Tennis, Australian Open
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3 months 1 week ago #1
by mackem
twitter: @goodforthegame
Tennis, Australian Open was created by mackem
Australian Open starts this weekend for tennis punters and all tips for the tournament are most welcome on this thread
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- The Vann
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3 months 1 week ago #2
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis, Australian Open
OUTRIGHTS
Win doubles
Sinner/Sabalenka @ 11/2
Sinner/Gauff @ 9/1
Alcaraz/Sabalenka @ 12/1
Win doubles
Sinner/Sabalenka @ 11/2
Sinner/Gauff @ 9/1
Alcaraz/Sabalenka @ 12/1
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3 months 1 week ago #3
by The Vann
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Small win double on the early matches
Halys/Walton into Shang/Davidovich Fokina @ 26/10
Halys/Walton into Shang/Davidovich Fokina @ 26/10
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3 months 1 week ago #4
by Quill
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Cazaux + Nishioka + Vukic @2.05
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3 months 1 week ago #5
by Quill
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Thompson + Korda @1.81
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3 months 1 week ago #6
by Quill
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Hurkacz vs Griekspoor
The matches between these two players have been long and had many aces.
Bet 1: Over 42.5 games @1.90
Bet 2: Over 1.5 tie-breaks @1.80
Bet 3: Over 45.5 aces @1.87
The matches between these two players have been long and had many aces.
Bet 1: Over 42.5 games @1.90
Bet 2: Over 1.5 tie-breaks @1.80
Bet 3: Over 45.5 aces @1.87
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3 months 4 days ago #7
by Quill
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Humbert + Lehecka @2.02
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3 months 4 days ago #8
by Quill
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Ugo Humbert v Arthur Fils
Over 39.5 games @1.81
Over 39.5 games @1.81
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3 months 4 days ago #9
by Quill
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Draper vs Vukic
Bet 1: Vukic +5.5 @1.96
Bet 2: Vukic win @4.60 - two beers
Bet 1: Vukic +5.5 @1.96
Bet 2: Vukic win @4.60 - two beers
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3 months 2 days ago #10
by Quill
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Djokovic vs Lehecka
I think Lehecka is capable of giving Djoko a good match and at least keep it tight.
Bet 1: Lehecka +5.5 @1.78
Bet 2: Lehecka win @4.45 - two beers
I think Lehecka is capable of giving Djoko a good match and at least keep it tight.
Bet 1: Lehecka +5.5 @1.78
Bet 2: Lehecka win @4.45 - two beers
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3 months 1 day ago #11
by Quill
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De Minaur vs Michelsen
Sinner vs Rune
Bet: Michelsen to NOT win two sets + Rune to NOT win two sets @2.00
Sinner vs Rune
Bet: Michelsen to NOT win two sets + Rune to NOT win two sets @2.00
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3 months 1 day ago #12
by doubler
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Mixed doubles
Perez/Krawietz vs Hon/Bolt over 19.5g @1.8 2u
Perez/Krawietz vs Hon/Bolt over 19.5g @1.8 2u
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3 months 1 day ago #13
by Quill
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Alex Michelsen v Alex De Minaur
De Minaur -5.5 @1.86
De Minaur -5.5 @1.86
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3 months 1 day ago #14
by doubler
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Women doubles Tuesday
Dabrowski/Routliffe vs Kato/Zarazua over 20.5g @1.83 2u
Dabrowski/Routliffe vs Kato/Zarazua over 20.5g @1.83 2u
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3 months 19 hours ago #15
by The Vann
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Paul v Zverev
I think Tommy gives Zverez a hard time so taking
Win and games
Zverev and over 39.5 games @ 7/4
Looks like Djokovic's head is away with the fairies and he will get drilled by the crowd so will consider the Alcaraz win tomorrow.
I think Tommy gives Zverez a hard time so taking
Win and games
Zverev and over 39.5 games @ 7/4
Looks like Djokovic's head is away with the fairies and he will get drilled by the crowd so will consider the Alcaraz win tomorrow.
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3 months 5 hours ago #16
by The Vann
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Djokovic v Alcaraz
Consistently call this match-up wrong so nothing large. Just feel Novak is not here mentally and is going to get baited by the crowd. Problem is - does this make him dig in or does he roll over. Not prepared to call it so taking the safety of games. Can't see many tie breakers here so
Match games under 40.5 @ 17/20
Consistently call this match-up wrong so nothing large. Just feel Novak is not here mentally and is going to get baited by the crowd. Problem is - does this make him dig in or does he roll over. Not prepared to call it so taking the safety of games. Can't see many tie breakers here so
Match games under 40.5 @ 17/20
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2 months 4 weeks ago #17
by Quill
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Navarro vs Swiatek
Looks like Swiatek is back to being on another level.
Bet: Swiatek -6.5 @1.83
Looks like Swiatek is back to being on another level.
Bet: Swiatek -6.5 @1.83
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2 months 4 weeks ago #18
by Brent Graham
Nice call Vann - I watched the 4th set, amazing how mentally strong Djoker is
I am curious what made you (correctly) forecast a lack of tie breakers?
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tennis, Australian Open
The Vann wrote: Djokovic v Alcaraz
Consistently call this match-up wrong so nothing large. Just feel Novak is not here mentally and is going to get baited by the crowd. Problem is - does this make him dig in or does he roll over. Not prepared to call it so taking the safety of games. Can't see many tie breakers here so
Match games under 40.5 @ 17/20
Nice call Vann - I watched the 4th set, amazing how mentally strong Djoker is
I am curious what made you (correctly) forecast a lack of tie breakers?
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2 months 4 weeks ago #19
by The Vann
Ability to break each others serve. I think there were 10 breaks in the match.
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis, Australian Open
Brent Graham wrote:
The Vann wrote: Djokovic v Alcaraz
Consistently call this match-up wrong so nothing large. Just feel Novak is not here mentally and is going to get baited by the crowd. Problem is - does this make him dig in or does he roll over. Not prepared to call it so taking the safety of games. Can't see many tie breakers here so
Match games under 40.5 @ 17/20
Nice call Vann - I watched the 4th set, amazing how mentally strong Djoker is
I am curious what made you (correctly) forecast a lack of tie breakers?
Ability to break each others serve. I think there were 10 breaks in the match.
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2 months 4 weeks ago #20
by The Vann
Good call Quill. Was thinking of taking her on the outright but she is now favorite @ evens
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Quill wrote: Navarro vs Swiatek
Looks like Swiatek is back to being on another level.
Bet: Swiatek -6.5 @1.83
Good call Quill. Was thinking of taking her on the outright but she is now favorite @ evens
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2 months 4 weeks ago #21
by Quill
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Jannik Sinner v Alex De Minaur
De Minaur's progress is obvious.
Yes, he has a very bad H2H with Sinner, but he is a much improved player now. He's playing at home, a noisy partizan crowd. I'm not touching the Sinner health subject.
I wanted to take De Minaur to win one set, but the odds are too low at 1.61.
So I took De Minaur over 15.5 games @1.86.
If he were to take one set, he could take 16 games too in a 1-3 loss.
De Minaur's progress is obvious.
Yes, he has a very bad H2H with Sinner, but he is a much improved player now. He's playing at home, a noisy partizan crowd. I'm not touching the Sinner health subject.
I wanted to take De Minaur to win one set, but the odds are too low at 1.61.
So I took De Minaur over 15.5 games @1.86.
If he were to take one set, he could take 16 games too in a 1-3 loss.
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2 months 4 weeks ago #22
by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis, Australian Open
De Minaur reached no. 7 now, but he is still a long way away.
He admitted it himself in the post-match interview and we could see on court during the match when he was gesturing towards his box like "what else can I do".
Anyway...
Djoko vs Zverev
Zverev is very good on serve and Djoko has problems against such players, as he cannot prolong the rallies and find the best solutions.
Zverev won 3 of their last 5 h2h, is fitter and we can finally say that he is not anymore a youngster who might have jitters when facing a player like Djoko.
I'm going for Zverev here. He's very good right now.
Bet: Zverev @2.37
He admitted it himself in the post-match interview and we could see on court during the match when he was gesturing towards his box like "what else can I do".
Anyway...
Djoko vs Zverev
Zverev is very good on serve and Djoko has problems against such players, as he cannot prolong the rallies and find the best solutions.
Zverev won 3 of their last 5 h2h, is fitter and we can finally say that he is not anymore a youngster who might have jitters when facing a player like Djoko.
I'm going for Zverev here. He's very good right now.
Bet: Zverev @2.37
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2 months 4 weeks ago - 2 months 4 weeks ago #23
by The Vann
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Djoko v Zverev
I don't think there is anything physically wrong with Djokovic. He has used the same leg sore story before. Oddly it seemed to get to Alcaraz. I expect Zverev to be able to ignore it. Still think Djokovic is a very good player but he will be facing a better server today. I expect players to be able to hold their serves so should be longer sets. I do not have Quills confidence here so will take games in this match but will risk a small double on Zverev.
Match games over 41.5 @ 19/20
Double
Zverev win/Sinner -5.5 games @ 5/2
I don't think there is anything physically wrong with Djokovic. He has used the same leg sore story before. Oddly it seemed to get to Alcaraz. I expect Zverev to be able to ignore it. Still think Djokovic is a very good player but he will be facing a better server today. I expect players to be able to hold their serves so should be longer sets. I do not have Quills confidence here so will take games in this match but will risk a small double on Zverev.
Match games over 41.5 @ 19/20
Double
Zverev win/Sinner -5.5 games @ 5/2
Last edit: 2 months 4 weeks ago by The Vann.
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2 months 4 weeks ago #24
by Quill
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Sinner vs Shelton
I don't think Shelton is a chance at pulling off an upset, but I do think he is capable of keeping sets close, or potentially snatching a set from the Italian.
Bet: Shelton over 13.5 games @1.83
I don't think Shelton is a chance at pulling off an upset, but I do think he is capable of keeping sets close, or potentially snatching a set from the Italian.
Bet: Shelton over 13.5 games @1.83
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2 months 4 weeks ago #25
by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis, Australian Open
Taking another bet on the Sinner vs Shelton match.
Shelton can keep things close early and his serve does help him.
First set total games over 10.5 @3.40 - bet365 (other bookies have this one at much lower odds).
This gives us two options, a 7-5 and a 7-6, regardless who takes it.
Shelton can keep things close early and his serve does help him.
First set total games over 10.5 @3.40 - bet365 (other bookies have this one at much lower odds).
This gives us two options, a 7-5 and a 7-6, regardless who takes it.
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2 months 3 weeks ago #26
by Quill
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Sinner vs Zverev
These two players met six times and Zverev leads 4-2. He is one of the very few players to have a positive head-to-head record against Jannik Sinner.
Zverev has a genuine chance in this matchup. If he can maintain that competitive edge and turn this into a physical battle, potentially stretching it to four or five sets, Sinner may very well break down physically.
Zverev now has the experience of big matches, he is fresher than Sinner and beat the Italian last time they met at a Grand Slam (3-2 at US Open).
Bet 1: Over 38.5 games @1.74
Bet 2: Zverev over 18.5 games @1.75
Bet 3: Zverev win @3.35 - two beers
These two players met six times and Zverev leads 4-2. He is one of the very few players to have a positive head-to-head record against Jannik Sinner.
Zverev has a genuine chance in this matchup. If he can maintain that competitive edge and turn this into a physical battle, potentially stretching it to four or five sets, Sinner may very well break down physically.
Zverev now has the experience of big matches, he is fresher than Sinner and beat the Italian last time they met at a Grand Slam (3-2 at US Open).
Bet 1: Over 38.5 games @1.74
Bet 2: Zverev over 18.5 games @1.75
Bet 3: Zverev win @3.35 - two beers
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2 months 3 weeks ago #27
by The Vann
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Sinner v Zverev
Joining Quill on the games overs as the main bet. Not sure Sinner makes it to the end of the match if we head into a fifth set.Books not offering To Raise Trophy so my Zverev beers heading to
Winner and games
Zverev and over 40.5 @ 4/1
Joining Quill on the games overs as the main bet. Not sure Sinner makes it to the end of the match if we head into a fifth set.Books not offering To Raise Trophy so my Zverev beers heading to
Winner and games
Zverev and over 40.5 @ 4/1
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2 months 3 weeks ago #28
by Quill
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Zverev is too soft, not courageous enough.
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2 months 3 weeks ago #29
by The Vann
Second set tie breaker was the turning point.
Agree Zverev should have taken some chances. Not a single break point on the Sinner serve.
Enjoyed the tournament - would have been quite profitable if Sabalenka did not disappoint yesterday.
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis, Australian Open
Quill wrote: Zverev is too soft, not courageous enough.
Second set tie breaker was the turning point.
Agree Zverev should have taken some chances. Not a single break point on the Sinner serve.
Enjoyed the tournament - would have been quite profitable if Sabalenka did not disappoint yesterday.
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2 months 3 weeks ago #30
by Quill
Now we need someone to keep challenging Sinner at the top, and so far we have only Alcaraz. Good enough.
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis, Australian Open
Yes, Zverev had opportunities to push and apply some pressure on Sinner, but he didn't.The Vann wrote:
Quill wrote: Zverev is too soft, not courageous enough.
Second set tie breaker was the turning point.
Agree Zverev should have taken some chances. Not a single break point on the Sinner serve.
Enjoyed the tournament - would have been quite profitable if Sabalenka did not disappoint yesterday.
Now we need someone to keep challenging Sinner at the top, and so far we have only Alcaraz. Good enough.
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