NFL Week 4

One early handicap bet for me:

Patriots v Buccaneers

Buccs biggest weakness so far has been defense but against a rookie QB and Brady knowing everything about the Patriots and Belichick I'm sure they'll have their number. Patriots have not looked great and I'll doubt they'll get things clicking in this game.

Buccaneers -6.5 @ 1.86

Week 4 early thoughts...

Staying with the tried and tested QB player props

Kansas City Chiefs
The chiefs are 1-2 this season and feels crazy to even think they could go 1-3 after Week 4. I expect Mahomes to step up once again for the Chiefs and bring this bet home. Mahomes has covered the 2.5 line in all three of his games so far this season.

Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 TD passes thrown
19/20 (Sunbet)

Green Bay Packers
Sunbet, Sportingbet both have annoyingly opened this line at 1.5, same as last week and it feels like they are scared to get hurt by the 2.5 line. Rodgers and the Packers back at home this weekend, I expect them to get another W. The 1.5 line is low but definitely a lock, so I would suggest taking it in any doubles you may have this weekend.

Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 TD passes thrown
5/10 (Sunbet)
I would wait till Sunday and get Over 2.5 line at Sportingbet under the alternate line if it is available.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Its all about Tom Brady and his return back to New England this weekend. Bucs lost last weekend to a well drilled Rams side and Brady only threw 1 TD pass, although I feel we did get quite unlucky as he threw for over 420 yards as well. I expect a massive performance from him again this weekend especially after their loss last week, against a poor performing Pats side who have not looked good so far especially last week.

Tom Brady Over 2.5 TD passes thrown
12/10 (Sunbet)

Recap of Week 4 Picks:

Double
Bills vs Texans Over 41.5 points + Jets vs Titans Over 39.5 points
11/10

Mahomes over 2.5 TD passes
21/20

Rodgers over 1.5 TD passes + Rodgers over 249.5 total passing yards
15/10

Brady over 2.5 TD passes
12/10

Just one for me this week. Vikings to beat Browns.

Thanks Vin, those bets have been working well for you. I'm definitely with you on the Rodgers over and added it with same game bet. I have added 3 total for tonight:

Rodgers Over 1.5 + Aaron Jones Rushing Under 62.5 @ 3.10

Titans v Jets: Titans -6 @ 1.97

I assume this line moved because the two starting WR's are out but I really don't see this being much of an issue for a team like this especially with Derrick Henry who probably is going to carry more of the workload.

Buccs -2.5 / Titans -2.5 / Packers -2.5 / Chiefs -2.5 @ 4.88

Giving these teasers a go.

Good luck everyone!