Cycling : w/c 3 May - Giro d'Italia and Other
- Brent Graham
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Great win Nizzolo yesterday
Monster summit finish today - those last 3km I couldn't walk up - Bernal clear favourite and I think it will be GC battle
Got to try and beat him though
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- The Vann
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Have to fancy Bernal from a GC finish in the predicted poorer weather. His odds of 16/10 just do not do it for me. Watching Bouchard on that Vendrame stage I thought he looked tired so spending today's Bernal stake on
KOM
Bernal @ 3/1
Giro Stage 14
Win
Vanhoucke @ 33/1
Bardet @ 40/1
and a double
Bardet/Caruso - Carthy/Yates @ 34/10
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- Brent Graham
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Bernal a worthy fav though
Evenepoel, Remco (Winner)
Winner
16/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Hirt, Jan (Winner)
Winner
66/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Nieve, Mikel (Winner)
Winner
80/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
Bardet, Romain (Winner)
Winner
50/1
Stage 14 (Giro d'Italia 2021)
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- Brent Graham
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Interesting stage today - will Bora control it for Sagan? A big ask and more likely I think he gets in the break. If so he is vulnerable to late attack and would hope to have a teammate with him
I wouldn't be backing him at current prices and for me today
0.25u Arndt 100/1 and Fiorelli 100/1
0.5 unit Cavagna 25/1
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 15
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
de Bondt @ 80/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 250/1
Rivi @ 600/1
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- The Vann
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The Vann wrote: With you on the bookmaker quip Brent. My Nibali out rights bit the dust yesterday. Also not interested in those very short Sagan odds so going with
Giro Stage 15
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
de Bondt @ 80/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 250/1
Rivi @ 600/1
Found some Arndt at 150/1 so joining there.
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- The Vann
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Unless someone tries to jump Ineos I see the break staying today. Books have rather short odds on my picks but I just can't spot the 250/1 rider with a chance today.
Giro Stage 16
Win
Grosschartner @ 16/1
Bouwman @ 18/1
Lafay @ 50/1
Vanhoucke @ 80/1
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 16
e/w
Schmid @ 500/1
and taking a full cycling punt on
Carthy/Vlasov @ 23/20
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- The Vann
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The Vann wrote: After extensive research found some value near the bottom of the list.
Giro Stage 16
e/w
Schmid @ 500/1
and taking a full cycling punt on
Carthy/Vlasov @ 23/20
Stage has been shortened by 60km with 2 of the 4 climbs removed but the final descent stays - this virtually kills my match bet. Adding another dart that can make the shortened stage
Win
Bouchard @ 50/1
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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Vlasov sits 38 sec behind Carthy in 4th. In second is Caruso who is riding out of his skin so he may fade. Of the stages left its only the final climb on Stage 19 that may favor Carthy over Vlasov but Vlasov could pull 15-20sec on Stage 18 with that short climb before the end. By my calculations (consists of sucking left thumb) Vlasov has Carthy by 70-80 sec in the Stage 21 ITT.
Rest day stake heading to
Top 3 Finish
Vlasov @ 9/4
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- Brent Graham
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Then 1 unit Pedrero 14/1 and
0.5u on
Lafay 66/1
Vervaeke 60/1
FRankiny 250/1
This has been a tough Giro and and while my stakes are small if I had not been winning at rugby I would be under pressure.
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 17
Win
Grosschartner @ 50/1
Vanhoucke @ 66/1
e/w
Sepulveda @ 125/1
Carboni @ 200/1
and I feel Bardet is starting to look good
Bardet/Caruso @ 5/4
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- Brent Graham
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What a stage - Bernal came pretty close to cracking, what a pity we don't have a big mountain stage on Thursday
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- The Vann
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Hoping for the break to stay today
Giro Stage 18
Win
Bevin @ 25/1
e/w
Pellaud @ 125/1
Rivi @ 400/1
Marengo @ 500/1
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- Couch Critic
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Reckon Inoes as well as Bora will be happy to let a break go which is to their satisfaction.
Will throw in my man Mollema as I cant have him winning when I'm not on! (80/1)
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- The Vann
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- The Vann
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The Vann wrote: Would have to say the Bernal body language today was bad and the Ineos team ditched the team comp to give him as easy a day as possible. I have nowhere to lay a bet but if I did I would take a full strike on Bernal not to win. The only option we have is to pick Yates or Caruso to win - the problem here being Caruso is 62sec ahead and probably has Yates by around 35-45sec in the ITT so a tough call. I am going to drink on it for a while.
Giro Out Right
Bernal to Win - No - @ 5/2 at Sunnies
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 19
Win
Vanhoucke @ 80/1
e/w
Lafay @ 125/1
Hamilton @ 125/1
Sepulveda @ 200/1
and the match bet
Bardet/Foss @ 11/10
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 20
e/w
Sepulveda @ 125/1
Hamilton @ 200/1
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- kt6747
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I am going with my 2 darts
Bardet @ 66/1
Trantik @ 250/1
Hope one of us can celebrate today
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- Brent Graham
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Vlasov top 3 at 10/1 3 units on
He was 5th yesterday just 4 seconds off the top 3 and while his form has been in and out he is a proven climber and if the GC guys contest the stage as I suspect they will he must have a shot although believe he would battle to win
That being said 0.5u on each of the following from the break
Hirt 50/1
Pedrero 22/1
Vervaeke 80/1
Taaramae 150/1
Going to look at match bets now
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- Brent Graham
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Yates also not that stable and Almedia can play the tactical game
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- The Vann
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Giro Stage 21
Bevin/Tratnik @ 11/10
Foss/Almeida @ 12/10
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- Brent Graham
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Ganna should win this but agree he is too short to back and 2 bets for me today
3 units Foss/Almeida at 12/10 (thanks Vann) and
5 units Cavagna top 3 at 8/10
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- The Vann
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- The Vann
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Brent Graham wrote: The end of a very enjoyable, if not profitable Gir
5 units Cavagna top 3 at 8/10
If your rods held up through that Cavagna crash they are better then mine
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