Tennis : The French Open
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1 year 4 months ago #1
by The Vann
Tennis : The French Open was created by The Vann
On Sunday we start the clay court major.
I think this tournament is about as wide open as you could get. Alcaraz/Medvedev and Djokovic all have large question marks going into this tournament.
Perusing the draw it looks like Tsitsipas could send his Dad in for the first four rounds and still make the quarters.
A few Outrights
To win from each side of the draw
Medvedev @ 8/1
Rublev @ 44/1
To win their quarter
2nd Quarter Khachanov @ 11/1
3rd Quarter Jarry @ 11/1
Alcaraz to exit in 4th round @ 17/2 (Musetti or Norrie?)
Djokovic to exit 3rd round @ 17/2 (Cecchinato?)
I think this tournament is about as wide open as you could get. Alcaraz/Medvedev and Djokovic all have large question marks going into this tournament.
Perusing the draw it looks like Tsitsipas could send his Dad in for the first four rounds and still make the quarters.
A few Outrights
To win from each side of the draw
Medvedev @ 8/1
Rublev @ 44/1
To win their quarter
2nd Quarter Khachanov @ 11/1
3rd Quarter Jarry @ 11/1
Alcaraz to exit in 4th round @ 17/2 (Musetti or Norrie?)
Djokovic to exit 3rd round @ 17/2 (Cecchinato?)
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1 year 4 months ago #2
by The Vann
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From the early matches a couple where the favorites have shown no form so far.
Fucsovics v Grenier
Been a frustrating time for Fucsovics so far. Caught Grenier v Wolf a few weeks ago and feel he has enough game to trouble Marton today.
Grenier + 1.5 sets @ 7/4
McDonald v Korda
Thought this would be Korda's year but the injury in Australia has derailed it. McDonald can be useful on clay and he made the third round here last year
Win McDonald @ 33/20
Two matches which should go the distance
Ofner/Cressy and Kokkinatis/Evans
Over 3.5 sets @ 29/20
Fucsovics v Grenier
Been a frustrating time for Fucsovics so far. Caught Grenier v Wolf a few weeks ago and feel he has enough game to trouble Marton today.
Grenier + 1.5 sets @ 7/4
McDonald v Korda
Thought this would be Korda's year but the injury in Australia has derailed it. McDonald can be useful on clay and he made the third round here last year
Win McDonald @ 33/20
Two matches which should go the distance
Ofner/Cressy and Kokkinatis/Evans
Over 3.5 sets @ 29/20
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1 year 4 months ago #3
by The Vann
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Scary start.
My Khachanov outright pick went off at 2/100 today and needed five sets to survive against Lestienne who was 13/1 for this match. My two long matches finish in straight sets.
To win
Musetti/Moutet/Shevchenko @ 2/1
and considering another 3.5 set double on Shelton and Pouille matches but will see how other bets go first.
My Khachanov outright pick went off at 2/100 today and needed five sets to survive against Lestienne who was 13/1 for this match. My two long matches finish in straight sets.
To win
Musetti/Moutet/Shevchenko @ 2/1
and considering another 3.5 set double on Shelton and Pouille matches but will see how other bets go first.
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1 year 4 months ago #4
by Quill
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Shevchenko + Mussetti + Humbert @2.00
Pouille to beat Rodionov @1.72
Pouille made a remarkable comeback from alcohol and depression and he was supported by the crowds in the final qualification match against this same opponent, as if it was a Davis Cup match.
Pouille to beat Rodionov @1.72
Pouille made a remarkable comeback from alcohol and depression and he was supported by the crowds in the final qualification match against this same opponent, as if it was a Davis Cup match.
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1 year 4 months ago #5
by Quill
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Sonego + Rublev + Zheng (vs Zidansek - Women's) @2.05
Sonego vs Shelton over 37.5 games @1.72
Sonego vs Shelton over 37.5 games @1.72
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1 year 4 months ago #6
by The Vann
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Nice calls yesterday Quill. Managed to sneak in only one unit down on the day with the final treble.
Double on the early matches
De Minaur/Nakashima Win @ 5/4
Paire v Norrie
Norrie's serve is just too weak so opponents always have a shot. You never know which Paire will arrive for the match. At his best he can win this.
Paire games over 13.5 @ 9/10
Double on the early matches
De Minaur/Nakashima Win @ 5/4
Paire v Norrie
Norrie's serve is just too weak so opponents always have a shot. You never know which Paire will arrive for the match. At his best he can win this.
Paire games over 13.5 @ 9/10
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1 year 4 months ago #7
by Quill
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Let's get them, Vann!
Nakashima vs Shapovalov
Shapovalov is in poor form, whereas Nakashima had a very good tournament last week in Lyon, where he reached the semifinals.
Davidovich Fokina vs Fils
Fils has just won the title in Lyon on Saturday and now he is playing here with only one day in between.
Davidovich Fokina has had a good season so far, reaching the quarter finals at five tournaments.
He was a finalist in Monte Carlo last year, so he knows his stuff on clay.
Nakashima + Fokina @2.20
Nakashima vs Shapovalov
Shapovalov is in poor form, whereas Nakashima had a very good tournament last week in Lyon, where he reached the semifinals.
Davidovich Fokina vs Fils
Fils has just won the title in Lyon on Saturday and now he is playing here with only one day in between.
Davidovich Fokina has had a good season so far, reaching the quarter finals at five tournaments.
He was a finalist in Monte Carlo last year, so he knows his stuff on clay.
Nakashima + Fokina @2.20
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1 year 4 months ago #8
by Quill
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Miralles v Schwartzman over 3.5 sets @1.40
Alexei Popyrin v Aslan Karatsev over 3.5 sets @1.40
Double @1.96
Alexei Popyrin v Aslan Karatsev
Bet: Over 39.5 games @1.90
Alexei Popyrin v Aslan Karatsev over 3.5 sets @1.40
Double @1.96
Alexei Popyrin v Aslan Karatsev
Bet: Over 39.5 games @1.90
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1 year 4 months ago #9
by Quill
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Bernabe Zapata Miralles v Diego Schwartzman
Benoit Paire v Cameron Norrie
Miralles + Norrie @2.00
Benoit Paire v Cameron Norrie
Miralles + Norrie @2.00
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1 year 4 months ago #10
by Quill
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Norrie + De Minaur + Wawrinka + Alcaraz @2.11
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1 year 4 months ago #11
by The Vann
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Draper v Etcheverry
Win Etcheverry and over 37.5 games @ 24/10
Win Etcheverry and over 37.5 games @ 24/10
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1 year 4 months ago #12
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
With the Praire money in the bank a little something longer before I pick my afternoon match
Win
Giron/Struff/Lajovic @ 44/10
Win
Giron/Struff/Lajovic @ 44/10
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1 year 4 months ago #13
by Quill
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Jannik Sinner vs Alexandre Muller 3-0
Carlos Alcaraz vs Flavio Cobolli 3-0
Double @2.00
Carlos Alcaraz vs Flavio Cobolli 3-0
Double @2.00
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1 year 4 months ago #14
by The Vann
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Dominic Thiem v Pedro Cachin
I thought Thiem was near 90% when he ran Tsitsipas very close in Madrid at the end of April - even took a punt at 40/1 for this slam. Since then he has been poor especially in the mental department. I think he either wins easy here or suffers a bit of bad luck and exits without a whimper.
Match games under 38.5 @ 9/10
I thought Thiem was near 90% when he ran Tsitsipas very close in Madrid at the end of April - even took a punt at 40/1 for this slam. Since then he has been poor especially in the mental department. I think he either wins easy here or suffers a bit of bad luck and exits without a whimper.
Match games under 38.5 @ 9/10
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1 year 4 months ago #15
by Quill
I wanted to bet a long match here, but after seeing your bet I'll stay away from it.
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
The Vann wrote: Dominic Thiem v Pedro Cachin
I thought Thiem was near 90% when he ran Tsitsipas very close in Madrid at the end of April - even took a punt at 40/1 for this slam. Since then he has been poor especially in the mental department. I think he either wins easy here or suffers a bit of bad luck and exits without a whimper.
Match games under 38.5 @ 9/10
I wanted to bet a long match here, but after seeing your bet I'll stay away from it.
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1 year 4 months ago #16
by The Vann
Counting my money with Cachin serving for the match there. Then the wheels fell off
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Quill wrote:
The Vann wrote: Dominic Thiem v Pedro Cachin
I thought Thiem was near 90% when he ran Tsitsipas very close in Madrid at the end of April - even took a punt at 40/1 for this slam. Since then he has been poor especially in the mental department. I think he either wins easy here or suffers a bit of bad luck and exits without a whimper.
Match games under 38.5 @ 9/10
I wanted to bet a long match here, but after seeing your bet I'll stay away from it.
Counting my money with Cachin serving for the match there. Then the wheels fell off
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1 year 4 months ago #17
by Quill
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I found this offer at bet365, a bet booster from 2.66 to 2.83, and I thought... why not.
Jarry + Paul + Gasquet.
Jarry + Paul + Gasquet.
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1 year 4 months ago #18
by The Vann
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Running late today
Jarry/Paul/Hanfmann @ 27/20
Nishioka v Wolf
Nishioka + 1.5 sets @ 9/10
Jarry/Paul/Hanfmann @ 27/20
Nishioka v Wolf
Nishioka + 1.5 sets @ 9/10
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1 year 4 months ago #19
by Quill
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Wolf vs Yoshihito Nishioka
Nishioka is out of form. His record since Delray Beach is 2-8. On clay this year he is 2-4.
Wolf is in good form. He reached the quarter finals in Houston, then went three rounds in Rome, where he was beaten by Zverev, and before coming here he went two rounds in Geneva, where he was eliminated by Ruud.
Wolf should be able to take advantage of Nishioka's poor form.
Bet: Wolf @1.80
Nishioka is out of form. His record since Delray Beach is 2-8. On clay this year he is 2-4.
Wolf is in good form. He reached the quarter finals in Houston, then went three rounds in Rome, where he was beaten by Zverev, and before coming here he went two rounds in Geneva, where he was eliminated by Ruud.
Wolf should be able to take advantage of Nishioka's poor form.
Bet: Wolf @1.80
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1 year 4 months ago #20
by Quill
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Halys + Cerundolo + Baez @2.21
Medvedev 3-0 + Rune 3-0 @2.26
Zverev 3-0 + Rune 3-0 @2.26
Medvedev 3-0 + Rune 3-0 @2.26
Zverev 3-0 + Rune 3-0 @2.26
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1 year 4 months ago #21
by The Vann
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Bit busy today but fancied this match to be close to 9/10 choice
Ruusuvuori v Barrere
Barrare will get vocal support from the locals and I actually make him the favorite by a tiny margin. Taken on the odds
Win
Barrere @ 29/20
Ruusuvuori v Barrere
Barrare will get vocal support from the locals and I actually make him the favorite by a tiny margin. Taken on the odds
Win
Barrere @ 29/20
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1 year 4 months ago - 1 year 4 months ago #22
by The Vann
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Not much catches the eye on the later matches. Do have the investment in Hanfmann running and followed Quill on the Zverev/Rune 3-0's.
Halys v Pella
Hopefully Pella can stay healthy and finish a match. I think Halys wins here but taking the match/games combination for the odds
Over 37.5 games and Halys @ 37/20
Halys v Pella
Hopefully Pella can stay healthy and finish a match. I think Halys wins here but taking the match/games combination for the odds
Over 37.5 games and Halys @ 37/20
Last edit: 1 year 4 months ago by The Vann.
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1 year 4 months ago - 1 year 4 months ago #23
by The Vann
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Getting drilled late on in several matches so took stake cover on the Halys/Pella match in the 4th set and managed to break even yesterday. Still had to sweat through a 5th set with Hanfmann to get there.
Five of the six early matches today (ex Tsitsipas) could go either way which means I could be playing catch-up in the afternoon again.
Over 3.5 sets double
Schwartzman/Wawrinka @ 13/10
May as well take a stab at two of the longer odds
To win
Ofner + Sonego @ 42/10 ( 0.5 unit )
Five of the six early matches today (ex Tsitsipas) could go either way which means I could be playing catch-up in the afternoon again.
Over 3.5 sets double
Schwartzman/Wawrinka @ 13/10
May as well take a stab at two of the longer odds
To win
Ofner + Sonego @ 42/10 ( 0.5 unit )
Last edit: 1 year 4 months ago by The Vann.
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1 year 4 months ago #24
by Quill
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Sebastian Korda vs Sebastian Ofner
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Luca Van Assche
Korda was a mystery coming into Roland Garros because of a three-month layoff due to a wrist injury.
However, in the first round he was impressive as he beat Mackenzie McDonald 3-0.
As for Davidovich Fokina, he will have the French crowd against him but he also did on Monday against Arthur Fils and won 3-1.
Fokina should be too good and have too much experience for Van Assche.
Double: Korda + Fokina @2.09
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Luca Van Assche
Korda was a mystery coming into Roland Garros because of a three-month layoff due to a wrist injury.
However, in the first round he was impressive as he beat Mackenzie McDonald 3-0.
As for Davidovich Fokina, he will have the French crowd against him but he also did on Monday against Arthur Fils and won 3-1.
Fokina should be too good and have too much experience for Van Assche.
Double: Korda + Fokina @2.09
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1 year 4 months ago #25
by Quill
I have Sonego to win too @2.10
However I took Korda to beat Ofner.
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The Vann wrote: ...
To win
Ofner + Sonego @ 42/10 ( 0.5 unit )
I have Sonego to win too @2.10
However I took Korda to beat Ofner.
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1 year 4 months ago #26
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Hurkacz + Fokina @1.90
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1 year 4 months ago #27
by The Vann
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Griekspoor v Hurkacz
Another match where I believe the result is closer then the odds suggest. Hurkacz recently lost to Wolf on clay and struggled past the out of form Goffin in the first round. I did not get to watch any of the Griekspoor v Martinez match but if Griekspoor's ankle is OK this is a runner
Result and match games
Griekspoor and over 39.5 games @ 11/4
Another match where I believe the result is closer then the odds suggest. Hurkacz recently lost to Wolf on clay and struggled past the out of form Goffin in the first round. I did not get to watch any of the Griekspoor v Martinez match but if Griekspoor's ankle is OK this is a runner
Result and match games
Griekspoor and over 39.5 games @ 11/4
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1 year 4 months ago #28
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Arnaldi has been good this year on clay.
Arnaldi + Alcaraz 3-0 @2.30
Arnaldi + Alcaraz 3-0 @2.30
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1 year 4 months ago #29
by The Vann
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Moutet v Rublev
Rublev can sometimes drift in a match and Moutet has shown enough this year on clay that he could run close in a few sets. Worth a sniff
Moutet + 7.5 games @ 23/20 (Prefer this to the 13/10 on over 3.5 sets)
Rublev can sometimes drift in a match and Moutet has shown enough this year on clay that he could run close in a few sets. Worth a sniff
Moutet + 7.5 games @ 23/20 (Prefer this to the 13/10 on over 3.5 sets)
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1 year 4 months ago #30
by The Vann
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Small improvement yesterday where we managed to run up a unit plus change profit.
Zeppieri v Ruud
Several matches which have looked very straightforward have seen the overwhelming favorite lose a set or struggle. Zeppieri won three in qualifying looks in good nick. Ruud does not have masses of power at his disposal so going with
Zeppieri over 11.5 games @ 17/20
Two picks for a double from the early matches
Etcheverr/Karatsev @ 27/10
Zeppieri v Ruud
Several matches which have looked very straightforward have seen the overwhelming favorite lose a set or struggle. Zeppieri won three in qualifying looks in good nick. Ruud does not have masses of power at his disposal so going with
Zeppieri over 11.5 games @ 17/20
Two picks for a double from the early matches
Etcheverr/Karatsev @ 27/10
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1 year 4 months ago #31
by Quill
If the 12 games that he'd win based on your bet are in a 4-6 4-6 4-6 loss, then he'd cover this handicap.
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My bookies have Zeppieri for over 12.5 games, however the handicap is at +7.5 @1.92.The Vann wrote: Small improvement yesterday where we managed to run up a unit plus change profit.
Zeppieri v Ruud
Several matches which have looked very straightforward have seen the overwhelming favorite lose a set or struggle. Zeppieri won three in qualifying looks in good nick. Ruud does not have masses of power at his disposal so going with
Zeppieri over 11.5 games @ 17/20
...
If the 12 games that he'd win based on your bet are in a 4-6 4-6 4-6 loss, then he'd cover this handicap.
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1 year 4 months ago #32
by Quill
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Etcheverry to beat De Minaur @2.00
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1 year 4 months ago #33
by Quill
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Vavassori + Lehecka @2.00
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1 year 4 months ago #34
by Quill
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Karatsev vs Tiafoe over 3.5 sets
Cerundolo vs Hanfmann over 3.5 sets
Double @2.16
Cerundolo vs Hanfmann over 3.5 sets
Double @2.16
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1 year 4 months ago #35
by The Vann
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Having lost Medvedev from the bottom half of the draw I took some Rune today for the win @ 7/1.
I have not made a single 3.5 set double yet but will follow Quill on the Karatsev/Cerundola pick @ 13/10
Rinderknech v Fritz
Rinderknech +7.5 games @ 17/20
I have not made a single 3.5 set double yet but will follow Quill on the Karatsev/Cerundola pick @ 13/10
Rinderknech v Fritz
Rinderknech +7.5 games @ 17/20
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1 year 4 months ago #36
by The Vann
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Made two from four yesterday but unfortunately both odds-on so a small loss yet again.
Sonego v Rublev
I think Sonego will present Rublev with more of a problem then Moutet. Rublev won 6 games more then Moutet so taking
Sonego + 5.5 games @ 9/10
Wondering which Fognini arrives on court today. I am thinking about that 3-0 at 26/10.
Days acca
Khachanov/Musetti/Hurkacz @ 7/4
Sonego v Rublev
I think Sonego will present Rublev with more of a problem then Moutet. Rublev won 6 games more then Moutet so taking
Sonego + 5.5 games @ 9/10
Wondering which Fognini arrives on court today. I am thinking about that 3-0 at 26/10.
Days acca
Khachanov/Musetti/Hurkacz @ 7/4
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1 year 4 months ago #37
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tennis : The French Open
Looks like a gorgeous day in Paris, a nice post lunch start so you can get the old muscles working and not too late a finish which could disturb your sundowners - perfect for an old guy
Fognini v Ofner
Set handicap
Fognini -1.5 sets @ 23/20
Fognini v Ofner
Set handicap
Fognini -1.5 sets @ 23/20
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1 year 4 months ago #38
by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Schwartzman vs Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas got past Jiri Vesely in a fourth-set tiebreaker and then crushed Roberto Carballes Baena in straights.
Schwartzman's appearance in the third round is a big surprise. His 2023 record was a disastrous 5-14 heading into Roland Garros. He has not even defeated anyone in the top 20 since April last year, losing 11 consecutive such matches.
Tsitsipas should win this comfortably.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov
Alcaraz beat Flabio Cobolli in 3 sets, then Taro Daniel in four, 6-1, 3-6, 6-1, 6-2.
He is 32-3 this season with four titles, including three on clay (Buenos Aires, Barcelona, and Madrid).
Shapovalov did well so far here, but Alcaraz is a big step up in competition for him.
Bet 1: Tsitsipas 3-0 @1.90
Bet 2: Double Tsitsipas 3-0 + Alcaraz 3-0 @2.96 - half stake
Tsitsipas got past Jiri Vesely in a fourth-set tiebreaker and then crushed Roberto Carballes Baena in straights.
Schwartzman's appearance in the third round is a big surprise. His 2023 record was a disastrous 5-14 heading into Roland Garros. He has not even defeated anyone in the top 20 since April last year, losing 11 consecutive such matches.
Tsitsipas should win this comfortably.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov
Alcaraz beat Flabio Cobolli in 3 sets, then Taro Daniel in four, 6-1, 3-6, 6-1, 6-2.
He is 32-3 this season with four titles, including three on clay (Buenos Aires, Barcelona, and Madrid).
Shapovalov did well so far here, but Alcaraz is a big step up in competition for him.
Bet 1: Tsitsipas 3-0 @1.90
Bet 2: Double Tsitsipas 3-0 + Alcaraz 3-0 @2.96 - half stake
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1 year 4 months ago #39
by Quill
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Coric vs Etcheverry
Both players impressed me so far and I cannot see this finishing quickly.
They deserve a long match.
Bet: Over 38.5 games @1.80
Both players impressed me so far and I cannot see this finishing quickly.
They deserve a long match.
Bet: Over 38.5 games @1.80
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1 year 4 months ago #40
by The Vann
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Nice call the two 3-0 matches yesterday Quill.
Have taken the same bet today on Ruud and Rune @ 14/10
Probably being stupid here but keep trying my over 3.5 sets doubles - surely one must land?
Nishioka v Seyboth Wild and Coric v Etcheverry
Over 3.5 sets @ 13/10
Have taken the same bet today on Ruud and Rune @ 14/10
Probably being stupid here but keep trying my over 3.5 sets doubles - surely one must land?
Nishioka v Seyboth Wild and Coric v Etcheverry
Over 3.5 sets @ 13/10
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1 year 4 months ago #41
by The Vann
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Jarry v Giron
Neither of these players has had a tie breaker yet in the tournament. Most sets have been short affairs.
Under 38.5 games @ 17/20
Wondering if that 23/20 on Cerundola is worth a stab? Taylor Fritz is going to be booed non-stop.
Neither of these players has had a tie breaker yet in the tournament. Most sets have been short affairs.
Under 38.5 games @ 17/20
Wondering if that 23/20 on Cerundola is worth a stab? Taylor Fritz is going to be booed non-stop.
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1 year 4 months ago #42
by The Vann
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My 3-0 bet goes in the first set, Coric loses a tie break to kill the second bet and the Jarry games miss by one. Needless to say Man City score in the first minute so it cannot get any worse today.
I think Cerundola has a shot against Fritz so taking
Win
Cerundola/Dimitrov/Zverev @ 13/4
I think Cerundola has a shot against Fritz so taking
Win
Cerundola/Dimitrov/Zverev @ 13/4
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1 year 4 months ago #43
by Quill
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Khachanov vs Sonego over 38.5 games @1.89
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1 year 4 months ago #44
by The Vann
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Recouped losses with last bet of day yesterday.
Khachanov v Sonego
With Quill on a long match here
Sonego + 1.5 sets @ 9/10
Match games over 40.5 @ 11/10
Khachanov v Sonego
With Quill on a long match here
Sonego + 1.5 sets @ 9/10
Match games over 40.5 @ 11/10
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1 year 4 months ago #45
by Quill
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Tsitsipas 3-0 + Djokovic 3-0 @2.40
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1 year 4 months ago #46
by The Vann
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Djokovic v Varillas
Not great odds but bet looks OK
Varillas over 9.5 games @ 8/10
Not great odds but bet looks OK
Varillas over 9.5 games @ 8/10
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1 year 3 months ago #47
by Quill
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Rune + Ruud @2.00
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1 year 3 months ago #48
by The Vann
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Busy today. For an interest
Rune/Ruud/Etcheverry/Zverev @ 3/1
Rune/Ruud/Etcheverry/Zverev @ 3/1
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1 year 3 months ago #49
by Quill
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Rune vs Cerundolo
Jarry vs Ruud
I expect two entertaining matches between these players.
Bet: Over 3.5 sets double @2.27
Jarry vs Ruud
I expect two entertaining matches between these players.
Bet: Over 3.5 sets double @2.27
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1 year 3 months ago #50
by Quill
Replied by Quill on topic Tennis : The French Open
Etcheverry win
Dimitrov vs Zverev over 35.5 games
Double @2.00
Dimitrov vs Zverev over 35.5 games
Double @2.00
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