Super Rugby Quarter Finals!

I m struggling to get why people are going under? I knoe i m an over punter, don t get me wrong, but Jag have been very offensive all season and Chiefs have been fantastic recently

bradie82 wrote: I m struggling to get why people are going under? I knoe i m an over punter, don t get me wrong, but Jag have been very offensive all season and Chiefs have been fantastic recently

Glen Jackson

Threepeat wrote: Locking in medium confidence early treble Saders - 12.5, Bulls +13.5, Brumbies -6.5

The Bulls line moved out to +14.5 and I doubled down. Line at TAB NZ now back down to +12.5

Just viewed the GFTG Thursday show Re Bulls and the entire panel plus Gary @ GGGaming all negative on Bulls. No support for top SA Team?? Kiwi teams no longer worry about travel as they have protocols that work.
My view on Bulls based on the two Kiwi games I watched and result against Lions. Concerned about above bets, especially with BG at Loftus last week, and choosing to be more of a spectator than a punter in Canes game. Still think it will be close, but will have ammo to load onto Canes "live" if the Canes pull the trigger.

southpaw wrote:

southpaw wrote: Chiefs +3.5
Bulls +13.5

double @ 26/10

Added single Chiefs +5.5 @ 5/6, I think the plus is massive value tonight.

Agreed, I've added the same bet also, bit surprised by the line movement

hanrick wrote:

bradie82 wrote: I m struggling to get why people are going under? I knoe i m an over punter, don t get me wrong, but Jag have been very offensive all season and Chiefs have been fantastic recently

Glen Jackson

www.stuff.co.nz/sport/opinion/113627471/...-chiefs-quarterfinal

Glen Jackson is between a rock and a hard place, being an X Chief. A good rugby man and cannot favour Chiefs in this game.

I missed all the highly touted unders -54.5 (never offered downunder) With line now at -50.5 have gone Chiefs Overs 21.5. Will offset a TAB NZ special bet of Jags to win both halves individually at $4.

Should be a neutral ref for a quarter final!

threepeat wrote:

hanrick wrote:

bradie82 wrote: I m struggling to get why people are going under? I knoe i m an over punter, don t get me wrong, but Jag have been very offensive all season and Chiefs have been fantastic recently

Glen Jackson

www.stuff.co.nz/sport/opinion/113627471/...-chiefs-quarterfinal

Glen Jackson is between a rock and a hard place, being an X Chief. A good rugby man and cannot favour Chiefs in this game.

I missed all the highly touted unders -54.5 (never offered downunder) With line now at -50.5 have gone Chiefs Overs 21.5. Will offset a TAB NZ special bet of Jags to win both halves individually at $4

Expect him to favour the Jags if anything so he can't be accused of biased. He's not been done any favours by his employers being assigned to this game.

Cracking start to the weekend. Next play:

Brumbies to win and under 50.5 @13/10.

I need BULLS +14.5 to have a great weekend or find a way to cover it ;- (

No support from the Forum Panel on this bet, however my own bookie firm has recommended the bet in their Punters Lounge!!! (by punt advisor only known as "The Shark"). Not sure that this is a good thing lol

Anyone closer to Pretoria have a view on this Quarter Final?

Below is a copy of the Sharks advice:

Stats That Matter

The Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5

The Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS at Westpac Stadium this season

The Hurricanes have covered 3 of their last 12 at Westpac Stadium

The Hurricanes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as home favourites of more than 2 tries

The Hurricanes have covered 2 of their last 6 against South African sides

The Bulls have covered 3 straight

The Bulls are 9-5 ATS in their last 14

The Bulls have covered 6 of their last 7 on the road

The Bulls have covered 3 of 4 when road dogs of more than 2 tries since the start of 2018

The Bulls are 6-2 ATS against NZ sides over the last 2 seasons

The under has cashed in 5 of the Hurricanes’ last 6 games

The under is 8-3 in the last 11 Bulls games

The under is 8-1 in the Bulls’ last 9 games on the road

The Verdict
The Bulls will be feeling confident heading across to Wellington, and rightly so after one of their best displays of the season, but I can’t see them upsetting the Canes on Saturday night. I can, however, see them keeping things reasonably close at the Cake Tin, largely thanks to their strong record of covering on the road. They have managed to beat the line in six of their last seven away from home while the Hurricanes have covered just two of seven in Wellington. Expect the Canes to be too strong at full strength but the Bulls will slow things to a grind and limit the game from getting completely away from them.

The Prediction
Hurricanes by 8

Recommended Bet
Bulls +13.5 ($1.90)
Confidence: Confidence level

Value Bet
Hurricanes 1-12 ($3.00)

No real feel on the Canes vs Bulls game so just a small bet on Bulls under 19.5 points at 8/10 for me.

Brumbies vs Sharks I'm with TOS on the Brumbies to win and under 50.5 points. Best price I could get was 1.13/1. Also on Sharks under 2.5 tries at 0.74/1

threepeat, I think there's a bigger chance of the +14.5 to arrive than the -14.5.

However I won't be betting on that. I went with the Hurricanes -5.5 as part of a multiple with the Crusaders as I mentioned in the comments of the Youtube show.

Also yay! After heavy losses in the beginning of the season, I've been doing really well again these last couple of weeks. I'm almost disappointed that Super Rugby is coming to an end.

Scraped home on +5.5 last night. Jags continue great form, and I’ve been slowly building up a bank of small doubles and trebles onto Argentina 14/10 to beat France in World Cup. Can see them taking good Jaguares momentum into World Cup, I have them as favourites v the french.

Onto today -

Conditions look perfect for kickers in wellington. Pollard has been in good form and with the line under 3 penalties I’m sucked in -

Bulls over 8.5 1st half points 10/11

Small interest 1st try Coles 18/1

Will also join on Canes 2nd half cap, NZ sides have been good after the break most season. Taken slightly lesser price to get inside unconverted try.

Canes -4.5 2nd half cap @ 1.72

hanrick wrote: No real feel on the Canes vs Bulls game so just a small bet on Bulls under 19.5 points at 8/10 for me.

Brumbies vs Sharks I'm with TOS on the Brumbies to win and under 50.5 points. Best price I could get was 1.13/1. Also on Sharks under 2.5 tries at 0.74/1

Have added Brumbies -6.5 at even money. This handicap feels at least 5 points too low for me. I think the Brumbies will win by more than 14

Hurricanes over 30 points 8/10 and Hurricanes over 4.5 tries 11/10.

I don’t think the Bulls will manage to slow the game down and will be under the gun from the start. Added Bulls under 18.5 points.

Thanks for your contributions guys.

Staying where I am re Bulls 14+ and going live.

Have doubled down max on Brumbies -6.5

Cheers and good luck to all.

Main bet Canes -12 @ 1.91

Smaller play on 2nd half cap -6 @ 1.91

Covering potential loss of stake with insurance bet Canes -17.5 @ half time

BULLS YOU BEAUTYS - Got one over the forum panel!!

Cancelled out Canes 2nd half cap bet in running just before last score, Bulls +6 for small loss due to odds difference unless a miracle middle.

unable to watch Sharks game live so just for an interest, speculative plays -

Last scoring play = Brumbies penalty @ 8/1
HT/FT Draw/Sharks/ Draw/Brum @ 23/1 and 33/1.

That’s the bet! Have added Brumbies over 25 as well.

The Brumbies are making a pig's ear of this....

With you South on Argie v France. Have been stashing a % of Round 17 & 18 winnings into that game and now adding Quarter $ more before the odds change. Bet also encouraged by a non- betting m8 in BA!

Also agree on Argentina in the WC
Not sure why they are dog but the +3.5 @ evens is my first bet on this world cup, especially after seeing the French squad
Btw will a thread on the WC be open soon?

Ps : think i reported the previous message instead of a quick reply - sorry