NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
- Brent Graham
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1 year 8 months ago #1
by Brent Graham
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NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion was created by Brent Graham
Geez I am battling for form - left total overs this week and fired Boks overs at 26.5 and a biggish knock as they could only get 23 points. I had considered over 47.5 total and am kicking myself for changing the strategy.
The Rugby Championship takes a break and my handicap projections for round 3 below
Australia +4.5 v SA
New Zealand -14.5 v Argentina
I haven't seen any caps or outright betting yet - New Zealand surely odds-on now but it is wide open
This week we only have NPC and well done to Hanrick for going 6/7 on Thursdays show
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Have a good one
BG
The Rugby Championship takes a break and my handicap projections for round 3 below
Australia +4.5 v SA
New Zealand -14.5 v Argentina
I haven't seen any caps or outright betting yet - New Zealand surely odds-on now but it is wide open
This week we only have NPC and well done to Hanrick for going 6/7 on Thursdays show
THE HANDICAP
Don’t miss our live rugby betting show THE HANDICAP “Rugby chat that matters” on Thursday night 21h00 SA time – Here is the link to view the Goodforthegame You Tube Channel www.youtube.com/c/GoodforthegameTV/videos
JOIN THE BATTLE AGAINST THE BOOKMAKERS
Chat rugby betting with us - Create a forum account www.goodforthegame.co.za/Create-an-account.html - any problems with registration e-mail This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. and This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
WEEKLY NEWSLETTER
Here is the link to subscribe to the free weekly Goodforthegame Newsletter with BEST BET and usually a double digit acca bit.ly/bettingmail
Have a good one
BG
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- BDub
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1 year 8 months ago #2
by BDub
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Replied by BDub on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
TAB NZ have the cap for the New Zealand vs Argentina as -22.5.
Was hoping for late teens but will still look to take NZ minus at this line. Argentina defense is like kids on crutches + Nz will be buzzing after the Bok win.
Was hoping for late teens but will still look to take NZ minus at this line. Argentina defense is like kids on crutches + Nz will be buzzing after the Bok win.
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1 year 8 months ago #3
by BDub
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Replied by BDub on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Australia -4.5 vs Springboks in Sydney.
Didn’t see that coming.
Didn’t see that coming.
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1 year 8 months ago #4
by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Otago 4.5 Hawkes bay -4.5 (-1.5)
Counties 9.5 Waikato -9.5 (-7.5)
Wellington -10.5 Northland 10.5 (+13.5)
North Harbour 4.5 Tasman -4.5 (-3.5)
Auckland -7.5 BOP 7.5 (-7.5)
Taranaki 21.5 Canterbury -21.5 (-18.5)
Only lean would be counties and cant not play Canterbury in that spot.
Northland is strong defensively 10.5 might still be to much in a low scoring game.
Counties 9.5 Waikato -9.5 (-7.5)
Wellington -10.5 Northland 10.5 (+13.5)
North Harbour 4.5 Tasman -4.5 (-3.5)
Auckland -7.5 BOP 7.5 (-7.5)
Taranaki 21.5 Canterbury -21.5 (-18.5)
Only lean would be counties and cant not play Canterbury in that spot.
Northland is strong defensively 10.5 might still be to much in a low scoring game.
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1 year 8 months ago #5
by hanrick
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Replied by hanrick on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
I like Harbour to beat Tasman. Northland plus looks juicy aswell.
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- Quill
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1 year 7 months ago #6
by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Otago vs Hawke's Bay
I'm following the trend of high scoring matches in the New Zealand competition.
Bet: Total Points Over 55.5 @1.82
I'm following the trend of high scoring matches in the New Zealand competition.
Bet: Total Points Over 55.5 @1.82
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1 year 7 months ago #7
by hanrick
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Replied by hanrick on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Don't like the team HB picked and Otago team look solid. Backing the home team on the -3.5
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1 year 7 months ago - 1 year 7 months ago #8
by Chiefie
Otago seem to be struggling for points, first 2 games around 45 point mark, see the same happening here - around 45-52 personally; going unders.
Good luck though Quill mate - let’s wait and see! Buckle up!
Replied by Chiefie on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Quill wrote: Otago vs Hawke's Bay
I'm following the trend of high scoring matches in the New Zealand competition.
Bet: Total Points Over 55.5 @1.82
Otago seem to be struggling for points, first 2 games around 45 point mark, see the same happening here - around 45-52 personally; going unders.
Good luck though Quill mate - let’s wait and see! Buckle up!
Last edit: 1 year 7 months ago by Chiefie.
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1 year 7 months ago #9
by Chickendinner
Replied by Chickendinner on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
I agree with Hanrick. Was able to take Otago at -1,5 earlier in the week.
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1 year 7 months ago #10
by hanrick
Like Counties plus a lot too. Reckon Counties and Harbour win their games
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Replied by hanrick on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
hanrick wrote: I like Harbour to beat Tasman. Northland plus looks juicy aswell.
Like Counties plus a lot too. Reckon Counties and Harbour win their games
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1 year 7 months ago #11
by hanrick
That's a juicy plus on Argentina. Safer bet probably overs on Argentina points
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Replied by hanrick on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
BDub wrote: TAB NZ have the cap for the New Zealand vs Argentina as -22.5.
Was hoping for late teens but will still look to take NZ minus at this line. Argentina defense is like kids on crutches + Nz will be buzzing after the Bok win.
That's a juicy plus on Argentina. Safer bet probably overs on Argentina points
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1 year 7 months ago #12
by BDub
35.5 points for NZ and 12.5 for Argentina. For me I’ll look at o35.5 for NZ as a big strike. Argentina’s defense is nowhere. Only concern is the Christchurch pitch can get slippery under the lights.
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Replied by BDub on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
hanrick wrote:
BDub wrote: TAB NZ have the cap for the New Zealand vs Argentina as -22.5.
Was hoping for late teens but will still look to take NZ minus at this line. Argentina defense is like kids on crutches + Nz will be buzzing after the Bok win.
That's a juicy plus on Argentina. Safer bet probably overs on Argentina points
35.5 points for NZ and 12.5 for Argentina. For me I’ll look at o35.5 for NZ as a big strike. Argentina’s defense is nowhere. Only concern is the Christchurch pitch can get slippery under the lights.
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1 year 7 months ago #13
by BDub
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Replied by BDub on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Best bet of the wknd:
Southland +7.5 vs Otago
Otago’s 3rd game in 9 days. Only rested a few for the midweek game and if they don’t rotate heavily this will be most player’s 3rd game in a row.
Stags lost narrowly by 1 point to a good Auckland side.
Can see Southland winning.
Southland +7.5 vs Otago
Otago’s 3rd game in 9 days. Only rested a few for the midweek game and if they don’t rotate heavily this will be most player’s 3rd game in a row.
Stags lost narrowly by 1 point to a good Auckland side.
Can see Southland winning.
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1 year 7 months ago #14
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
On tonights THE HANDICAP I am joined by Oracle and the Conductor to talk some Rugby Champs early betting, NPC and Oracle has asked for the odds on the URC and Gallagher to be discussed
Click here to watch on You Tube
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1 year 7 months ago #15
by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Southland 9.5 Otago -9.5 (-7.5)
Manawatu 21.5 Hawkesbay -21.5 (-17.5)
Weathers crap in NZ certainly looks like an UNDERS weekend even up all the overs we have had the last 2 rounds.
Manawatu 21.5 Hawkesbay -21.5 (-17.5)
Weathers crap in NZ certainly looks like an UNDERS weekend even up all the overs we have had the last 2 rounds.
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1 year 7 months ago #16
by R3V3R3NT_
That Southland line has come in already to 3.5. I don't think its enough. Otago has held three of the better attacking teams to basically under 20 points and Average 18.3 PAPG. Only some brilliance from Nanai-Seturo got Counties to 23 points. I'm not sure Southland is good enough for more than one try vs a quality defense. I get the fatigue argument but at 3.5 theres no stags value anymore. The game screams UNDER to me waiting to see where the line comes out.
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Southland 9.5 Otago -9.5 (-7.5)
Manawatu 21.5 Hawkesbay -21.5 (-17.5)
Weathers crap in NZ certainly looks like an UNDERS weekend even up all the overs we have had the last 2 rounds.
That Southland line has come in already to 3.5. I don't think its enough. Otago has held three of the better attacking teams to basically under 20 points and Average 18.3 PAPG. Only some brilliance from Nanai-Seturo got Counties to 23 points. I'm not sure Southland is good enough for more than one try vs a quality defense. I get the fatigue argument but at 3.5 theres no stags value anymore. The game screams UNDER to me waiting to see where the line comes out.
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1 year 7 months ago #17
by hanrick
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Replied by hanrick on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Thanks for the heads up on the weather, Reverent.
Weather looks fine in Pukekohe though and this looks like an overs game. Waikato games generally overs games. Like the Steelers to win so focussing more on their points.
Counties over 24.5 and smaller on over 48.5 total points.
Weather looks fine in Pukekohe though and this looks like an overs game. Waikato games generally overs games. Like the Steelers to win so focussing more on their points.
Counties over 24.5 and smaller on over 48.5 total points.
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1 year 7 months ago #18
by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
This ref might as well be wearing red and yellow!
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1 year 7 months ago #19
by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Am I missing something, didn’t Norris just clearly tip the ball over the Counties head for that try? No check at all?
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1 year 7 months ago #20
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Japan women v ireland, could be an upset here in my view, Japan gave bok ladies 2 hard games, probably more ready than Ireland. Heat and humidity will be a tough test for Irish.
Japan win @ 9/4
Japan win @ 9/4
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1 year 7 months ago #21
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
After a good win on Bok ladies last week I thought this womens rugby internationals could be a good gap filler for main rugby punting. But After that miss-by-a-mile call on the Japs the female rugby betting terminates here for me. 
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1 year 7 months ago #22
by Jameson
lol don't be so disheartened - your 'win' was only out by what, 36pts?
I just cant get into this women's rugby ......
Replied by Jameson on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
southpaw wrote: After a good win on Bok ladies last week I thought this womens rugby internationals could be a good gap filler for main rugby punting. But After that miss-by-a-mile call on the Japs the female rugby betting terminates here for me.
lol don't be so disheartened - your 'win' was only out by what, 36pts?
I just cant get into this women's rugby ......
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1 year 7 months ago #23
by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Blue skys in Auckland pirch will have dried out
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1 year 7 months ago - 1 year 7 months ago #24
by Chiefie
Replied by Chiefie on topic NPC Round 3 and early Rugby Champs Round 3 discussion
Nothing like waking up to see Auckland murder your 9 fold accumulator on a Sunday morning.
First loss in 18 years in Auckland, perfect time.
And now HB cocking up 3+ 5m lineouts - what a clown show this NPC is.
First loss in 18 years in Auckland, perfect time.
And now HB cocking up 3+ 5m lineouts - what a clown show this NPC is.
Last edit: 1 year 7 months ago by Chiefie.
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