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- URC wk 12, Super Rugby wk 3, 6 Nations Rd 4 early + other rugby 28 Feb- 02 Mar
URC wk 12, Super Rugby wk 3, 6 Nations Rd 4 early + other rugby 28 Feb- 02 Mar
- Brent Graham
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For example I barely bet on Brumbies overs, unders in the Ireland game and over 7.5 tries in France but flew into England overs, Lions overs and Hurricanes half time overs with a chase bet at the break.
My ammunition stockpile has been severely depleted and I will be treading carefully this week.
6 Nations take a week off but we have early betting
Ireland 8/10 France 11/10
Scotland -16.5 v Wales
England -22.5 v Italy
Ireland are 13/20 to win the tournament with France 16/10 and England 10/1
URC and Super Rugby fixtures and projected caps to follow
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- Brent Graham
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Moana Pasifika +9.5 v Highlanders
Waratahs -9.5 v Drua
Chiefs -13.5 v Brumbies
Hurricanes +4.5 v Blues
Force +6.5 v Reds
Let me know where I have gone wrong!
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- Sharkster
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Brent Graham wrote: The Super Rugby Week 3 betting blog is up and running with a look at the outright betting and my projected handicaps
Moana Pasifika +9.5 v Highlanders
Waratahs -9.5 v Drua
Chiefs -13.5 v Brumbies
Hurricanes +4.5 v Blues
Force +6.5 v Reds
Let me know where I have gone wrong!
I capped these earlier and all are within 2 points of yours apart from highlanders. Have them -15 this could be out but while it is a home game for moana it is in nz so more like a neutral venue
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- Brent Graham
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Latest betting and log as well as my handicap projections
Munster -11.5 v Edinburgh
Zebre -4.5 v Dragons
Lions +4.5 v Sharks
Leinster -16.5 v Cardiff
Bulls -6.5 v Stormers
Ulster -8.5 v Scarlets
Glasgow -12.5 v Ospreys
Connacht -9.5 v Benetton
Will be watching that Highlanders cap Sharkster and yes I have Zebre favourites - not sure I have ever done that before
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- Brent Graham
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Moana Pasifika +9.5 (+8.5) v Highlanders
Waratahs -9.5 (-8.5) v Drua
Chiefs -13.5 (-13.5) v Brumbies
Hurricanes +4.5 v (+4.5) Blues
Force +6.5 (+8.5) v Reds
Very much aligned with my handicaps so no obvious early moves this week.
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- Brent Graham
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Munster -11.5 (-12.5) v Edinburgh
Zebre -4.5 (-6.5) v Dragons
Lions +4.5 (-2.5) v Sharks
Leinster -16.5 (-18.5) v Cardiff
Bulls -6.5 (-12.5) v Stormers
Ulster -8.5 (-6.5) v Scarlets
Glasgow -12.5 (-14.5) v Ospreys
Connacht -9.5 (-12.5) v Benetton
Early move Sharks ML at 15/10
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- Sharkster
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Sharkster wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: The Super Rugby Week 3 betting blog is up and running with a look at the outright betting and my projected handicaps
Moana Pasifika +9.5 v Highlanders
Waratahs -9.5 v Drua
Chiefs -13.5 v Brumbies
Hurricanes +4.5 v Blues
Force +6.5 v Reds
Let me know where I have gone wrong!
I capped these earlier and all are within 2 points of yours apart from highlanders. Have them -15 this could be out but while it is a home game for moana it is in nz so more like a neutral venue
On reflection the 15 points was off but I think there may have been a slight over reaction to pasifikas game against the canes. I probably would be on highlanders and it actually moved in from 8 to 7 here I'm ireland so I don't think there is any rush if I'm taking the landers.
Any thoughts on this one?
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- RugbyEdgeTips
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Drua have had a gruelling travel schedule and Tahs talking up a defensive game. Tahs conceded over 27 points or over their last 11 games. I’m not convinced they will keep the Drua out for a game that will be played in good weather forecasted for Friday in Sydney.
Drua scored 32 and 34 points in their first two games.
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- Chiefie
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Following the trend of some high scoring games for round 3, not expecting that to change.
Have done a 5 x fold overs play on totals.
Moana v Highlanders - Over 52.5
Waratahs v Drua - Over 52.5
Chiefs v Brumbies - Over 49.5
Hurricanes v blues - Over 47.5
Force v Reds - Over 54.5
Takes us to 5.15-1.
Who is going to let me down?
At the moment, the only game I’m iffy about is Canes and Blues. I can’t trust the blues, but surely between them they can hit 48 points.
GL all
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- Southpaw
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Sharkster wrote: I don't pay much attention to points lines in super rugby but these seem quite low. Is there poor weather expected at some locations?
Chiefies pts lines look to be altnerate pts lines at lower odds to build a safer acca option. Eg. Highlanders game, bookies seem to have woken up a bit this week as 61.5 is main pts line. Think highlanders overs might be the way to go in that one once priced up.
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- Chiefie
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Sharkster wrote: Ah yeah that makes sense south
Yeah spot on. Alt lines, lower odds.
Just can’t back unders in any of these games, could quite easily be 70 points in any game!
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Going to do 2 rugby shows this week, tonight at 21h00 focusing on Super Rugby and tomorrow at 16h00 to talk URC post team selections
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- Connachtrugby0
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Brent Graham wrote: URC blog updated with weather links
Going to do 2 rugby shows this week, tonight at 21h00 focusing on Super Rugby and tomorrow at 16h00 to talk URC post team selections
Munster game in Cork Brent not Thomond
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- Brent Graham
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Connachtrugby0 wrote:
Brent Graham wrote: URC blog updated with weather links
Going to do 2 rugby shows this week, tonight at 21h00 focusing on Super Rugby and tomorrow at 16h00 to talk URC post team selections
Munster game in Cork Brent not Thomond
Thanks man that Ultimate Rugby site wrong every time with Munster
Will change after the show which is live at 21h00
Tonights show will focus on Super Rugby with The Mossman
Click here to watch on You Tube
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- Southpaw
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Over 8.5 tries @ 10/11 Moana highlanders. Not a confident one, but will stick with trend.
1st moana try Ardi Savea @ 8/1
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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Rubber stamping my blog pick from earlier in the week
Sharks win at 1.34
I still think they should be favourites
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- Chiefie
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Duck hooking, slicing, missing in front - that guy just sucks.
0/3 and not even remotely close on any.
If you’re taking Moana on the handicap, you’re fuming.
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- Sharkster
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Sharkster wrote: Can just feel my lander cap falling
Wouldn't be a Friday if there wasn't a lsomg start
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- Brent Graham
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- Matador
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Brent Graham wrote: You have to be kidding me Highlanders don't score a point in the 2nd half - I cannot believe my form
unbelievable!
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- Kirky
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Do you have any insights on the Top 14 to share with us ?
Anything that you have to share would be very well appreciated
Cheers, me hombre
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- Southpaw
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Drua over 3.5 tries @ 11/10
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- Pablo
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Kirky wrote: HELLO PABLO
Do you have any insights on the Top 14 to share with us ?
Anything that you have to share would be very well appreciated
Cheers, me hombre
Hi mate!
I'm on a business trip this weekend so almost no room to analyse rugby weekend. Very busy month for me overall.
Just went Chiefs o36.5 and o63.5 in Perth both 2u.
Grenoble -27 2u as well but nothing yet in Top14.
SF -3 looks valuable on paper and overs in Toulouse.
Cheers
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- Brent Graham
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Click here to set a reminder and watch on You Tube
Waratahs were awful, I was pulling for the Drua by the end
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Sharkster wrote: Looks like late money for Edinburgh. I'm seeing 7 point cap now. Any news? Significant change
Can't see any late injury news. At that number I would be fairly happy to add munster unless there is an unknown
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Sharkster wrote: Munster -7 @10/11 second string but some quality in there.
Looking like a bad shout. Hope for the overs to break even
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- Pablo
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Pablo wrote:
Kirky wrote: HELLO PABLO
Do you have any insights on the Top 14 to share with us ?
Anything that you have to share would be very well appreciated
Cheers, me hombre
Hi mate!
I'm on a business trip this weekend so almost no room to analyse rugby weekend. Very busy month for me overall.
Just went Chiefs o36.5 and o63.5 in Perth both 2u.
Grenoble -27 2u as well but nothing yet in Top14.
SF -3 looks valuable on paper and overs in Toulouse.
Cheers
At least grenoble gave me some happiness in this terrible month.
Let's see tomorrow, I added o59.5 2u in Toulouse-Vannes.
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- Southpaw
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Trying s few exotics instead -
Chiefs 11-20 win @ 11/4
HT/FT Blues / Canes @ 8/1
Force Reds - 1st try Faessler @ 9/1, last try Tim Ryan @ tbc
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- Chiefie
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Southpaw wrote: Somehow came out 2/2 today on main overs tries bets but overs tomorrow looks another a risky one.
Trying s few exotics instead -
Chiefs 11-20 win @ 11/4
HT/FT Blues / Canes @ 8/1
Force Reds - 1st try Faessler @ 9/1, last try Tim Ryan @ tbc
Don’t say that South, I need like a million points per game to hit a 5 fold overs play.
I’d be heavily invested in Hurricanes v Blues Under 55.5 - blues have been horrible, but defence is solid.
Chiefs should beat Brumbies by 20 at least.
Force and reds - no idea. Bookies have points line at 66.5 - that’s insane.
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- Pablo
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Looks like rain in Joburg but I don't know how storms develop in SA, if its rain I'd go u48.5 there.
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- Brent Graham
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Southpaw wrote: Somehow came out 2/2 today on main overs tries bets but overs tomorrow looks another a risky one.
Trying s few exotics instead -
Chiefs 11-20 win @ 11/4
HT/FT Blues / Canes @ 8/1
Force Reds - 1st try Faessler @ 9/1, last try Tim Ryan @ tbc
Great call the 11-20 South - you and I are in different punting universes at the moment when it comes to decision making - I was on the -15.5 (although very small as everything riding on the Sharks)
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- Brent Graham
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