United Rugby Champs Rd 4, Bunnings NPC, Gallagher Prem, Top 14 15-17 Oct

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1 week 6 days ago #1 by Brent Graham
It was a weekend where I went down early when the newsletter bet (Taranaki minus 7.5) missed by a point and although I had a few wins including a Stormers/Bulls handicap double I had a very poor Sunday and ended up having a bad weekend undoing all of last weeks gains.

There are a few days to put that out of my mind though and plenty of live rugby to look forward to

Let's start with my URC handicap projections for SA games - although I was close last week I still have very little confidence as have not seen all of the teams play

Dragons +4.5 v Stormers
Ulster -14.5 v Lions
Edinburgh +4.5 v Bulls
Cardiff +0.5 v Sharks

There is also Gallagher Prem, Bunnings and Top 14 action

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1 week 5 days ago #2 by southpaw
credit to UK rugby bets on Twitter who i see posted these 2, which i also like -

Exeter -3.5
Gloucester +2.5

double @ 9/4

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1 week 5 days ago #3 by Kirky
A tasty little treble in Gallagher Premiership, too good to not share:
Exeter Chiefs -4.5
Leicester Tigers -5.5
Saracens -7.5
@ Sunbet: 6.19

There's some good stuff available early days on both Gallagher and URC.
Going to be a good weekend this :)

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1 week 5 days ago #4 by Willho2
Actually much rather go

Irish -1
Wasps +5
and Worcester +7
Bath +8 here

Gloucester are fucking shit. Irish wont lose 2 games in a row at home esp not to this mob, Glouc forwards wont be able to hammer Irish like Tigers did. This match will be high in pts if dry. I ahd Irish around -7 for this match.

Exeter away record generally isnt good and Wasps at home on the plus, I will be happy to take.

The way Leic play, one cant possibly punt them on a big minus away from home. If they win, it will be by small margin, given their perference for taking 3 pts and Ford booting the shit out of everything. Problem is V Staden and Montoya might start but Worc will score tries here imo and this will be close. I will be staggered if Leic wins this easily.

Same reason for Sarries as well, they are not gonna smash Bath here imo. Its just the way they play. This will be a grind if they win this match. Bath showed some good stuff v Bristol, if they played like they did 2 weeks ago, with home support, they can win this. This is a 50-50 match imo esp I imagine Simpson and Cip will start together, Underwood will play, Toby Falteau too? +8pts is a good pt imo

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1 week 4 days ago #5 by Brent Graham
See I am very different from the bookmakers this week

Dragons +4.5 v Stormers (-3.5)
Ulster -14.5 v Lions (-20.5)
Edinburgh +4.5 v Bulls (-2.5)
Cardiff +0.5 v Sharks (-4.5)

I guess I was hoping for -14.5 Ulster but I think the other 3 SA teams all have good winning shouts

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1 week 3 days ago #6 by Jameson
Dragons looked good (for a change!) away on the weekend against Connacht and are currently -3 for the Stormers here in the UK.. I fancy that but I'm on such a horrendous losing streak that anybody else would be wise to bet the opposite of what I say! :-)

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1 week 3 days ago #7 by southpaw
Personally think Exeter are going to blow away Wasps this week weekend. Happy to see the line has now generally moved to -6.5 from -3.5 early market.

Saints made some poor calls on Saturday and really should have won. Wasps now have a banned hooker adding to key shortages in area. Don’t see them keeping within 10 points.
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1 week 2 days ago #8 by shaft
So we're going unders on the match Aimee's reffing?

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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1 week 2 days ago #9 by hanrick

shaft wrote: So we're going unders on the match Aimee's reffing?


Always unders on her games! So technical and kills the game. Just don't say anything about it on Twitter. You'll be stoned in public by the liberals. Been there, done that.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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1 week 2 days ago #10 by mackem
Olimp's preview and plays for Dragons v Stormers inc tryscorers

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/drago...s-from-olimp-sa.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 week 2 days ago #11 by Brent Graham
Thoughts on Sports and with some (electrical) luck the Conductor will join me on THE HANDICAP live at 21h00

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1 week 2 days ago #12 by Rubia
I see betfair exchange have ireland vs new zealand priced up in internationals and you can get new zealand minus 10 at 2.04 thats bargain I've taken some of that before it goes quickly. Betfair exchange seems to be the best for big stakes punters with no restrictions like other bookies
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1 week 1 day ago #13 by shark prince
One of the bookies (BoomBet -small Aussie one) has listed the Makos vs Bay of Plenty game in NPC under "NEW ZEALAND MITRE 10 CUP FRIENDLIES-21" while the rest of the games are under "NEW ZEALAND MITRE 10 CUP REGULAR SEASON-21". Haven't seen this anywhere else and can't find info about it - anyone heard whispers about that?? Was about to place a small play on Makos 1-12 however will hold off for now.

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1 week 1 day ago #14 by mackem
Dragons v Stormers from Brent

goodforthegame.co.za/South-Africa-Rugby/...review-and-tips.html

Dragons -2.5 points at 9/10 WSB

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1 week 1 day ago #15 by Brent Graham
Ulster v Lions betting preview

Ulster o34.5 at 8/10 at Sunbet

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1 week 1 day ago #16 by Brent Graham

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1 week 1 day ago #17 by mackem

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1 week 1 day ago #18 by coil
Honda lads ,

My worst beginning to a weekend is losing on a Friday and a morning to boot. No idea how Northland failed to cover their cap but there were awful butchers.

But tonight we have a chance to get out of it and hit Saturday right in the bollocks.

Sale on the plus 2.5 at 8/10 and under 52.5 at 5/7 , weighted heavily on the unders.

Under 47.5 in the Dragons game is golden at 5/7

Ulster over 34.5 points.

Play well lads

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1 week 1 day ago - 1 week 1 day ago #19 by coil
I'm going head to head with TOS Sunday and the Conductor ...... London Irish my best of the weekend :pinch: :pinch:
Last edit: 1 week 1 day ago by coil.

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1 week 1 day ago #20 by hanrick
Lions under 16.5 points at 0.86/1 and also a double of Lions under 16.5 onto Dragons over 24.5 at just over 5/2

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 week 1 day ago #21 by The Vann
Dragons v Stormers
Stormers have looked pretty nifty out the blocks before discovering rugby is a match of two halves so taking

Stormers
First Half over 10.5 @ 9/10

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1 week 1 day ago #22 by southpaw
Lions over 14.5 @ 10/11

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1 week 1 day ago #23 by shark prince
Makos vs Bay of Plenty will be a "friendly" scratch match - buyer beware for those thinking of putting money on

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1 week 16 hours ago - 1 week 16 hours ago #24 by shark prince
For Treviso vs Ospreys taking under 48 (bet365, 1.72), smaller double of Osprey win/under 46.5 (sportsbet, 4.00) which I think is overpriced - they have Osprey -3.5/under 46.5 at $3.10
Last edit: 1 week 16 hours ago by shark prince.

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1 week 16 hours ago #25 by hanrick
Zebre under 20.5 points at 5/6
Double of Zebre under 20.5 points onto Bulls over 19.5 points at 23/10

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 week 15 hours ago - 1 week 15 hours ago #26 by coil
Right , ;looking forward to today's action .
Early games,
Glasgow should cover the cap and have taken a small strike on minus 10.5 , Scottish sides can be disappointing though.
Points at 45.5 too low s o will look at an in running to go unders at a bigger level.
Under 18.5 pts Zebre and over 30.5 Glasgow .

Ospreys have gone out by a point, plus 4.5 medium bet.

Wasps plus 9.5 at 5/7 medium bet .

And a look at overs possibly at 49.5 , with Wayne Barnes honking the horn
Last edit: 1 week 15 hours ago by coil.
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1 week 13 hours ago #27 by southpaw
Exeter over 27.5 @ 8/10

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1 week 11 hours ago #28 by southpaw
Screwed by a point, always the way. Double still alive.

To try recover the day - over 42.5 @ 10/11 bulls game

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1 week 8 hours ago #29 by The Vann
Forced to take the Sharks @ 7/4 to try and bail out a poor day

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1 week 8 hours ago #30 by Jameson
Good luck. I've recovered after a horrendous start and have now a last bet of the day on over 50 for the Cardiff v Sharks - going to just enjoy the game relatively stress free lol

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1 week 7 hours ago #31 by hanrick
Have really enjoyed the unders tendency (mostly) on the URC. I prefer good defence over touch rugby.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 week 6 hours ago #32 by Jameson
Lost that and back to square one with Toulon getting thrashed ....

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6 days 21 hours ago - 6 days 18 hours ago #33 by Kirky
Last edit: 6 days 18 hours ago by Kirky. Reason: Delete

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6 days 19 hours ago #34 by ThoughtsOnSports
Strike on over 50.5 points in Irish - Gloucester

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6 days 13 hours ago #35 by shark prince
Just noticed a new market on Topsport for Aussies here, either team to win by under 11.5, 9.5, 7.5, 6.5 and 4.5 points. Is a market to keep an eye out for value - playing either by u9.5 in Lyon vs Toulouse (1.92) and a cover on either by u11.5 (1.64) as well

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6 days 13 hours ago #36 by Jameson
My Bath +10 has gone after 4 minutes lol The evil Saracens .....

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6 days 12 hours ago #37 by Jameson
Bath 0 - Saracens 31 on 30 mins - cant recal seeing a bigger mismatch - if I was in the ground I'd walk out now.

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6 days 12 hours ago #38 by southpaw
BATH over 10.5 @ 5/6 at break

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6 days 12 hours ago #39 by Jameson
I'm on Bath +52 in live play and I'm not at all confident! :-o

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6 days 8 hours ago #40 by Brad Breath
Even for the weekend.
Been a number of away wins in the Top14, think that might continue in Lyon v Toulouse
Toulouse win @ 1.91

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6 days 8 hours ago #41 by Brad Breath
Even for the weekend.
Been a number of away wins in the Top14, think that might continue in Lyon v Toulouse
Toulouse win @ 1.91

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