International Rugby, Top 14 + other rugby week ending 3 November

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1 week 3 days ago #1 by Brent Graham
I had a real roller coaster of a weekend with the Benetton v Bulls overs play highlighted in the newsletter never a runner and sadly the 1st leg of the 15/1 Acca also missed with Bay of Plenty just failing to win in the 80 minutes.
Fortunately Glasgow delivered a win and the Sharks came good and I also made decent profits on the Lions u16.5

Overall a square weekend which given how it started was not too bad

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We have a quiet weekend ahead with 2 Autumn Series Internationals

Scotland v Fiji and England v New Zealand which should be a cracker

The Top 14 never rests and I am sure there is some other rugby that we can bet on.

Have a good one!

BG

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1 week 3 days ago #2 by southpaw
Poor weekend for me, gave back most previous weeks profits on just 2 rugby bets and then a chase on the football yesterday. Maybe limited rugby comes at right time.

NZ around the -2 or -3 has my interest v England. Think they are slowly getting to grips with what Razor wants and England I feel will be a bit undercooked as a unit first game up.

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1 week 1 day ago #3 by Pablo
Clermont -4.5 @1.85 just for 1u

Little value IMO here as UBB face a lot of absences due to test window (I think only french are not available this week but they are the bulk of the backline) while ASM just a couple. Low stake as France will release players and there is some comments in Clermont about the poor relation between Christopher Urios and the players.

Even that, Clermont are showing some strength in Michelin so in my opinion this line should be a little bit higher.
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1 week 1 day ago #4 by Brent Graham
Latest caps

England +3.5 v New Zealand
Scotland -17.5 v Fiji

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1 week 1 day ago #5 by Jameson

southpaw wrote: Poor weekend for me, gave back most previous weeks profits on just 2 rugby bets and then a chase on the football yesterday. Maybe limited rugby comes at right time.

NZ around the -2 or -3 has my interest v England. Think they are slowly getting to grips with what Razor wants and England I feel will be a bit undercooked as a unit first game up.


You could have said that last time they played at HQ when if memory serves the Orc fought back to earn a commendable draw. Still, I'll be supporting the Darkness on the minus.

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1 week 1 day ago - 1 week 23 hours ago #6 by Pablo

Pablo wrote: Clermont -4.5 @1.85 just for 1u


I close this one going UBB +5.5 @1.89 1u with little losses unless the highly improbable win of Clermont by 5.

5 UBB players released (Gazzoti, Buros, Moefana, Lamothe and Lucu) so lineup will be correct.
Last edit: 1 week 23 hours ago by Pablo.
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1 week 9 hours ago #7 by mikebrown
Montauban h+8.5 1.83 prod2
derby game,
Montauban 1st, have regained confidence with coach Tillouse-Borde
Colo missing players back line (marta pinto auriac saurs)
Colomiers never big gap at home
I think +8.5 is good to take
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1 week 9 hours ago #8 by Pablo

mikebrown wrote: Montauban h+8.5 1.83 prod2
derby game,
Montauban 1st, have regained confidence with coach Tillouse-Borde
Colo missing players back line (marta pinto auriac saurs)
Colomiers never big gap at home
I think +8.5 is good to take


Strongly agree, I didnt post yet due to low limits in my bookies (less than 200e ...) but for me this is a one score match. Strong compo Montauban so should be a scrappy match.

Montauban +8.5 @1.99 for just 1u for the moment due to limits.
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1 week 3 hours ago #9 by Pablo

Pablo wrote:

mikebrown wrote: Montauban h+8.5 1.83 prod2
derby game,
Montauban 1st, have regained confidence with coach Tillouse-Borde
Colo missing players back line (marta pinto auriac saurs)
Colomiers never big gap at home
I think +8.5 is good to take


Strongly agree, I didnt post yet due to low limits in my bookies (less than 200e ...) but for me this is a one score match. Strong compo Montauban so should be a scrappy match.

Montauban +8.5 @1.99 for just 1u for the moment due to limits.


And now Montauban +10 @1.819 for another unit, I disagree with the market here but nice to take a little bit more of value.
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1 week 1 hour ago #10 by Brent Graham
Tonights THE HANDICAP

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1 week 1 hour ago #11 by Brent Graham
Tonights THE HANDICAP

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1 week 1 hour ago - 1 week 1 hour ago #12 by Brent Graham
Tonights THE HANDICAP will be short and sweet as Couch joins me to chat England v New Zealand and we will have a quick rugby quiz at the end

Click here to watch on You Tube

Join the competition at this link ahaslides.com/XXN6B

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Last edit: 1 week 1 hour ago by Brent Graham.

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6 days 20 hours ago #13 by Connachtrugby0
Thanks Pablo and Mike Brown
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6 days 10 hours ago - 6 days 1 hour ago #14 by Jameson
Leicester +9 this evening anyone? Seems generous looking at both teams results so far this season?

Edit: +13 now. Overs at 65. Lots of young players so a chuck around I guess.
Last edit: 6 days 1 hour ago by Jameson.

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6 days 9 hours ago #15 by mikebrown
montauban h8.5 yesterday good !!

today

provence rugby over 30.5 pts 1.83 3u

almost best possible team for Aix (quality players who can play in top14). good weather. synthetic terrain.
mont de marsan lost to aurillac at home and is without a few players (du plessis wakaya lagivala sayerse faleafa akbes de nardi)

grenbole over 31.5 pts 2u
turnover agen (mstoain madigan farre loktui duputs lebain maunder searle ramoka muscarditz etcheverry martins)
good eather
only 2u because misse sam davies the number 10

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6 days 9 hours ago #16 by mikebrown

mikebrown wrote: montauban h8.5 yesterday good !!

today

provence rugby over 30.5 pts 1.83 3u

almost best possible team for Aix (quality players who can play in top14). good weather. synthetic terrain.
mont de marsan lost to aurillac at home and is without a few players (du plessis wakaya lagivala sayerse faleafa akbes de nardi)

grenbole over 31.5 pts 2u
turnover agen (mstoain madigan farre loktui duputs lebain maunder searle ramoka muscarditz etcheverry martins)
good eather
only 2u because misse sam davies the number 10



im waiting the boss pablo opinion
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6 days 8 hours ago #17 by ProveMeWrong
Got to go Exeter -24 this evening. Take as high a minus as you can. Super strong team against a log loser in the championship. They taking this one seriously.
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6 days 6 hours ago #18 by southpaw
ENG V NZ -

Decided to leave cap and focus on pts.

NZ over 25.5 @ 8/10

Best line i can find so will take that. Ref is an overs machine, will speed up game. Conditions look good, will be dry, maybe a bit humid for this time of year.

Also thinking over 47.5 @ 10/11 if England hit the ground running, but will hold on that one for now.

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6 days 6 hours ago #19 by Pablo

mikebrown wrote: montauban h8.5 yesterday good !!

today

provence rugby over 30.5 pts 1.83 3u

almost best possible team for Aix (quality players who can play in top14). good weather. synthetic terrain.
mont de marsan lost to aurillac at home and is without a few players (du plessis wakaya lagivala sayerse faleafa akbes de nardi)

grenbole over 31.5 pts 2u
turnover agen (mstoain madigan farre loktui duputs lebain maunder searle ramoka muscarditz etcheverry martins)
good eather
only 2u because misse sam davies the number 10


Agree on both and also on the stakes, for me Provence o30.5 is the most valuable line today with Aurillac dnb @1.72. I did both 2u. Oyonnax this year is letting everybody down, specially away from home and Aurillac should stay strong at home if they want to avoid relegation. I'd put them more favourites so there's value in my opinion.
Grenoble in my case 1u.

I also lean on BOP -10.5 and Dax -15.5 but not enough value for me to put even 1u. I put It on a crazy combo and add Angouleme +10 ha
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6 days 5 hours ago #20 by Brent Graham
New Zealand v England Betting Preview

With South on the AB over 25.5

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6 days 5 hours ago #21 by Wager Warlock
Love the look of NZ 1st half points. O/11.5 available on Sunbet, unfortunately I had to settle for O/12.5 on WSB. 3U. Expecting a fast start.

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6 days 2 hours ago #22 by Mondo86
Echoing the above - this is my strongest feel of the weekend

NZ over 11.5 HT still available on Sunbet

They come out firing tomorrow after a fireworks haka. BIG strike here!!!

Codie Taylor ATS @ 5 also good for a nibble

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5 days 21 hours ago #23 by Catinthehat
Great call. Thank you

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5 days 20 hours ago #24 by southpaw
A couple lovely calls here on Exeter and Provence. Thank you lads, the confidence was good.

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5 days 20 hours ago - 5 days 20 hours ago #25 by mikebrown
Provence 45pts good
Grenoble 37 pts good

Aurillac Pablo dnb good
Last edit: 5 days 20 hours ago by mikebrown.
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5 days 9 hours ago - 5 days 9 hours ago #26 by mikebrown
UBB H7.5 1.68 Betclic 2u
RCt Over 31,5 1,85 1u

Wait Pablo opinion
Last edit: 5 days 9 hours ago by mikebrown.

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5 days 9 hours ago #27 by Jameson

Wager Warlock wrote: Love the look of NZ 1st half points. O/11.5 available on Sunbet, unfortunately I had to settle for O/12.5 on WSB. 3U. Expecting a fast start.


13.5 now. Missed the boat!

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5 days 9 hours ago #28 by southpaw
beware the Japanese ref in Munster All Blacks XV game, guy knows how to kill a game.

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5 days 8 hours ago - 5 days 8 hours ago #29 by Pablo

mikebrown wrote: UBB H7.5 1.68 Betclic 2u
RCt Over 31,5 1,85 1u

Wait Pablo opinion


I'm not very confident this week in Top14 but agree on Toulon, they go strong after last week rotation. Lou strong as well but keep key players on the bench. I think I'll take Toulon -5.5 HT as well.

About the other match, Clermont should have their tails up but UBB won't be as weak as expected. Weather good so may be a cracker, 49.5 in some bookies is for an over.

I also like o47.5 in Pau but Racing 9 is an overs killer. SR o29.5 as well looks interesting.

Yet to do a bet in Top14 this week but I lean on those lines.
Last edit: 5 days 8 hours ago by Pablo.

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5 days 8 hours ago #30 by Jameson
Talk about undercooked, Slade at centre against the Darkness having played 40 mins of rugby this season back from injury? They will have no doubt pencilled him in for extra 'treatment' .... :-)

Sod it, I've gone -4.5 FT, -2.5 HT and overs @ 48.5. All in :-o

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5 days 8 hours ago #31 by Pablo
Ealing Trailfinders dnb @2 2u

Best team in the Championship against second+academy Saracens team, I think they can sneak this one. Doncaster showed last night that top Championship teams can fight at home against Premiership teams in this competition.

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5 days 7 hours ago #32 by mikebrown
UBB sends a good team despite the absences of the internationals (sheepish, LBB, Jalibert, deporrtere)
UBB Team: Tatafu Lucu Buros Matiu Carbery back The bench is ultra strong
For me, Clermont's 1st row is average (missing Faingaa Ojovan), missing guys like Kremer, Moala, Simmons, Raka...
UBB is Clermont's bête noire.
and I see them in the game today

rct gros pack aujourdhui
Slight turnover, Lou ((Lambey, Guillard, Botha, Saginadze, Ioane, Maraku, Taofifenua) and key player on the bench (Couilloud, Niniashvili)
good weather
Serin in 9 on the Toulon side = speed of play

I see Toulon playing a big game take the lead with the big men and Lou who concedes a lot of points often away from home

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5 days 7 hours ago #33 by Brent Graham
Scotland v Fiji Preview

Scotland over 40.5 at 87/100

Enjoy the rugga guys, I am off to a 60th and not sure I will be allowed to watch Eng v NZL

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5 days 6 hours ago #34 by Jameson

Brent Graham wrote: Scotland v Fiji Preview

Scotland over 40.5 at 87/100

Enjoy the rugga guys, I am off to a 60th and not sure I will be allowed to watch Eng v NZL


Get a divorce ASAP! :-P

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5 days 5 hours ago #35 by markhyland13
ENG vs ABS :

OVERS. Can't see why it's being set at 47-48 with most bookmakers. I can see either team reaching the 40 point mark.

Rather than going all out on the over 48 mark, I shall be taking some over 56.5 @ 2/1 :lol:

I wouldn't be surprised to see England nicking this, but am going to leave the winners market.

Perfect conditions to throw the ball around in London and wingers could feast and would not put anyone off having a try scorer acca on any of the 4 wingers starting.
Odds are all around the 6/5 to 7/4 mark so already tight enough.

Having a nibble myself on Feyi Waboso , Mark Telea & Caleb Clarke @20/1

Happy punting!

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5 days 4 hours ago #36 by coil
Agree with the mainstream here , points line looks a little low but have gone for England plus 4.5 and taken the 19/10 England with the draw against me. If there is a fast first half I may go unders after the break .

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5 days 3 hours ago #37 by Brent Graham
A few beers in - NZL/ENG ht ft at 9.5/1

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5 days 3 hours ago #38 by southpaw
Taken more all blacks over 25.5 @ 10/11

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5 days 3 hours ago #39 by Roger Rabbit
England over 22.5 @ 84/100

and a few beers on England Dbl( rugby and cricket)

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5 days 3 hours ago #40 by Sharkster
Quiet week for me without the domestic comps. Not upto speed on the French league.

Have went with nz -4 and o48 total in the same game

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5 days 2 hours ago #41 by Connachtrugby0
Marcus Smith with two of the worst drop goal attempts you'll ever see

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5 days 2 hours ago #42 by coil
On the unders now at 52.5 at HT

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5 days 2 hours ago #43 by southpaw
Scotland over 5.5 tries @ 8/10

@ BoyleSports

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5 days 1 hour ago #44 by Pablo

Pablo wrote:

Pablo wrote: Clermont -4.5 @1.85 just for 1u


I close this one going UBB +5.5 @1.89 1u with little losses unless the highly improbable win of Clermont by 5.

5 UBB players released (Gazzoti, Buros, Moefana, Lamothe and Lucu) so lineup will be correct.


No words for this unreal luck, Clermont won by exactly 5 points.

Also Ealing delivers so nice Saturday.

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5 days 1 hour ago #45 by coil
Fuk off George Ford , misses an easy tackle and fluffs a shite drop kick , kuuuuuuunts ! Plus arrives and under 52.5 but what bastards , dunno how they lost that

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5 days 1 hour ago #46 by Connachtrugby0
Can't believe it overs doesn't land. That is sick

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5 days 1 hour ago #47 by Sharkster

Sharkster wrote: Quiet week for me without the domestic comps. Not upto speed on the French league.

Have went with nz -4 and o48 total in the same game


Note to self: stay away from internationals

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5 days 1 hour ago #48 by southpaw
A poor result and I’m going all in on Scots over 5.5 tries @ 8/10.

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4 days 23 hours ago - 4 days 22 hours ago #49 by Jameson
Muppet Jocks have scored 3 points in 30 mins .....

EDIT: Phew!
Last edit: 4 days 22 hours ago by Jameson.

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4 days 10 hours ago - 4 days 10 hours ago #50 by Dfurlong1986
What a great game that was yesterday. Cost me a good bit them ford misses at the end was on over 48.5. Thought the line was pretty well set to be honest but wanted to be involved in the overs. The Scotland game was always going to be the high scoring game. Went in heavy on the overs just before it started and got me back to even for the weekend. Can’t wait for the games next weekend.

I just can’t enjoy a game when I’m on unders haha I’d prefer not to watch is anyone else like that
Last edit: 4 days 10 hours ago by Dfurlong1986.

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