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- Super Rugby Unlocked, Mitre 10, Pro 14, Bledisloe + other rugby 5-11 Oct
Super Rugby Unlocked, Mitre 10, Pro 14, Bledisloe + other rugby 5-11 Oct
- ballaholic
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Thanks Ballaholic as you forecast we will make this into the rugby thread for the week. A crazy amount of rugby this weekend and on a personal note hoping to continue momentum and can't wait for the local comp
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Guessing this will get moved to the weekly rugby thread - but just a quick note that NZ TAB are out with Mitre 10 Cup odds:
Manawatu v Cantabs -19.5
Naki v Auckland -10.5
North Harbour v Hawkes bay +3.5
Welly v Otago +15.5
Waikato v Counties +13.5
Tasman v BOP +15.5
Northland v Southland +7.5
Early bets for me so far North Harbour -3.5 and Auckland -10.5
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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I'm warming up to:
Taranaki +10.5
Northland -7.5
Tasman -15.5
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- The Thirteen
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- CLrugby
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I will keep it simple Northland + Waikato + Tasman @1.80 for me on money line.
@Chris_Lacharge
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- Quill
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I'm trying to find out news about Lyon vs Bordeaux to decide on a bet.
I found that Bordeaux will make 9 changes from their Challenge Cup match. Also Guido Petti to be in the squad (he was part of Jaguares in the Super Rugby days).
I don't know what the 9 changes mean, are they first team players coming in, or are they replacing first team players?
As for Lyon, they have 8 players returning to the team and 7 players out due to injuries or Covid. Same question here, are the 8 returning players from the first team or not?
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- bradie82
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Lyon brings back some players that were injured and especially in the backline - the team is quite strong but question mark on the fly half
Bordeaux makes some changes too, team slightly weakened vs Challenge Cup but they have their best scrum half / fly half on the picth.
I would say Lyon is a better team on paper, would reckon they should win by that should be a tight one
Personally going with over 43.5 @ 1.75
Weather is good and with the number of penalties whistled on every game, I can see that over landing
Hope that helps!
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- Quill
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Thank you.bradie82 wrote: Hey Quill, i ll try to give you a quick summary
Lyon brings back some players that were injured and especially in the backline - the team is quite strong but question mark on the fly half
Bordeaux makes some changes too, team slightly weakened vs Challenge Cup but they have their best scrum half / fly half on the picth.
I would say Lyon is a better team on paper, would reckon they should win by that should be a tight one
Personally going with over 43.5 @ 1.75
Weather is good and with the number of penalties whistled on every game, I can see that over landing
Hope that helps!
Following you on that over, plus Lyon team total over 24.5 @1.80, bet365.
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- Kitchen_theBuys
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- bradie82
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There is a lot of movement at the moment on the game - cap moved from 8.5 to 3.5 and now back to 5.5
I added Lyon on the board @ 1.60 and cap -3.5 @ 1.91 but think the 8.5 could be interesting in a small play (my 3 bets are small)
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- NicPack
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- Brent Graham
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Here are the handicaps at WSB - from Sunday I will do my own handicapping on the local games
Sharks -3.5 v Lions
Cheetahs -19.5 v Pumas
Bulls -17.5 v Pumas
Bledisloe
New Zraland -16.5 v Australia
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- Laraxwell
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Dragons -6.5 vs Zebre
Ulster 11/10 board
Scarlets 1/1 board
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- landrews77
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Wallabies +16,5 @ Evens (WSB)
All Blacks have for the past 3 seasons or more struggled at Wellington against the Springboks, Wallabies, Brittish and Irish lions and France.
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- hanrick
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landrews77 wrote: Golden bet : Bledislo Cup match
Wallabies +16,5 @ Evens (WSB)
All Blacks have for the past 3 seasons or more struggled at Wellington against the Springboks, Wallabies, Brittish and Irish lions and France.
Reckon we might be in the minority, but I'm also in the Aussie camp. I expect money for the All Blacks so holding off with my bet until later in the week.
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- landrews77
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Happy punting.
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- Bookie Basher
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Laraxwell wrote: I wonder why Bet 365 are so slow to field prices on SA rugby? I fear I'll miss that price on the Bulls
Already moved from -17.5 to -19.5 since posted here.
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- CLrugby
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ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Couple Pro14 plays from me:
Dragons -6.5 vs Zebre
Ulster 11/10 board
Scarlets 1/1 board
Fully with you on Dragons -6.5 but I am on the Ospreys side against Ulster. They have a very well balanced team this year and the new coaching staff is doing a good job. GL
@Chris_Lacharge
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- son_of_a_punt
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&
Bulls -18.5 at 9/10 v griquas (supabets)
Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Taking Manawatu +10.5 HT
Manawatu +21.5
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- Brent Graham
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Details on tonights Handicap show at 21h00 to follow - it is going to be packed
Word on the street is that Oracle will be doing some previews with the Stig as well as we will put a page up for those
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- Kirky
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Brent Graham wrote: Stig lines for the Mitre 10 Cup and Pro 14 are up #StigLines5-12Oct
Your and my numbers are near-as-dammit identical Stig, specially (all of) the Mitre 10 scores - Got me licking my lips for the action.
Hoping we can take a sjambok to them this week
Bring it on tonight guys - looking for that special overdue acca
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- Laraxwell
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Dragons have gone out to -12 from -9 this morning
Prices removed (Bet365) for Ospreys match as 2 Ulster players test positive. Further tests today and I guess then they will decide on the fixture.
Sad but looks like we have a stop start season ahead.
*Still no SA prices up on Bet 365 -and this is a firm that covers the Didi 10 in Georgia!
** Why are we calling a 12 team tournament the Pro14?
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Int-Rugby/new-zeala...betting-preview.html
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- Brent Graham
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It is live at 21h00 Click Here to watch on You Tube
Order of events:
1. Super Rugby Unlocked - Oracle and Hanrick
2. Mitre 10 Cup - Hanrick
3. Bledisloe Cup - Hanrick, Oracle, Dave
4. Pro 14 and Premiership - Dave
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- Brad Breath
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Northland -7 @ 1.91
North Harbour win @ 1.70
Waikato -13 @ 1.91 (Best bet)
Also smalls on Dragon -9 @ 1.91 in Pro 14
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- CLrugby
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@Chris_Lacharge
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- Brent Graham
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Here is the Podcast version of the show
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- mackem
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Unlocked and Bledisloe
goodforthegame.co.za/Oracle/oraclepedia-...to-11th-october.html
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- bradie82
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Canterbury under 40.5 @ 1.90
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- Quill
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Adding
Manawatu over 17.5 points @1.93, sportsbet.com.au
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- Kirky
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With all Gav's waitresses looking for boyfriends, nice to see Couch get some competition with his 'hookies'
Damm, if I wasn't so old, wrinkly and decrepit, I'd throw my hat into both rings - but don't think my thousand years of experience will get me to the post
Bring on the rugger now.. Cheers
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- mackem
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- CLrugby
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Brent Graham wrote: Thanks CL - managed to get that up on the show so plenty of punters climbing in no doubt
Here is the Podcast version of the show
Now down to 1.36 here so I guess we all have hammered it. Hope it’s not a classic trap but on paper it looks solid and NH lineup is as per the plan.
I have taken as well some Waikato -11.5 (manage to scrap that on alternative B365 H), in general bottom teams start fading away badly after 4-5 rounds and Molos will go for a BP here
@Chris_Lacharge
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- mackem
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- mackem
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- bradie82
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Forecast seems alright in Newport and with Zebre missing few players, I can see Dragons targeting a try bonus point tonight
Dragons over 28.5 @ 1.80
Dragons over 3.5 tries @ 1.90
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- southpaw
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Anyway glad to have watched the show on replay and seen Bradies post on Canterbury points, joined on the unders and glad to get off to a good start, albeit tentative stake. Thanks Bradie for the pick.
Onto tonight - Sharks over 25.5 pts - is tempting me - any Durbs locals think the rain might come with the Southerly?
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- Laraxwell
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Points line appears low at 44.5
Any local views on this, Weather etc?
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- Laraxwell
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Really enjoy what you have built and the varied output/contributions.
My preferred bet is a Rugby Union Accu on Alternative Handicap - often a painful bet, but I enjoy the ride.
Eg- Iast week, I was 12/12 but woke up to see that Tasman had burned me on the final leg.
A decent Sunday morning coffee later, and all was well with the World again.
Accu this week:
Dragons -5.5 AH
Exeter ML
Sharks ML
New Zealand HT/FT
North Harbour ML
Wellington ML
Waikato ML
Northland ML
Tasman -6.5 AH
Arizona Cardinals ML NFL
Rabbitohs ML NRL
Approx 15/1 on Bet 365
Best of Luck all
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- Chickendinner
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Maybe I’m swimming upstream, but I am in the Lions boat tonight. +8,5 available. So I’m taking some of that.
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- mackem
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- CLrugby
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Still on my Ospreys ML which was my early pick of the week and the lineups are not changing my mind especially with Madigan starting for Ulster. Dragons H-6.5 as another early pick.
Glasgow ML with small unit bet.
The rest is combo with the early Northland x Tasman x Waikato (And I also added Waikato H-11.5).
I also fancy Bath to hold the H+ against Exeter but will likely watch that one with a cold beer
GL everyone
@Chris_Lacharge
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- southpaw
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Here's hoping this is not a misread.
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- TheBettingStig
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Twitter @BettingStig
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- Kitchen_theBuys
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- Kitchen_theBuys
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- Kirky
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I now give 'the sure thing' a triple examination - and it's rewarded me for the trouble
Not because I'm smart, just sick and tired of being dumb
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- Kirky
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Whatever, I'll read about it tomorrow - had rugby in chunks for now.
Reality is, good honest British rugby will revive my fortunes again this weekend - Pro12 and Premiership.
Thinking I may stop placing bets on Mitre 5 rugby. Give NZ a wide berth from now on - they're a joke.
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Aussies +18.5 at 17/20
I'm a huge Dave Rennie fan and reckon the Wallabies keep it close.
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