in the League.
SUNDAY
MANCHESTER CITY v MANCHESTER UNITED
Manchester City are top of the log, 6 points clear of Liverpool in 2nd place, but having played a game more. They have only lost once in their last 10 starts and that was in their penultimate match at home Tottenham when they went down 3-2. Their last game was a 1-0 away win over Everton.
Overall at home this season City have played 13 times winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 2 and while their home games have averaged 3.5 goals each this is mainly due to City scoring almost 3 goals a game while conceding under 1 a match to the opposition.
Manchester United are currently 4th on the log having only lost once in their last 10 matches. Last time out they drew 0-0 at home to Watford and their last away game was 4-2 win over Leeds.
Overall on the road this season they have won 6, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their 13 matches and looking at their goal scoring stats on their travels, Manchester United games have averaged 3.2 goals each with just over 50% of them delivering profits for over 2.5 goal backers.
City beat United 2-0 on the road in the reverse fixture, but United won this fixture last season by the same margin.
BETTING – Click here to bet
Manchester City 4/10
Draw 7/2
Manchester United 13/2
Suggested Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 13/10.
Manchester derbies have tended to be tight of late and this bet would have arrived in the last 4 head-to-head League meetings between the sides. I think Manchester United will try and keep things as tight as possible and that Unders is some decent value at current price.
Note: All prices correct at the time of writing but are subject to change