Super Rugby Week 7 and other Rugby
- coil
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Was a small loser going into this mornings Reds game and climbed into the unders at 44.5 ... 10-0 at HT , I recorded the second half and just finished watching the carnage .. 3 tries in the last 10 minutes killed me and ensured the dogs got baked beans for supper.
Here are my early caps
Canes plus 2.5 vs Crusaders
Tahs minus 35.5 vs Wolves Sorry meant to be 25.5 typo .
Blues minus 3.5 vs Stormers
Reds minus 4.5 vs Rebels
Shark minus 5.5 vs Bull
Jag plus 4.5 vs Chiefs.
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- mackem
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- Brent Graham
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My handicaps in brackets to the right and Rugby Punts on Twitter has added his to the right of mine
Canes plus 2.5 vs Crusaders (+5.5) +8.5
Tahs minus 35.5 vs Wolves (-15.5) -18.5
Blues minus 3.5 vs Stormers (-9.5) -10.5
Reds minus 4.5 vs Rebels (-5.5) -2.5
Shark minus 5.5 vs Bull (-4.5) -5.5
Jag plus 4.5 vs Chiefs (+2.5) +6.5
Video to follow
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- Brent Graham
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- threepeat
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The WTF moment of the week started at just after 3pm on Saturday and ended just before 5pm. For this entire period the Bulls were nothing more than mere spectators against the bottom ranked Kiwi team traveling to Loftus to take them on in their own back yard. The home side had the week off before this clash and clearly most of the Bulls were still mentally in ESKOM mode – completely switched off!
My WTF moment started early in Sydney and also lasted the full eighty minutes. In one game Crusaders dropped off more tackles and dropped more ball than the entire first five rounds - ESKOM mode - completely switched off.
Bulls must have watched this game prior to Loftus and thought that if this was top ranked Kiwi rugby, all they had to do was turn up to beat the Chiefs.
These two Eskom mode results decimated my rugby multis.
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- threepeat
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I have added actual lines for TAB NZ to the very right.
Canes plus 2.5 vs Crusaders (+5.5) +8.5 (+1.5)
Tahs minus 35.5 vs Wolves (-15.5) -18.5 (-13.5)
Blues minus 3.5 vs Stormers (-9.5) -10.5 (-6.5)
Reds minus 4.5 vs Rebels (-5.5) -2.5 (+2.5)
Shark minus 5.5 vs Bull (-4.5) -5.5 (-2.5)
Jag plus 4.5 vs Chiefs (+2.5) +6.5 (+2.5)
I see some value in the Jags plus as Retallick and DMack on AB rest.
I see value in Reds +2.5 as home game and Rebels traveling back from tough tour of SA.
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- davopnz
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Du Toit is heading back to Cape Town as his wife is due to give birth, huge loss. He made 30 tackles against The Canes. Etzebeth likely to be back but depth will be tested with Shickerling and Moerat likely out.
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- threepeat
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Thanks davo, I thought there was a five game rule. Found you were correct on stuff.co.nz
"McKenzie sat out the opening round with an ankle niggle, but the Bulls game would be his fifth on the trot. However, the dynamic play maker said he would also be suiting up for the Argentinian leg of the tour".
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- southpaw
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At this stage Blues on smallest minus would be my early bet but want to confirm Rieko is not being given week off.
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- Brad Breath
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Reds got me partially back on track yesterday, and I can see them winning again this weekend.
Reds +4 @ 1.91
Smaller bet on Reds win @ 2.3
And speculative acca @ 10.1
Crusaders win
Waratahs -13
Blues win
Reds +4
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- alanmc09
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- threepeat
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Fox Sports advise "It’s believed that the Waratahs, who are coming off a potentially season defining win over the Crusaders on Saturday, will rest a number of their Test stars for Friday night’s match against the Sunwolves in Newcastle, including regular playmaker Bernard Foley.
World class fullback Israel Folau is another who could be rested, as the Waratahs look to fulfil their commitment of managing their star players in 2019"
Waratahs were not that good last week. Saders were shocking. If they rest Hooper as well they are a much lesser team. Suggest it is best to wait on team lists for this match.
Rumblings here are that AB Captain, Kearin Read will make first appearance for Saders v Canes. First 50 mins or off the bench? Anyhow (any) Saders pack too strong for Canes and early bet goes on Saders -1.5, 4 out of 5. Never seen two bad Sader games in a row.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/hu...betting-preview.html
2 units Either side to win by no more than 7 points including tie at 13/10 Sunbet
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- Steiner
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Brad Breath wrote: I took a pasting on the weekend, with Crusaders and Bulls not bothering to show up.
Reds got me partially back on track yesterday, and I can see them winning again this weekend.
Reds +4 @ 1.91
Smaller bet on Reds win @ 2.3
And speculative acca @ 10.1
Crusaders win
Waratahs -13
Blues win
Reds +4
Just worried about those potentially resting tahs players, and the sunnies have toured well this year.
Ive gone for this acca @8
Crusaders -2.5
Reds win
Chiefs -3.5
#TheBettingStig
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- mackem
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Tahs v Sunwolves preview
goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/wa...betting-preview.html
1 unit Waratahs -12.5 points 0.93/1 Betway
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- Cettas
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Champions Rugby Show Quarter-final Preview: www.epcrugby.com/2019/03/26/listen-to-th...arter-final-preview/
Edinburgh v Munster
Saracens v Glasgow
Leinster v Munster
Racing 92 v Toulouse
Sale v Connacht
Worcester v Harlequins
La Rochelle v Bristol
Clermont v Northampton
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/bl...betting-preview.html
Stormers +5.5 for me for a couple of units
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/sh...betting-preview.html
2.5 units, Either team wins by 7 or Less (incl. Draw) 13/10 Sunbet
1 unit Will there be a drop goal? Yes at 18/10 WSB
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- alanmc09
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1 HARRY JOHNSON-HOLMES
2 DAMIEN FITZPATRICK
3 SEKOPE KEPU
4 NED HANIGAN
5 ROB SIMMONS
6 LACHLAN SWINTON
7 MICHAEL HOOPER
8 MICHAEL WELLS
9 NICK PHIPPS
10 MACK MASON
11 CURTIS RONA
12 KURTLEY BEALE
13 KARMICHAEL HUNT
14 CAM CLARK
15 ISRAEL FOLAU
16. ANDREW TUALA
17. RORY O’CONNOR
18. CHRIS TALAKAI
19. RYAN MCCAULEY
20. TOM STANIFORTH
21. JAKE GORDON
22. LALAKAI FOKETI
23. ALEX NEWSOME
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- southpaw
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Waratahs win both halves @ evens
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- hanrick
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southpaw wrote: Good enough side for me. Gone -
Waratahs win both halves @ evens
I like that bet South. Have followed with 10/11 at Sunbet
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- RuggaBugga
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Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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I like Saders -2.5. I hate backing an away team but they Saders never lose two in a row. Mo'unga returning is huge.
Sharks -2.5. Sharks at home will be looking forward to welcoming a Bulls side that got blown off the park last weekend.
Tentative play on Wolves +20.5 due to form.
Jags +6.5. Jags with a rest and looks like no Brodie for the travelling Chiefs.
Best bet of the weekend: Saders -2.5
Value bet of the weekend: Sharks -6.5 @2.6
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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I really like Edinburgh +4.5 vs Munster. Edinburgh have been sensational at home this season and dislodged Leinster by a few this past weekend.
Sale -4.5 vs Connacht.
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- mackem
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- davopnz
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The Blues team to play the Stormers at Eden Park on Saturday at 7.35pm is: 15 Melani Nanai, 14 Tanielu Tele'a, 13 TJ Faiane, 12 Ma'a Nonu, 11 Rieko Ioane, 10 Otere Black, 9 Jonathan Ruru; 8 Akira Ioane, 7 Blake Gibson, 6 Tom Robinson, 5 Gerard Cowley-Tuioti, 4 Patrick Tuipulotu, 3 Sione Mafileo, 2 James Parsons, 1 Alex Hodgman.
Reserves: 16 Matt Moulds, 17 Karl Tu'inukuafe, 18 Ofa Tuungafasi, 19 Scott Scrafton, 20 Dalton Papalii, 21 Augustine Pulu, 22 Harry Plummer, 23 Sonny Bill Williams.
Stormers: 15 Damian Willemse, 14 Sergeal Petersen, 13 Daniel du Plessis, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Dillyn Leyds, 10 Jean-Luc du Plessis, 9 Herschel Jantjies, 8 Jaco Coetzee, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Siya Kolisi (c), 5 Chris van Zyl, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Bongi Mbonambi, 1 Steven Kitshoff.
Reserves: 16 Scarra Ntubeni, 17 Corne Fourie, 18 Frans Malherbe, 19 Cobus Wiese, 20 Juarno Augustus, 21 Justin Phillips, 22 Josh Stander, 23 SP Marais.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/re...betting-preview.html
2 units Reds to win by under 12.5 points 28/10 WSB (a very nice price imo)
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- mackem
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Jags to win at 13/10 for 1.5 units
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- Brent Graham
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21h00
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- Brad Breath
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ThoughtsOnSports wrote: In European rugby:
I really like Edinburgh +4.5 vs Munster. Edinburgh have been sensational at home this season and dislodged Leinster by a few this past weekend.
I agree with you on this, took the same bet earlier this week.
No questioning Munster's European pedigree which is outstanding, but you feel away from Thomond Park they are not quite the same team.
Key Munster players like Murray & O'Mahoney not in great form and Edinburgh's set piece firing, think Edinburgh have a great chance to progress.
Also like (to a lesser extent) Glasgow +15 vs Saracens.
These 2 teams hate each other and can see it being very niggly.
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- coil
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Sadly I won’t be able to watch any of Friday’s games but will be having an interest on the Crusaders outright and waratahs minus 13.5 double .
Just a little concerned about the Tahs playing at some obscure ground in Newcastle , NSW .. but if the 10 is any good they really should run away with it .
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- bradie82
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Tonight in Pro D2 - Aix vs Nevers - 2 offensive team, perfect weather in France and the cut is low vs French bookie (47.5).
Therefore giving it a go
Over 42.5 @ 1.83
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- Brent Graham
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My bets are...
Reds on the board
Waratahs minus, I have taken minus 22 at 16/10 and minus 28 at 33/10
I reckon the Waratahs smash the sunwolves.
Sharks although have a bad record I expect to beat a low on confidence bulls team
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- hanrick
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A points double for me for the morning, Crusaders over 24.5 points onto over 62.5 total points in Waratahs game at 26/10.
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- bradie82
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Bourg en Bresse x Biarritz @ 1.96
Bourg en Bresse HT/FT x Biarritz HT/Ft @ 3.40
Aurillac and Oyonnax are doing quite a huge turnover so can see those team winning at home
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- southpaw
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- hanrick
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hanrick wrote: Having said on the show last night that I was looking at an unders play on Hurricanes points, I have changed my mind.
A points double for me for the morning, Crusaders over 24.5 points onto over 62.5 total points in Waratahs game at 26/10.
Needed just 3 points in last 10 minutes for this double to land. Zero points in last 10 minutes.
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- Kirky
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- southpaw
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- southpaw
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- sunnyskies
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southpaw wrote: Tahs beat saders 1 week, rest just 3 players, and lose to Sunwolves.
Just shows you that the Crusaders' mindset was not on that game hence the turn around against the Hurricanes in Wellington.
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- sunnyskies
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- coil
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Beginning to like the bulls later on , def on the plus and looking at an unders play as well .
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: Blues -1.5 2nd half cap main bet tomorrow am, 0.81/1.
Added Stormers over 10.5 1st half pts 17/20
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- sunnyskies
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- Brent Graham
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sunnyskies wrote: Taking Blues over 22.5 pts live betting half time.
Was just popping on to post that bet - strong bench and Stormers looks a bit tired
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- southpaw
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Brent Graham wrote:
sunnyskies wrote: Taking Blues over 22.5 pts live betting half time.
Was just popping on to post that bet - strong bench and Stormers looks a bit tired
Also need a strong blues 2nd half for main bet blues -1.5 2nd half cap. Stormers butchered a few good chances 1st half.
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- southpaw
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Over 43.5 @ 17/20
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- hanrick
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southpaw wrote: Rain looks to have stopped in Brisbane.
Over 43.5 @ 17/20
Yes, checked YR this morning and rain will have stopped by now.
Rebels over 21.5 points at 8/10
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- southpaw
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