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- Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
- Brent Graham
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1 week 2 days ago #1
by Brent Graham
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Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec was created by Brent Graham
It ended up being a decent weekend for me despite losing on the unders on France v Argentina and Ireland v Fiji. I caught unders in the Bok game before hitting my biggest bet Italy under 17.5 ad and on Sunday backed Scotland -3.5 during the anthems and England over 7.5 tries.
This weekend Ireland take on Australia and here is my projected handicap
Ireland -8.5 v Australia
I think the Aussies look tired and could be there for the taking
The Premiership and URC also return - I have no feel for the teams so not going to attempt capping
There are some big games to look forward to incl:
Ulster v Leinster
Sharks v Stormers
Connacht v Bulls
Munster v Lions
There is also Top 14 action
Have a cracking week everyone and if you are not on the newsletter list you can sign up in seconds at this link bit.ly/gftgnewsletter
This weekend Ireland take on Australia and here is my projected handicap
Ireland -8.5 v Australia
I think the Aussies look tired and could be there for the taking
The Premiership and URC also return - I have no feel for the teams so not going to attempt capping
There are some big games to look forward to incl:
Ulster v Leinster
Sharks v Stormers
Connacht v Bulls
Munster v Lions
There is also Top 14 action
Have a cracking week everyone and if you are not on the newsletter list you can sign up in seconds at this link bit.ly/gftgnewsletter
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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- Miiiiiiighty
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1 week 2 days ago #2
by Miiiiiiighty
Replied by Miiiiiiighty on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Australia looked really out of it today.
They are getting murked next week and -8.5 seems generous especially since half the irish team was put to rest this weekend.
I think the handicap will be higher ( -10.5 to -12.5 ) but we'll see
They are getting murked next week and -8.5 seems generous especially since half the irish team was put to rest this weekend.
I think the handicap will be higher ( -10.5 to -12.5 ) but we'll see
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1 week 2 days ago #3
by Laraxwell
Replied by Laraxwell on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Stade Francais -7.5pts v Racing Metro
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1 week 2 days ago #4
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
@Miiiiiiighty I think you could be right on the Ireland cap, certainly at -8.5 I would be on the minus and I think I am likely a few points shy
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1 week 2 days ago #5
by Laraxwell
Replied by Laraxwell on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Ireland -16.5pts with Bet365
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1 week 2 days ago #6
by Jameson
What made you go with SF here? I'd looked at this game and read that Racing had a great record away to SF so when SF scored their 1st try I went in on Racing +12.5. They then went on to concede 5 tries on the trot ffs ........
Replied by Jameson on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Laraxwell wrote: Stade Francais -7.5pts v Racing Metro
What made you go with SF here? I'd looked at this game and read that Racing had a great record away to SF so when SF scored their 1st try I went in on Racing +12.5. They then went on to concede 5 tries on the trot ffs ........
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1 week 1 day ago #7
by Laraxwell
I looked at team compositions and noted Racing were more affected by international matches. Fickou, Le Garrec. No Farrell and Tuisova was on duty for Fiji in Dublin
Replied by Laraxwell on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Jameson wrote:
Laraxwell wrote: Stade Francais -7.5pts v Racing Metro
What made you go with SF here? I'd looked at this game and read that Racing had a great record away to SF so when SF scored their 1st try I went in on Racing +12.5. They then went on to concede 5 tries on the trot ffs ........
I looked at team compositions and noted Racing were more affected by international matches. Fickou, Le Garrec. No Farrell and Tuisova was on duty for Fiji in Dublin
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- Brent Graham
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1 week 1 day ago #8
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Guys here are the URC caps as they stand at Betx
Ulster +3.5 v Leinster
Glasgow -18.5 v Scarlets
Sharks -6.5 v Stormers
Cardiff -10.5 v Dragons
Connacht +1.5 v Bulls
Munster -8.5 v Lions
Edinburgh -8.5 v Benetton
Zebre +7.5 v Ospreys
Ireland -15.5 v Australia
Ulster +3.5 v Leinster
Glasgow -18.5 v Scarlets
Sharks -6.5 v Stormers
Cardiff -10.5 v Dragons
Connacht +1.5 v Bulls
Munster -8.5 v Lions
Edinburgh -8.5 v Benetton
Zebre +7.5 v Ospreys
Ireland -15.5 v Australia
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- Couch Critic
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1 week 1 day ago #9
by Couch Critic
Twitter: @HDiemont
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Steenekamp, Wilco, Elrich, Grobbelaar, Hanekom, Moodie & Willie all on route to Ireland. I'm lumping on the Bulls!
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1 week 23 hours ago #10
by TheAdmiral
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Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Would be great if they were definitely playing because as you said -2 is a great bet then, but they do have Saracens next week. Will be interesting if White can give us any clues
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6 days 1 hour ago #11
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Very little handicap movement in the URC, looks like some money for the Lions +6.5 from +8.5 v Munster
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5 days 15 hours ago #12
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
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5 days 13 hours ago #13
by Gareth75
Replied by Gareth75 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
URC Fancies this weekend
Cardiff -10
Edinburugh -8
Zebre +8
Zebre win (small play)
Cardiff -10
Edinburugh -8
Zebre +8
Zebre win (small play)
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5 days 12 hours ago #14
by Pablo
Replied by Pablo on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Saracens -13 ha @1.847 2u
Strong sarries lineup despite international absences, very balanced. I cannot see Newcastle coping with the Saracens, for me line should be around 3 scores difference for the away side.
Strong sarries lineup despite international absences, very balanced. I cannot see Newcastle coping with the Saracens, for me line should be around 3 scores difference for the away side.
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5 days 11 hours ago - 5 days 11 hours ago #15
by Miiiiiiighty
Replied by Miiiiiiighty on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Wallaby lineup looks a lot stronger this weekend with many players back from rest ( Sleeper, Tupou, Frost, McReight etc. ) that missed a lot last week.
Kinda surprised not to see Skelton even if his performance was meh last week.
Is he injured ? Or back to club duties ..?
ps : Still think this should be a comfortable win for Ireland, like -10+
The handicap could be high though, this Aussie team isn't FIji
Kinda surprised not to see Skelton even if his performance was meh last week.
Is he injured ? Or back to club duties ..?
ps : Still think this should be a comfortable win for Ireland, like -10+
The handicap could be high though, this Aussie team isn't FIji
Last edit: 5 days 11 hours ago by Miiiiiiighty.
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5 days 11 hours ago #16
by Dfurlong1986
Replied by Dfurlong1986 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Australia have lost foreign based players. That will be why Skeltons out. Fancy the Irish here
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5 days 2 hours ago #17
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Bets on the 5 URC games not featuring SA teams
will be posted here
Under 47.5 Glasgow game at 9/10
Ulster win at 18/10
Under 47.5 Glasgow game at 9/10
Ulster win at 18/10
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4 days 23 hours ago #18
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
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4 days 21 hours ago - 4 days 21 hours ago #19
by Pablo
Replied by Pablo on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Edinburgh -8.5 ha @1.72 3u
Didn't manage to put 3u but Benetton rotates heavily while Edinburgh goes strong. For me 3 scores difference.
EDIT: surprisingly orbit let me put another unit so 3u
Didn't manage to put 3u but Benetton rotates heavily while Edinburgh goes strong. For me 3 scores difference.
EDIT: surprisingly orbit let me put another unit so 3u
Last edit: 4 days 21 hours ago by Pablo.
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4 days 20 hours ago #20
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Sharks v Stormers Preview
Sharks -7.5 at 0.92/1 Betx - they generally -9.5 and I held back waiting for Betx to move line but its holding firm
Sharks -7.5 at 0.92/1 Betx - they generally -9.5 and I held back waiting for Betx to move line but its holding firm
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4 days 18 hours ago #21
by coil
Replied by coil on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Really like Bristol tonight and I am on them outright and plus 7.5 ...... not wanting no Friday night blues !
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4 days 15 hours ago #22
by Sharkster
Along the same lines here, happy I didn't punt it already as it moved out ,always a little cautious when the majority opinion is against you
Replied by Sharkster on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
coil wrote: Really like Bristol tonight and I am on them outright and plus 7.5 ...... not wanting no Friday night blues !
Along the same lines here, happy I didn't punt it already as it moved out ,always a little cautious when the majority opinion is against you
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4 days 14 hours ago #23
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
A Friday night treble
Coils Bristol +7.5
Under 47.5 Warriors game
Ulster +5.5
5.3/1
Coils Bristol +7.5
Under 47.5 Warriors game
Ulster +5.5
5.3/1
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4 days 12 hours ago #24
by Pablo
What a terrible performance by Saracens
Replied by Pablo on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Pablo wrote: Saracens -13 ha @1.847 2u
Strong sarries lineup despite international absences, very balanced. I cannot see Newcastle coping with the Saracens, for me line should be around 3 scores difference for the away side.
What a terrible performance by Saracens
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4 days 11 hours ago #25
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Ulster cost me a Friday night treble as other 2 legs cruise in - well played Bristol Coil - man they are great to watch
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4 days 1 hour ago #26
by Connachtrugby0
Replied by Connachtrugby0 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Pablo, how do you see Racing v Toulouse going? Should overs on the points be a play?
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4 days 1 hour ago #27
by Eduard
Replied by Eduard on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
ARG v GB - Dubai 7s
Arg -9.5
GB and Ireland played an cracker first game with both teams knackered after 7+min of sudden death.
Team GB managed the win, and I believe they might target their last game against Uruguay to qualify to the cup phase.
2 of the last 3 H2H included a 50-0 and 31-5
Arg -9.5
GB and Ireland played an cracker first game with both teams knackered after 7+min of sudden death.
Team GB managed the win, and I believe they might target their last game against Uruguay to qualify to the cup phase.
2 of the last 3 H2H included a 50-0 and 31-5
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4 days 1 hour ago #28
by Pablo
Replied by Pablo on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
I did ST +3 ha for just 1u @1.70 (even without Dupont this Toulouse side is something serious). Racing with Lancaster at 10 
They play in Creteil, no La Defense. Actually I had a predicted line around 40 points so no overs for me just ST +3
They play in Creteil, no La Defense. Actually I had a predicted line around 40 points so no overs for me just ST +3
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4 days 57 minutes ago #29
by doubler
Twitter handle @_1Bitsy
Replied by doubler on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Australia 7s women TT over 33.5 against Fiji @2.05 on Sportsbet
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4 days 55 minutes ago #30
by doubler
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Replied by doubler on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Ireland 7s women TT over 25.5 against China @1.8
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4 days 49 minutes ago #31
by Connachtrugby0
Replied by Connachtrugby0 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Ok thanks for that. Flash score had the game down for La Defense.
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4 days 41 minutes ago #32
by Connachtrugby0
Replied by Connachtrugby0 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Embarrassing from Ireland.doubler wrote: Ireland 7s women TT over 25.5 against China @1.8
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4 days 36 minutes ago #33
by doubler
Chalking it as a loss to hopefully reverse jinx the 2nd half
Twitter handle @_1Bitsy
Replied by doubler on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Connachtrugby0 wrote:
Embarrassing from Ireland.doubler wrote: Ireland 7s women TT over 25.5 against China @1.8
Chalking it as a loss to hopefully reverse jinx the 2nd half
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4 days 34 minutes ago #34
by Connachtrugby0
Replied by Connachtrugby0 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Backed the minus 14 after your post. Don't have option with my bookmaker for points in this
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4 days 24 minutes ago - 4 days 23 minutes ago #35
by doubler
I guess the reverse jinx worked. The line came out at 7.5 and I was too slow to take it. Same as the Aussie line came out at 20.5, jumped to 31.5 real quick.
By the way the overs have probably hit at 90% clip so far in both men and women games
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Replied by doubler on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Connachtrugby0 wrote: Backed the minus 14 after your post. Don't have option with my bookmaker for points in this
I guess the reverse jinx worked. The line came out at 7.5 and I was too slow to take it. Same as the Aussie line came out at 20.5, jumped to 31.5 real quick.
By the way the overs have probably hit at 90% clip so far in both men and women games
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Last edit: 4 days 23 minutes ago by doubler.
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4 days 10 minutes ago #36
by doubler
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Replied by doubler on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Argentina vs GB men over 38.5
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3 days 23 hours ago #37
by doubler
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Replied by doubler on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
NZ vs Canada women over 39.5, like NZ -14.5 as well but played the overs
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3 days 23 hours ago - 3 days 23 hours ago #38
by doubler
Twitter handle @_1Bitsy
Replied by doubler on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
USA women ml @2 over France
Australia vs Ireland women's over 41.5
Australia vs Ireland women's over 41.5
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Last edit: 3 days 23 hours ago by doubler.
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3 days 22 hours ago #39
by coil
Replied by coil on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Some lovely rugby to look forward to this afternoon, I'll miss most of the nights action as I am attending my son's girlfriends 21st and will have to act my age somewhat LOL
Fancies for today include
I'm leaning towards the Stormers on the plus 9.5 , the unders also interest me a little and have taken some under 49.5 .
The other bet I like is the Wallabies on the plus , disappointing last week and well beaten but they may be able to pick themselves this week and have taken plus 14.5 at 4/5 .
Fancies for today include
I'm leaning towards the Stormers on the plus 9.5 , the unders also interest me a little and have taken some under 49.5 .
The other bet I like is the Wallabies on the plus , disappointing last week and well beaten but they may be able to pick themselves this week and have taken plus 14.5 at 4/5 .
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3 days 22 hours ago #40
by Sharkster
Replied by Sharkster on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
A rare good friday on the betting front.Took stormers earlier in the week at +6.5. Not looking great now
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3 days 22 hours ago #41
by southpaw
if was at normal indoor arena would be all over it, but this other ground pitch was ripped up to a mess when Racing hosted Toulon last month, and weather has been worse since. It's a 3rd tier football team ground.
Replied by southpaw on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Connachtrugby0 wrote: Pablo, how do you see Racing v Toulouse going? Should overs on the points be a play?
if was at normal indoor arena would be all over it, but this other ground pitch was ripped up to a mess when Racing hosted Toulon last month, and weather has been worse since. It's a 3rd tier football team ground.
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3 days 21 hours ago #42
by Connachtrugby0
Replied by Connachtrugby0 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Why they put it there stupid idiots
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3 days 21 hours ago - 3 days 21 hours ago #43
by Pablo
Replied by Pablo on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Over 57.5 northampton-gloucester @1.82 2u
Over 56.5 la rochelle-vannes @1.87 2u
I have both matches above 60's and with this lineups I think there's value in the overs (even with Iribaren at 9 for la rochelle, but very strong backline). Good weather both matches despite high humidity.
Over 56.5 la rochelle-vannes @1.87 2u
I have both matches above 60's and with this lineups I think there's value in the overs (even with Iribaren at 9 for la rochelle, but very strong backline). Good weather both matches despite high humidity.
Last edit: 3 days 21 hours ago by Pablo.
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3 days 20 hours ago #44
by Chiefie
Replied by Chiefie on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Ireland V Australia
1. under 52.5 at 1.9
2. Aus yellow card at evens
3. 2 + yellow cards at 6/4
Piardi reffing- card and unders merchant
1. under 52.5 at 1.9
2. Aus yellow card at evens
3. 2 + yellow cards at 6/4
Piardi reffing- card and unders merchant
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- Mondo86
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3 days 18 hours ago #45
by Mondo86
Replied by Mondo86 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Stormers over 18.5
Big bite.
Big bite.
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- southpaw
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3 days 18 hours ago #46
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Against the grain a bit -
Over 53.5 in Dublin
Over 53.5 in Dublin
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- Connachtrugby0
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3 days 17 hours ago #47
by Connachtrugby0
Replied by Connachtrugby0 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Don't ever bet overs in an Anthony Woodthorpe refereed game he is absolutely horrendous. One of the worst in the business.
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- Connachtrugby0
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3 days 17 hours ago #48
by Connachtrugby0
Replied by Connachtrugby0 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Nightmare of a dayPablo wrote: Over 57.5 northampton-gloucester @1.82 2u
Over 56.5 la rochelle-vannes @1.87 2u
I have both matches above 60's and with this lineups I think there's value in the overs (even with Iribaren at 9 for la rochelle, but very strong backline). Good weather both matches despite high humidity.
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- Dfurlong1986
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3 days 16 hours ago #49
by Dfurlong1986
Replied by Dfurlong1986 on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Big strike on bath Exeter over 53.5 line looks low to me expecting Exeter to be in better form but bath should run away with this.
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- Sharkster
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3 days 15 hours ago #50
by Sharkster
Hardly a nightmare? Looks like Pablo went 1-2
Replied by Sharkster on topic Ireland v Australia, URC Week 7, Premiership Top 14 + all rugby 29 Nov-01 Dec
Connachtrugby0 wrote:
Nightmare of a dayPablo wrote: Over 57.5 northampton-gloucester @1.82 2u
Over 56.5 la rochelle-vannes @1.87 2u
I have both matches above 60's and with this lineups I think there's value in the overs (even with Iribaren at 9 for la rochelle, but very strong backline). Good weather both matches despite high humidity.
Hardly a nightmare? Looks like Pablo went 1-2
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