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Heineken Champions Cup, Super Rugby Pacific, URC, Currie Cup 6-10 April
- Brent Graham
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Full credit to that team for the Newsletter Best Bet and a 10/1 acca arriving (3 in a row now)
For the 2nd weekend in a row I made a profit but finished with the feeling it could have been so much better. The reason this time is I over committed on Edinburgh overs a play that was never a runner. I had backed them as the lines came out and had a big double at 5/2 with Bulls overs. Problem was the latter looked like losing and I didn't feel I had enough on (its called Greed) and piled in some more.
The Bulls then delivered and I now stood to make (and lose a packet) on Edi and sadly it was the latter.
Thankfully the Hurricanes and the Acca pulled me back into profit.
Ok then onto this weekend where we have Midweek Currie Cup, Heineken Champions Cup, 4 URC local derbies and of course Super Rugby Pacific. There is also the Singapore 7's but we can start another thread for that one.
Currie Cup Midweek - my projected handicaps
Pumas -13.5 v Lions
Griquas +3.5 v Sharks
Bulls -12.5 v WP
Super Rugby Pacific projected handicaps
Highlanders -13.5 v Moana
Force -12.5 v Rebels
Hurricanes +5.5 v Crusaders
Chiefs -4.5 v Blues
Fijian Drua +12.5 v Brumbies
URC projected handicaps for the 2 derbies
Stormers -3.5 v Bulls
Sharks -9.5 v Lions
There is already betting on the HCC matches
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Have a great week
BG
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- Brent Graham
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Highlanders -13.5 v Moana (-18.5 I believe Moana have some injury and Covid concerns so not jumping on the plus)
Force -12.5 v Rebels (-7.5, quite a big difference here)
Hurricanes +5.5 v Crusaders (+7.5)
Chiefs -4.5 v Blues (-0.5 a 4 point difference)
Fijian Drua +12.5 v Brumbies (+17.5, also a significant difference)
Quite a few different to mine but may well be me not having watched enough of the Aussie teams and Drua
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Sharks with an exciting team for tomorrow (Venter, Richardson & Gumede as loosies) but Kwaste are a battle hardened unit with sole focus on this comp.
Currently in 4th spot the home team will know they must win this one.
Griquas to win at 9/10
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- Brent Graham
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Pumas -13.5 v Lions (-24.5)
Griquas +3.5 v Sharks (-2.5)
Bulls -12.5 v WP (-14.5)
Well out on the Pumas game and also quite well out on the Griquas match
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- Brent Graham
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Not a strong pick and probably wont se the game so won't play points but Lions plus 24.5
Waiting for points lines in the other games
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- Mondo86
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Griquas vs Sharks - Over 53.5
Pumas vs Lions - Over 63.5
All 3 look like they will be played in good running rugby weather - I'm banging on the 6/1 treble!
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- Brent Graham
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I like the under 59.5
Griquas v Sharks betting preview
Also on the overs here
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- The Vann
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- Shazzadude
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Kiwi living in Australia
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- Jameson
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- Brent Graham
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- Mondo86
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- Brent Graham
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Click Here to watch on You Tube
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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Highlanders v Moana Pasifika Betting Preview
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- Brent Graham
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- BuggerBoy
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Under 46.5 @ 1.91
Showers in the forecast in Perth tonight and these teams have historically played each other to close, low-scoring matches.
-4 of the last 5 Force matches have gone Under 46.5
-4 of the last 5 H2H between Force and Rebels have gone Under 46.5
Will probably also place some money on a Rebels +5.5/Under 46.5 same game parlay @ 3.60
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- BuggerBoy
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France -21.5 vs Japan
Fiji -9.5 vs Ireland
Scotland -2.5 vs Wales
New Zealand -2.5 vs Argentina
England -10.5 vs Spain
Australia -17.5 vs Samoa
USA -10.5 vs Kenya
South Africa -24.5 vs Canada
My initial fancies are:
Fiji -9.5
Scotland -2.5
NZ -2.5
To me those lines look well off what they should be, will be getting involved early on those
Will also be placing a Fiji/Scotland/NZ win treble
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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- Chiefie
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BuggerBoy wrote: Unders for me in Force vs Rebels
Under 46.5 @ 1.91
Showers in the forecast in Perth tonight and these teams have historically played each other to close, low-scoring matches.
-4 of the last 5 Force matches have gone Under 46.5
-4 of the last 5 H2H between Force and Rebels have gone Under 46.5
Will probably also place some money on a Rebels +5.5/Under 46.5 same game parlay @ 3.60
5-16 at HT. Where is the bloody rain?! Its basically the greatest evening in the history of the world.
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- BuggerBoy
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- Brent Graham
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Stormers board
Sharks v Lions betting preview
Lions +9.5
Holding back Canes and Drua previews until I see points lines
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- BuggerBoy
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- Chiefie
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BuggerBoy wrote: At the 11th hour, here comes the rain possibly to save us!
Had under 45.5. That was horrific. I feel sick. This is why I stopped. Got to stop again!
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- Brent Graham
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- Northerner
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Tom Woolstencroft anytime @ 15/8 for Saracens v Brive. First @ 8/1
Saracens have a -20 handicap.
Woolstencroft scored 8 in 6 games last month before George returned from the Six Nations, scoring in every single match. He also was Sarrie’s first tryscorer in 5 of those.
No brainer. Bring on the driving maul!
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- Chiefie
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Northerner wrote: Strong bet for tonight:
Tom Woolstencroft anytime @ 15/8 for Saracens v Brive. First @ 8/1
Saracens have a -20 handicap.
Woolstencroft scored 8 in 6 games last month before George returned from the Six Nations, scoring in every single match. He also was Sarrie’s first tryscorer in 5 of those.
No brainer. Bring on the driving maul!
Saw that earlier. Now at evens on Sky bet. Missed it!
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- coil
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I am playing with fire tonight , I'm going to oppose Leinster on the handicap with a side that has been so horrible to me for many seasons .... Connacht .
A side I love to hate but they certainly owe me.
It's sold out in Galway and just funking they catch a break .
Love some unders this weekend while Clermont are my best bet of the weekend.
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- Northerner
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Northerner wrote: Strong bet for tonight:
Tom Woolstencroft anytime @ 15/8 for Saracens v Brive. First @ 8/1
Saracens have a -20 handicap.
Woolstencroft scored 8 in 6 games last month before George returned from the Six Nations, scoring in every single match. He also was Sarrie’s first tryscorer in 5 of those.
No brainer. Bring on the driving maul!
Off injured after 20 mins
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- Brent Graham
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Drua v Brumbies betting preview
A nervous under 18.5 play on the Drua
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- southpaw
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- hanrick
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southpaw wrote: Canes v Saders over 55.5 @ 17/20
Also on this. Placed the bet because James Doleman was the ref for the game only to see Pickerill has replaced him as ref.
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- Chiefie
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hanrick wrote:
southpaw wrote: Canes v Saders over 55.5 @ 17/20
Also on this. Placed the bet because James Doleman was the ref for the game only to see Pickerill has replaced him as ref.
Wtf is going on in this game. Doing everything not to score. Pickerill hates rugby. Hates it.
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- hanrick
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hanrick wrote:
southpaw wrote: Canes v Saders over 55.5 @ 17/20
Also on this. Placed the bet because James Doleman was the ref for the game only to see Pickerill has replaced him as ref.
If Doleman was the ref there would have been 70 points in this game
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- southpaw
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hanrick wrote:
hanrick wrote:
southpaw wrote: Canes v Saders over 55.5 @ 17/20
Also on this. Placed the bet because James Doleman was the ref for the game only to see Pickerill has replaced him as ref.
If Doleman was the ref there would have been 70 points in this game
Last 25 minutes absolute tripe from players and Prickerill.
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote:
hanrick wrote:
hanrick wrote:
southpaw wrote: Canes v Saders over 55.5 @ 17/20
Also on this. Placed the bet because James Doleman was the ref for the game only to see Pickerill has replaced him as ref.
If Doleman was the ref there would have been 70 points in this game
Last 25 minutes absolute tripe from players and Prickerill.
A disgrace. Christie so casual in last passes to score. Butchered 2 on his own.
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote:
hanrick wrote:
hanrick wrote:
southpaw wrote: Canes v Saders over 55.5 @ 17/20
Also on this. Placed the bet because James Doleman was the ref for the game only to see Pickerill has replaced him as ref.
If Doleman was the ref there would have been 70 points in this game
Last 25 minutes absolute tripe from players and Prickerill.
A disgrace. Christie so casual in last passes to score. Butchered 2 on his own.
Any chance of a fucking replay on the lineout there? Looks like Barrett thrown over, that’s offside. Pickerill is a nightmare.
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- southpaw
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Trying to recover and not a bet I was lining up originally -
Chiefs Blues over 50.5 @ 10/11
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- Chiefie
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southpaw wrote: After a solid midweek I’m officially in leak mode! Can’t believe overs missed there.
Trying to recover and not a bet I was lining up originally -
Chiefs Blues over 50.5 @ 10/11
Savea played in the air on the way up in that final line out. What is the fucking reluctance to use the TMO? Wtf. Stan Sport Rugby (@StanSportRugby) Tweeted: Ardie Savea is not happy
Was there a call missed on that last line-out?
t.co/m5sLmXYUpi
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- Chiefie
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Chiefie wrote:
southpaw wrote: After a solid midweek I’m officially in leak mode! Can’t believe overs missed there.
Trying to recover and not a bet I was lining up originally -
Chiefs Blues over 50.5 @ 10/11
Savea played in the air on the way up in that final line out. What is the fucking reluctance to use the TMO? Wtf. Stan Sport Rugby (@StanSportRugby) Tweeted: Ardie Savea is not happy
Was there a call missed on that last line-out?
t.co/m5sLmXYUpi
Money on ALB to score - off injured.
Chiefs hooker to score - knocks on over the line.
Seriously.
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- Experienced Novice
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France on the board vs Ireland @ 80/100
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- Jameson
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Couch Critic wrote: Jeeeez these Chiefs are shit!!!
Chiefs unable to score a point after 65min of rugby, some of that time against 13 men! Madness.
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- coil
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Small interest on Bristol plus 6.5 and a little bigger on unders at 46.5
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- Brent Graham
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Poor weekend for me so far - Exeter over 24.5 at 8/10 to begin the repairs
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Jameson wrote:
Couch Critic wrote: Jeeeez these Chiefs are shit!!!
Chiefs unable to score a point after 65min of rugby, some of that time against 13 men! Madness.
To better that, I had Cardiff to win against Scarlets and was feeling good when they were dominant in the 1st 20 and went 14 - 0 up.
49 unanswered points later ......
I think THE most spineless performance ever.
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- Brent Graham
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