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Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
- Brent Graham
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1 month 3 weeks ago #1
by Brent Graham
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Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby was created by Brent Graham
Overall a decent weekend for me with some very close wins (under 56.5 in Brisbane, Sharks -2.5 to mention a couple) and generally more wins than losses.
The highlight was the newsletter bet of over 53.5 in Stormers game and also Scarlets beating Leinster at 35/20.
Low point was the lack of points in Lions v Connacht which ended up costing the 16/1 newsletter acca - here is the link to get the newsletter bit.ly/gftgnewsletter
This weekend we have Super Rugby and the SRP week 12 blog is up an running
Here are my projected handicaps
Blues -16.5 v Force
Drua +7.5 v Reds
Hurricanes +5.5 v Chiefs
Brumbies -9.5 v Waratahs
Highlanders -7.5 v Moana Pasifika
I will compare with the bookies lines tomorrow.
There is also the Investec Champions and Challenge Cup semi's
Here are the current handicaps for the Champions Cup
Leinster -21.5 v Northampton
Bordeaux +4.5 v Toulouse
I have not seen betting for the Challenge Cup but here are the fixtures
Lyon v Racing
Edinburgh v Bath
Have a good week everyone
The highlight was the newsletter bet of over 53.5 in Stormers game and also Scarlets beating Leinster at 35/20.
Low point was the lack of points in Lions v Connacht which ended up costing the 16/1 newsletter acca - here is the link to get the newsletter bit.ly/gftgnewsletter
This weekend we have Super Rugby and the SRP week 12 blog is up an running
Here are my projected handicaps
Blues -16.5 v Force
Drua +7.5 v Reds
Hurricanes +5.5 v Chiefs
Brumbies -9.5 v Waratahs
Highlanders -7.5 v Moana Pasifika
I will compare with the bookies lines tomorrow.
There is also the Investec Champions and Challenge Cup semi's
Here are the current handicaps for the Champions Cup
Leinster -21.5 v Northampton
Bordeaux +4.5 v Toulouse
I have not seen betting for the Challenge Cup but here are the fixtures
Lyon v Racing
Edinburgh v Bath
Have a good week everyone
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 3 weeks ago #2
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
SRP Blog updated with 1st bet
Betx caps in brackets
Blues -16.5 (-15.5) v Force
Drua +7.5 (+0.5) v Reds
Hurricanes +5.5 (+5.5) v Chiefs
Brumbies -9.5 v (-9.5) Waratahs
Highlanders -7.5 (-4.5) v Moana Pasifika
An early bet Reds win at 9/10
Betx caps in brackets
Blues -16.5 (-15.5) v Force
Drua +7.5 (+0.5) v Reds
Hurricanes +5.5 (+5.5) v Chiefs
Brumbies -9.5 v (-9.5) Waratahs
Highlanders -7.5 (-4.5) v Moana Pasifika
An early bet Reds win at 9/10
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1 month 3 weeks ago #3
by Southpaw
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Taken Reds -1 @ 10/11
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1 month 2 weeks ago #4
by Sharkster
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Wasn't quick enough to get-1 reds but happy with -3 @10/11. Had this reds -7
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1 month 2 weeks ago - 1 month 2 weeks ago #5
by sportsbettor
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I had Reds -2.5 in that game. The fact that the nztab opened that game 1.87 a piece on the match winner was pretty comical 
Last edit: 1 month 2 weeks ago by sportsbettor.
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1 month 2 weeks ago #6
by sportsbettor
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The Fiji Drua will have one last chance this season for a road/away win.
Currently 0-6 on the road, they face the reds in round 16 in Brisbane for their last road game this season.
Should they lose that game which is extremely likely, their 0-7 road record will add to their misery on the road since joining super rugby.
Probably the worst road record in super rugby history, sunwolves are the only team I can think of that may be able to match them.
Currently 0-6 on the road, they face the reds in round 16 in Brisbane for their last road game this season.
Should they lose that game which is extremely likely, their 0-7 road record will add to their misery on the road since joining super rugby.
Probably the worst road record in super rugby history, sunwolves are the only team I can think of that may be able to match them.
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1 month 2 weeks ago - 1 month 2 weeks ago #7
by sportsbettor
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I had some time, so did some digging.
1 win and 26 losses for the Fiji Drua on the road since joining Super rugby.
Average margin of defeat across those 26 losses = 25 points.
1 win and 26 losses for the Fiji Drua on the road since joining Super rugby.
Average margin of defeat across those 26 losses = 25 points.
Last edit: 1 month 2 weeks ago by sportsbettor.
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- RugbyEdgeTips
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1 month 2 weeks ago #8
by RugbyEdgeTips
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Replied by RugbyEdgeTips on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
The Drua match scheduled for Suva, Fiji.
Just in case you are going heavy
Just in case you are going heavy
Twitter @ RugbyEdgeTips
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1 month 2 weeks ago - 1 month 2 weeks ago #9
by sportsbettor
Yep correct.
I was just making some general comments about their road record.
An amazing one at that. Line will be at least -13.5 for their last road game (round 16).
Replied by sportsbettor on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
RugbyEdgeTips wrote: The Drua match scheduled for Suva, Fiji.
Just in case you are going heavy
Yep correct.
I was just making some general comments about their road record.
An amazing one at that. Line will be at least -13.5 for their last road game (round 16).
Last edit: 1 month 2 weeks ago by sportsbettor.
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- Brad Breath
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1 month 2 weeks ago #10
by Brad Breath
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Took some Canes +5.5 earlier in the week. Like their team and Chiefs without DMac & ALB.
Also got a few beers on Canes to win the tournament @ 21
Higgins & Proctor looked epic in the midfield last week and Godfey will be back at 10 soon. Should win at least 3 of their last 4 so they make the top 6 comfortably. Won't be easy playing finals away, but worth a shot at those odds.
Also got a few beers on Canes to win the tournament @ 21
Higgins & Proctor looked epic in the midfield last week and Godfey will be back at 10 soon. Should win at least 3 of their last 4 so they make the top 6 comfortably. Won't be easy playing finals away, but worth a shot at those odds.
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #11
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
SRP Blog Updated
with weather links and latest caps and points
As BB pointed out money for the Canes following team news and Reds steady at -2.5/3.5
As BB pointed out money for the Canes following team news and Reds steady at -2.5/3.5
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1 month 2 weeks ago #12
by Pablo
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UBB +4.5 @1.90 2u
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #13
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Guys we are not yet able to stream on You Tube after a "strike" against the channel
THE HANDICAP will be live at 21h00 on X and Facebook - links below
Click here to watch on Facebook
Click here to follow me on X and hit the bell to be notified
THE HANDICAP will be live at 21h00 on X and Facebook - links below
Click here to watch on Facebook
Click here to follow me on X and hit the bell to be notified
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #14
by Southpaw
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Blues over 35.5 pts @ 8/10
surely the blues turn up at some point this tounament?? been woeful but i think force coming to town at right time for blues with back to the wall.or so i hope.
surely the blues turn up at some point this tounament?? been woeful but i think force coming to town at right time for blues with back to the wall.or so i hope.
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #15
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
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1 month 2 weeks ago #16
by sportsbettor
Hey Brent,
Do you have a direct link for the show on Twitter (X), for this week please?
Using the above link I couldn't find the show.
Thanks
Replied by sportsbettor on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Brent Graham wrote: Guys we are not yet able to stream on You Tube after a "strike" against the channel
THE HANDICAP will be live at 21h00 on X and Facebook - links below
Click here to watch on Facebook
Click here to follow me on X and hit the bell to be notified
Hey Brent,
Do you have a direct link for the show on Twitter (X), for this week please?
Using the above link I couldn't find the show.
Thanks
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #17
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Hi sportsbettor try this one please
x.com/BrentGraham/status/1918017759880921562
Heavy rain in Auckland earlier (the forecast had predicted this) but I believe the sun is out and I will let the points play ride
Market is stable
Heavy rain in Auckland earlier (the forecast had predicted this) but I believe the sun is out and I will let the points play ride
Market is stable
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- Jameson
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1 month 2 weeks ago #18
by Jameson
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Another Friday disaster starting to pan out ......
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1 month 2 weeks ago #19
by sportsbettor
Cheers
Replied by sportsbettor on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Brent Graham wrote: Hi sportsbettor try this one please x.com/BrentGraham/status/1918017759880921562
Heavy rain in Auckland earlier (the forecast had predicted this) but I believe the sun is out and I will let the points play ride
Market is stable
Cheers
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1 month 2 weeks ago #20
by Laraxwell
Replied by Laraxwell on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
I've had a go at Over 44.5pts @ Boyles HT
19pts FH with a disallowed try and decent time with ball in play.
Good to see O'Keefe calling no advantage early on penalty advantage
19pts FH with a disallowed try and decent time with ball in play.
Good to see O'Keefe calling no advantage early on penalty advantage
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #21
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Euro semi's blog is up
with weather links for the 4 games
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1 month 2 weeks ago #22
by Jameson
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Never in doubt .......
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1 month 2 weeks ago #23
by Southpaw
TMO desperate to get in on the action at any attempt. Overs lands in the end, a good Friday morning.
But these days you really cannot celebrate a try until the game kick-offs again. Getting like VAR for football.
Replied by Southpaw on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Jameson wrote: Never in doubt .......
TMO desperate to get in on the action at any attempt. Overs lands in the end, a good Friday morning.
But these days you really cannot celebrate a try until the game kick-offs again. Getting like VAR for football.
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1 month 2 weeks ago #24
by Jameson
Its awful isnt it. Was that 3 tries disallowed by TMO intervention? I suppose if the correct result ensues we have to accept it for what it is .....
Replied by Jameson on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Southpaw wrote:
Jameson wrote: Never in doubt .......
TMO desperate to get in on the action at any attempt. Overs lands in the end, a good Friday morning.
But these days you really cannot celebrate a try until the game kick-offs again. Getting like VAR for football.
Its awful isnt it. Was that 3 tries disallowed by TMO intervention? I suppose if the correct result ensues we have to accept it for what it is .....
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1 month 2 weeks ago #25
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
SRP Blog updated
No further bet Drua game - sticking with 9/10 Reds from Monday
Either team by 7 or less at 1.48/1 in Canes v Chiefs
No further bet Drua game - sticking with 9/10 Reds from Monday
Either team by 7 or less at 1.48/1 in Canes v Chiefs
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1 month 2 weeks ago #26
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
SRP Blog Updated
with final Saturday play
Brumbies over 33.5 at 19/20 - this is my SRP bet of the weekend
Brumbies over 33.5 at 19/20 - this is my SRP bet of the weekend
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1 month 2 weeks ago #27
by Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #28
by Southpaw
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Canes vs Chiefs over 54.5 @ 10/11
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #29
by Brent Graham
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1 month 2 weeks ago #30
by Southpaw
Taken Drua +5 to almost cancel out this one, team selected has dropped my confidence. A reds win by 2-4pts would be a bonus.
Replied by Southpaw on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Southpaw wrote: Taken Reds -1 @ 10/11
Taken Drua +5 to almost cancel out this one, team selected has dropped my confidence. A reds win by 2-4pts would be a bonus.
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1 month 2 weeks ago #31
by ballaholic
Replied by ballaholic on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
I live in Wellington, where Canes are playing Chiefs tonight
Gale force winds and terrible storm in the city Thursday/Friday, pushing down points total
But today (Saturday) has suddenly turned beautiful, lots of sun to dry out pitch, no wind, should be great conditions for game tonight
Overs on
Gale force winds and terrible storm in the city Thursday/Friday, pushing down points total
But today (Saturday) has suddenly turned beautiful, lots of sun to dry out pitch, no wind, should be great conditions for game tonight
Overs on
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1 month 2 weeks ago #32
by Miiiiiiighty
Replied by Miiiiiiighty on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Not sure why everybody has UBB over Stade Toulousain or LOU over Racing Metro 92.
I'll make sure to make an parlay of these two.
Okay, there are massive absences due to injuries, but Toulouse has tons of experience and UBB struggled to beat the tier 2.5 ST team a few weeks ago in top 14.
RM92 have been gaining in power for 2 monthes now, LOU is solid at home sure, but on a knockout game, the gap shouldn't be that wide, especially since I think they'll do the max to secure that CCup berth.
I'll make sure to make an parlay of these two.
Okay, there are massive absences due to injuries, but Toulouse has tons of experience and UBB struggled to beat the tier 2.5 ST team a few weeks ago in top 14.
RM92 have been gaining in power for 2 monthes now, LOU is solid at home sure, but on a knockout game, the gap shouldn't be that wide, especially since I think they'll do the max to secure that CCup berth.
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1 month 2 weeks ago #33
by sitho1983
Replied by sitho1983 on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
03 May 25 16:00
EDINBURGH vs BATH
BATH (-7.5) @ 0.85
03 May 25 18:30
LEINSTER vs NORTHAMPTON
NORTHAMPTON Totals Away team OVER 15.5 @ 0.90
04 May 25 13:30
LYON vs RACING METRO 92
RACING Totals Away team OVER 22.5 @ 0.90
04 May 25 16:00
BORDEAUX vs TOULOUSE
BORDEAUX (+1.5) @ 0.85
Hollywood Bets @ 11.36
Bet Code : 1011248327
EDINBURGH vs BATH
BATH (-7.5) @ 0.85
03 May 25 18:30
LEINSTER vs NORTHAMPTON
NORTHAMPTON Totals Away team OVER 15.5 @ 0.90
04 May 25 13:30
LYON vs RACING METRO 92
RACING Totals Away team OVER 22.5 @ 0.90
04 May 25 16:00
BORDEAUX vs TOULOUSE
BORDEAUX (+1.5) @ 0.85
Hollywood Bets @ 11.36
Bet Code : 1011248327
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1 month 2 weeks ago #34
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Well done South and Admiral on hedging out of the Reds play
I need Brumbies over 33.5 now
I need Brumbies over 33.5 now
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1 month 2 weeks ago #35
by TheAdmiral
Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Tailed on Brumbies thanks Brent
Think this is going against the grain but I’ve taken Northampton under 15.5
Think this is going against the grain but I’ve taken Northampton under 15.5
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1 month 2 weeks ago #36
by Southpaw
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overs in Dublin is the bet for me, just not sure if total, Leinster, or Saints. Will mull over.
Sick beat in Canes game dragged me backwards to square for weekend. And if Reds had held on 1 more minute would have landed the middle on caps.
Sick beat in Canes game dragged me backwards to square for weekend. And if Reds had held on 1 more minute would have landed the middle on caps.
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1 month 2 weeks ago #37
by Miiiiiiighty
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Brumbies sure tried their hardest to make sure I didn't score my " brumbies 1st to 45 " live race.
Tom Wright forgetting to pass the ball twice, ref getting back to a 1min30 ago knock on on Ikitau's " try " , two balls ripped off their arms 5 meters from the line etc ;D ;D ;D
Tom Wright forgetting to pass the ball twice, ref getting back to a 1min30 ago knock on on Ikitau's " try " , two balls ripped off their arms 5 meters from the line etc ;D ;D ;D
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1 month 2 weeks ago #38
by Miiiiiiighty
I had Reds in all my accas save one where I had " Drua over 24.5 " ...
I should have mitigated these bets with slightlty different results like Drua + 5 etc
Replied by Miiiiiiighty on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Southpaw wrote: overs in Dublin is the bet for me, just not sure if total, Leinster, or Saints. Will mull over.
Sick beat in Canes game dragged me backwards to square for weekend. And if Reds had held on 1 more minute would have landed the middle on caps.
I had Reds in all my accas save one where I had " Drua over 24.5 " ...
I should have mitigated these bets with slightlty different results like Drua + 5 etc
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1 month 2 weeks ago #39
by Brad Breath
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Finn wants to "throw the ball around and have some fun".
Good conditions on 4G pitch.
Bath TT over 32.5 @ 1.91
Good conditions on 4G pitch.
Bath TT over 32.5 @ 1.91
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1 month 2 weeks ago #40
by Southpaw
Joined you on this BB. Hopefully FR ready to fire.
Replied by Southpaw on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Brad Breath wrote: Finn wants to "throw the ball around and have some fun".
Good conditions on 4G pitch.
Bath TT over 32.5 @ 1.91
Joined you on this BB. Hopefully FR ready to fire.
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1 month 2 weeks ago #41
by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Over 51.5 @ 10/11 in Dublin
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- Brad Breath
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1 month 2 weeks ago #42
by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Hoping Saints can keep it close for 40 mins, have taken some HT +10.5
Will then also look at Leinster minus in play - the Saints bench is garbage and think they fade badly
Will then also look at Leinster minus in play - the Saints bench is garbage and think they fade badly
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- coil
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1 month 2 weeks ago #43
by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Have gone over 52.5 points total at 4/5 , all in !
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- Jameson
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1 month 2 weeks ago #44
by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
WTF?
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1 month 2 weeks ago #45
by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Very nice BB !
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- Southpaw
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1 month 2 weeks ago #46
by Southpaw
Replied by Southpaw on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Probably the best game I’ve watched this year. Was breathtaking rugby at times.
Overs lands with ease and thinking the same bet in France, but waiting to see if any rain about.
Overs lands with ease and thinking the same bet in France, but waiting to see if any rain about.
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- sportsbettor
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1 month 2 weeks ago - 1 month 2 weeks ago #47
by sportsbettor
Replied by sportsbettor on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
3 for this afternoon. Highlanders v Moana.
-Moana Pasifika to lead at halftime, 2.40, DNB, 3 units
-Moana Pasifika to win, 2.60, includes extra time, 2 units
-Ethan De Groot to score a try, 6.50, 0.5 of a unit
-Moana Pasifika to lead at halftime, 2.40, DNB, 3 units
-Moana Pasifika to win, 2.60, includes extra time, 2 units
-Ethan De Groot to score a try, 6.50, 0.5 of a unit
Last edit: 1 month 2 weeks ago by sportsbettor.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Quill
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- Sharkster
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1 month 1 week ago #48
by Sharkster
Replied by Sharkster on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Very nice sb
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 1 week ago #49
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Well done sb - also had a nibble on Moana and looks like a dramatic finish
Blog updated with small play Lyon and u52.5 at 15/10
Blog updated with small play Lyon and u52.5 at 15/10
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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1 month 1 week ago #50
by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Pacific Week 12, Champions and Challenge Cup semi's + other rugby
Well played comrade SB , I was too knackered to wake up for the game .
Racing plus 7.5 and 5/2 outright .
Racing plus 7.5 and 5/2 outright .
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