Super Rugby Week 11 and other Rugby

Blues under 26.5

Absolutely shat myself during that last play lads!!

Two teams that have cost me plenty in the form of Jags and Blues. Have added some higher plusses on the Jags into a few plays but still looking for something solid.

Took over 49.5 points at halftime in the Reds game only for Jantjies to miss the last 2 conversions to make my bet a loser. All the good work on the Stormers game down the drain.

Know conditions are not that good in Auckland, but based on quotes I am happy to go overs. Blues over 23.5 points at 17/20 and Blues to win and over 40.5 match points at 1.36/1

On to first away try Bulls - Highlanders 0-19:59 mins @1.8 - 3 units

Jags over 15.5 points @ 17/20

Spreads have always been my game, but since there are no more companies available in SA, time to try out a little fixed odds. Guys, with all your experience, who would you recommend. I have some accounts but do not use very often, and I see Brent uses GGGaming a bit. Does any fixed odds company offer shirts overs/unders? Seems a lot of the companies are taking big slices - 11%.

Onto the rugby, SportingBet at under 46.5 points in the Blues/Jaguars game gets my vote.

Tempted to go for a Jaguars win, but will watch the first few minutes and get a feel for the game.

Analyst wrote:
Onto the rugby, SportingBet at under 46.5 points in the Blues/Jaguars game gets my vote.

Have just taken the same

goes against all logic but High Blues shirts @ 32

As mentioned earlier on this week absolutely zero interest in the Blues v Jags game as you have probably the two most inconsistent teams in the entire competition locking horns in a few minutes time and it will also be a no bet for me but if forced i would side with Blues -7

I am not entirely convinced the Jags can win in NZ but it would be a big statement (albeit against the Blues) if they actually could. Genuinely seems like they play better away from Argentina which is extremely strange as you think it would be the other way around but if would appear that they play with a bit more freedom on the road.

Managed to catch the end of the Lions game and i woke up shocked with the result

I know I am on unders, but watching 6-7 minutes of total dominance and repeated infringements, most deliberate and very obvious, there has to be something wrong with the refereeing or laws for Jags not to have had a penalty try or Blues yellow card.

Analyst wrote: I know I am on unders, but watching 6-7 minutes of total dominance and repeated infringements, most deliberate and very obvious, there has to be something wrong with the refereeing or laws for Jags not to have had a penalty try or Blues yellow card.

Totally agree with you it should have been a penalty try.

Can't see the Brumbies staying close against Crusaders after last week especially with no Pocock and no Leafano. Hawera has been playing rubbish also so am going Crusaders -16.5, and with Payper refereeing over 53.5 points.

Points and Jags + flies home. Having one hellueva weekend.

Saders HT/FT Cheethas HT/FT double from earlier in the week in the next game. Adding onto this, Crusaders to win and over 50.5 points @ 1.89 @ Betway

What an absolutely massive victory this would be for the Jags

Biggest Super Rugby upset of all time?

Gave back half yesterday’s profits on shirts there, so taking rest and firing for a bigger price, lose and all square for weekend-

Crusaders 11-20 win @ 11/4, 4 units.

slaterj wrote: What an absolutely massive victory this would be for the Jags

Biggest Super Rugby upset of all time?

@Oracle Rugby called it (B)

slaterj wrote: What an absolutely massive victory this would be for the Jags

Biggest Super Rugby upset of all time?

No I think the Sunwolves win last year over the Blues even though it was in Tokyo.

Crusaders over 32.5 points at 5/6.

slaterj wrote: What an absolutely massive victory this would be for the Jags

Biggest Super Rugby upset of all time?

Definitely not the biggest upset - not even of the season! Bulls beating Canes in week 2. Even Blues beating Lions at Ellis started at a higher cap if I'm not mistaken...

Brumbies are killing this game.

What a disaster of a second half. Just didn't see it coming....very frustrating

Couch Critic wrote:

slaterj wrote: What an absolutely massive victory this would be for the Jags

Biggest Super Rugby upset of all time?

Definitely not the biggest upset - not even of the season! Bulls beating Canes in week 2. Even Blues beating Lions at Ellis started at a higher cap if I'm not mistaken...

Good point and on reflection i can see where you are coming from. I was looking at it more of a case of an Argentine team going to NZ and winning (even though it is against the Blues)

How in the heck did the Crusaders just fudge that up at the end there? Worst 2nd half of Rugby i have ever seen

slaterj wrote: How in the heck did the Crusaders just fudge that up at the end there? Worst 2nd half of Rugby i have ever seen

Agreed, really thought they'd pile on the points in the 2nd half. Cost me a packet. Brumbies are just awful though.

Would really like Ospreys +3 and also Scarlets -12 to come in now

slaterj wrote: How in the heck did the Crusaders just fudge that up at the end there? Worst 2nd half of Rugby i have ever seen

I thought the Crusader's defence was really good, however, the Brumbies were hopeless in the fact that they couldn't get across the line when 15 on 13. Those games are frustrating when the team "camps" themselves in the opposition 22 for long periods of the game and basically end up killing the game. The Crusaders will be gutted that they didn't get the bonus point try right at the end.

Connaught v Leinster starting in 2 hours,
Found a very good value bet
John Muldoon Man of the Match @ 13/5 with PaddyPower
This is Muldoons last home game with Connaught after 15 years of wonderful service to his province, All week this has been talked about in the papers radio etc as his Farewell game and with this game being broadcast here on Irish television the commentators will be doing everything in their power to hand it to him,
Great value IMO

I had Crusaders -16 so as you can imagine with all that backs to the wall like defending in the 2nd half to be given an absolute gift like that after the hooter i was spitting feathers. Couldn't believe it

Anyone having a nibble on the Cheetahs - Kings game?

Cheethas -17 for 2 units

Few bets for today
Over 3.5 tries HT kings vs Cheetahs - should be an open game
On the Agen v Clermont game - there is a risk of thunderstorms but cut are low compared to French bookies

Over 41.5 @ 1.83
Over 3.5 tries @ 1.61
Over 4.5 tries @ 2.37

I think there's value in Francois Venter to score anytime @ 16/10.

He's up against Ntabeni Dukisa who's not keen on tackling.

The line on Bet365 is -20 Cheetahs which i am not too sure about. I know the Cheetahs have been guilty of switching off when they build leads in past games not really sure which way to go. Kings are dross and cannot see them doing anything but think a -20 could be a toin coss which side it lands on

I hope the bulls took their Red Bull.
Think this one might go close.
I wagered a small something on the draw @ 22/1

shaft wrote: I think there's value in Francois Venter to score anytime @ 16/10.

He's up against Ntabeni Dukisa who's not keen on tackling.

The team sheet I was looking at had Venter at 12

Saders 11-20 arrives at a decent price and sounds like I missed nothing as couldn’t watch.

Nicely up for weekend, going to skip cheetahs game and focus on highlanders. I’m still not sure weather to stick with gut on highlanders cap or just go for points. Someone convince me!

Winning margin was good to me so will try again -

Highlanders 1-12 win @ 2/1

Pierrebal wrote: Great spot on the SWD / EP / Cheetahs weekend.

Kings twitter been very focal the last week about their last weekend in the competition etc etc so I don't think we will see a weakened team and the Cheetahs will look to build momentum. Agree with the sentiments on SWD and saw now EP cancelled a warm-up game against them so things aren't well there.

Additionally, looking to the Griffons, they smacked the Leopards away last week and play at home against the Cheetahs. WP was the only one of the "big teams" to win last week when they put 50 past EP away.

Have taken
Cheetahs -17.5
SWD 13/10 for the win
Griffons +7.5

and into an acca for 7/1.

Finally a result on Twitter. EP 20-34 SWD.

Thanks Cettas - 1/3 in!

and Half Time Griffons 17-21 Cheetahs

Griffons fell away badly, Final Score 31-56

Main bet for today. Over 2.5 penalties 9/10, in the Bulls / Highlanders game

Pierrebal ,where did you get the penalties quote?