It's Week 15 of the URC and Brent Graham has a look at the handicaps, the latest outright betting, the weather and towards the end of the week a bet in each match
ZEBRE v GLASGOW
Posted 19 April 16h18
This handicap has been stable at Glasgow -11.5 most of the week but it has edged to -12.5 in places.
The points line is 52.5 but it is the home team points that catch the eye.
Zebre have been much improved this season and with sonditions looking good I am backing them to reach the 20 point mark.
BET: 3 units Zebre over 19.5 at 19/20 at Hollywoodbets
DRAGONS V SCARLETS
Posted 19 April 13h00
The Scarlets opened -5.5 but are out to -11.5 in the 2nd match of Judgement Day.
As in the Ospreys game I am looking for an entertaining game with plenty of points.
BET: 3 units over 50.5 points at 9/10 at Pokerbet
OSPREYS V CARDIFF
Posted 19 April 10h20
This game is part of the Judgement Day Double Header at the Principality Stadium.
Bookies took an age to price up on this one (not sure why) but Ospreys are narrow favourites at -1.5.
The weather looks touch and go for this one with rain earlier in the day forecast to dry up. I have tried in vain to find out if the roof is closed but with no joy.
The points line is 48.5 and if the roof is closed I am def on the overs.
Posted 19 April 12h58
The general consensus is that the roof should be closed. Even it it is note I am on the overs.
BET: 4 units over 48.5 points at 9/10 at Pokerbet
LEINSTER V ULSTER
Posted 18 April 23h24
This handicap has been stable at Leinster -17.5 all week.
They have left a few big players out but loaded the bench so want to be in a position to save this game or close it out if need be.
I like the look of this Ulster side and I reckon they can beat the half time handicap.
BET: 3 units Ulster half time handicap at +8.5 at Sportingbet
WAITING FOR POINTS LINES
Posted 18 April 22h532
I have been scarce this week as have been on a holiday but am back now and ready for the weekend.
Teams are out but I am waiting for points lines before getting bets down.
A reminder that the SA games have their own previews - click here
My free weekly betting newsletter wiill be out tomorrow and I would love to have you join me as I battle the bookies - Click here to sign up in seconds
Weather Links
Posted 17th April, 11:20
Friday 18th April
Edinburgh v Sharks, 20h35, Hive Stadium, Edinburgh, (Artificial Turf), Mild and clear
Saturday 19th April
Lions v Benetton, 13:45, Emirates Airline Park, Johannesburg, (Grass), Sunny, cool and dry
Ospreys v Cardiff, 15h15, Principality Stadium, Cardiff, (Grass), Sunny and clear*
Stormers v Connacht, 16.00, DHL Stadium, Cape Town, (Grass), Sunny, cool and clear
Munster v Bulls, 18:15, Thomond Park, Limerick, (Grass), Cool, overcast, humidity early 80’s
Dragons v Scarlets, 18:30, Principality Stadium, Cardiff, (Grass), Sunny and clear*
Leinster v Ulster, 20:35, Aviva Stadium, Dublin (English Ryegrass), Overcast, cold but dry at this point
Zebre v Glasgow, 20:35, Stadio Lanfranchi, Parma, Italy, (Grass), cool, some cloud
*There is some conflicting information around the 2 Welsh derbies but from the URC site it appears to be a double header at the principality. I am not sure if the roof will be open or closed.
Click here for our Super Rugby Blog where all bets will be posted
Click here for our URC blog where all bets will be posted
SHARKS AND STROMERS ATTRACT EARLY MONEY
Posted 15 April 22h43
Below the latest handicaps (in brackets) where there has been movement
Edinburgh -5.5 (-1.5) v Sharks - alot of money for what should be a full strength Sharks
Emirates Lions -6.5 v Benetton
Ospreys vs Cardiff
DHL Stormers -12.5 (-18.5) v Connacht - onnacht have left a number of players at home
Munster -5.5 (-4.5) v Vodacom Bulls +5.5
Dragons +5.5 Scarlets
Leinster -17.5 (-18.5) v Ulster
Zebre Parma +11.5 Glasgow Warriors
Week 15 Fixtures and Early Handicaps
Updated 14th April 12:00
Friday 18th April
Edinburgh -3.5 Hollywoodbets Sharks +3.5
Saturday 19th April
Emirates Lions -6.5 Benetton +6.5
Ospreys vs Cardiff
DHL Stormers -12.5 Connacht +12.5
Munster -5.5 Vodacom Bulls +5.5
Dragons +5.5 Scarlets -5.5
Leinster -17.5 Ulster +17.5
Zebre Parma +11.5 Glasgow Warriors -11.5
URC STANDINGS AFTER WEEK 14
Leinster top the log with 62 points but the gap to second placed Glasgow Warriors (54 points) is now down to 8. The Bulls are third with 50 points and the Sharks fourth with 45.
Only 9 points separates fifth placed Munstar from the Lions who are fourteenth.
Latest URC Outright Betting
Prices WSB 14th April 10:00
Leinster 1.47
Blue Bulls 6.50
Glasgow Warriors 8.00
Munster 11.00
Sharks 13.00
Stormers 26.00
Edinburgh Rugby 51.00
Connacht Rugby 81.00
Benetton Treviso 81.00
Lions 91.00
150/1 and upwards the rest
