Politics Betting Thread to end 2024

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8 months 3 weeks ago #1 by Brent Graham
Politics Betting Thread to end 2024 was created by Brent Graham
Quite a bit of interest in the UK and US elections and any political bets can be discussed here

To get us started bringing a couple of posts over from this weeks rugby thread

Kirky wrote

Slightly off topic here, but I feel I must advise of my latest master-stroke :whistle:

Nigel Farage's Reform UK party to win most seats in the UK General election 4th july 2024
3 units @ 34.00 Pokerbet (Labour @ 1.02 / and Tories @ 26.00).

This has never ever been done before by a new political party. And it means that in this event, Nigel will be the new PM.
But the current Torie PM is a liar and a failure, and the Labour Leader is absolutely gormless.

Reform is generating so much that is positive, that the British public have gone from the depths of despair a few months ago to almost jubilation now, and the pollsters are slow to recognize it.

I believe that Nigel is going to win with a landslide.
Here's to Reform UK :beer :beer

Kompos responded

LOL - if that is your firm opinion, this price will blow your mind - Reform to win 7 (SEVEN) seats or more is 15/10
and in the market "most seats without labour" they are 3rd fav's at 12/1

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8 months 1 week ago #2 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
Not a political person at all, but the US election always intrigues me, and for an interest -

Democrat Candidate Gavin Newsom @ 14/1

Joe looks on the ropes, he's still evens but surely is one more bad press event away from packing it in.

Kamala the frontrunner but @ 7/4 poor odds and she's simply not popular.

Newsom doing the legwork for Joe, has said before he wouldn't replace, but seems to be a slow steady change in positioning.

No harm done at the price.

Michelle Obama another being talked up.

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8 months 1 week ago #3 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
Wohah! Old Joe just introduced Ukraine president Zelenskyy as Putin at NATO summit! The betting just took a huge swing - he was 8/11 democrat candidate this morning, now 15/8. Harris goes odds on 8/11, Newsom steady around 12/1.

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8 months 1 week ago #4 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
Classic!

I honestly don't believe the Democrats ever intended Sleep Joe to stand

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8 months 6 days ago #5 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
South you could be in trouble here, Biden has named Vice President Putin to be on his ticket - a masterful tactic taking his biggest rival out of the race

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8 months 6 days ago #6 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024

Brent Graham wrote: South you could be in trouble here, Biden has named Vice President Putin to be on his ticket - a masterful tactic taking his biggest rival out of the race


:lol: :lol:

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7 months 3 weeks ago #7 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
The worst kept secret has been confirmed - Sleepy Joe is out of the race

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4 months 2 weeks ago #8 by Naidoo
Replied by Naidoo on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
Not really into Politics betting but see bookies have drastically dropped the odds on Trump winning the elections next week. Harris and Trump were around 9/10 the pair about 10 days ago.

Latest betting with around 51m citizens already casting their vote in the early voter elections:

Trump - 0.47/1
Harris - 1.75/1

Wonder at what point, that Harris price becomes an interesting betting option :lol:

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4 months 2 weeks ago #9 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
I could be wrong but think Trump started favourite against Biden - I won't be backing her but don't expect her to drift much further than that

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4 months 1 week ago #10 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024
Harris bouncing between 10 and 16/1, probably the time to back here - still alot of city votes to be counted and Obama warning it could take days :lol:

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4 months 1 week ago #11 by Naidoo
Replied by Naidoo on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024

Brent Graham wrote: Harris bouncing between 10 and 16/1, probably the time to back here - still alot of city votes to be counted and Obama warning it could take days :lol:


Very emphatic win for Trump, did not expect him to be so dominant in virtually all of the swing states.

I think what's most shocking is the women voters. After all the uproar about the abortion issues brought by the Republicans, it is flabbergasting that Harris women voters percentages has declined since the 2020 elections.

If we can take anything from this election is dont follow the exit polls, the bookies were always right :lol:

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4 months 1 week ago #12 by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024

Naidoo wrote:

Brent Graham wrote: Harris bouncing between 10 and 16/1, probably the time to back here - still alot of city votes to be counted and Obama warning it could take days :lol:


Very emphatic win for Trump, did not expect him to be so dominant in virtually all of the swing states.

I think what's most shocking is the women voters. After all the uproar about the abortion issues brought by the Republicans, it is flabbergasting that Harris women voters percentages has declined since the 2020 elections.

If we can take anything from this election is dont follow the exit polls, the bookies were always right :lol:

It comes down to "the shirt is closer to your body than the jacket".
The cost of living increased hugely since Biden took over and Trump kept prices down. Basic groceries went up 3-4 times in a very short period of time.
"People on the street" have been hit hard.
And mothers, i.e. those voting women, usually feel it first hand, as they are the ones who do the grocery shopping and cooking.

Plus other issues, of course.

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4 months 1 week ago #13 by Naidoo
Replied by Naidoo on topic Politics Betting Thread to end 2024

Quill wrote:

Naidoo wrote:

Brent Graham wrote: Harris bouncing between 10 and 16/1, probably the time to back here - still alot of city votes to be counted and Obama warning it could take days :lol:


Very emphatic win for Trump, did not expect him to be so dominant in virtually all of the swing states.

I think what's most shocking is the women voters. After all the uproar about the abortion issues brought by the Republicans, it is flabbergasting that Harris women voters percentages has declined since the 2020 elections.

If we can take anything from this election is dont follow the exit polls, the bookies were always right :lol:

It comes down to "the shirt is closer to your body than the jacket".
The cost of living increased hugely since Biden took over and Trump kept prices down. Basic groceries went up 3-4 times in a very short period of time.
"People on the street" have been hit hard.
And mothers, i.e. those voting women, usually feel it first hand, as they are the ones who do the grocery shopping and cooking.

Plus other issues, of course.


100% Quill, you summed it up perfectly. That was the major advantage for Trump, the economy and cost of living for majority of everyday Americans.

As Trump mentioned, do you really care about all the external factors, if you can't put food on your table at the end of the day or get your car fixed when the check engine light comes on.

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