Super Rugby Pacific Week 13, URC Week 17 + other rugby 9-11 May
- Brent Graham
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Betting wise I just missed out on Leinster overs (was that a try?) and the under 49.5 and Bordeaux win which came close but was always in trouble
I hit both bets in the Challenge Cup though and likewise in Super Rugby I was treading water with the early Reds 9/10 play the disappointment but the Newsletter Bet - Brumbies over 33.5 getting me out of it
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This week URC returns and I will have that blog running later.
The Super Rugby Week 13 Blog is already up and includes a wrap of last weeks bets, latest standings and betting and my handicap projections which I feel very little confidence in this week
Fijian Drua +10.5 vs Blues
NSW Waratahs +2.5 vs Queensland Reds
Crusaders -3.5 vs Chiefs
Western Force +7.5 vs ACT Brumbies
Have a great week everyone!
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- Southpaw
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Finals aren’t traditionally big scoring games but the way Bordeaux and Northampton both play at a ridiculously high tempo, the final is a points overs must for me. We just wait a few weeks for some opening lines.
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- Brent Graham
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Caps below and a few comments on the matches in the blog
Hollywoodbets Sharks -16.5 vs Ospreys
Munster -9.5 vs Ulster
Vodacom Bulls -16.5 vs Cardiff
DHL Stormers -22.5 vs Dragons
Leinster -25.5 vs Zebre Parma
Benetton +5.5 vs Glasgow Warriors
Connacht -6.5 vs Edinburgh
Emirates Lions -12.5 vs Scarlets
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- TheAdmiral
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Tahs reds -3 (bookies will have this as +4 i think)
Saders chiefs -2
Force Brumbies +5
Sharks ospreys -15
Munster Ulster -5
Bulls Cardiff -21
Leinster Zebre -23
Stormers dragons -28
Benetton Glasgow (if Glasgow still weak) +8
Connacht Edinburgh -4
Lions scarlets -8
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- Brent Graham
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Betxchange are out with their handicaps in brackets next to mine
Fijian Drua +10.5 (+5.5) vs Blues - 5 point difference, Blues could rotate but given their position on the log I don't think they can afford to lose and they have a bye in 2 weeks - no bet for now though
NSW Waratahs +2.5 (+6.5) vs Queensland Reds - 4 point difference, I was not confident on this one so also a no bet for now
Crusaders -3.5 (-2.5) vs Chiefs
Western Force +7.5 (+6.5) vs ACT Brumbies
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- R3V3R3NT_
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- R3V3R3NT_
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- sportsbettor
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Other than any All Black enforced stand downs. I expect a near full strength or full strength team.
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- Sharkster
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Sharks though have been some what ok over the last couple of games and stayed in the fight for the 80.
I won't take any bet yet
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- Brent Graham
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The handicaps are out and below the Betxhange caps in brackets next to mine
Hollywoodbets Sharks -16.5 (-16.5) vs Ospreys
Munster -9.5 (-7.5) vs Ulster - believe this line may have moved from +10/11
Vodacom Bulls -16.5 (-16.5) vs Cardiff
DHL Stormers -22.5 (-29.5) vs Dragons - 7 point difference but I can understand it, Dragons nothing to play for may send youngsters
Leinster -25.5 (-25.5) vs Zebre Parma
Benetton +5.5 (+4.5) vs Glasgow Warriors - Glasgow team news will be crucial
Connacht -6.5 (-5.5) vs Edinburgh
Emirates Lions -12.5 (-8.5) vs Scarlets - 4 point difference, Scarlets have more to play for
A bit surpised just the 2 big differences - no way I am backing Dragons on the plus though

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- TheAdmiral
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- Southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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Your Stormers have started to run South gone -32.5 from -29.5 at Betx
Also moves for Benetton +4.5 to +1.5, Leinster -25.5 to -27.5 and Bulls -16.5 to -18.5
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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I was on the road today and I see the Drua v Blues points line down from 56.5 to 53.5
Waratahs into +2.5 from +6.5
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- Sharkster
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Think it was the bulls last year and they lost by lots not hoping for repeat
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- Brad Breath
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Sharkster wrote: I'm pretty sure I did something similar last year near the end of the season but I'm backing ospreys again +19
I've taken the same, think it's far too wide.
Also a few beers on Ospreys DNB @ 13
Others I've taken this week:
Drua + 8.5 @ 1.85
Tahs +5.5 @ 1.91
Chiefs +3.5 @ 1.91
Scarlets +9.5 @ 1.91
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- Sharkster
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Brad Breath wrote:
Sharkster wrote: I'm pretty sure I did something similar last year near the end of the season but I'm backing ospreys again +19
I've taken the same, think it's far too wide.
Also a few beers on Ospreys DNB @ 13
Others I've taken this week:
Drua + 8.5 @ 1.85
Tahs +5.5 @ 1.91
Chiefs +3.5 @ 1.91
Scarlets +9.5 @ 1.91
Yeah from what I've seen it appears to have jumped out after Sharks team news and moving a little back now as I'd say some people thinking it's a few points to many
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- Brent Graham
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It will be out on You Tube but no guarantees it stays up and our next ban will be longer so suggest you watch through X or Facebook
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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- sportsbettor
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-NSW Waratahs to lead at halftime 2.35, DNB, 2 units
-NSW Waratahs to win the game, 2.45, includes extra time, 2 units
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Southpaw
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Over 52.5 @ 10/11
Considering splitting stake on Sharks overs but need a few more bookies to price up.
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- Jameson
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- Southpaw
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- Matador
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Brent Graham wrote: SRP Blog Updated with Friday morning bets
Blues -6.5 0.93/1
Under 54.5 Waratahs v Reds at 0.97/1
Thanks Brent for the Blues confidence! Great start to the weekend.
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- Brent Graham
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Waiting for points lines in URC but have updated blog with an Edinburgh win bet at 21/10
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- Brent Graham
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- Southpaw
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- sitho1983
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MUNSTER Totals OVER 50.5
Leicester Tigers Totals OVER 53.5
Final Odds @ 8.24
Hollywoodbets Bet Code
1016358378
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- Connachtrugby0
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Game at walking pace
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- Jameson
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- Jameson
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No urgency whatsoever and that last play to take an easy three? Did the crowd pay to get in to watch this??
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- sitho1983
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Half Time Totals Over 28.5
Bulls v Cardiff Rugby
18:15
Totals Over 49.5
Benetton v Glasgow Warriors
18:30
Totals Over 65.5
Harlequins v Gloucester
20:35
Totals Over 50.5
Connacht v Edinburgh
Final Odds @ 11.36
Hollywoodbets Bet Code
1016636284
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- Brent Graham
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Crusaders v Chiefs bet up and I like unders again
A mixed bag for me tonight with the Sharks game disappointing (how did I fall into the overs trap again) but I clawed some back on overs in Munster v Ulster
As expected Bulls line out to 60.5
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- sportsbettor
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-Force to lead at halftime, DNB, 2.45, 3 units
-Force to win the game, includes extra time, 2.55, 3 units
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- Bookie Basher
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sitho1983 wrote: OSPREYS +10.5
MUNSTER Totals OVER 50.5
Leicester Tigers Totals OVER 53.5
Final Odds @ 8.24
Hollywoodbets Bet Code
1016358378
Unlucky with the treble, you hit the post last week if memory serves me correctly as well!
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- Miiiiiiighty
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Bad passes, awful game decisions ( man that #9 was awful.. ), 0 IQ plays...
Going 0-32 isn't something you often see from a supposedly top team.
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- Southpaw
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Southpaw wrote: BULLS over 38.5 points @ 10/11
Added Bulls over 5.5 tries @ 10/11
Heavily invested now. Need bulls to fly out blocks early,
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- Jameson
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Now they are going for 3 pointers.
Conditions arnt this bad ffs!
Yup I'm on overs ......
EDIT: never in doubt!
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- Sharkster
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Anyone see any bookies with points lines for Exeter v saints tomorrow?
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- Brent Graham
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Disappointed to miss the 12/1 newsletter acca by 1 leg - Benetton overs dropping me
1 game today and will finish off the preview this morning
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- Brent Graham
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Clear in Joburg although a bit windy this morning
Firing into this one
Scarlets win and over 56.5 at 44/10
Scarlets over 25.5 at 10/11
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- Southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote: Lions v Scarlets Preview
Clear in Joburg although a bit windy this morning
Firing into this one
Scarlets win and over 56.5 at 44/10
Scarlets over 25.5 at 10/11
Similar thoughts to you Brent and also taken the Scarlets over 25.5.
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- Connachtrugby0
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- Pablo
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Terrible weather, line for me should be below 40 points.
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- TheAdmiral
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Lions effectively out of the race and scarlets will have a 99% chance of making the top 8 with a win today
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- coil
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Loving the unders Pablo in Montpellier tonight , I see the reason why lads are liking Scarlets but eish , no bet there for me yet
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- Jameson
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Would be nice for a few early scores!
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