Cycling: Tour de France 2021 Betting Thread
- Brent Graham
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Will be having a good look over the coming days but from an outright perspective I like Pogacar although at 17/10 he is a lot shorter than when I backed him last year at 13/1 - not sure I will be getting involved here and will rather look closely at the Green Jersey race in what looks a sprinter heavy tour
Look forward to everyones picks and analyses
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- The Vann
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On the points side we have eight sprint stages and two stages where the peloton will probably be together when the intermediate sprint is reached. For the rest you will need to be in the break away. Last year Bennett won quite easily from Sagan. Sagan could not match him in the sprints and Quick-Step just closed down any break Sagan got into without Bennett. I see more of the same this year from Lotto/FDJ/Alpecin and Quick-Step. Personally I do not see Sagan in green this year as he comes off the Giro with the ciclamino and has problems with Bora who are not going to renew his contract so not a happy camper.
Will find an out right or two after the team presentation on Thursday but spent a few beers today on
Points Jersey
Top 3
Coquard @ 14/1 (Always chases the intermediate and finished 4th last year)
Match bet double
Demare/Sagan into Coquard/Laporte @ 24/10
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/TdF2021/tour-de-fra...betting-preview.html
BG is with Matthieu Van Der Poel to win the stage at around 28/10
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...s-outright-bets.html
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- The Vann
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Tour de France
5 Units
To win a stage - Yes
G Thomas @ 3/1
2.5 Units
Match Bet Doubles
In the points comp
Demare/Sagan into Coquard/Laporte @ 24/10
In the team comp
EF Education/Bahrain into Trek/Astana @ 5/1
Selection of 0.25 and 0.5 units
Top 10
S Yates @ 13/2
Latour @ 14/1
Points comp Top 3
Coquard @ 14/1
King of Mountains
Lopez @ 25/1 - Courtesy of Couch
Peters @ 125/1
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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3 units MVDP at 5/2 WSB (see it is now 21/10)
Long Term:
2 units Colbrelli Green at 13/2
Leaning Pogacar mountains but no rush to bet and also like him to win
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- southpaw
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- The Vann
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TdF Stage 1
Win
M vd Poel @ 21/10
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- kt6747
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Pogacar 11/1 ew
Lutsenko 40/1 ew
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- The Vann
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Win
Alaphilippe @ 2/1
Lives in the area and his dog is waiting for him at the finish so have to add Gaudu to my bets
1-3
Gaudu @ 6/1
and a high risk anti-Ineos double
Uran/Carapaz - Latour/Thomas @ 47/10
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- Brent Graham
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Update after stage 1:
Stages -3u
Pending 2u
Stage 2 bets
3 units Alaphilippe win 2/1 WSB
1u Pogacar 11/1
0.25u Lutsenko 50/1
1u Lutsenko top 3 10/1
Overall
0.5u Buchmann Top 3 50/1
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- Brent Graham
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Stage 3 Preview on You Tube
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- Brent Graham
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Stages -7.5u
Pending 2.5u
Stage 3 bets
3 units Ewan 14/10 WSB
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- The Vann
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In the same boat as Brent here with MvdP and Alla the wrong way round. Was thinking of giving it a miss today hence the late post but what the heck
Stage 3
Win
Ewan @ 14/10
and the beer treble
Sagan/Bol - Demare/Pedersen - Coquard/Bouhanni @ 57/10
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- kcmarinopirlo
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My biggest Cycling Antepost this season was for Ineos to have a rider Podium in each of the 3 Grand Tours @14/1 (so cheering the Empire)
Took earlier prices for yellow on Wout Van Aert @66/1 + Richie Porte @80/1, and then last night added a double of Pogacar for K.O.M + Jonas Vingegaard Top 10 finish @44/1.
(*Now Ewan has Abandoned i took Colbrelli @10/1 for Green Jersey)
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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Van Aert was selected ahead of Campenaerts for the Olympic ITT and has stated he is targeting tomorrow's ITT. Jumbo let him ride yesterday so he is close enough to the lead to get yellow but, as Brent says, an extra ten seconds would help for that jersey so I also expect him to get the green light to go today.
Win
Cavendish @ 5/1
Van Aert @ 11/1
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- Brent Graham
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Stages -10.5u
Pending 2.5u
Stage 4 bets
2 units Colbrelli Top 3 at 6/1
0.5u MVDP at 40/1
1 unit WVA at 10/1
0.5u Buchmann Top 3 at 40/1
2 unit EF team comp at 20/1
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- Couch Critic
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Had Philipsen but the bigger went way too early.
I continue to bleed a few drops at a time at the moment...
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- Brent Graham
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My blood trickle has become a steady flow, bandages being applied but supplies running low
Stage 5 Betting Preview on You Tube
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Stages -14u
Pending 5u
Stage 5 bets
1u Asgreen 7/1 (took at WSB for money back, every unit counts for me at the moment)
1u Uran top 3 11/1
1u Philippsen Green at 16/1
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- The Vann
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Stage 5
1-3
Porte @ 16/1
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- Brent Graham
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In the stage 6 preview I explain why I don't think Yellow is a done deal yet - Click Here to watch on You Tube
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- The Vann
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Stage 6
1-3
Sagan @ 44/10
Match bet treble
Sagan/Bouhanni - Pedersen/Bol - Matthews/Colbrelli @ 7/1
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- Naidoo
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Philipsen @ 6/1
Philipsen 1-3 @ 2.5/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Jumbo Visma @15/2
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/TdF2021/tour-de-fra...betting-preview.html
2 against the field ....
Omar Fraile 22/1 and Benoit Cosnefroy 33/1
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- Brent Graham
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Stages -18u
Pending 6u
Stage 7 bets
3u MVDP at 6/1 WSB
0.5u Pogacar 40/1 Sunbet
2u Pogacar Top 3 at 10/1
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- The Vann
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Going to add a couple for the possibility of a break today
Stage 7
Win
van der Poel @ 6/1
Valverde @ 66/1
Bernard @ 150/1
Perez @ 200/1
and a 1-3 same logic as Brent's Pogacar bet
Roglic @ 16/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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kcmarinopirlo wrote: What a Stage!!!
Agree
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Woods @ 12/1
Lutsenko @ 33/1
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- kt6747
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I like your thinking of Ineos and followed with Richie but also added TGH @ 66/1
Also taken some darts as follows:
Konrad @ 80/1
Campenarts @ 600
Majka @ 250/1
Just hope one gets into break for an interest
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- The Vann
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Stage 8
Pogacar @ 11/2
Teuns @ 50/1
Chaves @ 66/1
Fraile @ 80/1
Powless @ 100/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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66/1
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- Naidoo
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The Vann wrote: Would have been all over Soler if he was still here. Going to take enough on Pogs to cover days darts
Stage 8
Pogacar @ 11/2
Teuns @ 50/1
Chaves @ 66/1
Fraile @ 80/1
Powless @ 100/1
Good call on Teuns Vann!
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- Couch Critic
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Needless to say in a Tour of If's But's & Maybe's I took Ion Izagirre for the W...
Becoming an expense trip around France this and its only the first week! But I will soldier on.
Pogi really is putting the hurt on the entire field right now and it was great for him that Formolo showed good legs. Majka & the Italian are going to have their work cut out for them over the rest of the race though. That being said the strange thing about the 2021 Tour is that there is no one strong team keeping things in check (Jumbo losing Gesink en Roglic meant they pullled the bumblebee pack attack tactic whilst Ineos and Astana/MoviS just havent looked strong enough) and its made for a thrilling 1st week.
Today: (break all the way)
Dan Martin @ 22/1 - Woods yesterday Martin today
Higuita @ 40/1 - Uran showed light cracks so let the little man off the leash please
Kruiswijk @ 100/1 - Aweful Jumbo tour thus far but this is their training ground and Vinegaard and Wout probably wont get protection as Kuss proved yesterday
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- Brent Graham
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Stage 9 preview - if I was a bookie I go 8/1 Pogacar this goes to the break surely?
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- Brent Graham
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Update after stage 8:
Stages -26.5u
Pending 6u
Stage 9 bets
1u Oconner 16/1
1u Woods 20/1
0.5u Poels 33/1
0.5U Kuss 40/1
2u Match Bet double at 23/10 Fugslang/Buchmann Woods/Ala
Prices moved in while I was doing preview
I am also taking 2.5u Poels for Polka Dot at 8/1 Sunbet
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- southpaw
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Fugslang 18/1
Kuss 30/1
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- The Vann
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Stage 9
Win
O"Connor @ 14/1
Chaves @ 28/1
Fraile @ 50/1
Bernard @ 150/1
and a match bet double
Kelderman/Mas - Kruijswijk/Porte @ 4/1
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- The Vann
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Brent Graham wrote: Update below not for sensitive viewers
Update after stage 8:
Stages -26.5u
Pending 6u
Stage 9 bets
1u Oconner 16/1
1u Woods 20/1
0.5u Poels 33/1
0.5U Kuss 40/1
2u Match Bet double at 23/10 Fugslang/Buchmann Woods/Ala
Prices moved in while I was doing preview
I am also taking 2.5u Poels for Polka Dot at 8/1 Sunbet
And Brent makes his move - a win and a double
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