Six Nations Rd 5, Super Rugby Rd 4 15-17 March
- Brent Graham
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The newsletter best bet came home smoking (unders in Drua v Crusaders) and if you are not with us in the battle against the bookies Click Here to get my weekly e-mail
The Six Nations concludes this weekend and although others have mathematical chances Ireland should wrap it up
Here are the current handicaps
Wales -9.5 v Italy
Ireland -15.5 v Scotland
France -8.5* v England
*updated as originally estimated as cap was not out
Here are my Super Rugby handicap Projections for round 4
Crusaders +2.5 v Hurricanes
Rebels +8.5 v Reds
Force -3.5 v Moana
Highlanders -4.5 v Brumbies
Chiefs -26.5 v Drua
Waratahs +5.5 v Blues
I look forward to your thoughts - good punting
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- dholliday
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Crusaders +2.5 (+0.5) v Hurricanes
Rebels +8.5 (+9.5) v Reds
Force -3.5 (-3.5) v Moana
Highlanders -4.5 (+3.5) v Brumbies
Chiefs -26.5 (-18.5) v Drua
Waratahs +5.5 +9.5) v Blues
I expect all of those lines to move in my direction
I have taken a unit at 11/2
Brumbies +3.5 17/20
Chiefs -17.5 17/20
Waratahs +9.5 9/10
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- Pablo
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Chiefs -18.5 or over points catched my eye as well and, oh God, Crusaders @2 at home I cannot see them losing 4 in a row.
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- Quill
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Pablo wrote: ....
oh God, Crusaders @2 at home I cannot see them losing 4 in a row.
... until they do.
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- TheAdmiral
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Also took force -2, Moana not shown enough to nearly be at a pickem in an away game
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- southpaw
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- Kirky
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The London Mayoral election on 2nd May, where Sadiq Kahn (incumbent) is favourite at 1.05
This election WILL be won by Howard Cox, from Reform UK.
Reform is a fairly new party headed by Richard Tice, and they'll probably (I'm 90% certain) win the British general election thus providing the new UK Government.
People are really fed-up with Kahn and his Muslim mates f#cking everything up in London. I see Cox as a shoo-in winner.
I've put a full 5 units on Howard Cox @ 67.00
Too good for me to pass up.
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- Pablo
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A couple of points better than other bookies so some value there in the italians, I think they can be up for this.
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- Brent Graham
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Crusaders range from +1.5 to +3.5 with more bad injury news (Scott Barrett out)
Force -5.5 from -3.5
Highlanders +1.5 from +4.5
Guys the Super Rugby show is at 9am SA time on Thursday
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- Jameson
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Kirky wrote: Apologies for going off topic, but I feel I must share with my punting buddies.
The London Mayoral election on 2nd May, where Sadiq Kahn (incumbent) is favourite at 1.05
This election WILL be won by Howard Cox, from Reform UK.
Reform is a fairly new party headed by Richard Tice, and they'll probably (I'm 90% certain) win the British general election thus providing the new UK Government.
People are really fed-up with Kahn and his Muslim mates f#cking everything up in London. I see Cox as a shoo-in winner.
I've put a full 5 units on Howard Cox @ 67.00
Too good for me to pass up.
However, please exercise caution if you follow.
Have you sobered up yet?? lol Cox is a populist right wing, climate change sceptic, loon - Kahn maybe a snivelling, dislikeable tw@t but Londoners generally vote on the left so he'll get back in easily.
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- southpaw
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Jameson wrote: France v England U20 Friday evening. Strong French side as they have called up a number of Top14 players (No Top14 this weekend). Looks like the bookies have already taken this into account with the -7 ? Still good enough for me.
So this is possibly the game i've been looking forward too most all weekend despite all the other main action. I watched & punted France u20 last week and they could have scored 80. They are now stronger, at home and peaking. I think there will be points in this one, i'm close to punting the -7 but would preference France overs if line not too bad.
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southpaw wrote:
Jameson wrote: France v England U20 Friday evening. Strong French side as they have called up a number of Top14 players (No Top14 this weekend). Looks like the bookies have already taken this into account with the -7 ? Still good enough for me.
So this is possibly the game i've been looking forward too most all weekend despite all the other main action. I watched & punted France u20 last week and they could have scored 80. They are now stronger, at home and peaking. I think there will be points in this one, i'm close to punting the -7 but would preference France overs if line not too bad.
The French U20 passing last time was sublime - so typically French!?
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- Kirky
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LOL, yes I'm sober now, and all I can say is to reiterate that Kahn is dead in the water, and Howard Cox of Reform UK will be the new Mayor.Jameson wrote:
Have you sobered up yet?? lol Cox is a populist right wing, climate change sceptic, loon - Kahn maybe a snivelling, dislikeable tw@t but Londoners generally vote on the left so he'll get back in easily.Kirky wrote:
However, please exercise caution if you follow.
At 66/1 I've put 5 units on him.
Watch this space..
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- dholliday
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Having Posolo Tuilagi and Hugo Reus in your side at that level should be illegal...
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- southpaw
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Jameson wrote:
southpaw wrote:
Jameson wrote: France v England U20 Friday evening. Strong French side as they have called up a number of Top14 players (No Top14 this weekend). Looks like the bookies have already taken this into account with the -7 ? Still good enough for me.
So this is possibly the game i've been looking forward too most all weekend despite all the other main action. I watched & punted France u20 last week and they could have scored 80. They are now stronger, at home and peaking. I think there will be points in this one, i'm close to punting the -7 but would preference France overs if line not too bad.
The French U20 passing last time was sublime - so typically French!?
Tolofua off the bench really caught the eye last week. Huge talent.
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- Naidoo
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Force & France U20 both to win - 11/10
Twitter handle @vinolin_naidoo
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- Pablo
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dholliday wrote: France U20s vs England -6.5 might be my bet of the year.
Having Posolo Tuilagi and Hugo Reus in your side at that level should be illegal...
Don't forget the back row of Castro Ferreira and Gazzoti peaking in ST and UBB, Massa playing well in Grenoble, Attisogbe in SP, etc.
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- southpaw
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FRA u20 -8 @ 10/11
Will be looking for tries or points over when lines out.
FRA snr side -
-6 @ 10/11
over 26.5 pts @ 8/11 (may take the over 27.5 @ 10/11 for a better price)
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- Brent Graham
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We live at 21h00 with focus on Super Rugby
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- shaft
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Rayasi last try scorer @ 20/1
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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So far Canes 1-12 and over 57.5 Rebels v Reds
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- Chiefie
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Can someone explain to me wtf I’m spending £27.99 a month to watch women’s super rugby for.
Why is this even being shown?! I’m probably the only person in the UK watching this.
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote: Have had to go to my back up dodgy feed until sky wake up and put correct game on.
I’ve messaged sky and now tv on Instagram, obviously no reply.
I hate sky.
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- Jameson
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Chiefie wrote: So it’s 8.35 in the UK, and on sky sports action, we’re seeing rebels v force women, where they are meant to be showing rebels and reds.
Can someone explain to me wtf I’m spending £27.99 a month to watch women’s super rugby for.
Why is this even being shown?! I’m probably the only person in the UK watching this.
What pisses me off is that in the UK you would need to subscribe to what? 4 companies to watch all the rugby? I'm only interested in rugby (and maybe test cricket) so why cant I pay for what I'm interested in? So in effect I'm subsidising football WHICH I F@@KING HATE!!!
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Chiefie wrote: So it’s 8.35 in the UK, and on sky sports action, we’re seeing rebels v force women, where they are meant to be showing rebels and reds.
Can someone explain to me wtf I’m spending £27.99 a month to watch women’s super rugby for.
Why is this even being shown?! I’m probably the only person in the UK watching this.
Looks like Rebels women are pitching up v Reds
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote: over 58.5 @ 5/6 in Perth
Every offload from Moana has gone forward.
My luck had to change at some point.
2 good. 1 shit. Had to be.
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote: over 58.5 @ 5/6 in Perth
Every offload from Moana has gone forward.
My luck had to change at some point.
2 good. 1 shit. Had to be.
Force butchering again.
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote: over 58.5 @ 5/6 in Perth
Every offload from Moana has gone forward.
My luck had to change at some point.
2 good. 1 shit. Had to be.
Force butchering again.
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote: over 58.5 @ 5/6 in Perth
Every offload from Moana has gone forward.
My luck had to change at some point.
2 good. 1 shit. Had to be.
Force butchering again.
Lealifiano couldnt kick his way out of a wet paper bag. Cannot tell you the last time I saw him make a kick for posts. Dead out in front, 35m back, hooks it, every time. F. Sakes.
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Jameson wrote: Well at least you got another score - I didnt bother with overs on this one but went with Force tries - cant decide if I or you is in the most shite ....
The force are the Welsh of the south, just horrible to watch. lol
Will race you to the bottom of the punting ladder.
Surely this second half can’t get worse.
But god, the force look clueless / aimless. Barely managing 1 out runners.
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Chiefie wrote:
Jameson wrote: Well at least you got another score - I didnt bother with overs on this one but went with Force tries - cant decide if I or you is in the most shite ....
The force are the Welsh of the south, just horrible to watch. lol
Will race you to the bottom of the punting ladder.
Surely this second half can’t get worse.
But god, the force look clueless / aimless. Barely managing 1 out runners.
Hit me where it hurts wont you dude ...
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- Chiefie
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Jameson wrote:
Chiefie wrote:
Jameson wrote: Well at least you got another score - I didnt bother with overs on this one but went with Force tries - cant decide if I or you is in the most shite ....
The force are the Welsh of the south, just horrible to watch. lol
Will race you to the bottom of the punting ladder.
Surely this second half can’t get worse.
But god, the force look clueless / aimless. Barely managing 1 out runners.
Hit me where it hurts wont you dude ...
Ben Donaldson is a dirty little bitch.
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southpaw wrote: France for me on both fronts this weekend -
FRA u20 -8 @ 10/11
Will be looking for tries or points over when lines out.
FRA snr side -
-6 @ 10/11
over 26.5 pts @ 8/11 (may take the over 27.5 @ 10/11 for a better price)
Added France u20 over 4.5 tries @ 8/10
Firmly involved in French rugby this weekend.
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- Chiefie
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Jameson wrote: 1 easy win and 1 easy loss - pretty good for a Friday really! lol[/quote
Compared to last Friday, this is great.
2 easy wins and 1 easy loss.
Note to self, don’t watch or bet on the force. Life is too short to watch them.
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- Mondo86
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Bread and water for the rest of the month if it loses -
All-in!
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- The Vann
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I know the Scots are crap but this line is really low for U20 rugby
Scotland over 10.5 @ 9/10
Leaning towards the 55.5 match line in France but will see how the Scots go first
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