Rugby Championship Rd 1, Currie Cup, NPC 11-15 August
- Brent Graham
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The Newsletter Best Bet over 56.5 in Griquas v Lions arrived comfortably - sign up here - bit.ly/bettingmail
A busy week ahead with 3 midweek Currie Cup games and 3 more on the weekend as well as Rugby Champs and NPC
Here are my Currie Cup Handicap Projections for Wednesday
Pumas +8.5 v Sharks
Bulls -16.5 v Griquas
Cheetahs -3.5 v Lions
Rugby Champs and the New Zealand cap is out and I will have a go at the Bok v Arg cap
NZL -21.5 v Australia
SA -17.5 v Argentina
There is also NPC and the caps are out
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Wellington -3.5 vs Waikato
Southland +14.5 vs Bay of Plenty
Auckland +3.5 vs Tasman
Manawatu +24.5 vs Canterbury
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- Brent Graham
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Pumas +8.5 v Sharks (+7.5)
Bulls -16.5 v Griquas (-12.5)
Cheetahs -3.5 v Lions (-4.5)
4 point difference on the Bulls game - tempting
I went Boks -17.5 but after posting did think it might be too high with a number of players likely to be rested - it has opened -14.5
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- Kirky
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A rubbish start for my calls of 50% - things can only improve from reliance on last year's results.
A bit more data to work from, without consideration of individual players to the teams. Should become more accurate based on team performance. No ?
Maybe not – On reflection, I'm definitely not smarter than a roomful of bookie mathematicians and actuaries calculating handicaps, not even close. So I'm going to keep my amateurish projections to myself and avoid unnecessary further embarrassment
If I find a contribution that I can make, instead of adding to the clutter, I'll gladly make it.
But I'm not gonna waste your time with my rubbish predictions, so: Bokke Bokke,
I’m gonna enjoy singing-along to Nkosi Sikelele Africa a lot more now, because I can sing the ‘Incy Winsey Spider’ song instead of the first part.
Happy punting all.
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- Brent Graham
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- mackem
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5 units Lions +4 points at 19/20 Playabets (tie in play)
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- Zambusta
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Duncan Mathews already showed much more efficacy in attack last week.
Bench also looking better this week.
Can't see the Lions scoring less than 4 tries here.
Lions over 25.5 @1.88
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- Quill
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Your Pumas vs Sharks preview is not complete. Do you have a betting view for this one?
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- Quill
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Oh, I see it's cancelled. Some websites aren't updated.Quill wrote: Hi Brent,
Your Pumas vs Sharks preview is not complete. Do you have a betting view for this one?
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- The Vann
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Very fair market on the Griqua's first half score. I'll have me some of that.
Away Team first half over 10.5 points @ 17/20
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- Brent Graham
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Here are my handicap projections for the weekend
Lions +9.5 v Bulls
Sharks -12.5 v Cheetahs (watch team news or even whether game takes place due to Covid - I have assumed Sharks at full strength)
WP -7.5 v Pumas
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- southpaw
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Onto this weekend -
Pumas name side today, should be a strong one. Will be taking Pumas best plus HT cap or Pumas 1st half points, think they may start the better of 2 sides and has been their pattern last 2 years. Keeping an eye on conditions - did see a points line of 54.5 but been removed since, that's possibly a bit too high for me.
Aus should keep it tight 1st half again, Pickerill the ref so brings unders into play, however he has mellowed a bit since start last year when he was a nailed on unders ref every time. NZ bench very poor last 20 min last week, expecting better final 20 min from them.
Unsure at this point but Aus plus 22 is big, named a good side.
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- ballaholic
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Also maybe a chance Weber plays for Hawkes Bay after missing ABs?
Climbed into Hawkes Bay outright at 1.51 at NZ TAB, can still get -5.5 too (already -8.5 at bet365)
i.stuff.co.nz/sport/rugby/provincial/126...e-against-hawkes-bay
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- mackem
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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I like the Wallabies on the plus but prefer the All Blacks u38.5
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- hanrick
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Brent Graham wrote: New Zealand v Australia Betting Preview
I like the Wallabies on the plus but prefer the All Blacks u38.5
Love that unders on NZ, Brent! Go you good things Australia!
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- southpaw
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Good start to weekend, looking forward to main course tomorrow and find myself leaning against the grain a bit and like All Blacks to win well.
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- landrews77
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- Wager Warlock
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- southpaw
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Over 45.5 points @ 9/10
Pitch looks to be top condition,
Weather forecast cleared up,
Boks to start shifting style a bit from Lions series,
Argentina will score points today - well drilled side.
At just 4 points more than the 41.5 consistent line for Lions series, I make the 45.5 an overs punt.
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- Brent Graham
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Held this back waiting for points lines but the bet is not what you would expect - Bulls unders
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- southpaw
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NZ over 37.5 total points @ 17/20.
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- Brad Breath
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Having a few plays instead on Will Jordan - the bloke just scores tries
Anytime @ 1.8
Double @ 4.33
Hat trick @ 15
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- Brent Graham
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- Quill
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- Brent Graham
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- Chiefie
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Ended 69 on the dick.
Kick me in the tits why don’t you.
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- Quill
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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Trying one double today -
Sharks -5
WP -7
@ 2.64/1
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- Brent Graham
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Got tired of waiting for points lines on Sharks v Cheetahs - betting preview here
Sharks minus a nervous call
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- Brent Graham
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Was also hoping for points lines but cannot wait forever - joining South on the WP minus
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- cosbie
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Brent Graham wrote: WP v Cheetahs Betting Preview
Was also hoping for points lines but cannot wait forever - joining South on the WP minus
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- Bookie Basher
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Brent Graham wrote: I like that one South
Got tired of waiting for points lines on Sharks v Cheetahs - betting preview here
Sharks minus a nervous call
Betx have points markets out for both games
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- Quill
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