Super Rugby wk 4, 6 Nations Rd 3 and other rugby
- Brent Graham
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Overall a pretty decent weekend for me although I could have done with the Brumbies holding on but fortunately missed that game as well as the Sharks so never got as involved as I might have. Lions overs and Leinster minus the big wins.
Here are my opening Super Rugby handicaps for week 4
Crusaders -14.5 v Highlanders
Rebels +2.5 v Sharks (have a feeling I could be well out here)
Chiefs -14.5 v Brumbies
Reds -19.5 v Sunwolves
Stormers -6.5 v Jags
Bulls -2.5 v Blues
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- CLrugby
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I can’t imagine the Bulls being favorite against the Blues looking at the atrocious squad they have and the lack of offensive weapons.
Rest I am all aligned. Stormers H only if Cotze and Jantijes are back.
Brent Graham wrote: Getting this thread started early as have plans today and wont get a chance to do a video until later - in the video I will likely be able to compare to GGG opening lines
Overall a pretty decent weekend for me although I could have done with the Brumbies holding on but fortunately missed that game as well as the Sharks so never got as involved as I might have. Lions overs and Leinster minus the big wins.
Here are my opening Super Rugby handicaps for week 4
Crusaders -14.5 v Highlanders
Rebels +2.5 v Sharks (have a feeling I could be well out here)
Chiefs -14.5 v Brumbies
Reds -19.5 v Sunwolves
Stormers -6.5 v Jags
Bulls -2.5 v Blues
@Chris_Lacharge
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- Shazzadude
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Crusaders -17.5
Rebels +2.5
Chiefs -12.5
Reds -8.5
Stormers -4.5
Bulls -1.5
Kiwi living in Australia
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- threepeat
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Crusaders -14.5 (-15.5) v Highlanders
Rebels +2.5 (-1.5) v Sharks
Chiefs -14.5 (-13,5) v Brumbies
Reds -19.5 (-11.5) v Sunwolves
Stormers -6.5 (-3,5) v Jags
Bulls -2.5 (+1.5) v Blues
3P early bets - Gatland Chiefs to cover the -13.5 in a canter. Traveling back from Japan but left behind a trio of AB power in Hamilton. Angry Reds to cover the -11.5 after last weeks penalty count! Sharks touring well, taking the undedog +1.5, while it lasts. Cheers
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- mackem
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- Brad Breath
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Reds -12.5, they must be fuming after Saturday.
Stormers -3.5, no way the Jaguares will get the same penalty count and if Jantjies and Coetzee are fit I can see this cap going out beyond 7.
Bulls +1.5, Bulls are a different team at home and they should outkick, outmuscle the Blues and get their first win of the year.
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- CLrugby
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I took a very simple Reds/Chiefs/Crusaders @1.70 to start with, then like everyone the Sharks +1.5 is a must grab.
I think the Chiefs will trash the Brumbies as well and does someone have reliable info on Jantijes and Cotze? In my opinion they should both be starting as it was nothing serious. If they both start Jaguares wont have enough to handle the Stormtroopers
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- Brent Graham
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- TheBettingStig
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Crusaders minus 14.5 v Highlanders
Sharks win v Rebels
Chiefs minus 13.5 v Brumbies
Reds minus 12.5 v Sunwolves
Stormers minus 3.5 v Jaguares
Bulls plus 1.5 v Blues
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- southpaw
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If pushed for a pick now i think Jags + 5.5 would be my one, only if Jantjies still out as he's a massive player for Stormers.
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- threepeat
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"17 All to the Sharks"
Brent Graham on "Use it or lose it"
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- Brent Graham
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threepeat wrote: Rugby Funny / Quote of the week so far.
"17 All to the Sharks"
Brent Graham on "Use it or lose it"
Yes that was a classic - shows you how us handicap punters think - the Sharks had been trailing and in my eyes when they pulled level they were winning
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- The Vann
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Chiefs -14.5 @ evens
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- mackem
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2 units, Wales win by 1-10 points inclusive 2/1 BetXChange
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- TheBettingStig
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Sale minus 10.5 v Leicester
Saracens minus 2.5 v Wasps
Bath minus 4.5 v Harlequins
London Irish plus 2.5 v Gloucester
Bristol minus 9.5 v Worcester
Exeter minus 9.5 v Northampton
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Six-Nations-Rugby/e...betting-preview.html
2 units, England to win by 1-12 points at 14/10 Sportingbet
1 unit Will there be a drop goal? (yes) at 18/10 WSB
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- Brent Graham
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Lads don't miss THE HANDICAP live tonight at 21h00 where I will be joined by a star studded panel including Hanrick, The Conductor, Pierrebal and The Betting Stig
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Game at AFL ground, new for both sides, it's a match where total points or Sharks points overs will be my main focus, afternoon kick-off, conditions forecast to be ok.
But for now with cap around 5 the 1-12 is generally my rule of thumb play -
Sharks 1-12 @ 18/10
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- southpaw
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Game at AFL ground, new for both sides, it's a match where total points or Sharks points overs will be my main focus, afternoon kick-off, conditions forecast to be ok.
But for now with cap around 5 the 1-12 is generally my rule of thumb play -
Sharks 1-12 @ 18/10
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- CLrugby
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Tough week I really don't like taking big minuses so bigger focus on points and in running bets for me . With 3 home teams having big caps ill be looking for a 10 point rule play. Crusaders discipline has been poor they have conceded 37 penalties averaging more than 12 per game which is the most in the competition. But their defense has been excellent conceding just 19 points per game. So all those
penalties are at the right end of the field. Ill take Highlanders under 17.5 here just missed 18.5 but its still cover for 2 converted tries and a penalty.
Other than that waiting on points quotes to come out but ill probably look to target Sharks overs.
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- Brent Graham
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We were lucky to get 38 minutes of The Conductor as his load shedding was due at 21h00 - we had just been talking about the guy who flicks the switch falling asleep when this happened
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- Brent Graham
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- Pierrebal
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Added some Crusaders over 42 now, they look in the mood, and its only their own composure that can stop them.
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- RuggaBugga
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Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- bradie82
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So despite the rain, I will give a go at Sale to get a bonus point @ 2.20 as I reckon they will target it
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- southpaw
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Leicester over 10.5 @ 1.87
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: Met office suggests rain will stop 8pm at Sale -
Leicester over 10.5 @ 1.87
Closed out bet in running for all square, the rugby on display hurting my eyes and even if line around 12.5 at time there’s better rugby to enjoy tomorrow.
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- bradie82
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Over 4.5 penalties scored @ 1.83
A penalty scored in the first 10 min @ 1.90
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- R3V3R3NT_
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R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Bit of a rain bomb just hit Auckland and it is heading straight for Hamilton. It may pass through before game time but it looks like it will be a wet ball to kick of at least.
Yeah also just looked and it should have cleared by 7pm.
Brumbies Under 17.5
I think they will be defending for a lot of this game.
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- threepeat
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Zambusta wrote:
R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Bit of a rain bomb just hit Auckland and it is heading straight for Hamilton. It may pass through before game time but it looks like it will be a wet ball to kick of at least.
Yeah also just looked and it should have cleared by 7pm.
Brumbies Under 17.5
I think they will be defending for a lot of this game.
Have to agree Brumbies Under 17.5 @ $1.87 (tab nz) is golden.
On time All Black and former Chiefs fly half David Hill has a new role with the Chiefs - assistant coach specialising in working with the attacking backs, particular the kickers and halves as the strategy for in game kicking to evolve. As the Brumbies play a very forward oriented game, expect Round 4 Chiefs to roll out a new aerial game tonight. European flavour from Hill, Gats and Cruden to mix things up and keeping Brumbie score in single digits.
Also golden is Chiefs -6.5 Half time @ $1.78
Confirming early bet of Chiefs -13.5 sweet as, and would recommend more at current -14.5 (went out to -16.5 with mump scare).
Top of the Aussie Table Brumbies v Top of NZ Table Chiefs (frankly not much press interest in the game). A no contest, Brumbies could not beat cellar dweller Landers last week with home advantage. Cow Bells will be ringing 20+ points win! No rain @ 7 Cheers 3P
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- R3V3R3NT_
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Struggling to get a read on the Sharks/Rebels Sharks+2.5 in -5.5 is a big swing across two key numbers. The Sharks lineout is statistically the worst in the competition retaining just 72% of their own throws. Rebels by contrast have one of the best at 90% (best being Sunwolves at 92%). Thats going to be exploited by the Rebels and I cant see either side running away with it. Sharks 1-12 maybe the play here.
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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1st try Sautia 8/1
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- southpaw
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Stormers over 12.5 1st half pts @ 8/10
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- southpaw
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Over 46.5 pts @ 8/10
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- Brad Breath
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Wales -3 2nd half cap @ 1.91 (France have faded badly in both their games - Wales one of the fittest teams about)
And an interest treble on the 6N favourites all winning their games by 1-12
(Scotland, Wales, Ireland) @ 18s
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- Pierrebal
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Adding over 4 penalties 13/10 with these conditions
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