Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
- The Vann
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That Deceuninck Quick-Step line-up looks very good for the team competition should they so choose. Sadly no betting out locally yet.
Trek confirmed an hour or so ago that Nibali will be riding. Over the past 10 years he has ridden 7 times and podiumed on 6 of those. He has been out for six weeks with a wrist injury but looked fine at Tirreno before the training crash. He also likes going into Grand Tours slightly undercooked and improving all through.
Giro 2021 Out Right
1-3
Nibali @ 9/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Few pennies for one of my favourite riders too Harm Vanhoucke of Lotto Soudal ew @300/1
Taken Atila Valter (FDJ) for King of the Mountains ew @150/1
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- The Vann
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Had a look at the route/teams/books etc and only have two comments.
In SA the books usually drop that top 10 option once a tour starts so need to take that up front. Would really appreciate it if they carry it into the tour.
Secondly, the climbs on stages 4/6/9 are not tough enough for large gaps on the GC so Overall/KOM punts can probably be held back until stage 13. Stage 14 is the first big challenge.
My Out Rights
Nibbles explained above. Last year Knox finished 37m-41s down. Of that time 26m-58s was shed on stage 18 when he clutched. He bounced back on the final stages and finished 14th.
Except for Groenewegen Caleb eats all the other sprinters for breakfast and he can climb a little vis Two seconds at Milan San Remo
INEOS won the team comp last year with two Italians in their ranks. They also lost Thomas on stage 3 and Puccio on stage 15. This time they have three locals.
Giro Out Rights
The beers go to
Added more Nibbles Top 3 at 11/1 so now @ 10/1
Top 10
Knox @ 12/1
Points Winner
Ewan @ 20/1
and Two bets
Top 10
Nibali @ 22/10
Team Winner
INEOS @ 4/1
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...s-outright-bets.html
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- The Vann
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Several cycling pundits are picking him to win so I am whacking a few beers on an out right double
Giro Out Right
Evenepoel/Yates - Bardet/Sivikov @ 57/10
I see Will Newton is pulling for Bardet and I think on form he is the best at over 20% gradient in the last km - so not a bad choice.
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- The Vann
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8km ITT is just too short to to get serious about on the punting side so taking a double and a long shot for a few beers. Plus, it's Grand Tour cycling so take a few days to study the form.
Vlasov/Pozzovivo - Almeida/Bettiol @ 23/10
and a podium possibility
1-3
LL Sanchez @ 66/1
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- The Vann
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The Vann wrote: Giro Stage 1
8km ITT is just too short to to get serious about on the punting side so taking a double and a long shot for a few beers. Plus, it's Grand Tour cycling so take a few days to study the form.
Vlasov/Pozzovivo - Almeida/Bettiol @ 23/10
and a podium possibility
1-3
LL Sanchez @ 66/1
Admit it guys, None of you have ever managed to pick a winner or podium contender who has finished stone last - in this case 184th from 184 riders. Do you laugh or do you cry?
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Dont believe Paddy Bevin should be 500/1 today; pretty sure hes gonna be sprinting and going for the PTS jersey.
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 2
Evenepoel/Almeida - Yates/Bernal @ 11/2
and a few 1-3
Bevin @ 50/1
Pasqualon @ 50/1
Pellaud @ 150/1
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- Brent Graham
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I am a bit late to the Giro party due to work commitments but had a look at the route and wow it is a beaut
Look forward to getting involved and I reckon we have a double digit winner - currently looking at Carth, Landa and Buchmann - leaning Carthy
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 3
Nizzolo @ 15/2
Ulissi @ 33/1
Soler @ 80/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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If not also on young Alessandro Covi of UAE who should be a threat @80/1
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- Couch Critic
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Mohoric @ 33/1
Vendrame @ 40/1
Gallopin @ 200/1 (wind that clock back old boy!)
Conti @ 200/1
Consonni over Bevin (I don't think Bevin is fighting fit yet) @ 12/10
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- Brent Graham
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Small interest today as I cannot watch
0.5u Remco at 8/1
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- The Vann
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187km Into a head wind with bad weather and no little ramps for a decent break to form today. I'm going with a few beers up front and may take a run in-play.
Giro Stage 4
Win
Goossens @ 40/1
Izzagirri @ 80/1
De Marchi @ 100/1
Honore @ 300/1
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- Couch Critic
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I reckon the big boys will be walking on egg shells today as it could prove to be one of those stages that you can lose the race but you can't win it. I don't think anyone really wants pink so early either so I won't be surprised to see the break get the job done.
If it does come down to GC I reckon we will see DQS and Ineos play the team game. Evenpoel and Sivakov to go early and Almeida and Bernal to hold on to the coat tails and then win the sprint if it all comes together. Bernal will love the shortish steep climbs (not long enough to stuff up his back) and he has a very hand sprint so he would be my pick - I'll just throw him into a few multies for the weekend.
My other darts:
Giovani Visconti @ 33/1 - Lost a big chunk of time today so think he is eyeing a break soon.
Simon Carr @ 66/1 (Ditto above)
Jay Hindley @ 80/1
Taaramae @ 200/1
Caruso @ 200/1
Cataldo @ 400/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Kobe Goosens @66
Simon Carr @50
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- Couch Critic
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Close with De Marchi as well Vann.
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- The Vann
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Couch Critic wrote: Oh for fuck sakesss! Really started to dream for a while there.
Close with De Marchi as well Vann.
10km out I was convinced one of us would get lucky - We both ended up with our Mother-in-Laws and mine is not an oil painting.
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 5
Nizzolo/Viviani - Evenepoel/Yates @ 27/10
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- Couch Critic
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- Brent Graham
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Mollema 12/1 for me tomorrow
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Gorka Izagirre @100/1
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- Brent Graham
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- Couch Critic
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Bring out the darts: (The Jeff & Jan show for me today)
Jefferson Cepeda @ 25/1
Geoffrey Bouchard @ 66/1
Jan Tratnik @ 100/1
Jan Hirt @ 200/1
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 6
Ciccone @ 16/1
Cepeda @ 25/1
Izagirri @ 80/1
Caicedo @ 125/1
Petilli @ 125/1
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- The Vann
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The Vann wrote: Throwing in Ciccone who could win from the peloton but I am also leaning towards the break. Can't see the point of GC teams chasing down all the breaks for a possible stage win when the finish is just not difficult enough and you would be sprinting from a bunch of 20 or so.
Giro Stage 6
Ciccone @ 16/1
Cepeda @ 25/1
Izagirri @ 80/1
Caicedo @ 125/1
Petilli @ 125/1
Obviously the break only stays if there is a Movistar rider so adding
Rubio @ 150/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Took Bernal @7/1
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- The Vann
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Flat stage today with small 300m ramp 1.5km out. Not enough to prevent sprinters catching up - But - what if an ITT rider gets there with a 5 sec lead? Often seen in last 3-4km.
Giro Stage 7
Cavagna @ 200/1
Evenepoel @ 250/1
None of the match bets appeal today
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- Brent Graham
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Bouwman 40/1
Vendrame 66/1
Fiorelli 100/1
Narvaez 100/1
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 8
De Gendt @ 33/1
Rubio @ 50/1
Goossens @ 80/1
Fiorelli @ 100/1
Petilli @ 200/1
Ghebreigzabhier @ 400/1
Brandle @ 750/1
Taken a little 1-3 on the last three.
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- The Vann
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Points Jersey
1-3 Cimolai @ 6/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Max Bet Egan Bernal @9/1
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- Brent Graham
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Personally I think the break will stick again today and firing some familiar darts - a bit bigger than normal because had a good weekend on the rugby - also making my 1st move into the outright markets
Outright Winner
2 units Carthy at 12/1
1 unit Buchmann at 66/1
Stage 9
2 units Mollema at 12/1
1 unit Bettiol at 33/1
0.5 u Bouman at 66/1
0.5u Narvaez at 150/1
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 9
Win
de Marchi @ 28/1
Vanhoucke @ 40/1
Bouchard @ 66/1
e/w
Jorgenson @ 200/1
Fiorelli @ 250/1
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- The Vann
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59km
Bennett @ 15/1
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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Nothing further on the out rights today but keeping an eye on a possible Bardet Top 3. Will need to decide before Stage 14.
Giro Stage 10
Win
Groenewegen @ 16/1
And in the unlikely event that the peloton misjudge the break a few beers on
Win
Pellaud @ 200/1
Marengo @ 500/1
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- Brent Graham
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1 u Bettiol at 14/1
0.5u Tratnik 125/1 Bouwman 150/1 De Marchi 1501/
2 units Evenpoel/Bernal at 5/4
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Hoping George Bennett @150/1 gets in the break, took second in Il Lombardia this year.
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- Couch Critic
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Price is very short but I can't see things going any other way so a nibble on Bernal at 9/2 and if I see an in running opportunity when it's clear no break can make it then I might add a bit more hopefully at around 2/1.
Fly young man fly!!
Match Bet:
Soler over Caruso @ 27/20
Double - Bettiol over Guerreiro & Valter over Vervaeke @ 13/10
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 11
Win
Ulissi @ 16/1
Bouwman @ 50/1
e/w
Visconti @ 125/1
Gavazzi @ 400/1
Sepulveda @ 400/1
and hopefully a double stake return treble
Fortunato/Hindley - Bardet/Formolo - Vlasov/Yates @ 33/10
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- The Vann
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Evenepoel/Bernal - Bilbao/Nibali @ 33/10
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Rein Taaramae @125/1 for me today
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- Brent Graham
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2 small darts today and half a unit on
Bennett 22/1
De Marchi 50/1
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- The Vann
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I reckon today has to be break and a large one at that. To the best of my knowledge my record for crap picks is Nil in a break of 39. I hope that record is not broken today
Giro Stage 12
Win
De Marchi @ 40/1
Lafay @ 50/1
Cataldo @ 125/1
e/w
Vervaeke @ 125/1
Sepulveda @ 300/1
Ghebreigzabhier @ 600/1
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- The Vann
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In-play 120km to go
Honore @ 9/1
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- The Vann
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Has to be a bunch sprint today but the old punting instincts always go - What If?
Giro Stage 13
Win
Groenewegen @ 7/2
and a few beers
Pellaud @ 300/1
Marengo @ 400/1
Rivi @ 750/1
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