URC Final, Gallagher Prem Final, Super Rugby, Currie Cup 26-28 May
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
The big knock was on the Newsletter Best Bet Leinster -8.5 although thankfully I lessoned this by taking some -4.5 HT - at 17-0 I was banking the win but something about the way La Rochelle scored their 1st try had me worried and I could only sit back and watch as they dominated
Overall a square weekend for me and lets hope we can make some profits this week where the URC final is the highlight
URC Final Current Handicap
Stormers -5.5 v Munster
There is also the Premiership final
Saracens -3.5 v Sale
Here are my Super Rugby projected caps for the penultimate weekend of regular season action
Highlanders -4.5 v Reds - Highlanders can keep playoff hopes alive with a win, Reds can book their last 8 with a win
Rebels -7.5 v Force - Rebels look gone, Force in 8th and a win may be enough to see them into top 8
Drua -14.5 v Pasifika
Crusaders -22.5 v Waratahs (Tahs likely to rest players)
Blues -7.5 v Hurricanes
Brumbies -5.5 v Chiefs (assuming Chiefs rest players as guaranteed top spot) Edit: As pointed out by The Admiral below top spot is not 100% secure and his handicap of Brumbies +8 is more likely should it be strength v strength)
Here are my Currie Cup projected caps
Griffons +25.5 v Sharks
WP +9.5 v Lions
Cheetahs -13.5 v Griquas
Pumas +13.5 v Bulls
Join our mailing list and get our weekly newsletter with Best Bets bit.ly/gftgnewsletter
Have a good one
BG
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- TheAdmiral
- Offline
- Posts: 39
- Thank you received: 21
Landers reds -9
Rebels force -8 (assuming Gordon is back)
Drua moana -17
Saders tahs -16
Blues canes -5
Brumbies chiefs +8 (assuming chiefs still put out a good team as first place isn’t 100% secured yet)
Good luck all!
Follow me on Twitter @TheAdmiralRugby
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Highlanders -4.5 v Reds (-5.5)
Rebels -7.5 v Force (-6.5)
Drua -14.5 v Pasifika (-13.5)
Crusaders -22.5 v Waratahs (-22.5)
Blues -7.5 v Hurricanes (-5.5)
Brumbies -5.5 v Chiefs (+5.5)
All very close other than Brumbies game but as pointed out my logic in setting that cap was flawed so not rushing in
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Griffons +25.5 v Sharks (+25.5)
WP +9.5 v Lions (+5.5)
Cheetahs -13.5 v Griquas (-10.5)
Pumas +13.5 v Bulls (+8.5)
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- shaft
- Offline
- Posts: 454
- Thank you received: 148
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Doesn't appear to be alot of movement in the Currie Cup
Points line 49.5 in Cape Town where the weather forecast appears to be improving
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Kirky
- Offline
- Posts: 423
- Thank you received: 101
At least a few others agree with my posit on the Brumbies beating the Chiefs
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Mondo86
- Offline
- Posts: 185
- Thank you received: 64
Reds over 24.5 & RebelsVSForce over 54.5
@ 2.3
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Offline
- Posts: 541
- Thank you received: 263
Crusaders -23.5 @1.91 2u as they come fresh from rotation while Waratahs lose Hooper, Foketi and Perese. Big blows in my opinion so I expect the kiwis to win properly tomorrow.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Cortiss
- Offline
- Posts: 15
- Thank you received: 3
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
click here to set a reminder and subscribe on You Tube
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kompos
- Offline
- Posts: 207
- Thank you received: 54
Brent Graham wrote: Money coming for Brumbies now +3.5 from +5.5 (maybe my original handicap will be close after all)
I'm prepared to bet you a coffee that neither +5.5 or your original +8 will be within 6 points of the actual result
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1384
- Thank you received: 473
Tomorrows first game is a potential banana peel with both sides capable but equally awful at times .
At first glance I fancied the Highlanders but at plus 6.5 Reds and a decent side named once again I'm hoping the Reds can draw from that excellent away win at the Chiefs once again.
One of my better bets will be the Farce plus 7.5 away to the Rebels while unders will also see a fair chunk of my cash at 60.5 .
Finally tomorrow afternoon I'm all over WP plus 5.5 at home to the Lions .
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Coil I agree it looks a tough game - also leaning Reds and taking the aggressive board line and keeping stakes down
Highlanders v Reds betting preview
Reds win at 2/1
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pablo
- Offline
- Posts: 541
- Thank you received: 263
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kompos
- Offline
- Posts: 207
- Thank you received: 54
Brent Graham wrote: LOL Kompos where do you stay?
probably not more than 7 km away from you - for some reason I think you stay in Randpark Ridge area
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Rebels v Force preview
Aussie derbies have been higher scoring this season but not many have reached 62 points and the usually dormant "unders" gene in me (far more prevalent in Coil and Hanrick) has been activated
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3886
- Thank you received: 1480
Hoping they can finally click.
Highlanders over 4.5 tries @ 5/6
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Crusaders v Waratahs Preview
Waratahs over 16.5 at 15/20
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Bookie Basher
- Offline
- Posts: 303
- Thank you received: 91
Steering clear of main handicap market lines and opted for Highlanders most tries at 7/10 with Betway
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- hanrick
- Offline
- Posts: 923
- Thank you received: 423
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Kirky
- Offline
- Posts: 423
- Thank you received: 101
Urrggghh, vomit.Kirky wrote: After scouring twitter all week, I'm super confused (just for a change ): How can I be the only one in the world, other than Brad Thorne, who sees the Reds rolling the Highlanders by 10 this week ?
At least a few others agree with my posit on the Brumbies beating the Chiefs
My Friday jinx continues, and the bookies are always right.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Mondo86
- Offline
- Posts: 185
- Thank you received: 64
Sharks should clear 50 here with a good team selected, the Griffins with a few injuries and a banging day (weather wise) in Welkom -
Sharks -39.5 @ 4.3 can have some beer money also
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Offline
- Posts: 650
- Thank you received: 57
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- shaft
- Offline
- Posts: 454
- Thank you received: 148
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- TheAdmiral
- Offline
- Posts: 39
- Thank you received: 21
Couple bets left for the weekend
Waratahs +23.5
Blues 1-12
Double of Drua under 44.5 and saders under 46.5
Either team by less than 7 in the urc final (courtesy of Brent’s call on the show)
Follow me on Twitter @TheAdmiralRugby
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Sharks over 43.5 to get out of it
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Laraxwell
- Offline
- Posts: 308
- Thank you received: 68
Edit: Apologies O 46.5pts @ 6/5
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3886
- Thank you received: 1480
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 925
- Thank you received: 75
southpaw wrote: Sharks over 6.5 tries @ 10/11
Sharks 0 points after 30mins.
Eish... Big Eish.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Mondo86
- Offline
- Posts: 185
- Thank you received: 64
Useless tactics, useless players - Geez the Sharks know how to absolutely break your heart.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 925
- Thank you received: 75
Mondo86 wrote: Lol is all I can say here.
Useless tactics, useless players - Geez the Sharks know how to absolutely break your heart.
Don't lose hope. I think the sharks will score 2 x quick tries in the first 10mins, and then ease away.
I'm not betting for a while, but I can tell you that Fakatava try this morning in the 79th minute and the rebels demolition would have killed me, as would have favoured the unders.
Betting is hard.
That's what she said.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 925
- Thank you received: 75
Chiefie wrote:
Mondo86 wrote: Lol is all I can say here.
Useless tactics, useless players - Geez the Sharks know how to absolutely break your heart.
Don't lose hope. I think the sharks will score 2 x quick tries in the first 10mins, and then ease away.
I'm not betting for a while, but I can tell you that Fakatava try this morning in the 79th minute and the rebels demolition would have killed me, as would have favoured the unders.
Betting is hard.
That's what she said.
1 try in 2 mins. Many more to come.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 925
- Thank you received: 75
Chiefie wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Mondo86 wrote: Lol is all I can say here.
Useless tactics, useless players - Geez the Sharks know how to absolutely break your heart.
Don't lose hope. I think the sharks will score 2 x quick tries in the first 10mins, and then ease away.
I'm not betting for a while, but I can tell you that Fakatava try this morning in the 79th minute and the rebels demolition would have killed me, as would have favoured the unders.
Betting is hard.
That's what she said.
1 try in 2 mins. Many more to come.
2 tries in 5 mins.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- hanrick
- Offline
- Posts: 923
- Thank you received: 423
WP +7.5 at 0.93/1, Lions under 31.5 points at 19/20 and total points under 56.5 at 8/10
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 925
- Thank you received: 75
hanrick wrote: Terrible Sharks performance. Very lucky to get the minus there.
WP +7.5 at 0.93/1, Lions under 31.5 points at 19/20 and total points under 56.5 at 8/10
1st lions try in 45 seconds. Pray for load shedding.
An early try normally indicates a low scoring affair in my experience, so lets see!
Fingers crossed for you Hanrick.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- hanrick
- Offline
- Posts: 923
- Thank you received: 423
Chiefie wrote:
hanrick wrote: Terrible Sharks performance. Very lucky to get the minus there.
WP +7.5 at 0.93/1, Lions under 31.5 points at 19/20 and total points under 56.5 at 8/10
1st lions try in 45 seconds. Pray for load shedding.
An early try normally indicates a low scoring affair in my experience, so lets see!
Fingers crossed for you Hanrick.
I like an early try when on unders
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kompos
- Offline
- Posts: 207
- Thank you received: 54
- just watched last night's show and heard you had electricity maintenance from 8 to 4 - had the same so we are in the same area
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Offline
- Posts: 650
- Thank you received: 57
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Drua v Moana preview
Over 9.5 tries at 1/1
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3886
- Thank you received: 1480
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Offline
- Posts: 5298
- Thank you received: 1141
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 925
- Thank you received: 75
Good lord the tahs are trash. Looks like they’ve just met in the car park for the first time.Brent Graham wrote: Added over 7.5 tries 8/11 Crusaders game
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Chiefie
- Offline
- Posts: 925
- Thank you received: 75
Add the crusaders to that list. Bombing tries here.Chiefie wrote:
Good lord the tahs are trash. Looks like they’ve just met in the car park for the first time.Brent Graham wrote: Added over 7.5 tries 8/11 Crusaders game
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Offline
- Posts: 650
- Thank you received: 57
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
- Offline
- Posts: 4743
- Thank you received: 1247
Canes over 20.5 @ 17/20 Took time to find. This at Bet coza
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Jameson
- Offline
- Posts: 650
- Thank you received: 57
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.