Cricket SA T20 outrights and match bets
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There is a team guide on the Hollywood Blog which might come in useful
blog.hollywoodbets.net/cricket/sa20/prev...-team-by-team-guide/
Latest outright betting from WSB
Paarl Royals 3/1
Mi Cape Town 33/10
Durban`s Super Giants 4/1
Pretoria Capitals 4/1
Joburg Super Kings 5/1
Sunrisers Eastern Cape 9/1
All bets for the duration of this tournament are most welcome on this thread.
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MI Cape Town v Paarl Royals, Tuesday
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I believe to win a T20 tournament you need 2 or 3 batsman to produce and 2 bowlers. You need a good captain or leading team. The Gujarat Titans won the IPL in 2022 with three batsman, Miller Gil and Hardik. Two bowlers, Kahn and Shamsi produced and I thought Hardik was brilliant supported by a 37 year old keeper. I like an experienced keeper to support a captain.
Don't keep stats anymore but from watching cricket locally I think the three grounds to see most wickets will be Kingsmead, St George's and Paarl. Top batsman would need to come from one of the other grounds. Newlands should be OK as they get one 13h30 start with 4 17h30 starts. It only gets dark in Cape Town around 20h00 this time of the year.
On captaining I'm going for the Miller/Buttler combination. Runner up would be FAF but read his biography and he has more mental issues then the Ginger Whinger..
To Win
Paarl Royals @ 4/1
To finish last
Pretoria Capitals @ 4/1
Tournament Picks
Top batsman
Rickelton @ 11/1
Top bowler
Shamsi @ 8/1
Team Picks
Top batsman
Paarl Royals - Miller @ 9/2
Pretoria Capitals - Mendis @ 33/10 (Just seen Kusal stays in India for the ODI's. No bet here)
Top bowler
Johannesburg Super Kings - Joseph @ 33/10
Sunrisers Eastern Cape - Crane @ 7/2
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Not sure if Ngidi or Smith get starts so placed where bet returned for non-starter
Over 1.5 Wickets
Kahn @ 12/10
Ngidi @ 15/10
Most Sixes
Smith @ 25/1
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Over 1.5 match wickets by
Ngidi @ 14/10
Joseph @ 31/20
and a win double
Royals/Mumbai Indians CT @ 16/10
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Forecast to be one of those humid sweaty days in Durbs - not great for bowlers.
Super Giants have managed 18 sixes in their two matches with the last match at Kingsmead producing 20 sixes. Buttler, Roy and Miller can clear the ropes so I make this line a little light
Match Sixes
Over 11.5 @ 17/20
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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MI are packed with boundary clearing hitters ie sixes over fours. They have been outscored in the fours market in all three of their matches to date. Quite possibly then wrong favorite here especially if SR's bat first. KG looked rested on his return and the St George's wicket has been good for him.
Most match 4's
Sunrisers @ 5/4
MOM
Rabada @ 11/1
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Paarl Royals v Durban Super Giants
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Joburg Super Kings v Pretoria Capitals
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Paarl is the biggest ground in the SA T20 competition so fours are more likely then sixes. Only one match here to date with Super Kings 81/10 not helping us. The Royals chase does provide an indication. They racked up 11 fours in their 82 runs. Any total runs over 250 on the day should see this line land
Match Fours over 24.5 @ 17/20
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MI Cape Town v SR Eastern Cape
Beer bets today
Still offering that most fours so taking it and I think Rickleton is due one.
Most match fours
SR @ 23/20
Over 0.5 sixes
Rickleton @ 14/10
Match sixes over 10.5 @ 17/20
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Two from the bowlers for me - one quick/one spin
Over 1.5 match wickets
Fortuin @ 33/20
Baartman @ 18/10
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Two matches here have produced 24/29 fours. The 29 came from a day match. Batting not that easy of an evening at Kingsmead so I would make the line 24.5. Also can be a little swing late on and I think Tertius Mark II can swing it a bit.
Match fours under 27.5 @ 17/20
Match wickets over 1.5 - Yes
Bosch @ 33/20
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Paarl Royals vs MI Cape Town
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Sunrisers Eastern Cape v Joburg Super Kings
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Pretty warm and sticky in the Western Cape today. Conditions very similar to the PR v DSG match which saw 21 fours. Fortuin is 3/3 on his wicket line at this ground
Match fours under 24.5 @ 17/20
Over 1.5 match wickets - Fortuin @ 33/20 (At Sportingbet and seems generous)
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Joining on that Jacks 6's in the preview and will take Fortuin at this ground as long as its offered
Match wickets over 1.5 Fortuin @ 33/20
and a double
Capitals/Sunrisers @ 29/10 Will look to cover at the 21/20 currently floating around on SG if make first leg
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Fancy 4's when Capitals play but the 25.5 line not yet made at Newlands so odds too short. The 6's line is 3 from 4. Linde, Kahn and vd Merwe have collected two sticks here and I like the odds on Rashid
Match sixes over 10.5 @ 17/20
Over 0.5 sixes Rickleton @ 14/10
Over 1.5 match wickets Rashid @ 9/4
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Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Paarl Royals
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Joburg Super Kings vs Durban Super Giants,
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4th Match at Kingsmead. We have seen sixes 20/21/8 with the 8 coming in the match SG scored 80 all out. Quicks lead spinners 23 to 11 sticks here so hoping Stone gets a run. No stand out short odds on the MI innings so taking beers on that.
Match sixes over 12.5 @ 8/10
Over 1.5 wickets - Yes Stone @ 27/20
MI top run scorer Linde @ 10/1
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Like the way five franchises have the city name but no self respecting businessman is going with some throat clearing sound.
Match wickets over 1.5 - Yes v d Merwe @ 19/10
Over 5.5 sixes - Yes Sunrisers @ 9/10
Most sixes for Sunrisers Jansen @ 11/2
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Joburg Super Kings vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape,
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Pretoria Capitals vs Durban Super Giants
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Sticking with my two bowlers from yesterdays match. There is never a great odds-on cricket punt but I would not offer player performance of 24.5 on Mendis - something around 35.5 probably. PC have been switching keepers. Should they continue in this vein Mendis gets the gloves this evening and he did make 80 against the same side last night.
Player performance over 24.5 Mendis @ 17/20
Over 1.5 match wickets - Yes
Ngidi @ 11/10
Bosch @ 33/20
Have also taken a medium sized punt on the outright
To win the tournament
Super Kings @ 5/2
The semi's and final are at the Bull Ring and SK are undefeated at the venue. I really do not see Sunrisers giving them much of a rev tomorrow so pretty decent odds.
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Super Kings v Sunrisers
The two liquorice allsorts medium pacers Phehlukwayo and Neesham did ok on the wicket last night. Shepherd is a similar bowler and enough wickets should go down for him to get a little bat
Player performance
Over 25.5 Shepherd @ 17/20
Over 1.5 match wickets
Coetzee @ 14/10
van der Merwe @ 19/10
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The Vann wrote: So Mendis listed as keeper - takes hit to hand in first over - loses wicket early and gloves go to Salt. The best laid plans etc
Super Kings v Sunrisers
The two liquorice allsorts medium pacers Phehlukwayo and Neesham did ok on the wicket last night. Shepherd is a similar bowler and enough wickets should go down for him to get a little bat
Player performance
Over 25.5 Shepherd @ 17/20
Over 1.5 match wickets
Coetzee @ 14/10
van der Merwe @ 19/10
Would do so much better if I made sure my pre-tournament notes re play-offs were correct. WRONG GROUND DUFUS VANN
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