Super Rugby Week 8, Champions & Challenge Cup Round of 16 4-6 April
- Brent Graham
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Overall a decent weekend though catching the early u58.5 in the Reds v Force game and going 3/4 in Super Rugby
We are back to 5 Super Rugby games this weekend and the Super Rugby Week 8 Blog is up and running with tables, betting and of course projected handicaps which are copied below
Chiefs -10.5 v Reds
Moana Pasifika -4.5 v Waratahs
Fijian Drua +8.5 v Crusaders
Blues -4.5 v Hurricanes
Force 6.5 v Highlanders
There are also Champions and Challenge Cup round of 16 matches and I will get a blog going in the morning
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- Sharkster
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- Brent Graham
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Super Rugby handicaps are out and here are comparisons with mine (apologies I left a minus out of Force game)
Chiefs -10.5 (-11.5) v Reds
Moana Pasifika -4.5 (+1.5) v Waratahs - the biggest difference, I think money will come for Moana at these levels
Fijian Drua +8.5 (+6.5)v Crusaders
Blues -4.5 (-4.5) v Hurricanes
Force -6.5 (-3.5) v Highlanders
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- Brent Graham
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Glasgow Warriors (-6.5) vs Leicester Tigers
Northampton Saints vs ASM Clermont Auvergne (No handicap listed)
Castres Olympique (-7.5) vs Benetton Treviso
Leinster (-20.5) vs Harlequins FC
RC Toulonnais (-14.5) vs Saracens FC - saw The Admiral grab -6.5 on X on news of Saracens rotation
Stade Rochelais (-7.5) vs Munster
Union Bordeaux Bègles (-21.5) vs Ulster Rugby
Stade Toulousain (-22.5) vs Sale Rugby Union FC Sharks
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- Laraxwell
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Harlequins +25
Munster +11
Bordeaux -16
Leicester +12
I usually avoid punting Munster but will put a few beers on them to win @11/5
Players returning from layoffs for Munster and La Rochelle confidence may be down after a tough run
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- Sharkster
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- TheAdmiral
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This article from the roar says it’s likely Bell and Tupou will be rested this weekend, and potentially Gleeson and Leota too.
www.theroar.com.au/2025/04/01/reds-to-we...-with-ra-wishes/amp/
Also some news about Reds players in there
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- Sharkster
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- Pablo
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4 points advantage to SR in my books, very disappointing season with relegation very close. Munster should be up to the task.
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- Southpaw
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Mind doesn't want to go unders, just feel under pressure all game.
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- sportsbettor
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Southpaw wrote: i'm an overs punter but the 57.5 Chiefs vs Reds is seriously tempting me consider a rare unders bet. Looks like it will be very heavy rain Friday, easing to showers in evening. My only concern is both sides handling is very good.
Mind doesn't want to go unders, just feel under pressure all game.
I don't bet totals generally.
But good call. Weather looks likely to be pretty poor for Hamilton on Friday night 57.5 is too high.
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- Divan777
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- Chiefie
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sportsbettor wrote:
Southpaw wrote: i'm an overs punter but the 57.5 Chiefs vs Reds is seriously tempting me consider a rare unders bet. Looks like it will be very heavy rain Friday, easing to showers in evening. My only concern is both sides handling is very good.
Mind doesn't want to go unders, just feel under pressure all game.
I don't bet totals generally.
But good call. Weather looks likely to be pretty poor for Hamilton on Friday night 57.5 is too high.
Points line starting to drop now in the chiefs v reds game, now at 56.5
If I tune in on Friday morning and I don’t see torrential rain I’m going to cancel my TV subscription and put my TV on FB marketplace.
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- sportsbettor
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Chiefie wrote:
sportsbettor wrote:
Southpaw wrote: i'm an overs punter but the 57.5 Chiefs vs Reds is seriously tempting me consider a rare unders bet. Looks like it will be very heavy rain Friday, easing to showers in evening. My only concern is both sides handling is very good.
Mind doesn't want to go unders, just feel under pressure all game.
I don't bet totals generally.
But good call. Weather looks likely to be pretty poor for Hamilton on Friday night 57.5 is too high.
Points line starting to drop now in the chiefs v reds game, now at 56.5
If I tune in on Friday morning and I don’t see torrential rain I’m going to cancel my TV subscription and put my TV on FB marketplace.
Like Southpaw said.....
The forecast is this......
"light rain or no rain during the game. However heavier rain during the day and in the hours leading up till kickoff"
Cheers
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- Southpaw
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Will have to think of another way to get involved in the Friday game.
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- RugbyEdgeTips
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- Brent Graham
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The Mossman will be on the panel and all going well Pablo will be there as well.
Click here to set a reminder or watch on You Tube
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- Southpaw
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Force v Highlanders - over 57.5 pts @ 5/6
I expected a line in mid 60s. Both sides play attacking rugby, day kick off, warm and dry.
Going max bet on this.
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- Chief25
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- Chiefie
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Chief25 wrote: Didn’t catch the 57.5 , would you still go max bet 58.5 ? Amy other fancies for SR ? I fancy overs in the chiefs game , going against the grain
Line at 55.5 for chiefs now, I don’t know, feels like a trap either way.
Can see this game ending with 70 points or 40.
Have cashed out my unders play and will root for the overs.
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- Pablo
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Looks like value on Ulster +24.5
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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- Chiefie
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Jameson wrote: Half time bet in Hamilton, over 45.5.
Personally I’d go the other way, think with subs coming on, only going to get worse.
But good luck, will be rooting for your over!
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- Jameson
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Chiefie wrote:
Jameson wrote: Half time bet in Hamilton, over 45.5.
Personally I’d go the other way, think with subs coming on, only going to get worse.
But good luck, will be rooting for your over!
Its a Friday bet so I fully expect to lose either way ...
EDIT: yup, when a team has tries denied and fails to score 5M out then you know your overs is f@cked .....
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- Southpaw
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Lions OVER 7.5 1st half pts @ 8/10 (Will Hill)
Dry conditions and expecting a first half reaction from Lions after last weeks disaster with several key players back.
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- sportsbettor
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-Fiji Drua +8.5, 1.55 / Western Force to win 1.60. Pays 2.48, 2 units.
All action includes extra time.
While Fiji is not liked by some of my methods and systems. I will side with them, as I priced this game with the crusaders 1.67. Bookies came out with 1.42. That was all before team news. Team news is pretty ordinary for the crusaders.
The Western Force are liked by most of my methods and systems this week.
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- Brent Graham
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- Pablo
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Strong compo Bath despite some rotation, Pau with big rotation. In my opinion line should be in the mid 30´s.
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- Brent Graham
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- Jameson
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Guess which one I went overs on??
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- Brent Graham
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Champions Cup Blog Updated with the folliowing bets
Munster win 3/1
Leinster over 17.5 1st half points 0.84/1
Castres over 29.5 0.84/1
All bets now up in SRP Blog
Under 56.5 Blues game 9/10
Drua win 1.48/1
Moana win 0.89/1
Over 59.5 Force game 9/10
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- Southpaw
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Over 57.5 @ 10/11 blues canes.
My day heavily depends on overs later in Perth, if that goes south it will be pain.
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- Jameson
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Southpaw wrote: Confidence low after Lions poor showing, couldn’t even get myself up for a bet on earlier games today.
Over 57.5 @ 10/11 blues canes.
My day heavily depends on overs later in Perth, if that goes south it will be pain.
Welcome to my world!
I got over 44.5 in the Blues game when the score was 3-0 after 20min. Looking OK at half time but .......
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- ProveMeWrong
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Pablo wrote: Bath o30.5 @1.80 2u
Strong compo Bath despite some rotation, Pau with big rotation. In my opinion line should be in the mid 30´s.
Very nice here! Done and dusted in 45min
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- Jameson
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11 points scored in the 2nd half.
I'm done with this week on week haemorrhaging of cash. Its relentless!
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- Southpaw
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Heavily invested in overs in Perth. Don’t often go max bet but committed on Thursday and if no try fest early I will be in trouble.
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- Brent Graham
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The latest Glasgow by 11-20 points at 53/20
Will be shouting the overs with you South
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- Brent Graham
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Toulon 41-50
Glasgow 11-20
Munster 1-10
Throwing a few high odds acca's out there today and hoping to hit one
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- Miiiiiiighty
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Southpaw wrote: Amazing how quick your form can turn. 2 bets 2 losses so far this weekend. Blues and canes execution really poor.
Heavily invested in overs in Perth. Don’t often go max bet but committed on Thursday and if no try fest early I will be in trouble.
Looks like your day will be good
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- kt6747
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Could be way off the mark but French teams if I remember are always hard to beat at home and even there 2nd teams are normally tough.
Enjoy the ruggers
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- Connachtrugby0
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- Connachtrugby0
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Thanks for jinxing on every one. KnobMiiiiiiighty wrote:
Southpaw wrote: Amazing how quick your form can turn. 2 bets 2 losses so far this weekend. Blues and canes execution really poor.
Heavily invested in overs in Perth. Don’t often go max bet but committed on Thursday and if no try fest early I will be in trouble.
Looks like your day will be good
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- Pablo
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PD: 25 min without a score
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- Southpaw
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Tail between my leg for rest of weekend. Not sure if have stomach to get back on horse or stay away for another day.
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- Wager Warlock
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It sucks enough losing a big bet after it getting off to a good start, so maybe calm down and keep the name calling to yourself.
We're all here to post our fancies and support.
Now let's go make some money
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- Miiiiiiighty
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Connachtrugby0 wrote:
Thanks for jinxing on every one. KnobMiiiiiiighty wrote:
Southpaw wrote: Amazing how quick your form can turn. 2 bets 2 losses so far this weekend. Blues and canes execution really poor.
Heavily invested in overs in Perth. Don’t often go max bet but committed on Thursday and if no try fest early I will be in trouble.
Looks like your day will be good
It was 10-17 when I commented bro.
Lay off your Guinness and calm down
, it's not my fault if these two incompetent teams can't score in 28+ minutes, especially WF against a red carded team ... Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Miiiiiiighty
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Wager Warlock wrote: Wow Connacht, if you honestly believe the bet lost because he "jinxed" it by saying it looks good, then you've got bigger problems to worry about.
It sucks enough losing a big bet after it getting off to a good start, so maybe calm down and keep the name calling to yourself.
We're all here to post our fancies and support.
Now let's go make some money
Amen bro.
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