Six Nations Rd 5, Super Rugby Pacific Rd 5, URC, Varsity Cup + other rugby

The Six Nations is set for a thrilling finish

France are short priced though at 9/50 ahead of Ireland 32/5 and Scotland 22/3 

Here are the current handicaps 

Ireland -5.5 v Scotland
Wales +5.5 v Italy
France -14.5 v England

The Super Rugby Pacific Blog with Projected handicaps will be up later today and we also have 3 URC make up games and we will focus on Bulls v Stormers on Saturday. 

There is also Varsity Cup tomorrow but I have not seen any lines yet 

Here are my Super Rugby Projected Handicaps 

Hurricanes -15.5 v Western Force
Fijian Drua -2.5 v Brumbies – game played at 4R Stadium in Fiji (11st SRP game there)
Crusaders -9.5 v Highlanders
Queensland Reds -8.5 v Waratahs
Blues -25.5 v Moana Pasifika

SRP blog updated with early lines and comparison with my projections 

I am taking an early play on the Drua at 23/10 

Hurricanes -15.5 (-18.5)v Western Force
Fijian Drua -2.5 (+7.5) v Brumbies 
Crusaders -9.5 (-8.5) v Highlanders
Queensland Reds -8.5 (-6.5) v Waratahs
Blues -25.5 (-26.5) v Moana Pasifika

Took under 100 points in Pretoria anyone else with some moneypit monday views?

Wow under 100 points that is amazing 

Here are all the current handicaps and points 


UCT Ikeys -21.5 v UJ, Points 74.5
Maties -44.5 v Emeris, Points 86.5
UFS Shimlas -15.5 v NWU Eagles, Points 80.5
UP-Tuks -58.5 v CUT, Points 99.5

My plays for today:

UJ +20.5 @ Sunbet
Ikeys 1-12 34/10 @ Sunbet
Tuks -52.5 @ WSB

I'm very much tempted by the under 99.5 points in the Tuks game but also afraid they put on a century. 

Maties v Emeris Under 86.5 points @ Sunbet
 

JacquesT wrote:

My plays for today:

UJ +20.5 @ Sunbet
Ikeys 1-12 34/10 @ Sunbet
Tuks -52.5 @ WSB

I'm very much tempted by the under 99.5 points in the Tuks game but also afraid they put on a century. 

Maties v Emeris Under 86.5 points @ Sunbet

 

Complete brain fart on the UJ+. Wont be surprised if this end up well over 100. 

.

Just in

Well done the under 99.5 backers 

Reminded me when I went unders in the mid 90's in one of England World Cup games I think against Brazil - hardest money I ever made 

Nice one Monday night @Potgieter, well picked! I had a Highlanders under bet a few weeks ago that landed thanks to the TMO disallowing 3 tries in the last 15 minutes!

What an entertaining Monday night it was, I managed to recoup my UJ+20.5 and Ikeys 1-12 bets by taking UJ+98.5 just after half time. Never thought I would ever see such a high cap in running! Lesson learned from Monday: Wait till kick off before backing anything at the Green Mile. The way the Ikeys embraced the wind combined with poor defence from UJ set up that massive half time score. 

Two early Super Rugby bets for now:

Highlanders +9.5 v Crusaders. Lavanini in line to debut this weekend. A few handbags were thrown during Crusaders training this week and one just feel that adds to their dismal start to the season, apart from the Chiefs game, thus far. On the plus, Will Jordan and Braydon Ennor returns for the Crusaders. Highlanders have a shocking record away from home in general and at this stadium, but if there is a chance to rectify it, it is this weekend. Also stabbing a small punt on Highlanders ML @ 13/4. 

Reds - 6.5 v Waratahs. My best bet. The Reds boast a pretty impressive record at Suncorp Stadium and this cap would have arrived in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams in Brisbane. The Waratahs were horrible this past weekend while the Reds are on the up with a few key players back in action from injury. Reds have named a very strong team for this match as well. Tim Ryan, Josh Nasser, Fraser McReight and Harry Wilson will be popular fantasy rugby picks this weekend!

Six Nations: Ireland -4.5. The last time Scotland won a game in Dublin, was way back in 2010. We've seen a few matches this tournament where a team lifts themselves for the occasion despite having a moderate or underwhelming performance the previous week. The winner of this match will be the "clubhouse leader" for the tournament till the France v England match, so everything to play for. The question will also be out if Scotland gave their best 80min against France and if they would be able to repeat that performance on Saturday. 

I've just spent an hour trying to write something attached to something here, and now lost it.
Anyway, I'm a terrible tipster, cos I'm a shit punter.
Last week I had a strong premonition on both Scotland an also Italy.  I didn't go big on them, so I spent Sunday crying.
Yep, I've got the same thing with Scotland and Wales this week.
I'm going big on them.
Just be mindful, please..
GOOD LUCK ALL

Wales v Italy - OVER 45.5 pts @ 10/11
 

Wales now 'only'  +3.5. But I've pilled in on the win @6/4. Bookies have the wrong favourite here IMHO.

The Handicap live at 21h00 with The Mossman confirmed and a possible appearance by The Crowe Tips 

Click here to set a reminder and watch on You Tube 

France v England Preview is up 

I like the unders and if you read the preview I expect you to join me 

Super Rugby Pacific Blog updated with 1st bet 

Force +9.5 at 0.94/1 

 

SA Cup
Cheetahs -55.5 v Leopards. Griquas beat the Leopards by 101-7 last weekend. Leopards losses home and away v Cheetahs, Boland, Griquas and Pumas last year all went over this mark.

 

been waiting for SA CUP markets myself but not seen any yet. will have to sit tight until my bookies with funds price up, but looking at pumas and cheetahs minus double today, depending on cap.

Japan League 1
Kobe over 6.5 tries @1.72 3u bet365
Kobe also called Kobelco Steelers