Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
- Brent Graham
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To get us started bringing a couple of posts over from this weeks rugby thread
Kirky wrote
Slightly off topic here, but I feel I must advise of my latest master-stroke

Nigel Farage's Reform UK party to win most seats in the UK General election 4th july 2024
3 units @ 34.00 Pokerbet (Labour @ 1.02 / and Tories @ 26.00).
This has never ever been done before by a new political party. And it means that in this event, Nigel will be the new PM.
But the current Torie PM is a liar and a failure, and the Labour Leader is absolutely gormless.
Reform is generating so much that is positive, that the British public have gone from the depths of despair a few months ago to almost jubilation now, and the pollsters are slow to recognize it.
I believe that Nigel is going to win with a landslide.
Here's to Reform UK


Kompos responded
LOL - if that is your firm opinion, this price will blow your mind - Reform to win 7 (SEVEN) seats or more is 15/10
and in the market "most seats without labour" they are 3rd fav's at 12/1
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- southpaw
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Democrat Candidate Gavin Newsom @ 14/1
Joe looks on the ropes, he's still evens but surely is one more bad press event away from packing it in.
Kamala the frontrunner but @ 7/4 poor odds and she's simply not popular.
Newsom doing the legwork for Joe, has said before he wouldn't replace, but seems to be a slow steady change in positioning.
No harm done at the price.
Michelle Obama another being talked up.
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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I honestly don't believe the Democrats ever intended Sleep Joe to stand
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote: South you could be in trouble here, Biden has named Vice President Putin to be on his ticket - a masterful tactic taking his biggest rival out of the race


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- Naidoo
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Latest betting with around 51m citizens already casting their vote in the early voter elections:
Trump - 0.47/1
Harris - 1.75/1
Wonder at what point, that Harris price becomes an interesting betting option

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- Brent Graham
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- Naidoo
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Brent Graham wrote: Harris bouncing between 10 and 16/1, probably the time to back here - still alot of city votes to be counted and Obama warning it could take days
Very emphatic win for Trump, did not expect him to be so dominant in virtually all of the swing states.
I think what's most shocking is the women voters. After all the uproar about the abortion issues brought by the Republicans, it is flabbergasting that Harris women voters percentages has declined since the 2020 elections.
If we can take anything from this election is dont follow the exit polls, the bookies were always right

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- Quill
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It comes down to "the shirt is closer to your body than the jacket".Naidoo wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Harris bouncing between 10 and 16/1, probably the time to back here - still alot of city votes to be counted and Obama warning it could take days
Very emphatic win for Trump, did not expect him to be so dominant in virtually all of the swing states.
I think what's most shocking is the women voters. After all the uproar about the abortion issues brought by the Republicans, it is flabbergasting that Harris women voters percentages has declined since the 2020 elections.
If we can take anything from this election is dont follow the exit polls, the bookies were always right
The cost of living increased hugely since Biden took over and Trump kept prices down. Basic groceries went up 3-4 times in a very short period of time.
"People on the street" have been hit hard.
And mothers, i.e. those voting women, usually feel it first hand, as they are the ones who do the grocery shopping and cooking.
Plus other issues, of course.
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- Naidoo
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Quill wrote:
It comes down to "the shirt is closer to your body than the jacket".Naidoo wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: Harris bouncing between 10 and 16/1, probably the time to back here - still alot of city votes to be counted and Obama warning it could take days
Very emphatic win for Trump, did not expect him to be so dominant in virtually all of the swing states.
I think what's most shocking is the women voters. After all the uproar about the abortion issues brought by the Republicans, it is flabbergasting that Harris women voters percentages has declined since the 2020 elections.
If we can take anything from this election is dont follow the exit polls, the bookies were always right
The cost of living increased hugely since Biden took over and Trump kept prices down. Basic groceries went up 3-4 times in a very short period of time.
"People on the street" have been hit hard.
And mothers, i.e. those voting women, usually feel it first hand, as they are the ones who do the grocery shopping and cooking.
Plus other issues, of course.
100% Quill, you summed it up perfectly. That was the major advantage for Trump, the economy and cost of living for majority of everyday Americans.
As Trump mentioned, do you really care about all the external factors, if you can't put food on your table at the end of the day or get your car fixed when the check engine light comes on.
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