ICC Champions Trophy, plus any other cricket

Sorry for getting to the party late guys!

I reckon today's game could be a decider of who plays India in the final. I'm leaning Kiwis who just look well belanced BUT for some reason I have this gut feel that an India v Paki final is destined to happen.

Outright plays:
Finalists: India vs Paki - 15/2
Top Bowler: S Afridi - 14/1
Top Bat: F Zahman - 25/1
(NB: Above bets could all be up in smoke by ths evening)

Top Aus bat: Carey - 8/1
Top India Bowler: Jadeja - 10/1

Accumulator (allowed by WSB):
Rashid top Eng bowler, Zampa top Aus bowler and Williamson top NZ bat at 20/1. Also same first two with Root as top Eng bat at the same price of 20/1.

I can't wait for this - love me some 50 over cricket!

Even later here

OUTRIGHTS

Win
NZ @ 7/1

SA
Bat Klaasen @ 5/1
Bowl Mulder @ 12/1

Pakistan v NZ

Just two bowlers

Over 1.5 match wickets
S Afridi @ evens
Henry @ 11/10

Couch Critic wrote: Sorry for getting to the party late guys!

I reckon today's game could be a decider of who plays India in the final. I'm leaning Kiwis who just look well belanced BUT for some reason I have this gut feel that an India v Paki final is destined to happen.

Outright plays:
Finalists: India vs Paki - 15/2
Top Bowler: S Afridi - 14/1
Top Bat: F Zahman - 25/1
(NB: Above bets could all be up in smoke by ths evening)

Top Aus bat: Carey - 8/1
Top India Bowler: Jadeja - 10/1

Accumulator (allowed by WSB):
Rashid top Eng bowler, Zampa top Aus bowler and Williamson top NZ bat at 20/1. Also same first two with Root as top Eng bat at the same price of 20/1.

I can't wait for this - love me some 50 over cricket!

Clearly I should learn to differentiate between a gut feel and heartburn! The latter is what I have after 3 of my outright bets are already pretty much in the bin after one game...

Couch Critic wrote:

Couch Critic wrote: Sorry for getting to the party late guys!

I reckon today's game could be a decider of who plays India in the final. I'm leaning Kiwis who just look well belanced BUT for some reason I have this gut feel that an India v Paki final is destined to happen.

Outright plays:
Finalists: India vs Paki - 15/2
Top Bowler: S Afridi - 14/1
Top Bat: F Zahman - 25/1
(NB: Above bets could all be up in smoke by ths evening)

Top Aus bat: Carey - 8/1
Top India Bowler: Jadeja - 10/1

Accumulator (allowed by WSB):
Rashid top Eng bowler, Zampa top Aus bowler and Williamson top NZ bat at 20/1. Also same first two with Root as top Eng bat at the same price of 20/1.

I can't wait for this - love me some 50 over cricket!

Clearly I should learn to differentiate between a gut feel and heartburn! The latter is what I have after 3 of my outright bets are already pretty much in the bin after one game...

Not anywhere near over. Bangladesh are no pushovers and India are only 14/10 because 80% of the punting comes from India. I believe the winner comes from this group but certainly not prepared to call it this early. Do concede however that Afridi bowled absolute shite today.

Bangladesh v India

Man, the odds across all the India players are ridiculous.

Over 1.5 match wickets
M Rahman @ 15/10

and taking a few beers on this based on the odds
Team with best bowler
Bangladesh @ 26/10

-Bangladesh to beat nz, 4.80, 3 units......I will hedge some on nz if their live price gets to 2.10 or higher. But still keep Bangladesh my much better result. This 4.80 price should be no bigger than 4.00 here.

-NZ top bat......

-Williamson, 4.00, 1.5 units
-Mitchell, 6.00, 0.5 of a unit
-Conway, 5.00, 0.5 of a unit

Bangladesh v New Zealand

In Rawalpindi today. Can assist pace early on and weather is expected to be coolish and a little overcast. Two quality quicks for me

Over 1.5 match wickets
Henry @ evens
M Rahman @ 5/4

May risk a beer with Sportsbettor above but I think Bangladesh have to take the risk and give the speedster Rana a shot. I don't think NZ have faced him before.

Nice Hossain pick yesterday Chris. Mahmudulah had to drop an absolute sitter to prevent Rahman getting two wickets.

Australia v South Africa
Apparently Rawalpindi is a batting paradise gets easier as the day goes. Both of today's captains have confirmed they will chase. Not what I saw yesterday. I thought Hossain was getting sharp turn in the evening and that innings from Ravindra was top quality. Taking Maharaj on the basis that we will probably lose the toss so he will bowl in the evening. On the basis that runs may not flow I think the fours line looks high.


Over 1.5 match wickets
Maharaj @ 2/1

Match fours
Under 57.5 @ 17/20

I agree Vann. I see many talking about a flat pitch but in my view it offered plenty and was not just a case of Bangladesh batting poorly.

I will be looking to go unders on runs in some way, shape or form.

Also a possible Zampa play - ither wickets, top wicket taker or MoM. (Will shop around now).

Taking some Afghanistan to beat the Aussies and get revenge for the 2023 CWC at 3.80

The Aussies have struggled against spin, losing both their warmup games against Sri Lanka and will be facing a minimum of 30 overs of top-quality spin from the Afghans.

Previously the Afghans have struggled against the pace of the Aussies attack but without Cummins, Hazelwood and Starc, the likes of Gurbaz and Zadran will fancy their chances.

Taking some Afghanistan to beat the Aussies and get revenge for the 2023 CWC at 3.80

The Aussies have struggled against spin, losing both their warmup games against Sri Lanka and will be facing a minimum of 30 overs of top-quality spin from the Afghans.

Previously the Afghans have struggled against the pace of the Aussies attack but without Cummins, Hazelwood and Starc, the likes of Gurbaz and Zadran will fancy their chances.

South Africa v England

Nice for SA to be on the right side of the weather interruptions for a change.
Two erratic bowlers for me who always seem to snaffle a wicket or two.

Over 1.5 match wickets
Archer @ evens
Ngidi @ 27/20

On the money again yesterday Chris - Nice

New Zealand v India

Both sides inclined to keep the ball on the ground. India managed 21 fours in 231 and 23 fours in 244 in their two previous matches. Their line may be right but the NZ line looks a little light.

Match fours
NZ over 20.5 @ 17/20

For an interest in the Indian inn
India top bat
Pant @ 47/10 Should get a run out as India only have a two day turn around so expect some fringe players today

Inda v Australia
I have considered Australia at 31/20 on the basis that batting first is an advantage here. The wicket gets slower and spinners run rates drop from 4.8 in 1st inn to around 4.1 in the 2nd inn. With India having lost 13 tosses in a row would expect Australia to bat first. Not taking on however as India picked the full first team against NZ even though they were qualified and some players should have been rested. My take was they wanted to avoid SA in the semi's so they must be confident they can handle the Aussies.

Top batsman India
Iyer @ 31/10

Top bowler India
Chakravarthy @ 23/10

Think NZ should be favs today

Taken some NZ win @ 2.2 on the exchange

Hoping India have a dip somewhere in the match so I can cover my 7/1 NZ ticket. Read a lot of previews on the match and nobody mentions Ravindra. He has looked quality against spin and I think New Zealand's chances revolve around his performance.

India v New Zealand

Like that Santner PP so will be joining. Can take it for granted that the wicket prepared will suit the Indian spinners. India settled on the four spin tactic in the New Zealand pool match and continued in the semi. The two matches saw 28 and 36 fours. Lines too high in my opinion.

Match fours under 42.5 @ 8/10

Player performance Santner over 33.5 17/20