Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

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2 years 9 months ago #1 by Brent Graham
Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread was created by Brent Graham
The Tour de France starts on Saturday and this caught me off guard as it is usually the 1st Saturday in July.

Will be having a good look over the coming days but from an outright perspective I like Pogacar although at 17/10 he is a lot shorter than when I backed him last year at 13/1 - not sure I will be getting involved here and will rather look closely at the Green Jersey race in what looks a sprinter heavy tour

Look forward to everyones picks and analyses

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2 years 9 months ago #2 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
I find it increasingly difficult to find decent out rights in Le Tour. I am not tempted by 16/10 Pogacar and the other assorted short odds. This year the GC board is further complicated by the fact that the Olympic road race - which is for climbers with almost 5,000m in 235km - takes place on Saturday 24 July - six days after Le Tour finishes. Several riders are using this race for preparation and only going for stage wins. Lutsenko, 2nd at the Dauphine, Fuglsang, Simon Yates (13/2 for Top 10) etc and probably anyone who loses time early on.
On the points side we have eight sprint stages and two stages where the peloton will probably be together when the intermediate sprint is reached. For the rest you will need to be in the break away. Last year Bennett won quite easily from Sagan. Sagan could not match him in the sprints and Quick-Step just closed down any break Sagan got into without Bennett. I see more of the same this year from Lotto/FDJ/Alpecin and Quick-Step. Personally I do not see Sagan in green this year as he comes off the Giro with the ciclamino and has problems with Bora who are not going to renew his contract so not a happy camper.
Will find an out right or two after the team presentation on Thursday but spent a few beers today on
Points Jersey
Top 3
Coquard @ 14/1 (Always chases the intermediate and finished 4th last year)
Match bet double
Demare/Sagan into Coquard/Laporte @ 24/10
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2 years 9 months ago #3 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 1 Saturday, preview from Brent

goodforthegame.co.za/TdF2021/tour-de-fra...betting-preview.html

BG is with Matthieu Van Der Poel to win the stage at around 28/10

twitter: @goodforthegame
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2 years 9 months ago #4 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Couch Critic's outright plays on this preview

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...s-outright-bets.html

twitter: @goodforthegame
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2 years 9 months ago #5 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Inclined to list my out rights as beers and bets. As my beers are around 1/20 of a bet thought I would list as units like Brent just this once. 5 Units a max cycle bet.
Tour de France
5 Units
To win a stage - Yes
G Thomas @ 3/1
2.5 Units
Match Bet Doubles
In the points comp
Demare/Sagan into Coquard/Laporte @ 24/10
In the team comp
EF Education/Bahrain into Trek/Astana @ 5/1
Selection of 0.25 and 0.5 units
Top 10
S Yates @ 13/2
Latour @ 14/1
Points comp Top 3
Coquard @ 14/1
King of Mountains
Lopez @ 25/1 - Courtesy of Couch
Peters @ 125/1

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2 years 9 months ago #6 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Here we go lads

3u MVDP 5/2 WSB (money back for 2nd)

Click here to watch on You Tube


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2 years 9 months ago #7 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 1:
3 units MVDP at 5/2 WSB (see it is now 21/10)

Long Term:
2 units Colbrelli Green at 13/2

Leaning Pogacar mountains but no rush to bet and also like him to win

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2 years 9 months ago #8 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Lutsenko 80/1 ew stage 1

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2 years 9 months ago #9 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Watched the ladies through the finish three times now and just cannot see anyone other than
TdF Stage 1
Win
M vd Poel @ 21/10
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2 years 9 months ago #10 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Call me stupid but have taken some of Mohric @ 250/1. Not the worse sprint/climber and if is there not the worst sprinter.

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2 years 9 months ago #11 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 1 recap and Stage 2 preview - click here to watch on You Tube


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2 years 9 months ago #12 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Nagging feeling this is the start of the daily Tour de Leak for next 3 weeks, the small bets can start to add up. But will try today -

Pogacar 11/1 ew
Lutsenko 40/1 ew
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2 years 9 months ago #13 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 2
Win
Alaphilippe @ 2/1
Lives in the area and his dog is waiting for him at the finish so have to add Gaudu to my bets
1-3
Gaudu @ 6/1
and a high risk anti-Ineos double
Uran/Carapaz - Latour/Thomas @ 47/10

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2 years 9 months ago #14 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
"Tour de Leak" I like the one South and I also like your Lutsenko pick

Update after stage 1:
Stages -3u
Pending 2u

Stage 2 bets
3 units Alaphilippe win 2/1 WSB
1u Pogacar 11/1
0.25u Lutsenko 50/1
1u Lutsenko top 3 10/1

Overall
0.5u Buchmann Top 3 50/1

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2 years 9 months ago #15 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
What a great win by MVDP but gee I wish I could have switched by stage 1 and stage 2 bets around

Stage 3 Preview on You Tube


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2 years 9 months ago #16 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Update after stage 2:
Stages -7.5u
Pending 2.5u

Stage 3 bets
3 units Ewan 14/10 WSB

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2 years 9 months ago #17 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Real bummer yesterday. Sometimes its not that you lose badly but how you lose. Had the Dutch second half bet - with the nil at half time was a lock. SA runs at 95/1 after 10 overs - the 173 was a breeze. Took Smith early doors e/w in the third round and he went off last night one shot behind- had to catch the place bet at least.
In the same boat as Brent here with MvdP and Alla the wrong way round. Was thinking of giving it a miss today hence the late post but what the heck
Stage 3
Win
Ewan @ 14/10
and the beer treble
Sagan/Bol - Demare/Pedersen - Coquard/Bouhanni @ 57/10

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2 years 9 months ago #18 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Not getting any better this week with my main tour out right racking up a 9.5 score on that arse over kettle

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2 years 9 months ago - 2 years 9 months ago #19 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Such a chaotic start!

My biggest Cycling Antepost this season was for Ineos to have a rider Podium in each of the 3 Grand Tours @14/1 (so cheering the Empire)

Took earlier prices for yellow on Wout Van Aert @66/1 + Richie Porte @80/1, and then last night added a double of Pogacar for K.O.M + Jonas Vingegaard Top 10 finish @44/1.

(*Now Ewan has Abandoned i took Colbrelli @10/1 for Green Jersey)

Twitter @kamalch53215288
Last edit: 2 years 9 months ago by kcmarinopirlo.

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2 years 9 months ago #20 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
“Tour de Leak”.

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2 years 9 months ago #21 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
A pretty heavy leak for me at the moment

Stage 4 Preview and betting update


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2 years 9 months ago #22 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 4
Van Aert was selected ahead of Campenaerts for the Olympic ITT and has stated he is targeting tomorrow's ITT. Jumbo let him ride yesterday so he is close enough to the lead to get yellow but, as Brent says, an extra ten seconds would help for that jersey so I also expect him to get the green light to go today.
Win
Cavendish @ 5/1
Van Aert @ 11/1

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2 years 9 months ago #23 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Update after stage 3:
Stages -10.5u
Pending 2.5u

Stage 4 bets
2 units Colbrelli Top 3 at 6/1
0.5u MVDP at 40/1
1 unit WVA at 10/1
0.5u Buchmann Top 3 at 40/1
2 unit EF team comp at 20/1

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2 years 9 months ago #24 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Nice call Vann!

Had Philipsen but the bigger went way too early.

I continue to bleed a few drops at a time at the moment...

Twitter: @HDiemont

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2 years 9 months ago #25 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Great stuff Vann and what a win Cav

My blood trickle has become a steady flow, bandages being applied but supplies running low

Stage 5 Betting Preview on You Tube


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2 years 9 months ago #26 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Update after stage 4:
Stages -14u
Pending 5u

Stage 5 bets
1u Asgreen 7/1 (took at WSB for money back, every unit counts for me at the moment)
1u Uran top 3 11/1

1u Philippsen Green at 16/1

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2 years 9 months ago #27 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Month end today so a little busy. Have been considering that EF Education team pick and think the odds are just too good to skip so joining Brent with half of today's stage money. Leaves me with one bet on the stage

Stage 5
1-3
Porte @ 16/1

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2 years 9 months ago #28 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Wow what a ride by Pogacar

In the stage 6 preview I explain why I don't think Yellow is a done deal yet - Click Here to watch on You Tube


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2 years 9 months ago #29 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Pretty annoyed with myself for missing Pogacar yesterday. Such is life. Taking a 1-3 today as my lucky coin refuses to pick between Cav and Merlier and the odds are better.
Stage 6
1-3
Sagan @ 44/10
Match bet treble
Sagan/Bouhanni - Pedersen/Bol - Matthews/Colbrelli @ 7/1

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2 years 9 months ago #30 by Naidoo
Replied by Naidoo on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 6
Philipsen @ 6/1
Philipsen 1-3 @ 2.5/1

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2 years 9 months ago #31 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Added an Outright in the Team's Classification;

Jumbo Visma @15/2

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2 years 9 months ago #32 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
I'm in the chair for the Stage 7 preview

goodforthegame.co.za/TdF2021/tour-de-fra...betting-preview.html

2 against the field ....

Omar Fraile 22/1 and Benoit Cosnefroy 33/1

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2 years 9 months ago #33 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

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2 years 9 months ago #34 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Update after stage 6:
Stages -18u
Pending 6u

Stage 7 bets
3u MVDP at 6/1 WSB
0.5u Pogacar 40/1 Sunbet
2u Pogacar Top 3 at 10/1

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2 years 9 months ago #35 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Beginning to wonder whether South was not a touch psychic with that Tour de Leak comment.
Going to add a couple for the possibility of a break today
Stage 7
Win
van der Poel @ 6/1
Valverde @ 66/1
Bernard @ 150/1
Perez @ 200/1
and a 1-3 same logic as Brent's Pogacar bet
Roglic @ 16/1

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2 years 9 months ago #36 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
What a Stage!!!

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2 years 9 months ago #37 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

kcmarinopirlo wrote: What a Stage!!!


Agree

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2 years 9 months ago #38 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
A stage for the ages yesterday and we could have another belter today - for a guy who can't find a winner I am seriously excited


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2 years 9 months ago #39 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Stage 8 Thrown a dart in the direction of Ben O Connor at 33/1

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 years 9 months ago #40 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Back for my regular weekend tour de leak interest -

Woods @ 12/1
Lutsenko @ 33/1

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2 years 9 months ago #41 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Thanks Brent

I like your thinking of Ineos and followed with Richie but also added TGH @ 66/1

Also taken some darts as follows:

Konrad @ 80/1
Campenarts @ 600
Majka @ 250/1

Just hope one gets into break for an interest

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2 years 9 months ago #42 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Would have been all over Soler if he was still here. Going to take enough on Pogs to cover days darts

Stage 8
Pogacar @ 11/2
Teuns @ 50/1
Chaves @ 66/1
Fraile @ 80/1
Powless @ 100/1

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2 years 9 months ago #43 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Higuita looks value for me

66/1

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2 years 9 months ago #44 by Naidoo
Replied by Naidoo on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

The Vann wrote: Would have been all over Soler if he was still here. Going to take enough on Pogs to cover days darts

Stage 8
Pogacar @ 11/2
Teuns @ 50/1
Chaves @ 66/1
Fraile @ 80/1
Powless @ 100/1


Good call on Teuns Vann! :beer

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2 years 9 months ago #45 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Lovely work with Theuns Vann!

Needless to say in a Tour of If's But's & Maybe's I took Ion Izagirre for the W...

Becoming an expense trip around France this and its only the first week! But I will soldier on.

Pogi really is putting the hurt on the entire field right now and it was great for him that Formolo showed good legs. Majka & the Italian are going to have their work cut out for them over the rest of the race though. That being said the strange thing about the 2021 Tour is that there is no one strong team keeping things in check (Jumbo losing Gesink en Roglic meant they pullled the bumblebee pack attack tactic whilst Ineos and Astana/MoviS just havent looked strong enough) and its made for a thrilling 1st week.

Today: (break all the way)
Dan Martin @ 22/1 - Woods yesterday Martin today
Higuita @ 40/1 - Uran showed light cracks so let the little man off the leash please
Kruiswijk @ 100/1 - Aweful Jumbo tour thus far but this is their training ground and Vinegaard and Wout probably wont get protection as Kuss proved yesterday

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2 years 9 months ago #46 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Great call The Vann - you fancy doing some video previews??? :lol:

Stage 9 preview - if I was a bookie I go 8/1 Pogacar this goes to the break surely?


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2 years 9 months ago - 2 years 9 months ago #47 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Update below not for sensitive viewers

Update after stage 8:
Stages -26.5u
Pending 6u

Stage 9 bets
1u Oconner 16/1
1u Woods 20/1
0.5u Poels 33/1
0.5U Kuss 40/1
2u Match Bet double at 23/10 Fugslang/Buchmann Woods/Ala

Prices moved in while I was doing preview :angry:

I am also taking 2.5u Poels for Polka Dot at 8/1 Sunbet

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Last edit: 2 years 9 months ago by Brent Graham.
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2 years 9 months ago #48 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Back for more of the same -

Fugslang 18/1
Kuss 30/1

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2 years 9 months ago #49 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
Thanks chaps - needed that. Unfortunately looks like my big Thomas out right is history together with the EF team match bet.

Stage 9
Win
O"Connor @ 14/1
Chaves @ 28/1
Fraile @ 50/1
Bernard @ 150/1

and a match bet double
Kelderman/Mas - Kruijswijk/Porte @ 4/1

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2 years 9 months ago - 2 years 9 months ago #50 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread

Brent Graham wrote: Update below not for sensitive viewers

Update after stage 8:
Stages -26.5u
Pending 6u

Stage 9 bets
1u Oconner 16/1
1u Woods 20/1
0.5u Poels 33/1
0.5U Kuss 40/1
2u Match Bet double at 23/10 Fugslang/Buchmann Woods/Ala

Prices moved in while I was doing preview :angry:

I am also taking 2.5u Poels for Polka Dot at 8/1 Sunbet


And Brent makes his move - a win and a double :beer
Last edit: 2 years 9 months ago by The Vann.

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