France host Scotland in the final match of the 2025 Six Nations in Paris on Saturday and by kick off time Les Bleus will know what they require to win the title.
France v Scotland, Saturday 15th March, Paris, KO 22:00 (South African time)
Referee: Matthew Carley (RFU)
Assistant Referees: Karl Dickson (RFU), Eoghan Cross (IRFU)
TMO: Marius van der Westhuizen (SARU)
Weather Forecast: Paris
France
Following the penultimate round of matches France topped the standings with 16 log points, 1 ahead of England (away to Wales earlier in the day and 2 better off than Ireland (away to Italy in the first match of the day). That means the destiny of the title is very much in their own hands and the outright markets have them trading at around 1/10 to be crowned champions.
In Round 4 the crucial match up with Ireland in Dublin saw France come away with a 42-27 victory in what the bookmakers had made near enough a choice game. They had their noses in front after a first half which had seen Les Bleus lose Dupont to a nasty looking injury but they pulled away in the second 40 minutes and scored a total of 5 tries including 2 more for Bielle-Biarrey.
Away to Italy in Round 3 France came away with a record score, 73-24. Les Bleus went into their Round 2 clash with England at Twickenham as favourites, however it was England who edged the contest 26-25 thanks to a late converted try. France thrashed Wales 43-0 in Paris in the opening round and this will be their first home fixture since then.
Fixtures & Results: R1 Wales (h) won 43-0, R2 England (a) lost 26-25, R3 Italy (a) won 73-24, R4 Ireland (a) won 42-27, R5 Scotland (h)
Scotland
Scotland are fourth with 11 points and a record of 2 wins and 2 defeats, 5 shy of France and they would need more than a miracle to catch France who's points difference is vastly superior to anyone else in the tournament.
In Round 4 Scotland beat Wales 35-29 at Murrayfield, a game they led 35-8 at one stage in the second half although they were never really in danger of coughing up the huge lead. Kinghorn and Jordan both bagged a brace of tries with Darcy Graham adding another and they landed a bonus point.
In earlier results the Scots were unfortunate not to win beat England at Twickenham. They eventually went down 16-15 but Finn Russell missed the conversion of a late Duhan van der Merwe try which would have given Scotland victory. A clash with Ireland at Murrayfield in Round 2 saw them beaten 32-18 and they opened their tournament with a 31-19 home win over Italy.
Fixtures & Results: R1 Italy (h) won 31-19, R2 Ireland (h) lost 32-18, R3 England (a) lost 16-15, R4 Wales (h) won 35-29, R5 France (a)
Team News
France: 15 Thomas Ramos, 14 Damia Penaud, 13 Gael Fickou, 12 Yoram Moefana, 11 Louis Bielle-Biarrey, 10 Romain Ntamack, 9 Maxime Lucu, 8 Gregory Alldritt (captain), 7 Paul Boudehent, 6 Francois Cros, 5 Mickael Guillard, 4 Thibaud Flament, 3 Uini Atonio, 2 Peato Mauvaka, 1 Jean-Baptiste Gros.
Replacements: 16 Julien Marchand, 17 Cyril Baille, 18 Dorian Aldegheri, 19 Hugo Auradou, 20 Emmanuel Meafou, 21 Oscar Jegou, 22 Anthony Jelonch, 23 Nolann Le Garrec
Scotland: 15 Blair Kinghorn, 14 Darcy Graham, 13 Huw Jones, 12 Tom Jordan, 11 Duhan van der Merwe, 10 Finn Russell (co-captain), 9 Ben White, 8 Matt Fagerson, 7 Rory Darge (co-captain), 6 Jamie Ritchie, 5 Grant Gilchrist, 4 Gregor Brown, 3 Zander Fagerson, 2 Dave Cherry, 1 Pierre Schoeman.
Replacements: 16 Ewan Ashman, 17 Rory Sutherland, 18 Will Hurd, 19 Jonny Gray, 20 Marshall Sykes, 21 Ben Muncaster, 22 Jamie Dobie, 23 Stafford McDowall
Head to Head (6 Nations Only)
2024 6N Edinburgh Scotland 16–20 France
2023 6N Paris France 33-21 Scotland
2022 6N Edinburgh Scotland 17-36 France
2021 6N Paris France 23-27 Scotland
2020 6N Edinburgh Scotland 28-17 France
2019 6N Paris France 27-10 Scotland
2018 6N Edinburgh Scotland 32-26 France
2017 6N Paris France 22-16 Scotland
The Betting
Updated 15 Marh 07h27
France -16.5 points at 9/10
Scotland +16.5 points at 9/10
Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
Betting Angle
Posted 15 March 07h37
This handicap has been stable all week at -16.5 and the points line is currently 61.5 having dropped from 64.5 on Thursday night when we chatted about the game on our rugby betting show THE HANDICAP - click here to jump to the discussion
I am kicking myself for not jumping on the unders there and then as my theory is that France will only need the win and this may not be the wild open game bookies were expecting.
Following along similar lines the bet I now fancy is under 8.5 tries.
I am hoping that France go for penalties early knowing that just a win is needed and hopefully when the game opens up this line is out of reach.
The handicap looks well set in my opinion.
BET: 4 units under 8.5 tries at 17/20 at Sportingbet
Note, odds are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change
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