Streamed live from 21:00 on Thursday 10th October Brent Graham is joined by a team of rugby betting experts providing tips for the weekends action in the United Rugby Championship
Live from 21:00 on Thursday 10th October, The Handicap, Rugby Betting Show
URC WEEK 4
Bets for the 4 URC games not featuring South African teams will be posted in this blog. The 4 games with SA teams have their own previews as do the Rugby Championship matches.
Click here for URC games featuring SA teams
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ULSTER v CONNACHT
Posted 11 October 10h24
I priced this game Ulster -1.5 and the bookies came out at -3.5 which has been pretty stable all week.
Ulster return from a tough trip to South Africa and while potentially tired they will be happy to be back on home soil.
All 3 of Connachts matches have been tight including a 1 point away win over Scarelts last week and a 2 point away loss to Munster in week 1.
Total points is currently 49.5 and unders would have arrived in their last 7 head to heads dating back to 2021.
The weather doesn’t look great and unders is the call.
I am also expecting this to be tight and am waiting for bookmakers to price up either team by 7 or less and will post that is I find it.
BET: 5 units under 49.5 points at 10/11 at Pokerbet*
*You can open a Pokerbet Account by clicking here
CARDIFF V SCARLETS
Posted 11 October 09h52
Both sides have impressed me in patches this season although of the pair I have been more impressed with Cardiff. I set this handicap at -7.5 and while it opened -10.5 the money came for the Scarlets and the line is now -6.5.
I am leaning Cardiff but am going to wait for more bookies to post points lines before placing my bet.
Update: 12 October 09h21
The last 3 head to heads in Cardiff have had 50 points or more in them and the weather looks decent.
I am taking the over 49.5 at odds-against with a smaller stake as this game will not be my focus come kick off.
BET: 3 units over 49.5 points at 21/20 at WSB
LEINSTER V MUNSTER
Posted 10 October 23h52
This is without doubt the match of the weekend as 2 great Irish rivals take each other on.
I handicapped this game Leinster -13.5 and that is very much where it has been all week although there is some -14.5 around and the line seems to be trending in that direction.
The fact that the bookies and I are in agreement means I don’t see much value in the handicap but fortunately we have an early points line out.
There is 49.5 on offer and unders just has to be the play here.
There are some showers about but it is the head to head that really catches the eye. This bet would have arrived in the last 5 matches between the sides and the last 3 hosted by Leinster.
I suspect this line will start closer to 46.5.
BET: 6 units under 49.5 points at 87/100 at Pokerbet*
*You can open a Pokerbet Account by clicking here
GLASGOW V ZEBRE
Posted 10 October 23h31
I handicapped this game Glasgow -24.5 and having opened -25.5 it has moved out to -27.5.
I am battling to find any value there and will turn my attention to the points line which is set at 58.5.
These sides have played some high scoring fixtures and overs would have arrived in 2 of the last 4 meetings with unders arriving in 5 of the last 7.
Conditions don’t look great with some showers about and that has me leaning under 58.5 as a Friday night play.
BET: 4 units under 58.5 points at 9/10 at WSB
