In this blog we will monitor the betting on the weekends Round of 16 Investec Champions Cup matches and we will also put a bet for consideration in each match
GLASGOW WARRIORS v LEICESTER TIGERS
Posted 05 April 10h33
This handicap opened -6.5 and edged up to -8.5 where it stabilised.
The points line is 50.5 which looks about right.
I am expecting a competitive game but at home am leaning Glasgow to cover the cap.
It is not confident though and I am taking a smaller bet at longer odds they win by 11-20 points inclusive.
BET: 2 units Glasgow by 11-20 points at 53/20 at Betxchange
LEINSTER v HARLEQUINS
Posted 05 April 00h04
The handicap of -20.5 Leinster was stable most of the week and it has edged out slightly to -21.5 with Leinster naming a very strong side but Harlequins themselves have named a lineup that could cause problems for the hosts.
The total points line is 57.5.
I am looking for a fast start from Leinster and will bak them to score 18 or more points by half time in what looks decent conditions.
BET: 4 units Leinster over 17.5 1st half points at 0.84/1 at BetOLimp
CASTRES v BENETTON
Posted 04 April 23h56
This handicap has been hovering around the -7.5 to -8.5 level all week.
Castres are not the sort of side to focus on this tournament but they showed when making a mockery of a 30 point handicap away to Saracens in the group stages that they have plenty of depth.
Benetton are improving but I don't believe they fancy their chances of going deep in this tournament and with Castres exellent home record in mind I am going for overs on their points.
BET: Castres over 29.5 points at 0.84/1 at Betxchange
LA ROCHELLE v MUNSTER
Posted 04 April 00h14
There has been some money for Munster with the +8.5 now +7.5.
Given how many punters are on them I am surprised the line is holding.
La Rochelle are really battling and they look there for the taking.
Munster to cause an upset.
BET: 2 units Munster win at 3/1 at WSB
TOULON V SARACENS
Posted 04 April 00h05
There has already been big handicap movement in this game and we have not seen the teams yet. The line opened -6.5 Toulon in South Africa and it has jumped to -17.5 on the back of news that Saracens will be rotating their squad to allow them to focus on the Premiership.
The question is has the line moved far enough and I do not believe so. The initial reaction from bookmakers was justified but I don't think they have taken it far enough and suspet it will move again after team news and this is why I am getting in first.
BET: 5 units Toulon -17.5 at 19/20 at Betxchange
NORTHAMPTON v CLERMONT
Posted 03 April 23h42
Clermont are in the playoffs battle in the Top 14 and although the side they named is decent I think they are going to put the white flag up against this Northampton team at some point.
Conditions look good and the home team overs is my Friday night play.
BET: 4 units Northampton over 31.5 points at 19/20 at Pokerbet
CURRENT HANDICAPS AND WEATHER LINKS
Posted 03 April 09h32
Below are the current handicaps
Glasgow Warriors (-8.5) vs Leicester Tigers
Northampton Saints (-10.5) vs ASM Clermont Auvergne
Castres Olympique (-7.5) vs Benetton Treviso
Leinster (-20.5) vs Harlequins FC
RC Toulonnais (-23.5) vs Saracens FC - massive move from -6.5 following Saracens rotation news
Stade Rochelais (-8.5) vs Munster
Union Bordeaux Bègles (-24.5) vs Ulster Rugby
Stade Toulousain (-23.5) vs Sale Rugby Union FC Sharks
Here are links to the weekends weather
Northampton v Clermont, Friday 21h00, Cinch Stadium @ Franklin's Gardens, Northampton, (Grass) - Cool and clear
Toulon v Saracens, Saturday 13h30, Stade Félix Myol, Toulon, (Grass) - Sunny, mild and dry
Leinster v Harlequins, Saturday 16h00, Croke Park, Dublin, (Grass) - Cool, clear some wind forecast
Castres v Benetton, Saturday 16h00, Stade Pierre-Fabre, Castres, (Grass) - warm, partly cloudy
La Rochelle v Munster, Saturday 18h30, Stade Marcel-Deflandre, La Rochelle, (Grass) - mild and clear
Glasgow v Leicester, Saturday 21h00, Scotstoun Stadium, Scotstoun, (Artificial) - cold but clear, windy
Bordeaux v Ulster, Sunday 13h30, Stade Chaban-Delmas, Bordeaux, (Grass) - mild, clear, some wind
Toulouse v Sale, Sunday 16h00, Stadium Municipal de Toulouse, (Hybrid) - mild, clear, some wind