BettingDiaryThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is the next stop on the PGA Tour and as usual it is hosted at the Bay Hill Country Club.

 

 

 

Bay Hill is a par 72 layout where length off the tee is an advantage, but certainly not essential for success. Course form has proven important over the years and we have seen multiple back-to-back winners. The wind can also be a factor and players need to watch out for no less than 84 bunkers ready to punish errant shots.

Jon Rahm generally starts as a favourite when he tees it up and he does so again this week. He is priced at 17/2 with Rory McIlroy 12/1 and Viktor Hovland 16/1 and you can get 18/1 and better the balance.

PAST WINNERS

2021 - Bryson DeChambeau -11

2020 – Tyrrell Hatton -4

2019 – Francesco Molinari -12

2018 – Rory Mcilroy -18

2017 – Marc Leishman -11

2016 – Jason Day -17

 

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Jon Rahm 17/2

Rory Mcilroy 12/1

Viktor Hovland 16/1

Scottie Scheffler 18/1

Hideki Matsuyama 25/1

Sungjae Im 28/1

Matthew Fitzpatrick 28/1

Will Zalatoris 28/1

35/1 and better the balance, prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change.

 

SELECTIONS:

Matthew Fitzpatrick each way at 28/1

Fitzpatrick will be a popular pick this week and he ticks a lot of boxes with both course and current form looking solid. He finished runner-up here 3 years ago and followed that up with a Top 10 finish in 2020 and he was 10th last year when my headline selection at 22/1. He is also in good form with a pair of top 10’s in his last 2 starts.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout each way at 66/1

Bezuidenhout has been a bit hit and miss of late but he looked sharp last week when finishing 25th. What really catches my eye this week is his course form with a top 20 on debut in 2020 and a top 10 finish last year. I always like a South African in my staking plan and I have a good feeling about him this week.

Tommy Fleetwood each way at 75/1

Fleetwood was a but disappointing last week with a missed cut but he had previously been in good form with a top 10 and a top 15 finish. Fleetwood has proven form at Bay Hill and in his last 5 starts has a pair of 10th place finishes and a top 3.

Sung-jae Im each way at 28/1

I initially passed over Im but with some big prices in my staking plan I am heading back to the top echelon of the betting boards. Im was a bit disappointing last year following up back to back 3rd place finishes with a 21st place but he clearly loves the course and if he can find his form of a few weeks back when he had a couple of top 10’s and a top 15 he should be a big runner. I have decided to overlook his missed cut last week and give him a chance to make amends for letting me down last year.

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