Super Rugby and Currie Cup Semi-Finals + other rugby 16-18 June

No visiting team has won a playoff game in Christchurch, ever. 27 years of Super Rugby have provided 28 home fixtures for the Crusaders and the men in red and black have emerged victorious in each of those games. That record will again be on the line this weekend when a familiar rival ventures south for a mouth-watering semi-final.

I say that record gets beaten this weekend. Will look for the best price on Blues to win and fire the Blues plus. Also don't expect a lot of points in that game. Hoping for a total points line of 50 or more and will take unders on that. Also unders on Crusaders points around the 27.5 mark.

hanrick wrote:
I say that record gets beaten this weekend. Will look for the best price on Blues to win and fire the Blues plus. Also don't expect a lot of points in that game. Hoping for a total points line of 50 or more and will take unders on that. Also unders on Crusaders points around the 27.5 mark.

I'm in full agreement with you on the unders predictions Hanrick, but I hold a different view of who wins, for one very simple reason: BMT (big match temperament).

The Blues have some of my best players and I often root for them, and I like Leon as a coach, but I've been unable to find any BMT anywhere for them this entire season. In fact I've seen them display their lack of it more than once as they've stuttered quite a few times.

The Crusaders meanwhile, have boxes full of BMT.
They've beaten the Blues twice already this season, and I see a hat-trick coming.

I also think that the other semi is no gimme either. Chiefs must go carefully.

waiting for odds but double either side by 7 (incl draw) the 2 games will have my initial interest.

Additional Crusaders injuries? The have moved from -4 to -3 .

Crusaders v Blues, cant see anything but a defensive battle.

Firing into under 49.5 at 10/11

Also looking at under 5.5 tries at 13/10

First try scorer - Codie Taylor at 9-1

Hoping for the most boring, kicking, scrum laden game in history.

Channeling my inner Hanrick today with a cheeky unders double and it feels dirty.

Under 29.5 Crusaders and under 37.5 Chiefs @ 2.35.

Before I get called crazy - Weather looks properly shit in Hamilton which plays into old school Brumbies rugby where they slow it down and go set piece to set piece. ANYthing else by them and they will get thrashed. Chiefs W but I think this game ends a bit closer than people expect. The problem with playing the current Brumbies +11.5 is the Chiefs can always sneak some magic in the final minute and kill your bet. They are handicap snipers!

All the real value in the Friday semi lies with a Blues dnb @ 2.4 but I think the better punt if you're going with a Blues win is Blues 1-12 @ 3.18 - Crikey I must sound mad thinking about punting a Crusaders playoff home loss. The Crusaders injury list should make this pretty much a pickem match in my opinion and the books haven't adjusted. The +3.5 for the Blues currently available at evens is great and saves you from a heartbreak hotel last minute penalty.

Pumas over 22.5 might have value - They are picking up some momentum and Jimmy wants to sing Sweet Caroline again this season! Either this punt or Sharks under 32.5. Sharks may well win this (probably should), but I can't see them scoring 5 tries here - this might be the way.

Will also throw a small bit of tin on Bulls over 30.5 - They bottled it badly last weekend (Goosen definitely got that kick over) and I think they arrive in Bloem on a perfect rugby Saturday smelling blood. Overs at 60.5 looks well priced and I am unsure of whether the Cheetahs can keep up 2 weeks in a row. A potential HT line of Bulls over 14.5ish looks like it could be great value.

Blues +5.5 & Bulls +3.5 @ 2.2 is my bet of the weekend.

Over(s) and out!

Blues +9
Saders +9

Bet builder @ 20/21

southpaw wrote: Blues +9
Saders +9

Bet builder @ 20/21

Added 1st try Jordan @ 10/1

Chiefie wrote: Crusaders v Blues, cant see anything but a defensive battle.

Firing into under 49.5 at 10/11

Also looking at under 5.5 tries at 13/10

First try scorer - Codie Taylor at 9-1

Hoping for the most boring, kicking, scrum laden game in history.

10-0 after 10 minutes. Lol.

This could end up with a crusaders +30 result.

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote: Crusaders v Blues, cant see anything but a defensive battle.

Firing into under 49.5 at 10/11

Also looking at under 5.5 tries at 13/10

First try scorer - Codie Taylor at 9-1

Hoping for the most boring, kicking, scrum laden game in history.

10-0 after 10 minutes. Lol.

This could end up with a crusaders +30 result.

Make that 15-0 after 12. Might as well put the money in a wood chipper.

Honestly do you enjoy any bet that you do? Unbelievable man to moan

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote: Crusaders v Blues, cant see anything but a defensive battle.

Firing into under 49.5 at 10/11

Also looking at under 5.5 tries at 13/10

First try scorer - Codie Taylor at 9-1

Hoping for the most boring, kicking, scrum laden game in history.

10-0 after 10 minutes. Lol.

This could end up with a crusaders +30 result.

Make that 15-0 after 12. Might as well put the money in a wood chipper.

I'm in the same boat Chiefie , have fired unders and am watching the worst Blues performance all season , probably my biggest loss of the season coming up .

coil wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote: Crusaders v Blues, cant see anything but a defensive battle.

Firing into under 49.5 at 10/11

Also looking at under 5.5 tries at 13/10

First try scorer - Codie Taylor at 9-1

Hoping for the most boring, kicking, scrum laden game in history.

10-0 after 10 minutes. Lol.

This could end up with a crusaders +30 result.

Make that 15-0 after 12. Might as well put the money in a wood chipper.

I'm in the same boat Chiefie , have fired unders and am watching the worst Blues performance all season , probably my biggest loss of the season coming up .

Yeah, blues offering nothing in attack or defence. Oh well. It’s could be worse. I could be Irish thinking my team are going to make it out the pool stage at the RWC.

Lol.

Blues Over 11.5pts @10/11 Bet365

Surely they come out with some attitude in the 2nd half

CHIEFIE - get a life fella

you obviously know too much about rugby and too little about punting

kompos wrote: CHIEFIE - get a life fella

you obviously know too much about rugby and too little about punting

Apparently so Kompost.

What I do know is I’m yet to see a Friday bet land for anyone on this forum.

Facts.

coil wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote:

Chiefie wrote: Crusaders v Blues, cant see anything but a defensive battle.

Firing into under 49.5 at 10/11

Also looking at under 5.5 tries at 13/10

First try scorer - Codie Taylor at 9-1

Hoping for the most boring, kicking, scrum laden game in history.

10-0 after 10 minutes. Lol.

This could end up with a crusaders +30 result.

Make that 15-0 after 12. Might as well put the money in a wood chipper.

I'm in the same boat Chiefie , have fired unders and am watching the worst Blues performance all season , probably my biggest loss of the season coming up .

And thankfully wasn’t too heavily invested Coil, had a feeling the previous 15-3 result wasn’t likely.

Hope you can recoup yours! And don’t go chasing, it never helps!

mackem wrote: Guys please, public holiday here, my daughters birthday, don't want to be cleaning forum threads up, all the best with your punting

Well after flemenstar verbally abused hanrick and myself, are you surprised Mackem? You guys should have binned the muppet.

Anyway, I’m out.

You were never verbally abused don't lie.
Racism is a horrible thing. Very low thing to revert too
Sorry Mackem last post by me

blues are asking for a mulligan

Flemenstar wrote: You were never verbally abused don't lie.
Racism is a horrible thing. Very low thing to revert too
Sorry Mackem last post by me

You called me an arsehole. That is verbal abuse.

And for the second time, it’s not racism. The Irish, again, are not a race. You are not being prejudiced because of the colour of your skin. You’re being prejudiced against because you love caravans more than you love the cranberries.

And you swore at hanrick too. That’s unforgivable.

I will go now, in the memory that Ireland will never win a rugby World Cup. That brings me joy.

this is better than the rugby that the blues are offering

Racism is discrimination and prejudice towards people based on their race or ethnicity.

Can everyone grow a pair please , I'm Irish and actually and saw the humour in it , please don't let us become woke , the word racism has lost it's meaning as it's thrown around at every whim .

We're here to punt and have a laugh , I've done my friggin maximum in this game and just wish the first half could have been like the second .

I'll be licking my wounds for weeks .

hanrick wrote: No visiting team has won a playoff game in Christchurch, ever. 27 years of Super Rugby have provided 28 home fixtures for the Crusaders and the men in red and black have emerged victorious in each of those games. That record will again be on the line this weekend when a familiar rival ventures south for a mouth-watering semi-final.

I say that record gets beaten this weekend. Will look for the best price on Blues to win and fire the Blues plus. Also don't expect a lot of points in that game. Hoping for a total points line of 50 or more and will take unders on that. Also unders on Crusaders points around the 27.5 mark.

LOL, you mug

hanrick wrote:

hanrick wrote: No visiting team has won a playoff game in Christchurch, ever. 27 years of Super Rugby have provided 28 home fixtures for the Crusaders and the men in red and black have emerged victorious in each of those games. That record will again be on the line this weekend when a familiar rival ventures south for a mouth-watering semi-final.

I say that record gets beaten this weekend. Will look for the best price on Blues to win and fire the Blues plus. Also don't expect a lot of points in that game. Hoping for a total points line of 50 or more and will take unders on that. Also unders on Crusaders points around the 27.5 mark.

LOL, you mug

lol not sure if its possible to be more wrong with that score line! Fortunately, I've partially recovered going on over 53.5 in live play. Jeeezzzzzz

Line opened at 53.5 and closed at 45.5, so big value definitely on unders. No matter the result, was a must bet on unders. Profitable bet in the long term (around 40% expected yield), but I think that's too much knowledge and info for some people in this forum.

I'd like to know how old are the people that are always crying and arguing. Behave like adults, please.

I'm Irish too and fully expect to be heading home early from WC in my caravan of Doom

Over 11.5pts arrives in 82nd minute
A Friday win
WoooHooo

Next: Lotto

coil wrote: Can everyone grow a pair please , I'm Irish and actually and saw the humour in it , please don't let us become woke , the word racism has lost it's meaning as it's thrown around at every whim .

We're here to punt and have a laugh , I've done my friggin maximum in this game and just wish the first half could have been like the second .

I'll be licking my wounds for weeks .

Coil, we can be friends. Let’s get a Guinness and a crisp sandwich and talk about how terrible we are at betting.

Laraxwell wrote: I'm Irish too and fully expect to be heading home early from WC in my caravan of Doom

Ha ha ha, caravan of death. You have to pay extra for that?

That made me chuckle.

Laraxwell wrote: Over 11.5pts arrives in 82nd minute
A Friday win
WoooHooo

Next: Lotto

Hurrah. A winner.

Sign me up for the powerball.

Don’t be kak be lekker guys, surely we’re all here to support each other through bad punts and good ones - a good rant often cures that bashful feeling of making a dog shit bet, I know the feeling well.

That being said, holy fucking shit balls the Blues were terrible. Can only imagine what a full strength Saders team would have done!

Razor coaching masterclass.

Mondo86 wrote: Don’t be kak be lekker guys, surely we’re all here to support each other through bad punts and good ones - a good rant often cures that bashful feeling of making a dog shit bet, I know the feeling well.

That being said, holy fucking shit balls the Blues were terrible. Can only imagine what a full strength Saders team would have done!

Razor coaching masterclass.

Agreed Mondo, well said.

That being said, if anyone is looking for a second hand caravan to dump in a travellers site, I know someone looking.

Lol.

Brent I’m looking at the world cup darts.

Fancy the Bulls tomorrow.

Unfortunate to lose last weekend againt the Cheetahs after starting like house on fire. The 37th minute red card pretty much killed all momentum for the hosts and were fighting an uphill battle after that.

Bulls to win at 8/11 enough for me to fancy a bet.

Current price with WSB

Mondo86 wrote:
Razor coaching masterclass.

Agree with you and don't forget Scott Hansen Crusaders Assistant Coach who comes up with a lot of these plans. That is why Razor has appointed him next year as one of his All Black assistants. I can't wait to next year for the All Blacks with Razor in charge and they have finally got rid if that muppet Fozzie.

Brumbies +13.5
I think the Brumbies will be up for this one. Still holding back to see if I can get +14.5 at $1.80. Chiefs win but I think they sweat it out.

May get more involved in running but Blues poor performance yesterday has me cautious. For now -

1st try Taukeiaho 10/1
1st brum try Valetini 10/1

T14 final tonight

I fancy La Rochelle to win their first Bouclier de Brennus

They've become a big game team and ROG will have them fired up v Toulouse who beat them in 2021 and chinned them in last year's QF.

Choice game though I've seen 6/5 available on LAR

Weather looks decent in Paris and I've seen points line as low as 42.5 (Ladbrokes) Number feels low but I guess makes sense with the occasion and LAR's suffocating style of play. But this Mug will still play the Overs.

Be interested to get Pablo's thoughts

I'm with you Laraxwell , like La Rochelle as well , their pack is so strong and defence like you say " smothering " . Of course we should be in for a nail biter with loads of squeaky bum time to look forward to.

Earlier I found some 7/10 Bulls dnb and reluctantly have had a small bet on that , one can't trust the Bulls and their intellectual lack of ability .

Good ol Marius VDW referees in Durban and in general is a winny points machine , however like a lab rat I'll be going at the unders and the Pumas on the best plus .