URC Round 9, Gallagher Prem, Top 14 + Other Rugby 1-4 Jan

Hi from the bush where I am very pleased to have some signal although and not getting involved in much betting. I will be back on the 31st though and will get the URC blog going 

This week we have URC and also Gallagher Prem and Top 14 

I won't get a chance to handicap the fixtures but if someone sees the early lines please post them 

Early lines on bet365:
URC:
Dragons +3 v Scarlets
Ospreys -3 v Cardiff 
Ulster -3 v Munster 
Sharks -6 v Lions 
Stormers -7 v Bulls 
Benetton -6 v Edinburgh 
Leinster -17 v Connacht 
Glasgow -25 v Zebre

PREM:
Bristol -5 v Sale
Newcastle +7 v Gloucester 
Bath -12 v Exeter 
Northampton -13 v Harlequins
Leicester -1 v Saracens 
 

Hey Brent? Lets have a photo of you chewing biltong in the bush then lol

Not eating biltong but ran into these lads on a morning walk 

 

Brent Graham wrote:

Not eating biltong but ran into these lads on a morning walk 

 

Amazing!
Very nice!

Off topic I know but weighty enough:
I Hit three score and ten (70), not out today.  Was just wondering ?
Am I the oldest fart on the GFTG forum ?
(PS) Any happy happy wishes will be gratefully accepted, LOL
Let the rugby flow.   Cheers and happy New Year all who show up at my party tonite.

Kirky wrote:

Off topic I know but weighty enough:
I Hit three score and ten (70), not out today.  Was just wondering ?
Am I the oldest fart on the GFTG forum ?
(PS) Any happy happy wishes will be gratefully accepted, LOL
Let the rugby flow.   Cheers and happy New Year all who show up at my party tonite.

Congrats Kirky!

Many happy returns (from the bookies) to you during the next calendar year and those ahead.

Have a good one!

Kirky wrote:

Off topic I know but weighty enough:
I Hit three score and ten (70), not out today.  Was just wondering ?
Am I the oldest fart on the GFTG forum ?
(PS) Any happy happy wishes will be gratefully accepted, LOL
Let the rugby flow.   Cheers and happy New Year all who show up at my party tonite.

Many happy returns young man. I have fond memories of my seventieth. I think it was the last year I took moola off the books. 

Happy Birthday Kirky Firend

Happy Birthday and congratulations, Kirky!

The day is still young.
I hope Providence is kind and grants you a 70/1 Acca soon

Happy Birthday for yesterday Kirky! 

Going to have a relaxed look at the round 9 games this morning - the slate is clean  

Kirky post wrote: I Hit three score and ten (70), not out today.  Was just wondering ?
Am I the oldest fart on the GFTG forum ?

 

hope you enjoyed your party - as for been the oldest, I don't even think I am the oldest and i give you a bakers dozen in years

Happy new year!

Back to business!  Dregs v Scarlets 1st up. Big home crowd, got to fancy the Dregs on either +4.5 or the win. Weather is good and there have been changes to both sides. I'm expecting an open game so am on overs too at 47.5 :-o
 

I am not quite ready to jump back in - below my thoughts on Thursdays games 

• Dragons RFC v Scarlets – Rodney Parade, 17:00
  Dragons +4.5 v Scarlets, Points 48.5

Verdict: The handicap has been stable and I am expecting a tight game. My lean here is Scarlets by 1-12 points inclusive at 15/10 but I am going to be watching the cricket so won’t have a bet.

• Ospreys v Cardiff Rugby – Dunraven Brewery Field, 19:30
  Ospreys -3.5 v Cardiff, Points 46.5

Verdict: The handicap has been stable on this game as well and it should be a typical tight derby. The points line of 46.5 is tempting (would of arrived in 4 of the last 5 meetings) but although the rain should of passed it will be freezing cold and I am reluctant to pull the trigger on my 1st bet of 2026 

Brent - no rain in the BBC forecast for Newport or Bridgend for the rest of the day and not too cold at 6 or 7 C for the games.

50 miles further west we've had a couple of light showers but that's it.

Looking forward to the games.

Happy new year lads!

Taken Ulster -3 to pay for Xmas.
Full strength at home ground which is sold out. And Munster missing a few.

All the very best Kirky !! Happy Birthday   I just got in for work in time for the second half Dreggs . 

Later I like Cardiff to spring an upset at Ospreys , plus 4.5 for me. 

Overs kills my profits again ......

So I've gone over 45.5 in the O's game. If this doesnt pay I'm giving up on overs for the rest of the year - its insane!

EDIT: Phew!

Very poor showing by Cardiff , 3 unconverted tries in the last 7 minutes , still wasn't good enough for my plus . Sigh . Very cold in the UK but dry . 

Munster play with a weaker side , Ulster name a strong side , still it being a derby makes the cap a tough call to make , points as low as 44.5 which even for me is too low. 

Newcastle still to have a win in the Premiership this year, played better last week and earned their 1st and only point of the season despite their new Red Bull money. They host Gloucester who themselves have just 8 points from 8 games . As Oracle would say , shite v shite . However I will very tentatively go with the plus 5.5 Newcastle at 5.5 and close my eyes for the egg. 

In the other game Sale, generally poor travellers go to Bristol. cap around the 6.5 mark but it's the unders at 56.6 that has my attention.