SAvNZ150South Africa take on the All Blacks at Nelspruit in the opening match of the Rugby Championship on Saturday and the betting suggests it will be a close contest.

 

 

 

South Africa v New Zealand, Saturday6th August, Nelspruit, KO 17:05 (South African time)

 

Referee: Angus Gardner (Australia)
Assistant Referees: Luke Pearce (England) & Christophe Ridley (England)
TMO: Brett Cronan (Asustralia)

 

Weather Forecast - Nelspruit

 

Rugby Championship Outright Betting

 

In terms of the outright betting New Zealand are 10/11 favourites to win the Rugby Championship title with South Africa 29/20, Australia 5/1 and Argentina are the outsiders of the party at around 35/1. (prices World Sports Betting)

 

South Africa:

 

South Africa were 2-1 winners in their home series against Wales in July. They edged the first test 32-29, lost the second with a much changed side 13-12 and won the decider 30-14.

 

In the November internationals last year South Africa won in Wales 23-18 and in Scotland 30-15 before being edged out by England at Twickenham (27-26).

 

In 2021 the Boks finished third in the Rugby Championship with a record of 3 wins and 3 defeats. They beat Argentina twice and also pulled off a memorable 31-29 victory over the All Blacks who they also ran close in the first clash but they lost twice to the Wallabies.

 

The Boks also completed a 2-1 series win over the B&I Lions last year, a series played behind closed doors.

 

After this the Boks clash with the All Blacks again in Johannesburg before a double header with the Wallabies in Australia and they finish up visiting and finally hosting Argentina.

 

New Zealand:

 

The All Blacks are under pressure after a 2-1 home series defeat to Ireland in July. After winning the first test 42-19 they went down 23-12 in the second and 32-22 in the decider.

 

The All Blacks tour of the Northern Hemisphere late last year saw them thrash Wales and Italy but they lost to both Ireland (29-20) and France (40-25).

 

Earlier in 2021 they won the Rugby Championship title. Although they were beaten by South Africa in their final match of that tournament they had already banked back to back wins over Australia and Argentina and they also came out on top in the first clash with the Boks.

 

After the two matches in South Africa the All Blacks host Argentina twice before they visit and then host the Wallabies.

 

Team News

 

South Africa: 15 Damian Willemse, 14 Kurt-lee Arendse, 13 Lukhanyo Am, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Makazole Mapimpi, 10 Handre Pollard, 9 Francois De Klerk , 8 Jasper Wiese, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Siyamthanda Kolisi (captain), 5 Lodewyk de Jager, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Frans Malherbe, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Trevor Nyakane.

 

Replacements: 16 Mbongeni Mbonambi, 17 Steven Kitshoff, 18 Vincent Koch, 19 Salmaan Moerat,  20 Franco Mostert, 21 Albertus Smith, 22 Jaden Hendrikse, 23 Willie le Roux

 

New Zealand: 15 Jordie Barrett, 14 Will Jordan, 13 Rieko Ioane, 12 David Havili, 11 Caleb Clarke, 10 Beauden Barrett, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Ardie Savea, 7 Sam Cane (captain), 6 Akira Ioane, 5 Scott Barrett, 4 Sam Whitelock, 3 Angus Ta’avao, 2 Samson Taukei’aho, 1 George Bower.

Replacements: 16 Dane Coles, 17 Ethan de Groot, 18 Tyrel Lomax, 19 Tupou Vaa’i, 20 Shannon Frizell, 21 Finlay Christie, 22 Richie Mo’unga, 23 Quinn Tupaea.

 

Recent Head to Head

 

2021 RC Gold Coast (Aus) New Zealand 29-31 South Africa

2021 RC Townsville (Aus) New Zealand 19-17 South Africa

2019 RWC Yokohama New Zealand 23-13 South Africa

2019 RC Wellington New Zealand 16-16 South Africa

2018 RC Pretoria South Africa 30-32 New Zealand

2018 RC Wellington New Zealand 34-36 South Africa

 

 

The Betting Risk Free First Bet Up to R2,000 back if you don't win

 

South Africa -1.5 points at 17/20

New Zealand +2.5 points at 19/20

 

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

Betting Angle

 

The last 5 Rugby Championship matches between these sides have had 2 points or less in them and I am bouncing between 1 side and the other at the moment. When that happens I turn to the points lines and total points has opened at over 45.5. Conditions should be good and while the Boks will keep it tight the AB’s will surely try and speed things up and this may result in opportunities on both ends. I also think both sides will take early 3’s and this and Gardner with the whistle has me leaning overs. This bet would have arrived the last 7 meetings between the sides in South Africa.

 

Click here for the South Africa v New Zealand video betting preview and the views of The Conductor  @OraclePedia and @HariBaldiJones.

See what other punters fancy in the Goodforthegame Forum Rugby Thread

 

BET: 4 units over 45.5 points at 9/10 at WSB

 

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

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