Cycling : The Tour de France

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2 months 1 week ago #51 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
An absolute beast - that stage went very differently to what I expected - I often fall into the trap ahead of a big stage like they have on the cards tomorrow.

Stage 6 preview will be up in the morning as have some poker to play tonight

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2 months 1 week ago #52 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
I'm with Pinot on Thursday, home town boy, looks in good shape, 7/1 to win the stage and covering stake with a top 3. Enjoy, should be a great stage

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 months 1 week ago #53 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Took a knock yesterday and not getting too involved in this one but will follow with

1 unit Pinot win 7/1WSB
1 unit Pinot top 3 17/10 at Sunbet

Early morning video after a late night poker session and before an early meeting below


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2 months 1 week ago #54 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Stage 6
Will see your Pinot and raise you
Win
Woods @ 26/1
1-3
Mas @ 12/1
Match Bet Double
Mas over Landa into
Woods over Valverde @ 11/2

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2 months 1 week ago #55 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
With 140km left
Ciccone @ 12/1

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2 months 1 week ago #56 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Sprint today and no strong feeling but have to have an interest

1 unit Kristoff top 3 12/5 at WSB


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2 months 1 week ago #57 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Laptop has crashed and live in sticks - replacement due late next week so only occasional bets for a week. Could not pick a winner from a 14 man break yesterday so probably just as well. Borrowing one from Hanrick - Sprint stage The Lab Rat is back
Ewan at 5/1

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2 months 1 week ago #58 by Proudwolf
Replied by Proudwolf on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Hi guys. Back from my trip and just here to boast a bit.

We were at the Atomium last monday and did Brussels the wednesday. What a thrill to see them put up the banners and stages and media trucks for the Tour and then watch the start on the television.
Glad we got out before things picked up though,because those places are crazy enough as it is. :P

Dont know if i'll get onto some TDF betting,but damn glad i'm back for the Open next week.
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2 months 1 week ago #59 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Stage 8 Nils Politt at 50/1 my main pick. Reckon this guy goes close over one of these next few stages although hoping his great effort on Stage 6 didn't take too much out of him. Mohoric the back up at 33/1

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2 months 1 week ago #60 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Will follow Chris on Politt now 66/1 at Sunbet

0.5 units Politt 66/1 Sunbet
0.5 units Fraile 40/1 Hollywood
0.5 unit Naesen 50/1 Hollywood
0.5 unit Vuillermoz 200/1 Hollywood
0.5 unit Bilbao 80/1 Sunbet

Here is the preview


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2 months 1 week ago - 2 months 1 week ago #61 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Just seen Bilbao also 200/1 at Holly's so getting my half unit down there

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Last edit: 2 months 1 week ago by Brent Graham.

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2 months 1 week ago #62 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
weekends will be my only interest on TDF as can’t follow much during week, so today -

Barguil 66/1
Fraile 40/1
Sanchez Gil 66/1
Lutsenko 40/1

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2 months 1 week ago #63 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Going for a 2 unit 18/10 Matchbet double at Sunbet

Schachmann/Lutsenko 7/10 - I don't think Astana rider gets into the break but expect Shachmann to - if they both make it (or if neither do) it could go either way

Benoot/Wellens 13/20 - feel Benoot has targeted this stage and while Wellens may be in break for KOM points he has started to look tired.

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2 months 1 week ago #64 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
This was a very lazy Sunbet punt on their match bet markets so please someone tell me if there’s a duff one in below but here u go -

6/1 acca -

Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Alaphilippe, Julian (Alaphilippe, Julian - Meurisse, Xandro)
1.22

Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Wellens, Tim (Wellens, Tim - De Gendt, Thomas)
1.45

Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Van Aert, Wout (Van Aert, Wout - Trentin, Matteo)
1.50

Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Pinot, Thibaut (Pinot, Thibaut - Yates, Adam)
1.50

Stage 8 (Tour de France 2019)
Cycling
Tour de France
Stages
13 Jul 2019 11:25
Best finishing position
Benoot, Tiesj (Benoot, Tiesj - Herrada, Jesus)
1.55

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2 months 1 week ago #65 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
No comment on duff bets other then all those I've picked thus far. Going to try and pick in play again but going upfront with smalls on
De Marchi @ 43/1
Meurisse @ 53/1
Clarke @ 85/1
Kelderman @ 150/1 (Also taking top 3)

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2 months 1 week ago #66 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
5 units Yellow Jersey changes hands 11/10 Sunbet

Added 0.5 u Villermouz top 3 at 40/1

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2 months 1 week ago - 2 months 1 week ago #67 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Nice preview Brent.

This stage has break written all over it but the race is actually in a very interesting place right now. Reckon we could see a real battle for the break as I doubt the real GC guys will be keen on giving Ala P or Ciccone much more time and as such they won't be allowed into a break. Trek and QS in turn are solid teams and they won't be letting anyone who could threaten yellow get away. As such things could get really fun at the start and ito predicting the winner I reckon it should be from a bunch of guys well out of the overall running.

Looking at the overall by my reasoning I could thus start picking winners from Vuillermoz who is around the 30th position. (I also agree that Ag2R will have to let their lads off the leash so a nice pick there BG). WVA, Schachmann, Mohoric and Benoot all deserve to be high up on the boards for mind. But this is the type of stage where I like to go for a few bigger priced guys.

I reckon you need to almost TT away from your fellow breakaways up or down one of the climbs or alternatively have the legs to stay with them over all the climbing and then have the pace and power to beat them to the line. So here goes:

Michael Valgren @ 44/1 (Nothing like having an Amstel Gold Race winner in your ranks. Take him to the finish at your peril).

LLS @ 80/1 (Attack up a climb and then pull away on the descent).

Rohan Dennis @ 129/1 (No one will have to remain on Nibali duty any longer and I'm hoping RD won't just be waiting for the ITT for the next week - stretch your legs son!)

Simon Geschke @ 160/1(GVA might save the powder for tomorrow and Geschke could out-climb his break partners).

Gorka Izagirre @ 199/1 (Same as LLS)

Tom Skuijns @ 259/1 (Trek might look to lessen the pressure on themselves by stashing someone in the break)

Ivan Garcia Cortina @ 269/1(Same as Dennis - Bahrain to chase stages)

Twitter: @HDiemont
Last edit: 2 months 1 week ago by Couch Critic.
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2 months 1 week ago #68 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
0.5u Lutsenko in running at 100/1

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2 months 1 week ago #69 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
and a lazy half unit Bettiol 33/1 with 18 to go

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2 months 1 week ago #70 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
What a ride by De Gendt

A very enjoyable tour so far but no sign of profits at this point (-13 units at this point). Stage 9 looks another tough one to call - here are my stage win bets and once again going with some big prices

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0.5 u Bettiol 50/1 Sunbet
0.5u Politt 66/1 Sunbet
0.5u Vuillermoz 200/1 WSB
0.5 u Vuillermoz Top 3 40/1 WSB
0.5u Skujins 100/1 Sunbet

adding 2 units Matthews/Sagan 15/0 WSB

May add a match bet or 2 - video preview below


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2 months 1 week ago #71 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Wasted some ammo today...

Will add more tomorrow but for now I have always been a Vuillermoz fan so am following him without doubt on Bastille Day. Then also been seriously impressed with Xandro Meurisse.
Meurisse to win @ 124/1 & Top 3 @ 25/1

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2 months 1 week ago #72 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
What a ride from TdG, needless to say had nothing on him :)

As Brent mentioned giving Politt another chance on Sunday, 80/1 now with WSB. Then adding Eddie Bos at 33/1, GvA at 22/1

Finally Rui Costa at 40/1. Costa has been on the attack so appears to have license from his team to try and pick up a stage and he has also been known to miss a turn or 2 at the front so if he is there at business end that tactic could come in handy. :cheer:

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2 months 1 week ago #73 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Bastille Day so have to take the obvious french lad in yellow and I have also been impressed by Meurisse.
Win
Alaphilippe @ 16/1
Calmejane @ 50/1
and e/w
Meurisse @ 100/1

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2 months 1 week ago #74 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Adding Stuyven @ 48/1
LLS (again) @ 55/1
Naesen @ 63/1

Twitter: @HDiemont

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2 months 1 week ago #75 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Books odds on break mostly OK except for
T Martin @ 25/1
so will have some of that
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2 months 6 days ago #76 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
3 of my guys tried but all missed it - need an interest and taken 9/1!WVA for a unit

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2 months 6 days ago #77 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
He isn't in the break Brent...

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2 months 6 days ago #78 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
LOL that was a unit wasted - I wasn't watching but checked betting and saw him 9/1 and assumed he was there - 30 minutes later I switched on to find my money was down the drain. No idea why he was 9/1

Great win Impey

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2 months 6 days ago #79 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
I thought today was a rest day, nearly got caught out

This finish is not 100% straight forward and the Matthews podium could be some value

1 unit Matthews podium at 5/1 WSB

Here is the video


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2 months 6 days ago #80 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Thanks Brent, was going to back Ewan today but was hoping for a bigger price, will follow with Matthews top 3

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 months 6 days ago #81 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Time to give up on Ewan
e/w
Kristoff @ 14/1
Match Bet
Matthews over Colbrelli @ 11/10

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2 months 6 days ago #82 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Just in case

0.5u e/w Polltt at 159/1 Betx

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2 months 6 days ago #83 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
2 for me today.

Calemajne @ 100/1
Griepel @ 125/1

Know Griepel has been out of form but he is still quick and with his experience might pop up. And can't get hurt at those odds.

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2 months 5 days ago #84 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
A pleasure to be joined by Will Newton and Couch Critic for this rest day wrap up


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2 months 5 days ago #85 by Matador
Replied by Matador on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Guys perhaps a stupid question but reasons why Quintana's odds have been cut from 16/1 to 9/1?

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2 months 5 days ago #86 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Hi Matador - todays stage saw cross winds and some of the other contenders including his co-leader Landa lost time - he looks the most likely threat to INEOS now

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2 months 4 days ago #87 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Stage 11 for the sprinters and no significant cross winds forecast

2 units Groenewegen win at 16/10 WSB*

*Money back in free bets if he finishes 2nd

5 unit Matthews Green Jersey (without Sagan) 5/6 at WSB - see video for reasoning

Going to look at KOM tonight and will post any bets


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2 months 4 days ago #88 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Have yet to pick a sprint stage winner. Will let the break form and see if I can get any odds better then 9/4 on Viviani. Shorter stage should suit him.
Match bet
Matthews over Colbrelli into
Naesen over Bettiol @ 22/10

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2 months 3 days ago #89 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
That Matthews pick looks an absolute disaster - guy decided to turn into a lead out specialist

Money back for Groenewegen at least but well behind in the tour now

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2 months 3 days ago #90 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Really looking forward to tomorrow and the weekend. Stage 12 plays:
Dylan Teuns @ 30/1
Fraile @ 53 /1
Ben King @ 71/1
Mohoric @ 75/1
Gorka Izagirre @ 140/1

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2 months 3 days ago #91 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Stage 12, short list comprised of about 50 riders :)

Chopped it down to these 3.

Tiesj Benoot - 22/1, think he could still be Lotto's best hope for KoM though they not short of options.
Wilco Kelderman 50/1 - Sunweb trying anything they can for a stage win now, way back on GC so a breakaway contender
Marc Soler 40/1 - Thinking Movi will keep Ineos on their toes with a man up the road but in the end won't chase break down so he could be allowed to go for a stage, hoping Soler is the man though they have other candidates.

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 months 3 days ago #92 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Like your thinking Chris, this is a really tough stage to pick a winner and I really could use one going into the mountains

0.5 units on
Keldermann 50/1
Bilbao 45/1 Betx (same reasoning as Soler)
Soler 80/1 Sunbet
Costa 20/1 Sunbet
and @insidepeloton96 pick GVA at 100/1

Video preview below


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2 months 3 days ago #93 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Going for a PW style bet today
De Gendt @ 23/1
Schachmann @ 45/1
Kelderman @ 63/1
Soler @ 69/1
Izagirre @ 129/1
Geschke @ 269/1
Berhane @ 639/1

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2 months 2 days ago #94 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
I may be missing something big time and on current form probably am. I can't have Van Art at those odds considering it's the first Grand tour he is riding and having 12 days of riding.

I like the following 2 at decent odds.
Lampert @ 25/1
Haga @ 25/1

And both to place at 4/1

I may be off the mark but this will at least give me an interest.

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2 months 2 days ago #95 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Too short for me as well KT
e/w
Haga @ 32/1

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2 months 2 days ago #96 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Thanks Vann. Can I ask where you got the 32/1. That is brilliant for Haga.

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2 months 2 days ago #97 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : The Tour de France

kt6747 wrote: Thanks Vann. Can I ask where you got the 32/1. That is brilliant for Haga.


Sportsbet - Usually the same on the shorter odds but from around the over 10/1 they have better prices than most.

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2 months 2 days ago #98 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Bilbao 2nd - hopefully a sign that I am returning to form

Vann hope you can continue your recent ITT form!

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2 months 2 days ago #99 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling : The Tour de France

The Vann wrote:

kt6747 wrote: Thanks Vann. Can I ask where you got the 32/1. That is brilliant for Haga.


Sportsbet - Usually the same on the shorter odds but from around the over 10/1 they have better prices than most.


Thanks Vann. The one site where I am limited. Will stick with the 25/1.

Hope you habe a good one.

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2 months 2 days ago #100 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : The Tour de France
Not a massive fan of the ITT but here goes

2 units Thomas win at 11/4 WSB - money back for 2nd and reasoning in video

I may post a match bet or 2 later


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