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Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
- Brent Graham
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1 month 21 hours ago #1
by Brent Graham
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Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June was created by Brent Graham
Not a great weekend for me and confidence is a bit low at the moment
That being said we fight on and below my handicap projections for this weekend (Super Rugby, URC to follow)
Super Rugby Projections
Crusaders -22.5 v Moana Pasifika, both teams can still qualify but need the Drua (8th) to lose, also Force in 9th
Waratahs +6.5 v Reds, watch Reds team news they are 5th and cannot climb or go down so may rest players
Drua -8.5 v Rebels, Drua need to win to qualify, Rebels 7th are qualified and best they can do is 6th
Hurricanes -18.5 v Highlanders, Canes level with top placed Blues, Landers cannot go higher than current 6th place
Blues -9.5 v Chiefs, Blues will know what they need to finish top, Chiefs will finish 4th so watch team news
Force +7.5 v Brumbies, Force may be gone if Drua win, Brumbies could finish 1st or 2nd depending on other results
That being said we fight on and below my handicap projections for this weekend (Super Rugby, URC to follow)
Super Rugby Projections
Crusaders -22.5 v Moana Pasifika, both teams can still qualify but need the Drua (8th) to lose, also Force in 9th
Waratahs +6.5 v Reds, watch Reds team news they are 5th and cannot climb or go down so may rest players
Drua -8.5 v Rebels, Drua need to win to qualify, Rebels 7th are qualified and best they can do is 6th
Hurricanes -18.5 v Highlanders, Canes level with top placed Blues, Landers cannot go higher than current 6th place
Blues -9.5 v Chiefs, Blues will know what they need to finish top, Chiefs will finish 4th so watch team news
Force +7.5 v Brumbies, Force may be gone if Drua win, Brumbies could finish 1st or 2nd depending on other results
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 20 hours ago #2
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
It is also the final weekend of URC regular season action
Handicap projections below:
Leinster -14.5 v Connacht, tough to cap, Leinster may rest players after Champs Cup loss, Connacht can mathematically qualify
Warriors -26.5 v Zebre, Warriors 4th could in theory top the log and should chase bonus point win
Stormers -9.5 v Lions, Stormers must win to retain 5th spot, Lions need to win to qualify, tricky one
Benetton -4.5 v Edinburgh, 8th v 7th and they level on points, loser could be overtaken by Lions or Connacht
Scarlets -6.5 v Dragons, not even sure parents of the players will watch this one
Sharks +12.5 v Bulls, Bulls likely to need win to ensure 2nd and they could finish 1st, Sharks attitude after Challenge win an unknown
Munster -12.5 v Ulster, a win ensures Munster top spot, Ulster could finish anywhere from 5th to 8th
Cardiff -4.5 v Ospreys, I don't have any feel for this
Handicap projections below:
Leinster -14.5 v Connacht, tough to cap, Leinster may rest players after Champs Cup loss, Connacht can mathematically qualify
Warriors -26.5 v Zebre, Warriors 4th could in theory top the log and should chase bonus point win
Stormers -9.5 v Lions, Stormers must win to retain 5th spot, Lions need to win to qualify, tricky one
Benetton -4.5 v Edinburgh, 8th v 7th and they level on points, loser could be overtaken by Lions or Connacht
Scarlets -6.5 v Dragons, not even sure parents of the players will watch this one
Sharks +12.5 v Bulls, Bulls likely to need win to ensure 2nd and they could finish 1st, Sharks attitude after Challenge win an unknown
Munster -12.5 v Ulster, a win ensures Munster top spot, Ulster could finish anywhere from 5th to 8th
Cardiff -4.5 v Ospreys, I don't have any feel for this
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- TheAdmiral
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1 month 19 hours ago #3
by TheAdmiral
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Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Here’s my stab at the caps:
Glasgow zebre -25
Leinster Connacht -14
Stormers lions -7
Benetton Edinburgh -6
Scarlets dragons -7
Sharks bulls +13
Munster Ulster -9
Cardiff ospreys +6
Saders Moana -17
Tahs reds TEAMS
Drua rebels -11
Canes landers -15
Blues chiefs -8
Force brumbies +8
Glasgow zebre -25
Leinster Connacht -14
Stormers lions -7
Benetton Edinburgh -6
Scarlets dragons -7
Sharks bulls +13
Munster Ulster -9
Cardiff ospreys +6
Saders Moana -17
Tahs reds TEAMS
Drua rebels -11
Canes landers -15
Blues chiefs -8
Force brumbies +8
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- Brent Graham
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1 month 8 hours ago #4
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Super Rugby lines out at WSB - here is how they compare to mine, WSB in brackets
Crusaders -22.5 (-26.5) v Moana Pasifika
Waratahs +6.5 (+11.5) v Reds
Drua -8.5 (-13.5) v Rebels
Hurricanes -18.5 (-19.5) v Highlanders
Blues -9.5 (-6.5) v Chiefs
Force +7.5 (+3.5) v Brumbies
Quite a few differences, not going to rush in to anything at this point
Crusaders -22.5 (-26.5) v Moana Pasifika
Waratahs +6.5 (+11.5) v Reds
Drua -8.5 (-13.5) v Rebels
Hurricanes -18.5 (-19.5) v Highlanders
Blues -9.5 (-6.5) v Chiefs
Force +7.5 (+3.5) v Brumbies
Quite a few differences, not going to rush in to anything at this point
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1 month 8 hours ago #5
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Also some differences in the URC
Leinster -14.5 (-18.5) v Connacht
Warriors -26.5 (-30.5) v Zebre
Stormers -9.5 (-6.5) v Lions
Benetton -4.5 (-1.5) v Edinburgh
Scarlets -6.5 (-6.5) v Dragons
Sharks +12.5 (+14.5) v Bulls
Munster -12.5 (-12.5) v Ulster
Cardiff -4.5 (+5.5) v Ospreys
I was well out on Cardiff v Ospreys but won't be touching that game
Leinster -14.5 (-18.5) v Connacht
Warriors -26.5 (-30.5) v Zebre
Stormers -9.5 (-6.5) v Lions
Benetton -4.5 (-1.5) v Edinburgh
Scarlets -6.5 (-6.5) v Dragons
Sharks +12.5 (+14.5) v Bulls
Munster -12.5 (-12.5) v Ulster
Cardiff -4.5 (+5.5) v Ospreys
I was well out on Cardiff v Ospreys but won't be touching that game
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- Brent Graham
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4 weeks 2 days ago #6
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
A quiet week so far with almost no line movement on either Super Rugby or URC, just a point on a few games but nothing worth mentioning.
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- hanrick
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4 weeks 2 days ago - 4 weeks 2 days ago #7
by hanrick
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Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
I'm interested in the Bulls minus, but have not pulled the trigger yet. Sharks surely rest players after Challenge Cup final and Bulls have lots to play for. Even though it's in Durban, I see the Bulls winning easily here. Can easily be by 20 plus with the motivation for Bulls and nothing to play for for Sharks.
Was hoping for a bigger plus on the Lions, but might still take the plus there
Was hoping for a bigger plus on the Lions, but might still take the plus there
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Last edit: 4 weeks 2 days ago by hanrick.
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- TheAdmiral
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4 weeks 1 day ago #8
by TheAdmiral
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Replied by TheAdmiral on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Completely agree on this one. I think we could see a sharks performance similar to those in the first half of the season. Mentally I think they could be on the beach/looking ahead to Boks camp
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4 weeks 1 day ago #9
by Pablo
Replied by Pablo on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Hurricanes -19.5 @1.88 2u
Highlanders nothing to play for and some key absences in the backline (Fakatava even on the bench). Hurricanes full strength, Aumua back, strong bench.
Hurricanes o39.5 for 2u as well
Highlanders nothing to play for and some key absences in the backline (Fakatava even on the bench). Hurricanes full strength, Aumua back, strong bench.
Hurricanes o39.5 for 2u as well
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- Brent Graham
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4 weeks 11 hours ago #10
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
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- hanrick
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4 weeks 10 hours ago #11
by hanrick
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Have taken under 58.5 total points at 0.89/1 in the Sharks vs Bulls game. Expect Bulls to hammer the Sharks, but don't expect Sharks to contribute to the scoring. Good conditions expected for Durban, but 58.5 just feels to high for a game at the coast in South Africa.
Will be interested in unders on Sharks points aswell, when that comes out.
Will be interested in unders on Sharks points aswell, when that comes out.
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4 weeks 7 hours ago #12
by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Thanks Hanrick, always like unders in Durban, especially with this Sharks 2nd team.
Just a general question. With the Sharks qualifying for Champions Cup, does that mean we will lose the Lions if they come Top 8? Or has the top 8 sides in URC criteria fallen away? Sorry was just thinking that would be harsh for the Lions.
Just a general question. With the Sharks qualifying for Champions Cup, does that mean we will lose the Lions if they come Top 8? Or has the top 8 sides in URC criteria fallen away? Sorry was just thinking that would be harsh for the Lions.
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4 weeks 6 hours ago - 4 weeks 6 hours ago #13
by Pablo
Replied by Pablo on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
I have the feeling there will be points in Perth so I took o52.5 at @1.92 2u
Last edit: 4 weeks 6 hours ago by Pablo.
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4 weeks 3 hours ago #14
by dholliday
Replied by dholliday on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Yup. Lions either need a bonus point win or to win the URC to qualify for the Champions Cup.
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- Brent Graham
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3 weeks 6 days ago #15
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Agreeing with Hanrick on the Sharks v Bulls game
Sharks v Bulls preview
Bulls -15.5 at 19/20
Super Rugby plays will be posted in this article and the Friday morning punts are
Crusaders 1st half cap -12.5 at 17/20
Under 56.5 at 17/20 Rebels game
Sharks v Bulls preview
Bulls -15.5 at 19/20
Super Rugby plays will be posted in this article and the Friday morning punts are
Crusaders 1st half cap -12.5 at 17/20
Under 56.5 at 17/20 Rebels game
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3 weeks 6 days ago #16
by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Tahs/Red over 55.5
With not a lot on the line might get a little loose from both sides.
With not a lot on the line might get a little loose from both sides.
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3 weeks 5 days ago #17
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
A decent start but wow just seen Zebre leading Glasgow in 2nd half - you must be kidding me 
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3 weeks 5 days ago #18
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Not able to watch games so just a treble -
Canes over 40.5
Chiefs over 22.5
Force Brumbies over 52.5
@ 11/2
Canes over 40.5
Chiefs over 22.5
Force Brumbies over 52.5
@ 11/2
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3 weeks 5 days ago #19
by Brent Graham
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Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Sharks have named a strong team and Newsletter bet could be in trouble
There is still some +15.5 so I could lessen exposure but nah I will let it ride and hope motivation is the difference
Force and Brumbies both have nothing to play for but Brumbies one eye on next week perhaps and have pressed my Force win at 7/4
There is still some +15.5 so I could lessen exposure but nah I will let it ride and hope motivation is the difference
Force and Brumbies both have nothing to play for but Brumbies one eye on next week perhaps and have pressed my Force win at 7/4
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3 weeks 5 days ago #20
by Roger Rabbit
Replied by Roger Rabbit on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
like a wounded buffalo i cautiously appraoch the watering hole for a drink...
Brumbies v Farce over 52.5
Brumbies v Farce over 52.5
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3 weeks 5 days ago #21
by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Yep me too on the overs.
That last conversion attempt in the Blues game cost me grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
That last conversion attempt in the Blues game cost me grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
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3 weeks 5 days ago #22
by coil
HaHa , good one RR , I know that feeling . The crocs are lurking just below the surface .
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Roger Rabbit wrote: like a wounded buffalo i cautiously appraoch the watering hole for a drink...
Brumbies v Farce over 52.5
HaHa , good one RR , I know that feeling . The crocs are lurking just below the surface .
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3 weeks 5 days ago #23
by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
The Farce experts at side to side running
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3 weeks 5 days ago #24
by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
The dreaded 'no score in 20 mins' is like a huge kick in the balls to an overs .....
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3 weeks 5 days ago #25
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Against the grain a bit but like tries in durbs
Over 8.5 tries @ evens
Over 8.5 tries @ evens
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3 weeks 5 days ago #26
by southpaw
My head was still in holiday abroad and didn’t think this one thru properly, just wanted a bet after the week off.
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
southpaw wrote: Against the grain a bit but like tries in durbs
Over 8.5 tries @ evens
My head was still in holiday abroad and didn’t think this one thru properly, just wanted a bet after the week off.
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3 weeks 4 days ago - 3 weeks 4 days ago #27
by Laraxwell
Replied by Laraxwell on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
T14
Toulouse v La Rochelle
La Rochelle Over 21.5pts - Evens at Boylesports
(The line is 24.5pts - 10/11 at Bet 365)
Last dance for La Rochelle who travel fully loaded to hungover Toulouse. Home side have just one starter (Cros) from the EC final last wkend although still a decent side with a strong bench.
I'll also play La Rochelle +8pts @ 7/10 and double it with a home win for Toulon in their match v Clermont
Toulouse v La Rochelle
La Rochelle Over 21.5pts - Evens at Boylesports
(The line is 24.5pts - 10/11 at Bet 365)
Last dance for La Rochelle who travel fully loaded to hungover Toulouse. Home side have just one starter (Cros) from the EC final last wkend although still a decent side with a strong bench.
I'll also play La Rochelle +8pts @ 7/10 and double it with a home win for Toulon in their match v Clermont
Last edit: 3 weeks 4 days ago by Laraxwell.
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3 weeks 4 days ago #28
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Like the thinking Laraxwell and not their usual home ground this weekend for Toulouse, at the football /other city stadium.
La Rochelle over 10.5 1st half pts @ evens (PP)
La Rochelle over 10.5 1st half pts @ evens (PP)
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3 weeks 3 days ago #29
by Jameson
Best tip ever!
Replied by Jameson on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
southpaw wrote: Like the thinking Laraxwell and not their usual home ground this weekend for Toulouse, at the football /other city stadium.
La Rochelle over 10.5 1st half pts @ evens (PP)
Best tip ever!
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3 weeks 3 days ago #30
by southpaw
Thanks mate nice to get it done early hope you got on, and a shout out to Laraxwell for flagging this game and the La Rochelle side strength vs Toulouse!
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Jameson wrote:
southpaw wrote: Like the thinking Laraxwell and not their usual home ground this weekend for Toulouse, at the football /other city stadium.
La Rochelle over 10.5 1st half pts @ evens (PP)
Best tip ever!
Thanks mate nice to get it done early hope you got on, and a shout out to Laraxwell for flagging this game and the La Rochelle side strength vs Toulouse!
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3 weeks 3 days ago #31
by Jameson
Replied by Jameson on topic Super Rugby Week 15, URC Week 18, Gallagher semi-finals 31 May - 02 June
Yeah could only get 11.5 but no difference!
Winnings on over 54.5 at 1/2 time .....
Winnings on over 54.5 at 1/2 time .....
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