All Football Tips w/c 14th August

Australia Cup treble

Campbelltown City vs Macarthur FC over 2.5 goals
Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar over 1.5 goals
Northcote City vs Adelaide United over 3.5 goals

Total odds 2.47

Man Utd vs Wolves

Bet 1: Man Utd to win to nil @2.02
Bet 2: Man Utd -1.5 @1.78

I also think United put on a show for the OT faithful tonight, but the bookies seem to agree.
So following Quill on the Utd to win to nil at just over evens

Treble:

Man Utd + Atletico Madrid + Tonga rugby (-18.5) (vs Canada) @2.08

Unlike the majority of fans I believe Mason Mount is a player. He can arrive late in the area (ala Scholes) and I expect him to score 10 plus goals. For me, ther jury is out on Onana. Cameroon are a reasonably well run outfit in Africa and he is unable to get on with his country. I think he is a bit of an ars@!**le and we have no Roy Keane to stick him up against the wall and make the necessary adjustment. In the off season we beat an Arsenal B side but lost to both the quality opponents Real Madrid and Dortmund. Wolves had a reasonable off season and they scored away to Porto which is not easy even playing the Porto ladies team.

Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers

Hate to disagree with the earlier posts but will be delighted if they are correct. Expect Onana to gift a goal at the very least

BTTS - Yes @ 11/10

Will also have a case of the good stuff on Hwang as an ATGS if he starts. Think Shaw really marks space well but the ball and opponents seem to zoom past him.

Pleased with the result last night but how Wolves did not get anything from the match beats me. Very unlucky they were.

DSTV Premiership.

Chippa Utd v Orlando Pirates.

Pirates have scored an amazing 9 goals in their last two outings. Chippa are difficult to break down but I think Pirates could still get a couple here. Lepasa may not play the full match to save him for Saturday's CAF Champs League fixture but Saleng should and he has enough class to score and assist. Earlier this year I caught a match at Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium and there were less then 400 paying customers. Should be several thousand this evening with the majority supporting Pirates.

Orlando Pirates over 1.5 match goals @ 13/10

Account rounding bet for interest

Sundowns have stuttered a little this season so
Sundowns draw/Pirates to score in both halves @ 16/1

Sheffield Utd are in trouble this season and based on their transfer activity the owners are just here this season to cash the PL money. Forest were good against Arsenal when they were chasing the game in the second half. They have a good attack and enjoy playing attacking football at home.

Under the lights tonight, on a televised game they should put a few past Sheffield Utd.
Nottingham Forest 2+ Goals - 12/10

Liverpool vs Bournemouth

I was naive last week in thinking without a DM Liverpool should just outscore Chelsea in a basketball type game. A DM is as important as a GK and Liverpool couldn't stop Chelsea at all in the midfield and get the ball.

Luckily Liverpool have managed to sign a seasoned DM but I don't think his work permit will allow him to play today. That means Bournemouth have a good chance for getting something at Anfield, especially under their new manager who loves playing on the front foot.

Liverpool at 2/10 is a crazy bet and should probably be around 5/10 so I am looking at the shots market at Sunbet.

Trent Alexander Arnold is playing the inverted role this season and his getting even more opportunities to create from the middle of the pitch. Add in the bonus that his first choice free kick taker (probably until Szoboscalzi gets more game time) and his total shots odds is good value.

I also think Alisson will have to stop a few shots since Liverpool will be cut open again with a stop gap DM for one last game. So Bournemouth Shots on Target is a runner.

Instead of single bets, I am pushing my luck and trying a Build a Bet double:

Alexander Arnold 2+ shots &
Bournemouth 3+ shots on target
@ 21/10

Wolves vs Brighton

Wolves already look like a different team under O Neill even without him making signings. The bookies still have not caught on that Wolves will be attacking under the new manager. I still have no idea how they didn't score against United Monday night.

I am not a United fan, but I think the reason why Wolves got so many chances on the United goal was because Casemiro was outnumbered in the middle of the pitch. I'm sorry to say Vann, but a midfield trio of Casemiro, Mount and Fernandes is way to attacking and Casemiro is left alone to defend and his getting outnumbered. If Ten Hag goes with the same midfield trio, then Spurs odds are way to high at 2/1 for tonights game.

Back to the Wolves game, Brighton have lost arguably their two best players in Mac Allister and Caicedo and it will take time for them to get a functioning midfield again. Luton took advantage of the lack of cohesion in Brighton midfield and I think Wolves will as well, similar to what they did against United, but hopefully they can score this time.

Wolves/Brighton BTTS & over 2.5 goals - 11/10

English 4pm Acca

Cambridge/Bristol BTTS
Barnsley/Oxford BTTS
Doncaster/Notts BTTS
Wrexham/Swindon Over 2.5
Wednesday/Preston Over 2.5
Swansea/Coventry Over 2.5
Blackburn/Hull Over 2.5
Forest Green/Newport Over 2.5

110/1

Tottenham v Man United

Got a few accas ending in over 2.5, but think both teams could achieve that on their own

Man United to score 2 or more + Rashford to score @ 2/1

Been a good betting weekend so far on the EPL....That United lineup is all wrong. Casemiro is going to get destroyed in the midfield all alone. The bookies are expecting plenty of goals and there is no value with most markets. So a small speculative card double:

Casemiro & Romero both to get a card - 6/1

Villa vs Everton

I don't think last week could of gone any worse for Villa, conceding 5 plus a long term injury to Mings. They will be glad to be back home today. Villa are looking for their 8th consecutive home win and at 7/10 I expect them to bounce back but their injury list is putting me off them at that odds. 9 injuries and 6 for first team players means Everton have a chance to come away with something here, if they continue their attacking approach from last weekend.

A bet builder at Sportingbet:

Watkins 2+ shots
Iwobi 2+ shots
@ 21/10

West Ham vs Chelsea

Chilwell was very attacking against Liverpool (even had a goal disallowed) and Pochettino kept on asking him to go forward. His captain today as well, and should continue bombing forward on the left.

Chilwell 2+ shots - 12/10
Chilwell 1+ SOT - 16/10

Barcelona vs Cadiz

I watched the Barca game against Getafe last weekend and they were lethargic and had no attacking threat. Lewandowski seems to have lost a bit of his killer instinct and looking at the line up for tonight's game, I don't know the goals will come from. Cadiz are not a bad side and should keep things close. Reinvesting some of the weekends profits so not a big strike:

Cadiz +2 handicap - 12/10

Naidoo wrote: West Ham vs Chelsea

Chilwell was very attacking against Liverpool (even had a goal disallowed) and Pochettino kept on asking him to go forward. His captain today as well, and should continue bombing forward on the left.

Chilwell 2+ shots - 12/10
Chilwell 1+ SOT - 16/10

How these player shot bets been going? I tried to find the stats but so many sites send you down a rabbit hole of pop ups and crap!

southpaw wrote:

Naidoo wrote: West Ham vs Chelsea

Chilwell was very attacking against Liverpool (even had a goal disallowed) and Pochettino kept on asking him to go forward. His captain today as well, and should continue bombing forward on the left.

Chilwell 2+ shots - 12/10
Chilwell 1+ SOT - 16/10

How these player shot bets been going? I tried to find the stats but so many sites send you down a rabbit hole of pop ups and crap!

The official statistics are on the Opta site.

optaplayerstats.statsperform.com/en_GB/soccer

Quill wrote:

southpaw wrote:

Naidoo wrote: West Ham vs Chelsea

Chilwell was very attacking against Liverpool (even had a goal disallowed) and Pochettino kept on asking him to go forward. His captain today as well, and should continue bombing forward on the left.

Chilwell 2+ shots - 12/10
Chilwell 1+ SOT - 16/10

How these player shot bets been going? I tried to find the stats but so many sites send you down a rabbit hole of pop ups and crap!

The official statistics are on the Opta site.

optaplayerstats.statsperform.com/en_GB/soccer

Thanks for the link Quill, yeah most bookies settle these bets based on Opta. So this link is ideal for following the stats.

These player bets are profitable so far this season, the bookies are still not factoring in the new rule changes. Card bets, shots and over goals have plenty of value. Its all about finding the right info, for example even though Alexander Arnold and Chilwell are defenders, they are quite attacking and are shooting alot.