Super Rugby Week 12 plus other Rugby

SSRC Zim v Sharks XV

Not sure why, saw the Sharks team and looks ok no big changes from last week. Lwazi Mvovo also in and cap has come down to Sharks XV -8.5 @ wsb

So took as much as I could up to my limit with them.

Cettas wrote: SSRC Zim v Sharks XV

Not sure why, saw the Sharks team and looks ok no big changes from last week. Lwazi Mvovo also in and cap has come down to Sharks XV -8.5 @ wsb

So took as much as I could up to my limit with them.

Added Sharks XV -9.5 at evens

Max bet at -9.5 evens. Thanks for that. Not sure what is going on. Cap started at 28 moved to 40 now to 8.

Its been taken offline now. Let’s see.

Pierrebal wrote: Max bet at -9.5 evens. Thanks for that. Not sure what is going on. Cap started at 28 moved to 40 now to 8.

Teams:
sarugby.online/tournaments/match/id/5913

My bet has just been voided. Got a voucher.

Pierrebal wrote: My bet has just been voided. Got a voucher.

Same here

This morning is a difficult cap for me. Sharks should stay within the 21-23 on offer but at the same time Crusaders will pull away in the second half, just a question about how many. Unders game for me.

Under 7.5 tries
Sharks under 16.5
Over 2 penalties 14/10

Sharks +21.5 @ 5/6

On Sharks +23.5 and +22.5 from earlier in the week. Adding under 55.5 match points at 17/20

On Saders -13.5 @$1.40 (Fan Bet) Playing it safe with no Richie Mounga.
Sader backs potentially to dangerous for Sharks punters on the plus. Goodhue & Eannor could be the midfield future as Crotty in his last Sader season.

Also on a double with a better return,
To Score A Try Super Rugby: Crusaders v Sharks Rugby Union Fri, 03 May 2019, 7:35pm
Jordan, Will @ 1.72 with
Head To Head Super Rugby: Brumbies v Blues Rugby Union Sat, 04 May 2019, 9:45pm
Blues @ 1.80
Combined Odds 3.09

I too am on the Sharks +23

Smaller bet over 1.5 penalties @ 2.25

Put a couple of beers on Sharks win @ 17 too.

Adding some under 54.5 with score at 7 - 6 23mins gone

Happy for the penalties landing already.

Very stop start as Hanrick called it last night. Just don’t see Sharks keeping this up and Saders glimpses.

Taken Crusaders -9.5 Halftime.

Reds over 32.5 @ 1.86 (Unibet)
Reds to score a try before 20” @ 1.53 (Bwin)

Wolves defence was shocking last week and I expect the same this week

Not sure yet but have the over 53.5 @ 1.85 (Bwin), over 7.5 tries @ 2.05 (Bwin) et over 4.5 tries reds @ 1.74 (Unibet) ready to be loaded, just need to sit on them for a bit before firing

Crusaders dnb @ 1.89 - cannot resist that one

Next game looks extremely tough to call. Small bet under 56.5 at 0.88/1 for me

Agreed, tough to call but can see the money coming for the Reds

Conservative play Reds -9 @ 1.85

Kerevi 1st try @ 13

Kerevi any time @ 2.2

Pierrebal wrote: Guys, WSB out with SS Rugby Challenge. I quickly placed my bets cause these lines are volatile and bookies don't really know the lines until the money comes in. My selections:

Border vs WP -26.5 - WP is ruthless in this competition and Border pretty much amateurs.
Boland vs Free State -4.5 FS won very well last week against the Sharks XV and will have some Pro 14 players back.
Bulls -24.5 v Namibia The Bulls playing at home will be too much for Namibia. Namibia beat a poor cap easily last week against Lions u21 team.
EP vs SWD -4.5 EP Rugby is shocking at best and they let 20 Kings players go so they won't have reinforcements. SWD was blown away by WP stacked with Super Rugby players, in my opinion bookies reading to much into that.
Zimbabwe vs Sharks XV -29.5 Empty your bank account here gents. Zimbabwe will get 60 against the Sharks. Even Border amateurs made light work of them.

I see WSB started suspending some lines again and other moving. So need to be quick.

Not a bad morning so will follow your advice

Sharks – 34.5 @ 1.83 (Unibet)
SWD + 1.5 @ 1.72 (Bwin)
FS -3.5 @ 1.82 (Unibet)
FS @ 1.53 (Unibet)

Edit : just cashed out the SWD +1.5 as found SWD +7.5 @ 1.83

Burger Odendaal has been withdrawn, Dylan Sage in starting team.

Gallagher Premiership

Quins vs Tigers - over 41.5 @ 1.80 (Bwin)

Slight risk of rain - Quins might want to win the bonus point for a play-off spot and Tigers need desperately 2 points in 2 games to stay in the Premierhsip

bradie82 wrote: Gallagher Premiership

Quins vs Tigers - over 41.5 @ 1.80 (Bwin)

Slight risk of rain - Quins might want to win the bonus point for a play-off spot and Tigers need desperately 2 points in 2 games to stay in the Premierhsip

Thanks Bradie, I've taken the same at Skybet @ 1.83

Took some Quins -9 yesterday too, if they can play for 80 mins they'll run all over the Tigers

Brad Breath wrote:

bradie82 wrote: Gallagher Premiership

Quins vs Tigers - over 41.5 @ 1.80 (Bwin)

Slight risk of rain - Quins might want to win the bonus point for a play-off spot and Tigers need desperately 2 points in 2 games to stay in the Premierhsip

Thanks Bradie, I've taken the same at Skybet @ 1.83

Took some Quins -9 yesterday too, if they can play for 80 mins they'll run all over the Tigers

That overs seems like a really good bet. Any thought on a double with the Bristol Sale for the overs in both games? It's silly season when it comes to score lines and 43 seems very low. Unless i'm missing something.

Enjoyed the Handicap show once again and nice to see Paul on the show . Thanks for the reference regarding the Stormers game ...LOL.

I was working this morning , liked the Sharks plus buy didn't want to get involved and then backed the Wolves plus 11.5 . THought I'd arrived for the funeral as the cards flowed like champagne on the Formula 1 circuit , somehow the bet arrived so I'll take it . But I do feel for the Reds punters as they really should have won that by 15 or more considering the cards dished out to the visitors....

The sharks were great value it seems and the plus punters were never in doubt . AS pointed out by Hanrick , Mitch Hunt struggled to get any forward momentum .

Tomorrow morning , I'm leaning towards the Rebels plus , they're an annoying team but I do feel their style of play could prove tricky for the hosts who had a great game last weekend. It's a day time kick off , there should be points , but I do fancy the best plus .

Next up the NZ derby , everything points towards the hosts , The chiefs are crap and they are toothless on attack , the highlanders are looking strong again, however i keep getting drawn back to the chiefs plus albeit for a modest bet .

Sadly i missed the brumbies plus earlier in the week, the game is well priced now and it potentially appears to be a flip of the coin. the blues have a strong bench and their players look stronger and better than the hosts , but for me i'll be going for the brumbies but only due the Blue's woeful away form.

The bulls are all the rage on the forum and probably rightly so . They really should prove too strong for an average waratahs side coached by an average darryl gibson , but again these are the bulls , a side not to be trusted .
I'm still leaning towards a Bulls win on the cap, but also feel I could be tempted by an unders call if it's a high quote in the early 50's.

The Jags feature again in the last match of the weekend . The cap looks well set and this really could go either way , I'll be looking at an unders play.

shergar86 wrote:

Brad Breath wrote:

bradie82 wrote: Gallagher Premiership

Quins vs Tigers - over 41.5 @ 1.80 (Bwin)

Slight risk of rain - Quins might want to win the bonus point for a play-off spot and Tigers need desperately 2 points in 2 games to stay in the Premierhsip

Thanks Bradie, I've taken the same at Skybet @ 1.83

Took some Quins -9 yesterday too, if they can play for 80 mins they'll run all over the Tigers

That overs seems like a really good bet. Any thought on a double with the Bristol Sale for the overs in both games? It's silly season when it comes to score lines and 43 seems very low. Unless i'm missing something.

Agree in principle the over would be good but moved from 43.5 to 40.5/41.5 so wonder why
It was expected to rain tonight in Bristol which is not the case but will wait a bit longer and gets image before taking anything
Here in London its been drizzling slightly but nothing major so far - if heavy rain comes i ll post an update here

bradie82 wrote:

shergar86 wrote:

Brad Breath wrote:

bradie82 wrote: Gallagher Premiership

Quins vs Tigers - over 41.5 @ 1.80 (Bwin)

Slight risk of rain - Quins might want to win the bonus point for a play-off spot and Tigers need desperately 2 points in 2 games to stay in the Premierhsip

Thanks Bradie, I've taken the same at Skybet @ 1.83

Took some Quins -9 yesterday too, if they can play for 80 mins they'll run all over the Tigers

That overs seems like a really good bet. Any thought on a double with the Bristol Sale for the overs in both games? It's silly season when it comes to score lines and 43 seems very low. Unless i'm missing something.

Agree in principle the over would be good but moved from 43.5 to 40.5/41.5 so wonder why
It was expected to rain tonight in Bristol which is not the case but will wait a bit longer and gets image before taking anything
Here in London its been drizzling slightly but nothing major so far - if heavy rain comes i ll post an update here

Of the 20 Friday night fixtures that have been on this year in the premiership 14 have gone above 42.5 points.
Of the 20 fixtures Leicester have had this year 14 have gone above 42.5 points.
Of the 20 fixtures Quins have had this year 11 have gone above 42.5 points.
I'll await a further update on the weather before I plough into on the overs but these are definitely persuading me to go for it.

Over 41.5 @ 1.80 @ Bristol as I see the odd going up and the forecast is now dry

An hour before the game - its been raining for 10 minutes but its not now dry - obviously humid and a very light wind - guess the best is to wait for the video few minutes before the game starts but personally, except if heavy rain on the way, I won t cashout

mackem wrote: The Handicap, live on Thursday 2nd May from 21:00

If you wish to comment on the show whilst it’s live, please use this link to our Youtube channel

Guys you need to let Paul Drivingmaul know he is missing out on the handicap betting. I've compared his bru picks to bet365 handicaps for the season and he has called 43 from 73 so far at 59% he would have been making profit. Which let's face it has not been easy this season!

1 out of 2 tonight
Extremely lucky on the Quins game with a try in the additional time but on the other game, 40 points with the 3 penalties missed between 77” and 81” with the last one hitting the post
Newcastle now need 2 win bonus try so the over tries team and match tomorrow @ gloucester could be interesting

Newcastle over 1.5 tries @ 1.5
Canes to score a try before 20” @ 1.53

Rebels over 22.5 points at 10/11

Plus 14.5 rebel at 7/10

Hurricanes -10 @ 1.91

First points Canes Try 12/10
Canes HT -5.5 9/10
Canes win 11-20 3/1

Highlanders vs Chiefs

A try scored before 15” @ 1.60

Brad Breath wrote: Hurricanes -10 @ 1.91

Can't believe that lost!? Well done Rebels plus backers.

Landers -9 and later Bulls -6, both placed earlier in the week.

Landers over 31.5 points at 10/11

So here I sit, Saturday morning, all my Friday bets ( went down the drain - so not a very happy chappie. I'm on the Hurricanes -11.5. They rush out to a 14-0 lead in the first 5 minutes. I power-up my laptop, go in-play, and start feeding the Hurricanes @ -26.5: blam, another try 21-0 now. Feed, feed, feed, @ -28.5. Feed feed feed... 'At last, I'm gonna win something...'
Next thing is John Plumbtree takes a phone call from Sunbet. I'm reading his lips as he talks on the phone "What ? You want me to throw the game ? Ohh, just stop scoring and let the Rebels get some points on the board ? Ok, got it, I'll take care of it, nice chatting to you, bye.." And there goes all of my hard earned money, down the sh1tter. And at last the penny drops: This betting sh1t is spoiling rugby for me, and I'm done with it. I'll go join Oracle in the bar and spend my loot buying drinks for people instead. I've just put the remainder of my money on the Highlanders. So suggest you guys load-up on Chiefs... I'm not really a sore loser, just hate being stolen from - Grrr

Highlanders over 30.5 @ 17/20

So here I sit, Saturday morning, all my Friday bets ( went down the drain - so not a very happy chappie. I'm on the Hurricanes -11.5. They rush out to a 14-0 lead in the first 5 minutes. I power-up my laptop, go in-play, and start feeding the Hurricanes @ -26.5: blam, another try 21-0 now. Feed, feed, feed, @ -28.5. Feed feed feed... 'At last, I'm gonna win something...'
Next thing is John Plumbtree takes a phone call from Sunbet. I'm reading his lips as he talks on the phone "What ? You want me to throw the game ? Ohh, just stop scoring and let the Rebels get some points on the board ? Ok, got it, I'll take care of it, nice chatting to you, bye.." And there goes all of my hard earned money, down the sh1tter. And at last the penny drops: This betting sh1t is spoiling rugby for me, and I'm done with it. I'll go join Oracle in the bar and spend my loot buying drinks for people instead. I've just put the remainder of my money on the Highlanders. So suggest you guys load-up on Chiefs... I'm not really a sore loser, just hate being stolen from - Grrr


If its any consolation I had canes over 32.5 that I placed last nyt. At 26-0 up I thought my bet would land before halftime so stopped watching a quickly went to the shops. Came back log into my account expecting to see a healthy acc balance so that i can climb into the landers match. N to my astonishment the bet lost.

How u can only score 3 points in 65 minutes of rugby baffles me, must of been that phone call from sunbet ha ha ha ha. With all that said though my advice would be don't throw in the towel just yet still plenty of rugby to bet on n make some beer money.

Landers points sneaks in.

Blues to win 2nd half just under evens (dnb).

Much better bench and brumbies travel could hurt them late.

Brumbies v Blues
Try before 15” @ 1.60
I will keep going with those bets as the H are too complicated this season

bradie82 wrote: Brumbies v Blues
Try before 15” @ 1.60
I will keep going with those bets as the H are too complicated this season

Putting the profit on Bulls -32.5 @ 1.91

Bulls over 29.5 @ 17/20

bradie82 wrote: Newcastle over 1.5 tries @ 1.5

Adding newcastle over 16.5 @ 1.82 (Unibet)
Over 6.5 tries @ 1.80 (Skybet)

Glou is qualified for the semi finals, Newcastle needs a win with bonus point, could be a high scoring game with a sunny and slightly windy forecast

still believe the bulls cant be trusted , they should win but i'll be looking at best unders in the match, hoping for 53.5 but have seen only 52.5 , might take some 54 or 55 at lessor prices.

EP to beat SWD @ 9/10

Market: Full-time Try Handicap
Selection: Blue Bulls -1.5
Odds: @ 2.18 (Betway)

Currently Bulls are leading the tries 2 to 1. I back the Bulls to score more tries than the Waratahs in the 2nd half, as they will be going for the bonus point try and altitude will catch up with the Tahs. Will place this bet when Bulls are 1st in possession in the Waratahs half.