Rugby World Cup - Pool matches 20-29 September, Pro 14 + other

Italy V Canada

Italy is running out a B squad I count only 2 in the starting lineup that started last against Namibia. Italy shut it down in the 44 minute in that game as soon as the bonus point was locked up. I expect a similar tactic Vs Canada not confident to back Canada in the + its probably about right but Ill have a light play on Canada Over 15.5 points. There should be opportunities for Canada in the second half with what is likely be an Italy C team closing out the game.

Southland +10.5 1st half handicap onto Canada over 1.5 tries onto under 59.5 points in England vs USA game at 6.22/1

1st try before 11 mins 30 secs in the Italy Canada game @ 8/10

can't watch or follow any of todays games so for an interest -

Eng v USA
Man of match Ruaridh McConnochie @ 16/1

makes his debut, should get a full game and has bags of pace.

God I cannot stand Nigel Owens....

bradie82 wrote: At least 1 try in each 20 minutes period ENG vs USA x Over 1.5 tries in each half ITA vs CAN @ 2.03
At Least 1 converted try in each 20 minutes period on both game @ 7

Gutted as Missing 1 converted try in the Italy vs Canada so will keep going with those funky bets

Have taken Cheetahs outright at 6/10 and -3.5 handicap at 9.5/10 (pity I missed out on the outright at 8/10 yesterday!), as well as Mr Joe Dweba anytime at 2.62.

The Cheetahs rolling thunder proved very powerful in the CC, and I expect them to use it again tomorrow night in Bloem (where conditions look great btw).

WRT the RWC:

All 3 games on Saturday are set to be one-sided. Furthermore, all 3 teams have great rolling mauls too... So I have taken the following:

Julian Montoya anytime try scorer vs Tonga @2.25 (he will be starting and most likely play 60 mins. Argies need a big win and their maul is a weapon)

Rory Best anytime try scorer vs Japan @3.5 (he will be starting and most likely play 60 mins due to playing a full game against Scotland. Ireland have an awesome pack and should dominate at maul time. Also, 3.5 for a starting hooker is way too high considering how much Ireland are than Japan)

Bongi Mbonambi anytime try scorer vs Namibia @1.5 (he will be starting and most likely play 60 mins and then Brits will move from 8 to hooker)

Schalk Brits anytime try scorer vs Namibia @2.3 (He'll be starting at 8 and then moving to hooker when Bongi goes off. He's a try scoring threat at any position.)

southpaw wrote:

hanrick wrote: Have taken Namibia +59.5 at 17/20 against Boks

Taken same bet @ slightly less odds @ 5/6. Full change to Boks side, I think this cap comes in by about 7 points.

I've got cold feet on this bet and have closed out via SA -59 @ evens. I haven't listened to hear what the views were on the show tonight, will take a look tomorrow. But the England result with a B side vs a better USA team has me a bit concerned. The weather looks like it will just about hold for Boks/Namibia, maybe some rain late in game.

But just not prepared to risk it as simply no nothing about this Namibian B team. Worried they get hammered in scrums and get a yellow or 2 and then the floodgates open.

NON RWC BET - First leg Tasman tonight

Bay of Plenty
Head To Head
Bay of Plenty v Hawkes Bay
@ 1.55

Cheetahs
(-5.5)
Points Start
Cheetahs v Glasgow Warriors
@ 1.92

Canterbury (-13.5)
Points Start (a)
Canterbury v Counties Manukau
@ 1.70

Tasman (-12.5)
Points Start (a)
Tasman v Auckland
@ 1.72

4 LEG MULTI
Combine all selected single bets
@ 8.70

My golden max bet of Georgia -16.5 vs Uruguay is on thin ice after they announced 12 changes. Will wait for Uruguay news before hedging. Disappointing.

BDub wrote: My golden max bet of Georgia -16.5 vs Uruguay is on thin ice after they announced 12 changes. Will wait for Uruguay news before hedging. Disappointing.

Only 2 changes for Uruguay. Don’t think Georgia are giving enough respect. Buying myself out of this bet.

at least 1 Yellow card to be given in each game Sat/Sun - works out to 17/2 acca (Sunbet). Fancy the refs to be hot on the rules this weekend.

Brent Graham wrote:

southpaw wrote: at least 1 Yellow card to be given in each game Sat/Sun - works out to 17/2 acca (Sunbet). Fancy the refs to be hot on the rules this weekend.

South does a red count or does it have to be a yellow? I like the bet

Given that books tend to offer red card as a seperate market. I'd imagine Red card would be excluded. Would be great if they had a 'card to be issued' market though.

Bookie Basher wrote:

Brent Graham wrote:

southpaw wrote: at least 1 Yellow card to be given in each game Sat/Sun - works out to 17/2 acca (Sunbet). Fancy the refs to be hot on the rules this weekend.

South does a red count or does it have to be a yellow? I like the bet

Given that books tend to offer red card as a seperate market. I'd imagine Red card would be excluded. Would be great if they had a 'card to be issued' market though.

yes BB correct, red wouldn't count. But i just think in general refs have come under criticism for missing quite a bit so expecting in general stricter officiating this weekend.

And sorry i got price mixed up due to decimal display, it's just over 15/2.

Does anyone know how strong this Kings side is? I see Robbie Kempson is the coach. A few unknown names. Edging towards Cardiff at 1/1 here who look like they have some experience.

BDub wrote: Does anyone know how strong this Kings side is? I see Robbie Kempson is the coach. A few unknown names. Edging towards Cardiff at 1/1 here who look like they have some experience.

Looks moderately weak to me.

The market in Europe certainly seems to think so: I got some Cardiff +2 earlier, there has been a 10 point swing they are now -8!!

Hope you got on Cardiff at 1/1 BDub

Although I'm firmly in the Bok camp, Gbets have priced up either team to win to nil? NO @ 5/2.

An effective 5/2 on Nam to score a point is nice value!

Ulster over 25.5 @1.83
Leicester vs Exeter Over 42.5 @ 1.83

Cheetahs -4.5
Ulster win both halves
Over 42.5 Leicester Exeter

Treble @ 9/2

Japan vs Ireland
At least 1 try in each 20 min period @ 1.73
Really like that one

ThoughtonSport ,what's your thoughts on Georgia vs Uruguay match

shaft wrote: Although I'm firmly in the Bok camp, Gbets have priced up either team to win to nil? NO @ 5/2.

An effective 5/2 on Nam to score a point is nice value!

Sounds too good to be true as Namibia are odds on to score and the best price I've seen for SA to win to nil is 3/1. Have they inverted there yes and no prices for that market? Chance of a palbable error maybe with that one.

Just had a look and they go 1.28 for either team to win to nil and 3.5 for no, so does look like they've got the prices the wrong way round. Good look though, you never know!

Cheetahs v glasgow:

Penalty converted before 26 mins at 1.83 on bet365

Cheetahs v Glasgow:

First try in second half before 49.00 mins @ 1.83

Glasgow will be looking for tries while cheetahs will look to further pile on the misery

That should be the French squad agains USA

Ramos - Huget, Guitoune, Fickou, Raka - (o) Lopez, (m) Machenaud - Iturria, Picamoles, Camara- Gabrillagues, Le Roux - Setiano, Chat, Baille

If so, I can see France scoring as much as England with that backline

Argentina vs Tonga
Try before 13” @ 1.66 on 888

Ill continue to fade all the pacific nation teams I don't think coaching is up to scratch.

Argentina -11.5 HT
Argentina -26.5 FT
Argentina -39.5 FT
Argentina Over 5.5 tries

Your logic is correct in this instance, but Steve Jackson for Samoa is an exception. He prepares good defensive sides.

1st try in Argie game before 10 min 30 secs @ 8/10

harry_rag wrote:

shaft wrote: Although I'm firmly in the Bok camp, Gbets have priced up either team to win to nil? NO @ 5/2.

An effective 5/2 on Nam to score a point is nice value!

Sounds too good to be true as Namibia are odds on to score and the best price I've seen for SA to win to nil is 3/1. Have they inverted there yes and no prices for that market? Chance of a palbable error maybe with that one.

Just had a look and they go 1.28 for either team to win to nil and 3.5 for no, so does look like they've got the prices the wrong way round. Good look though, you never know!

100% right Harry. Bet was voided but was worth a shot though lol

Live Betting half time 28- 7 Argies

Sat, 28 Sep 20195:45pm
Points StartWorld Cup: Argentina v Tonga
Argentina (-34.5) @ 1.85

Thats only 14 point margin in second half!

Japan vs Ireland
Try before 13” @ 1.70

Confident on under 55.5 total points here and like Japan +21.5 aswell.

Japan over 7.5 1st half pt @ 11/10
Japan +21.5 @ 9/10
Man Match Tamura @ 16/1

Rory Best e/w @ 19 & 3.75

Ireland -20 @ evens

bradie82 wrote: Japan vs Ireland
Try before 13” @ 1.70

13”32

Man of match Nkosi 8/1

Elton Jantjies over 15.5 match points at 1.83

No reserve fly half on bench

Over 1.5 penalties converted in the kings v Cardiff game at odds of 3

Kings first scoring play: penalty @3.6

Kings game:
Added over 0.5 penalties in the first 10 minutes at 8

Munster over 3.5 tries @ 1.72
Munster over 28.5 @ 1.83

Great game to watch and betting result in Japan v Ireland, what a pool that now is.

Taking a couple units of profits onto an acca this afternoon -

Bath Worcester u50.5
Saints wasps u53.5
Irish Quins u55.5

Treble @ 6/1.