Super Rugby and URC Quarterfinals, Gallagher Final 7-9 June

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3 weeks 3 days ago #1 by Brent Graham
Some excellent knockout rugby coming up this weekend although I will be laying low as am on a horror run that has seen me reflecting on whether I want to continue punting for the 1st time ever.

I have been betting really small and picking up the odd winner so the damage is not too great, but it is getting embarrassing sending out the newsletter where I simply cannot buy a winner!

I may ask one of our forumites to come up with the weekends best bet :lol:

I am not sure if odds are out yet and will check after I post but here are my handicap projections for this weekend

Super Rugby Quarterfinals

Chiefs -11.5 v Reds
Hurricanes -22.5 v Rebels
Blues -22.5 v Drua
Brumbies -7.5 v Highlanders

URC Quarterfinals

Leinster -18.5 v Ulster
Bulls -14.5 v Benetton
Munster -15.5 v Ospreys
Glasgow -3.5 v Stormers


Northampton play Bath in the Premiership final and I have no idea on that one

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3 weeks 3 days ago #2 by Brent Graham
A quick visit to WSB and I see the caps are out

Northampton -4 v Bath in the Gallagher

Super Rugby, WSB in brackets

Chiefs -11.5 (-12.5) v Reds
Hurricanes -22.5 (-26.5) v Rebels
Blues -22.5 (-24.5) v Drua
Brumbies -7.5 (-14.5) v Highlanders

I think I was a bit shy on Canes but big difference Brumbies game - I know Highlanders fielded a weak team this past week but not sure how much of that was injury related, if they close to full strength I think that line might come down to say -10.5

URC

Munster -15.5 (-13.5) v Ospreys
Bulls -14.5 (-18.5) v Benetton
Leinster -18.5 (-16.5) v Ulster
Glasgow -3.5 (-1.5) v Stormers

I can understand why Bulls are -18.5 but must say this Benetton side have impressed me. Not going to get involved and will watch the markets

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3 weeks 3 days ago #3 by hanrick
Glasgow -1.5, send out the newsletter, Brent!

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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3 weeks 12 hours ago #4 by Brent Graham
Not alot of movement across either comp with The Understaker money pushing Glasgow to -3.5 which is where I had priced them

Points lines also out now

Chiefs -11.5 v Reds, Points 55.5
Hurricanes -27.5 v Rebels, Points 61.5
Blues -25.5 v Drua, Points 57.5
Brumbies -13.5 v Highlanders, Points 52.5

Munster -15.5 v Ospreys, Points 55.5
Bulls -18.5 v Benetton, Points 57.5
Leinster -16.5 v Ulster, Points 55.5
Glasgow -3.5 v Stormers, Points 50.5

Going to have a close look at the points lines but quite fancy the under 55.5 in Chiefs v Reds and leaning unders on the top 3 Super Rugby games at this stage

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3 weeks 1 hour ago #5 by Brent Graham
Ok lads we get down to business tonight at 21h00

Click here to set a reminder on You Tube

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3 weeks 26 minutes ago #6 by Brent Graham
The 1st of our betting previews is Munster v Ospreys

I reckon Munster keep things tight and taking Ospreys under 2.5 tries at 8/10

All Super Rugby Bets will be posted here

So far Chiefs v Reds under 7.5 tries at 9/10

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2 weeks 6 days ago #7 by Pablo
I'm off season until Test matches at the end of june but I just read Montpellier will send a second string to clermont this last round (no tisseron, bouthier, lam, serfontein, carbonel, reinach, camara, simmonds, willemse, becognee, van rensburg ...). Darmon at 10 and Coly on the bench, very weak team and focused on next weekend access match against either Vannes or Grenoble. Clermont full strength and they need bonus point win.

Clermont o37.5 for 2u
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2 weeks 6 days ago #8 by dholliday
Trying my hand at a treble this week

Under 7.5 tries in Chiefs/Reds, Over 5.5 Blues tries & Glasgow 1-12 @7.64

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2 weeks 6 days ago #9 by Jameson
The under 7.5 tries has heartbreak written on it at half time :-(

RE: newsletter ACCA, OK I'm a Welshman but that O's scrum looks to have the edge to me - certainly in the front row anyway. So I'm on the O's + this evening.

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2 weeks 6 days ago #10 by Brent Graham
Geez I am on a horror run - hoping for the Acca but likely tapping out for the weekend - only so much punishment a man can take

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2 weeks 6 days ago #11 by southpaw
Georgia england under 20 match 3pm uk time

Over 55.5 pts @ 10/11

Looks like will be warm and dry, firm pitch.
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2 weeks 6 days ago #12 by Brent Graham
Taken some more Leinster -16.5 on the back of team news

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2 weeks 6 days ago #13 by coil
So I got home quite late from work , like 4am , set my clock , missed the kick off but was awake by HT . Had wanted to lump on unders at 54.5 . So I saw the quote at 60.5 and loaded the cannons , needless to say I saw my ring piece !

However I am on Bath tomorrow on the best plus to straighten the ship ...

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2 weeks 6 days ago #14 by southpaw
Well coil I missed this am game so wanted a Friday bet, Georgia england supposed to be on live FB feed but not being shown so now can’t even watch my money go down the drain. No score at 25 min.

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2 weeks 5 days ago #15 by Jameson

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2 weeks 5 days ago - 2 weeks 5 days ago #16 by southpaw
Fiji Drua over 12.5 pts.

Good support in ground for them, don't think the drizzle bothers them. If blues get a lead hopefully take foot off at some point.
Last edit: 2 weeks 5 days ago by southpaw.

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2 weeks 5 days ago #17 by southpaw
Starting to feel like Brent, just can’t get into any form on the rugby and making some poor picks. In reality URC has been good to be but I give it all back on super rugby, been like that all season.

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2 weeks 5 days ago #18 by The Vann
Highlanders over 18.5 @ 17/20

Taken on the basis there is nothing worth watching for the next 90min or so

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2 weeks 5 days ago #19 by coil
Highlanders doing well , Brumbies making loads of errors and look gun shy .

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2 weeks 5 days ago #20 by Jameson

coil wrote: Highlanders doing well , Brumbies making loads of errors and look gun shy .


and then 19 unanswered points ffs

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2 weeks 5 days ago #21 by R3V3R3NT_
Horror run for me this weekend. Gonna need a URC bail out lads XD

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2 weeks 5 days ago #22 by southpaw
Over 59.5 @ 20/21 at Loftus.

Would have arrived last 3 games this fixture. Although this is a knock out. Think it’s still open.

Loftus has been golden on points overs this season so I’m hoping it rescues a poor day so far.

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2 weeks 5 days ago #23 by Chiefie

southpaw wrote: Over 59.5 @ 20/21 at Loftus.

Would have arrived last 3 games this fixture. Although this is a knock out. Think it’s still open.

Loftus has been golden on points overs this season so I’m hoping it rescues a poor day so far.


How in the tits has Johan Goosen not scored that.

Jesus wept.

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2 weeks 5 days ago #24 by Chiefie

Chiefie wrote:

southpaw wrote: Over 59.5 @ 20/21 at Loftus.

Would have arrived last 3 games this fixture. Although this is a knock out. Think it’s still open.

Loftus has been golden on points overs this season so I’m hoping it rescues a poor day so far.


How in the tits has Johan Goosen not scored that.

Jesus wept.


Benetton 22 drops the ball 5m out with nobody in front. Overs ain’t happening

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2 weeks 5 days ago #25 by southpaw
The Goosen miss nothing compared that Benetton spill with nobody to beat.

Punting gods giving me the finger today. Just can’t catch a break.

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2 weeks 5 days ago #26 by Brent Graham
That Benetton knock was a coach killer - I would tear about his contract

Benetton have impressed me and taken some 14/1 they cause an upset

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2 weeks 5 days ago #27 by southpaw

Brent Graham wrote: That Benetton knock was a coach killer - I would tear about his contract

Benetton have impressed me and taken some 14/1 they cause an upset


Joined @ 10/1, score 17-11. Desperation.

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2 weeks 5 days ago #28 by Chiefie

southpaw wrote: The Goosen miss nothing compared that Benetton spill with nobody to beat.

Punting gods giving me the finger today. Just can’t catch a break.


What a pile of crap.

Missed kicks costing us, and some butchered tries. All round, poor

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2 weeks 5 days ago #29 by henryscat
Is anyone making any correct calls? I couldnt hit a barn door with mine. I think what would top it off would be stormers raping glasgow on their home patch. That would rubber stamp a terrible weekend of punting!

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2 weeks 5 days ago #30 by Chiefie

henryscat wrote: Is anyone making any correct calls? I couldnt hit a barn door with mine. I think what would top it off would be stormers raping glasgow on their home patch. That would rubber stamp a terrible weekend of punting!


2/3 today, gave a little back in the bulls game.

I think stormers and Glasgow massive unders play.
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2 weeks 5 days ago #31 by southpaw
Confidence is shot after that bulls result, no idea how overs missed.

Over 48.5 @ 10/11 in glasgooooooo

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2 weeks 4 days ago #32 by southpaw
Well that’s me done until the internationals next month. 0/4 on the rugby this weekend. a good decision made recently to bet on certain games had been paying dividends but let my discipline slip today and getting involved in games I have no strong feel far.

Almost relieved the rugby is slim pickings for a while, time for a much needed break.

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2 weeks 4 days ago #33 by Naidoo
Thanks for the Newsletter acca Brent, I am sure it helped many of us with how things went this weekend.

Twitter handle @vinolin_naidoo
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2 weeks 4 days ago #34 by Pablo

Pablo wrote: I'm off season until Test matches at the end of june but I just read Montpellier will send a second string to clermont this last round (no tisseron, bouthier, lam, serfontein, carbonel, reinach, camara, simmonds, willemse, becognee, van rensburg ...). Darmon at 10 and Coly on the bench, very weak team and focused on next weekend access match against either Vannes or Grenoble. Clermont full strength and they need bonus point win.

Clermont o37.5 for 2u


Yes

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2 weeks 4 days ago #35 by Jameson

southpaw wrote: Well that’s me done until the internationals next month. 0/4 on the rugby this weekend. a good decision made recently to bet on certain games had been paying dividends but let my discipline slip today and getting involved in games I have no strong feel far.

Almost relieved the rugby is slim pickings for a while, time for a much needed break.


Sympathies. 1/4 for me - and the one I made profit on I cashed out early but didn't need to as it turned out! Confidence shot.

Long gone are the days when winning streaks were regular occurrences. Very strange......

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2 weeks 4 days ago #36 by Wager Warlock
Wow, what a way to lose my Glasgow 1-12 bet.

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2 weeks 4 days ago - 2 weeks 4 days ago #37 by ProveMeWrong
Such quality Intel from Pablo, as per usual. Thank you!!
Last edit: 2 weeks 4 days ago by ProveMeWrong.

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2 weeks 4 days ago #38 by Brent Graham

Naidoo wrote: Thanks for the Newsletter acca Brent, I am sure it helped many of us with how things went this weekend.


Cheers mate I needed that one badly

3 of those 4 legs were in doubt or behind in the last 10 minutes, it was serious stress

Will have the new rugby thread up early - I see there is betting on the semi's and keen to get my caps done before I look

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